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Poisson Probability Distribution

Presented by: Mohammad Sahidul Alam ID-161244

Poisson Probability Distribution is described by Simeon Poisson in 1837 It is also a Discrete Probability Distribution because it is !ormed by countin" somethin" Poisson Probability Distribution is o!ten re!erred to as the la# o! im$robable e%ents& meanin" that the $robability o! a $articular e%ent's

So& !or the limitin" !orm o! the )inomial Distribution #here the $robability o! success *$+ is %ery small and number o! trials *n+ is lar"e& the distribution is called Poisson Probability Distribution ,enerally !or $ is less than -. and n is 1-- or more& Poisson Distribution is used

Poisson Probability Distribution has the following Characteristics: 1+/ach outcome is classi!ied into one o! t#o mutually e0clusi%e cate"ories 1 a success or a !ailure 2+2he $robability o! a success remains the same !rom trial to trial 3+/ach trial is inde$endent 4+2he distribution results !rom a count o! the number o! success in a !i0ed number o! trials .+2he $robability o! a success *$+ is usually

Poisson Probability Distribution

e P( x ) = x!
x

= where np of trials n is the number


p the probability of a success

where is the mean number of successes in a particular interval of time e is the constant 2.71828 x is the number of successes

ariance
!lso e"ual to np

#$ample: %he &ylvania 'rgent Care facility speciali(es in caring for minor in)uries* colds* and flu. +or the evening hours of ,-1. P/ the mean number of arrivals is 0.. per hour. 1hat is the probability of 2 arrivals in an hour2

e P ( x) = x!

x u

4 e = = .1465 2!

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