Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
By: Abhinav Goel Shreya Gupta Nooruddin H Anuj Kant Apaar Miglani Udit Narindra
Introduction
Recent development is consolidation in a fragmented
industry Acquisitions of BKI were done through cash and company stock Margins dropped in the last three years despite launch of high-end products
Integration costs and inventory write downs for their recent
acquisitions
prices to maintain sales growth, but Blaine did not follow Growth in top line thus was attributable to recent acquisitions
Introduction (Contd.)
ROE levels were disturbingly low at 11% partly due to dilutive acquisitions Very conservative w.r.t to outside borrowings Dividend payout and Capex were small enough to be funded by the operating cash flows Current levels of dividend payout are unsustainable leading to lower cash for reinvestment Shareholders not satisfied with marginal increase in dividend Stock price at all-time high; share repurchase plan is a
tough decision
Killing of war chest for acquisition Future need for debt becomes more real Growth without acquisition seemed difficult; organic growth
expectation of only 3%
Q1
Q1
Appropriate is a very subjective term; however, the
company is over-liquid and under-leveraged Changing times, where topline growth, ROE and size matters more Leverage is an important tool to increase ROI and ROE, which needs to be used by Blaine Funding everything by high-cost low-risk equity
makes the investments less attractive but more secure
debt
maximise return on equity
Q1
Debt has a lower cost of capital further enhanced by the tax shield it receives on the interest payment has higher risk, as interest receives highest priority in Cash flows Industry average net-debt-to-equity ratio is about 17% while
Blaine is at about (24%) Only equity funding it is further destroying ROE for its shareholders
little incentive to stay with a company that has lowest ROE further risk of diluting it
Q2
Should Dubinski recommend a large share repurchase to Blaines board? What are primary advantages and disadvantages of such a move?
Dubinski can recommend a large share repurchase to the board using cash and cash equivalents and raising some debt.
Advantages
1. Debt has a lower cost of capital 2. Increase leverage - invest in its business without increasing shareholders' equity 3. Deliver better return on equity 4. Increased control for family members - reversing downward trend from IPO. 5. More flexibility in setting future dividends per share
Disadvantages
1. The company's asset base will decrease it would have to borrow money if it wants to acquire another company or expand its production 2. Increasing long-term debt may cause financial distress - larger portion of its EBIT is used to pay for interest expenses. 3. Loss of control for smaller shareholders as family ownership rises to 81% 4. Volume is reduced- reducing liquidity of the stock is reduced in the secondary markets
Q3
Blaine will use $209 million in cash from its Balance Sheet and $50 million in new debt bearing interest at the rate of 6.75% to repurchase 14 million shares at a price of $18.50 per share. How would such a buyback affect Blaine?
Balance-Sheet (Post-Leverage)
Share-Repurchase (With Leverage) Liablilities Amount
Accounts Payable Accrued Liabilities Taxes Payable Total Current Liabilities Other Liabilities Deferred Taxes Debt Total Liabilities Shareholders'Equity
Assets
Amount2
21866 0 21866 48780 54874 5158 130678 174321 38281 39973
31936 Cash & Equivalents 27761 Marketable Securities 16884 Liquid Assets Accounts Receivable 76581 Inventory 4814 Other Current Assets 22495 Total Current Assets 50000 153890 Property, Plant & Equipment 229363 Goodwill Other Assets
TOTAL
383253 TOTAL
383253
Asset base has decreased substantially due to the cash being used for share repurchase Shareholders Equity has also declined due to the outstanding shares being repurchased The company has added debt to fund the share-repurchase
Projections, 2007
Particulars EBITDA Depreciation Other Income EBIT Interest Expense EBT Tax Net Income Shares Outstanding EPS Equity ROE Dividend Div/NI 2004 69370 6987 15719 78102 0 78102 24989 53113 41309 1.29 417377 0.13 18589 0.35 2005 68895 8213 16057 76739 0 76739 24303 52436 48970 1.07 458538 0.11 22871 0.44 2006 73860 9914 13506 77452 0 77452 23821 53631 59052 0.91 488363 0.11 28345 0.53 2007 83765 10211 0 73553 3375 70178 28071 42107 45052 0.93 253018 0.17 18452.32 0.44
Financial Ratios
Ratios Interest Coverage Debt/Equity EPS RoE Family Ownership (%)
Shareholding Structure: Family 36612 (81%) Public - 8440 (19%)
Q4
As a member of Blaines controlling family, would you be in favour of this proposal? Would you be in favour as a non family shareholder?
Q5
How does the proposal above differ for a special dividend of $4.39 a share?
need to be paid in future. Raising money in future will be difficult for the company Higher D/E ratio. Current share price is $16.25, whereas proposal is to buy shares at a $18.50,offering a premium of $2.5. In comparison, the special dividend is proposed at $4.39, which far exceeds the premium offered in buyback. For Promoters: BUYBACK For Shareholder: DIVIDEND
Q6
year Treasury bonds imply about BKIs cost of debt at the various levels of debt? What do your calculations imply about Blaines optimal capital structure? Based on these calculations, how many shares should Blaine purchase and at what price?
5.02%
Spread 0.65% 0.80% 0.85% 1.83% 2.98% 4.10%
What do these quotes imply about BKIs cost of debt at the various levels of debt? Deteriorating Interest payment capacity increases the risk of default and thus the default spread
Buyback
Calculations
Cash Available & Debt that can be raised
16.25
17
18
19
20
21
22
25
A
BBB+ BB+ B+
0.788 0.771
0.770 0.753 0.742 0.723 0.706 0.687
17
83.59% 86.65%
18
19
20
21
22
25
82.00% 80.63% 79.44% 78.39% 77.46% 75.21% 84.78% 83.17% 81.78% 80.55% 79.47% 76.87%
87.76% 85.88% 84.26% 82.84% 81.60% 78.62% 89.83% 87.75% 85.97% 84.41% 83.05% 79.80% 92.58% 90.24% 88.23% 86.49% 84.96% 81.35% 94.59% 92.05% 89.87% 87.99% 86.34% 82.46%
Share Premium
Outstanding Shares Share Premium 39.85 0.48
40.70 0.47 Share Price 16.73
16.25 17 18 19 20 21 22 25
16.72
16.71
16.70 16.69
41.72
42.63 43.45
0.46
0.45 0.44
44.19
44.87 46.57
0.43
0.43 0.41
16.68
16.68 16.66