Survey of Likely Voters Statewide in Wisconsin

Topline Summary Report Nov. 1, 2012

Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters in Wisconsin regarding the November election. The survey included 1,074 respondents and was conducted Oct. 30-31, 2012. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.96 percentage points.

1. There is an election coming up in November in which we will select many officeholders, including for President, U.S. Senate, and Congress. How likely are you to vote in that upcoming election OR have you already voted?
LIKELY TO VOTE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent ALREADY VOTED VERY LIKELY Valid SOMEWHAT LIKELY Total 27 1074 2.5 100.0 2.5 100.0 100.0 298 749 27.7 69.7 27.7 69.7 27.7 97.5

2. Generally speaking, would you say that things here in our area are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?
RIGHT-WRONG TRACK Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK Valid NOT SURE Total 105 1074 9.8 100.0 9.8 100.0 100.0 503 466 46.9 43.4 46.9 43.4 46.9 90.2

3. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

OBAMA FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 471 124 70 403 6 1074 43.8 11.5 6.6 37.5 .6 100.0 43.8 11.5 6.6 37.5 .6 100.0 43.8 55.4 61.9 99.4 100.0

4. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

ROMNEY FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 476 135 110 340 13 1074 44.3 12.6 10.2 31.6 1.2 100.0 44.3 12.6 10.2 31.6 1.2 100.0 44.3 56.9 67.1 98.8 100.0

5. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Nimrod Allen?

ALLEN FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 46 34 37 54 902 1074 4.3 3.2 3.5 5.0 84.0 100.0 4.3 3.2 3.5 5.0 84.0 100.0 4.3 7.5 10.9 16.0 100.0

6. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Tammy Baldwin?

BALDWIN FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 431 112 47 466 18 1074 40.1 10.5 4.4 43.4 1.7 100.0 40.1 10.5 4.4 43.4 1.7 100.0 40.1 50.6 54.9 98.3 100.0

7. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Joseph Kexel?

KEXEL FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 38 32 25 58 920 1074 3.5 3.0 2.4 5.4 85.7 100.0 3.5 3.0 2.4 5.4 85.7 100.0 3.5 6.5 8.9 14.3 100.0

8. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Tommy Thompson?

THOMPSON FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 359 192 98 399 26 1074 33.4 17.8 9.2 37.2 2.4 100.0 33.4 17.8 9.2 37.2 2.4 100.0 33.4 51.3 60.4 97.6 100.0

9. If the election for President was today, and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Jill Stein of the Green Party, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Virgil Goode of the Constitution Party, for whom would you vote?
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent OBAMA ROMNEY STEIN JOHNSON Valid GOODE SOMEONE ELSE NOT SURE Total 1 0 18 1074 .1 .0 1.7 100.0 .1 .0 1.7 100.0 98.3 98.3 100.0 528 505 10 10 49.2 47.0 .9 1.0 49.2 47.0 .9 1.0 49.2 96.2 97.1 98.1

10. If the election for U.S. Senate representing Wisconsin was today, and the candidates were Independent Nimrod Allen, Democrat Tammy Baldwin, Libertarian Joseph Kexel, and Republican Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote?
SENATE BALLOT Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent ALLEN BALDWIN KEXEL Valid THOMPSON NOT SURE Total 508 17 1074 47.3 1.6 100.0 47.3 1.6 100.0 98.4 100.0 56 487 6 5.2 45.4 .6 5.2 45.4 .6 5.2 50.6 51.2

11. Thinking about the choice you just made for U.S. Senate representing Wisconsin, how firm would you say you are in your selection?
FIRM IN CHOICE? Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent FIRM IN CHOICE SOMEWHAT FIRM Valid VERY OPEN TO CHANGE Total 12 1074 1.1 100.0 1.1 100.0 100.0 975 87 90.8 8.1 90.8 8.1 90.8 98.9

PARTY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent DEM GOP Valid INDY Total 344 1074 32.0 100.0 32.0 100.0 100.0 387 344 36.0 32.0 36.0 32.0 36.0 68.0

PHILOSOPHY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE Valid CONSERVATIVE VERY CONSERVATIVE Total 236 258 1074 22.0 24.0 100.0 22.0 24.0 100.0 76.0 100.0 177 187 215 16.5 17.4 20.1 16.5 17.4 20.1 16.5 33.9 54.0

GENDER Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent MEN Valid WOMEN Total 526 548 1074 49.0 51.0 100.0 49.0 51.0 100.0 49.0 100.0

2008 VOTE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent OBAMA McCAIN Valid NOT SURE Total 43 1074 4.0 100.0 4.0 100.0 100.0 580 451 54.0 42.0 54.0 42.0 54.0 96.0

REGION Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent SE-MILWAUKEE NE-GREEN BAY Valid S CENTRALMADISON N/NW Total 419 226 204 226 1074 39.0 21.0 19.0 21.0 100.0 39.0 21.0 19.0 21.0 100.0 39.0 60.0 79.0 100.0

AGE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent UNDER AGE 30 30s 40s Valid 50s 60s 70 + Total 129 140 183 204 226 193 1074 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 25.0 42.0 61.0 82.0 100.0

INCOME Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent $50K OR LESS $50K TO $75K $75K TO $125K Valid $125K OR MORE REFUSED Total 136 97 1074 12.7 9.0 100.0 12.7 9.0 100.0 91.0 100.0 437 207 197 40.7 19.3 18.3 40.7 19.3 18.3 40.7 59.9 78.3