TO: Interested Parties FROM: GS Strategy Group RE: Arizona Senate Polling Results DATE: October 10, 2012

The following outlines the key findings from a survey commissioned for the National Republican Senatorial Committees Independent Expenditure campaign in Arizona. The survey was conducted October 8-9, 2012. The sample size was 500 likely voters statewide yielding a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95% confidence level. These are the findings. In the Arizona Senate race Jeff Flake leads Richard Carmona, 47.4% to 41%. Flakes lead is bolstered by his support from Independent voters who he leads by a 50/40 margin.

The U.S. Senate Ballot

80% 60%

Senate Ballot
41.0% 47.4%

Carmona Flake Undecided

40% 20% 0%

11.6%

80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

Jeff Flake
45.4%

Favorable Unfavorable

36.4%

80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

Richard Carmona
40.2%

Favorable Unfavorable

36.4%

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