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+
o

n
k
10

+
o

n
k
10

+
o

n
k

20

+
o
n
k

20

t=0.011

30
Sample size

t=0.127

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

+
o

n
k
10

+
o
n
k

20

+
o

+
o

n
k

20

10

t=0.05

30
Sample size

t=0.261

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

Figure 1: Survival fraction estimates at t for a Weibull distribution with =0.5, comparing NAE-direct method (+), KME-direct method (o),
NAE-interpolation method (n), KME-interpolation method (k) and the true value ().

0.62

0.84
0.82
0.80
0.78
0.60

0.64
0.58

0.92
0.91
0.90
0.89
0.88
0.74
0.72
0.70
0.68

+
o

n
k
10

+
o

n
k
10

+
o

n
k

20

+
o
n
k

20

t=0.105

30
Sample size

t=0.357

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

+
o

n
k

10

10

+
o
n
k

20

+
o
n
k

20

t=0.223

30
Sample size

t=0.511

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

Figure 2: Survival fraction estimates at t for a Weibull distribution with =1.0, comparing NAE-direct method (+), KME-direct method (o),
NAE-interpolation method (n), KME-interpolation method (k) and the true value ().

0.84
0.82
0.80
0.78
0.64

0.76
0.62
0.60
0.58

0.92
0.90
0.88
0.86
0.74
0.72
0.70
0.68

+
o

n
k
10

+
o

n
k
10

+
o
k
n

20

+
o
n
k

20

t=0.325

30
Sample size

t=0.597

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

+
o

10

10

+
o
n
k

20

+
o
n
k

20

t=0.472

30
Sample size

t=0.715

30
Sample size

40

40

+
o
n
k

50

+
o
n
k

50

60

60

Figure 3: Survival fraction estimates at t for a Weibull distribution with =2.0, comparing NAE-direct method (+), KME-direct method (o),
NAE-interpolation method (n), KME-interpolation method (k) and the true value ().

0.84
0.82
0.80
0.78
0.64

0.76
0.62
0.60
0.58

0.92
0.90
0.88
0.86
0.74
0.72
0.70
0.68

0,009

0,007

0,005

T = 0,011

n=20
Sample size

and NAE-interp(--- ---)

n=50

n=50

0,018
0,015
0,012
0,009
0,006
0,003

0,023

0,018

0,013

0,008

0,003

n=10

n=10

T = 0,050

n=20
Sample size

T = 0,261

n=20
Sample size

n=50

n=50

e f

0,003

n=10

T = 0,127

n=20
Sample size

0,001

0,015

0,012

0,009

0,006

0,003
n=10

Figure 4: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 0.5, comparing KME-direct( ), NAE-direct(- - - -), KME-interp( )

0,009

0,007

0,005

0,003

0,001

t = 0.105

50

0,018

0,014

0,009

0,005

0,000

0,023

and NAE-interp(--- ---)

10

t = 0.223

20
Sample size

t = 0.511

20
Sample size

ih

50

50

ll

20

0,018

10

Sample size

0,020

0,028

0,016

0,013

10

t = 0.357

0,012

0,008

0,024

0,008

50

0,003
20
Sample size

0,004
10

Figure 5: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 1, comparing KME-direct( ), NAE-direct(- - - -), KME-interp( )

0,009

0,007

0,005

0,003

n=10

T = 0,325

n=20
Sample size

T = 0,597

n=20

Sample size

and NAE-interp(--- ---)

n=50

n=50

0,018
0,015
0,012
0,009
0,006
0,003

0,028
0,023
0,018
0,013
0,008
0,003

n=10

n=10

T = 0,472

n=20
Sample size

T = 0,715

n=20
Sample size

n=50

n=50

r s

0,001

0,026
0,022
0,018
0,014
0,010
0,006
0,002
n=10

Figure 6: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 2, comparing KME-direct( ), NAE-direct(- - - -), KME-interp( )

10

+
o

10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 50%

+
o

20

30

40

Percentile 30%

+
o

20

Sample
30 size

+
o

50

+
o

50

60

60

0.480

0.127

0.36
0.32

0.65

10

+
o

10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 40%

+
o

20

30

40

Percentile 20%

+
o

20

Sample
30 size

+
o

50

+
o

50

Figure 7: Percentile estimates for a Weibull distribution with =0.5, comparing NAE (+), KME (o), and the true value ().

60

60

0.261

0.049

t u

0.05
0.05

0.28
0.24
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04

0.05
0.05

0.60
0.55
0.50
0.45
0.20
0.18
0.16
0.14
0.12

0.74
0

10

10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 50%

+
o

20

30

40

Percentile 30%

+
o

20

Sample
30 size

+
o

50

+
o

50

60

60

0.693

0.357

10

+
o

10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 40%

20

30

40

Percentile 20%

+
o

20

Sample
30 size

+
o

50

+
o

50

Figure 8: Percentile estimates for a Weibull distribution with =1.0, comparing NAE (+), KME (o), and the true value ().

60

60

0.511

0.223

v w

0.05
0.05

0.54
0.52
0.50
0.25
0.23
0.21

h1
0.05

0.72
0.70
0.68
0.39
0.37
0.35

10

o
10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 50%

+
o

20

30

40

Percentile 30%

+
o

20

+
o

50

+
o

50

60

60

0.833

0.597

10

10

Sample
30 size

30

40

Percentile 40%

+
o

20

30

40

Percentile 20%

+
o

20

Sample
30 size

+
o

50

+
o

50

60

60

0.715

0.472

x y

0.73
0.72

Figure 9: Percentile estimates for a Weibull distribution with =2.0, comparing NAE (+), KME (o), and the true value ().

Sample
30 size

0.05
0.05

0.71
0.70
0.69
0.480
0.470
0.460
0.450

0.05
0.05

0.84
0.82
0.80
0.610
0.600
0.590
0.580

0,28
0,24
0,20
0,16
0,12
0,08

Percentiles 50%

n = 20
Sample size

n = 50

0,11
0,09
0,07
0,05
0,03
0,01

0,037

0,007

0,010

0,013

0,016

0,029

n = 10

n = 10

Percentiles 40%

n = 20
Sample size

Percentiles 20%

n = 20
Sample size

n = 50

n = 50

{ |

0,04
n = 10

Percentiles 30%

0,021

0,004

0,045

0,013

n = 50

0,001
n = 20
Sample size

0,005
n = 10

Figure 10: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 0.5, comparing KME-interp( ) and NAE-interp(---X---)

0,10
0,08
0,06
0,04
0,02
0,00
n = 10

Percentiles 50%

n = 20

n = 50

0,06
0,05
0,04
0,03
0,02
0,01
0,00
n = 10

n = 10

Percentiles 40%

n = 20
Sample size

Percentiles 20%

n = 20
Sample size

n = 50

n = 50

~ 

S ample s ize

Percentiles 30%

0,030

0,000

0,005

0,010

0,015

0,025

0,05

n = 50

0,020

n = 20

0,04

n = 10

0,03
0,02
0,01
0,00

Sample size

Figure 11: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 1, comparing NAE-interp ( ) and KME-interp (---X---)

Percentiles 50%

0,024

0,030

0,024

0,018

0,030

0,018

0,012

n = 50

0,005

0,009

0,013

0,017

0,021

0,025

0,029

0,012

n = 20
Sample size

n = 50

0,006
n = 10

Percentiles 30%

n = 20
Sample size

n = 10

n = 10

Percentiles 40%

n = 20
Sample size

Percentiles 20%

n = 20
Sample size

n = 50

n = 50

0,006

0,030
0,025
0,020
0,015
0,010
0,005
n = 10

Figure 12: Mean Square Error for Weibull Survival with = 2, comparing KME-interp( ) and NAE-interp(---X---)