National Center for Education Statistics

Table A-4. Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment
Table A-4 rates of men
Independent variable Coefficient Standard error T-statistic R2 D.W. statistic

Full-time
Age17 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-5.77 0.295 -19.57 0.99 2.2*
Age18 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.07 0.220 -13.95
Age19 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-2.83 0.188 -15.05
Age 20 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-2.98 0.190 -15.72
Age 21 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.09 0.192 -16.13
Age 22 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.60 0.191 -18.83
Age 23 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.02 0.189 -21.30
Age 24 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.32 0.199 -21.72
Age 25 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-5.14 0.219 -23.44
Age25-29 ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-6.05 0.209 -29.02
Age35-44 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-6.67 0.201 -33.25
LNRYPDRNMA ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.42 0.036 11.86
LNRUM …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.11 0.036 3.16
Rho17 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.74 0.099 7.48
Rho18 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.81 0.070 11.58
Rho19 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.30 0.135 2.25
Rho20 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.43 0.131 3.25
Rho21 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.49 0.141 3.49
Rho22 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.42 0.128 3.28
Rho23 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.09 0.137 0.64
Rho24 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.66 0.094 7.10
Rho25-29 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.82 0.070 11.71
Rho30-34 ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.66 0.106 6.20
Rho35-44 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.42 0.105 4.04
Part-time
Age17 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-7.42 0.883 -8.40 0.37 1.8*
Age18 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.92 0.617 -6.36
Age19 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.53 0.680 -5.20
Age 20 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.53 0.620 -5.69
Age 21 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.63 0.620 -5.85
Age 22 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.52 0.621 -5.67
Age 23 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.79 0.617 -6.13
Age 24 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.00 0.633 -6.32
Age 25 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.04 0.638 -6.33
Age25-29 ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-4.48 0.650 -6.89
Age35-44 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-4.51 0.622 -7.25
LNRYPDRNMA ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.23 0.114 2.00
LNRUM …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.03 0.073 0.43
Rho17 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-0.19 0.155 -1.24
Rho18 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.27 0.174 1.52
Rho19 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.86 0.072 11.97
Rho20 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.51 0.136 3.73
Rho21 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.44 0.155 2.84
Rho22 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.45 0.151 2.99
Rho23 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.33 0.174 1.89
Rho24 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
0.69 0.112 6.18
Rho25-29 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.77 0.084 9.21
Rho30-34 ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.85 0.072 11.84
0.13 0.21 0.7
Rho35-44 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.59 0.152 3.86
* p<.05.
R2 = Coefficient of determination.
D.W. statistic = Durbin-Watson statistic. For an explanation of the Durbin-Watson statistic, see J. Johnston and J. Dinardo, Econometric Methods,
New York: McGraw-Hill, 1996.

Where:
AGE(age) = Age-specific intercept term.
Rho(age) = Autocorrelation coefficient for each age.
LNRUM = Log unemployment rate for men.
LNRYPDRNMA = Log of three-period weighted average of per capita disposable in 2000 dollars, using the present period and the previous two periods.
NOTE: The regression method used to estimate the full-time and part-time equations was the pooled seemingly unrelated regression method with a
first-order autocorrelation correction. The time period used to estimate the equations is from 1975 to 2005. The number of observations is 363. For
additional information, see M. D. Intriligator, Econometric Models, Techniques, & Applications, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1978, pp. 165–173.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2005.
(This table was prepared November 2006.)