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6. Which best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works?
Satisfied,
Enthusiastic but not enthusiastic
10.27-29.15
Dissatisfied, but
not angry
Angry
47
35
14
10.13-15.15
9.17-18.15
RV
8.7-8.15
RV
7.13-19.15
RV
4.6-8.15
RV
RV
RV
Jeb Bush
12
Ben Carson
26
23
14
10
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
10
14
Carly Fiorina
11
NA
Jim Gilmore
NA
NA
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
NA
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
NA
NA
NA
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
NA
Donald Trump
26
28
29
22
22
NA
Scott Walker
NA
NA
10
12
Someone else
11
21
No answer
15. Did you happen to watch the debate among the Republican candidates for president
that was held on Wednesday night, or not?
10.289.178.729.15
18.15 8.15*
RV
RV
RV
N= 3,154
I watched both debates
20
23
18
14
13
21
42
32
33
21
27
25
No answer
*Slightly different wording was used to match previous debate dates and number of candidates in debates.
10.28-29.15
N=1226
9.17-18.15
8.7-8.15*
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
15
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
24
12
Carly Fiorina
36
22
Jim Gilmore
NA
NA
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
NA
NA
Marco Rubio
20
13
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
17
21
18
Scott Walker
NA
None of them
11
9.17-18.15
8.7-8.15*
Jeb Bush
38
10
11
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
NA
NA
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
14
14
Rick Perry
NA
NA
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
19
29
Scott Walker
NA
None of them
14
17
13
No answer
18. Based on what you have heard and read about the debates, who do you think would do
the best job at handling the United States economy?
Among Republican &
Republican Leaning RVs
who watched or followed coverage
10.28-29.15
N=1226
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
11
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
14
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
41
None of them
No answer
METHODOLOGY
The NBC News Online Poll was conducted online by SurveyMonkey October 27-29, 2015 among a
national sample of 8,706 adults aged 18 and over. Respondents for this non-probability survey
were selected using an algorithm from among the nearly three million people who take surveys on
the SurveyMonkey platform each day.
Data for this survey have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and region using the Census
Bureaus American Community Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a
probability sample, no estimates of sampling error can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to
multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and
measurement error. Polls conducted in one day may include additional error due to the limited
time period that panelists have to respond to and complete the survey.
To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap
confidence interval to produce an error estimate, meaning we use the weighted data to generate
5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence intervals for the weighted average.
When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into
consideration in much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin
of sampling error. For example, if 47 percent of voters say they support Candidate A and 43 percent
of voters support Candidate B, and the error estimate is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points,
Candidate A could be supported by as low as 44 percent of voters and Candidate B could have as
high as 47 percent of support. Therefore, Candidate A does not have a "lead."
The following table provides the unweighted sample sizes and the error estimate that has been
calculated in place of the margin of sampling error for a variable that is expected to have close to an
even split in most groupings (such as gender):
Group
Unweighted N
Plus or minus
Total sample
8,706
Republican RVs
3,387
Democrat RVs
1,226
18-29
1,247
30-44
2,679
45-64
3,177
65+
1,603
White
6,631
Black
737
Hispanic
682
Other
656
1,226