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Could the Senate Convict Trump? Here's What Mitch McConnell Worries About

Mitt Romney, Joni Ernst, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski: If more than a couple of GOP senators say they intend to vote against Trump, a flood of Republican senators could turn against the president.
For Donald Trump to be impeached, two-thirds of the GOP-dominated Senate would have to vote to convict. The math is tough. But here’s why Trump & Mitch McConnell are worried.
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Mitch McConnell has reason to worry—and that means Donald Trump does, too.

To convict President Trump of an impeachable offense, the Democrats have to muster a two-thirds vote in the Senate: at least 20 Republican senators (and probably more like 22 because of expected Democratic defections) would have to break ranks. That math sounds unforgiving, and it's true that the road to 67 votes is a narrow and bumpy one. But the Senate majority leader and the White House fear that if more than a couple of GOP senators say they intend to vote against Trump, there will be something of a traffic jam as Republican senators turn against the president.

For starters, it's no secret that some senators can't stand Trump. Former Arizona Senator Jeff Flake, famously a "never Trumper," said in September that if it were a private vote, 35 senators would vote to oust the president. Utah Senator Mitt Romney stands out among this group—and for Trump the feeling of disdain is distinctly mutual, never mind that during his transition the then-president-elect actually interviewed the former GOP standard bearer for Secretary of State.

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