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Let’s check an
example….
• TROG likes to roll caveman dice.
• What is the Probability of Trog rolling a
“2” ?
Remember: Probability is the chance of doing
something out of the TOTAL POSSIBLE.
1 chance
6 Possible Outcomes
• The probability of Trog rolling a “2” on the
dice is:
1
6
What percent is that?
1÷6=
= .166666666666666666
…around 16-17%
• What is the probability of Trog rolling an
even number?
3 chances
6 total possible outcomes
• The probability of Trog rolling an even
number is:
3 = 1
6 2
What is the percent? (you should know this one
by heart!!)
50%
• The FANCY MATH WAY to
write probability of something is like this:
P(something)
What is the probability of getting
“heads” when you flip a coin?
NOT THE
SAME ! ! ! ! !
• Odds and Probability are NOT THE
SAME!!!!!
3 chances
3 left over
• The Odds of Trog rolling an even number
are:
3 = 1
3 1
Odds are usually written like this 1:1
• What are the ODDS that Trog rolls a “3” ?
1
5
= 1:5
• What are the odds against rolling a “4”?
5
1 5:1
Putting it together.
• The weather station says there is a 40%
probability of rain tomorrow. What are the
odds that it will rain?
• Remember ODDS compares the chance
of something happening vs. something not
happening!!!
4
Chance of rain happening:
= = 40%
2
6
Chance of rain NOT
happening. 3
60%
(The leftovers)
2 : 3 are the odds that it will rain.