The New World Crisis: Origins of the Second Cold War and World War III: Second Edition
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About this ebook
This is the second edition of The New World Crisis, a short history of the Second Cold War and, perhaps, the origins of the Third World War. Unlike traditional histories, it is intended to be a living document which I will regularly update to account for new developments and interpretations. It provides a concise overview of the causes of the crisis, its likely outcomes and its potential impact on how we conduct international relations. This edition includes developments up to 16 April 2015.
Justin Cahill
Welcome to my Smashwords profile.I am a New Zealand-born writer, based in Sydney. My main interests are nature and history.My thesis was on the negotiations between the British and Chinese governments over the return of Hong Kong to China in 1997. It was used as a source in Dr John Wong’s Deadly Dreams: Opium, Imperialism and the Arrow War (1856-1860) in China, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1998, the standard work on that conflict.I wrote a column on the natural history of the Wolli Creek Valley for the Earlwood News (sadly, now defunct) between 1992 and 1998.My short biography of the leading Australian ornithologist, Alfred North (1855-1917), was published in 1998.I write regular reviews on books about history for my blog,’ Justin Cahill Reviews’ and Booktopia. I’m also a regular contributor to the Sydney Morning Herald's 'Heckler' column.My current projects include completing the first history of European settlement in Australia and New Zealand told from the perspective of ordinary people and a study of the extinction of Sydney’s native birds.After much thought, I decided to make my work available on Smashwords. Australia and New Zealand both have reasonably healthy print publishing industries. But, like it or not, the future lies with digital publishing.So I’m grateful to Mark Coker for having the vision to establish Smashwords and for the opportunity to distribute my work on it.
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The New World Crisis - Justin Cahill
The New World Crisis
Origins of the Second Cold War and World War III
by Justin Cahill
Smashwords Edition
Copyright 2015 Justin Cahill
Discover other titles by Justin Cahill at Smashwords.com
Please send all inquiries to Justin Cahill at
PO Box 108, Lindfield, 2070
New South Wales, Australia
or e-mail to jpjc@ozemail.com.au
Cover: Cartoon by Alan Moir showing Gorbachev mourning over a disintegrating Soviet Union, published in the Sydney Morning Herald, 14 March 1990. Reproduced by kind permission of Alan Moir, Sydney Morning Herald.
"But, far more, it [civilisation] requires confidence – confidence in the society in which one lives, belief in its philosophy, belief in its laws, and confidence in one’s own mental powers." - Kenneth Clark, Civilisation: A Personal View, British Broadcasting and John Murray, London, 1969, p.4.
"Men alive in 1939 just said that as far as they were concerned, the war with Germany had already broken out that summer, and the pretext for it was neither here nor there." Norman Stone, World War Two: A Short History, Penguin Books Ltd, London, 2013, p.19.
Preface to the second edition
This is the second edition of The New World Crisis – a short history of the Second Cold War and, perhaps, the origins of the Third World War.
This work is a living document to be updated as events unfold. It will remain a work in progress. While I have corrected errors of fact, in keeping with my editorial commitments I have not altered the substance of the original edition - which remains available on-line at Smashwords.
I acknowledge the short-comings of any attempt to write history ‘as it happens’. Such an account inevitably also becomes part-editorial, part-prognosis and part-manifesto. But I believe it is a worthwhile experiment.
Unless these competing genres otherwise require, I have cast the work in the third person and the past tense as any history should be. It was written when time permits and additional sections added as they occurred to me or become relevant. So if the floorboards in this house I’ve built squeak and the occasional nail sticks out, it simply reflects the experimental nature of this work.
I am acutely conscious of the truncated background I have provided to some sections and so welcome any comments or criticisms. I stand ready to address them in future editions and can be reached at jpjc@ozemail.com.au.
16 April 2015
Revised preface to the first edition
We live in a time of crisis. That is not something I would have written a year ago, even though recent decades have not been uneventful. There was the climax, then sudden end of the Cold War and fall of the USSR. Then came the brief ‘new world order’, promptly abandoned during the implosion of Yugoslavia and genocide there and in Rwanda.
Then, for a while, nothing - until Al-Qaeda terrorists flew planes into the World Trade Centre. The United States invaded Afghanistan, then Iraq. From then, the nature of events changed. Islamic terrorists bombed civilians in Bali, Madrid and London. The front line was no longer confined to the military battlefield.
In 2014, quite