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How the Supreme Court Could Rule on ACA Case

The Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the latest legal challenge to the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act today. There are a range of possible outcomes in the case, from the court not ruling on the merits to the court nullifying the entire ACA.

With Associate Justice Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation in late October, the court now has six justices in its conservative majority. A ruling on the case isn’t expected until spring or summer 2021.

The California v. Texas case stems from a previous Supreme Court ruling in NFIB v. Sebelius in 2012. Then, the Supreme Court, with Chief Justice John Roberts siding with the more liberal justices, ruled the ACA’s individual mandate, or requirement to have insurance or.)

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