Terrorist After the Revolutions Daniel Byman 1.

Moghaddam, in is article on the terrorism staircase, reveals that terrorists seek to displace aggression. How is this action illustrated in the official Al Qaeda response to the Tunisian revolution? He said the revolution targeted the agents of America & France , thus trying to transform a local struggle into a victory for all anti-western jihadists. 2. True of False. Al Qaeda has been attempting to overthrow Arab governments for a long time. True 3. How can Al Qaeda benefit from the unrest in the Arab world? Freedom of movement Exploitation of further unrest

4. Identify two reasons why Al Qaeda is dangerous: Hundred of skilled fighters Appeals to a large of radicalized Muslims.

5. Identify four ways that the Arab revolution could prove damaging to Al Qaeda. It would deprive al Qaeda of the argument that pro-western Arab government repress their citizens and that secular democracy is bad. It would prove that change could come peacefully. It would prove that change can come in the Arab world w/o a blow to the united states. It would take away the youthful supporters formal al Qaeda. 6. True or False. Arab tyranny has often served U.S. purposes. True 7. How can regime change adversely affect relations between Arab countries and the United States? Harder to catch terrorists in these countries because of lack of security apparatus New government may not cooperate with the U.S. Regional cooperation will be problematic; old regimes and new leaders will be suspicious of each other. 8. How could support for Islamist factions such as the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt help or hurt the U.S.? Support risks a fanatical regime. Exclusion risks a reinvigorated al Qaeda.

9. Name four specific things that the United States and its allies must do to prevent al Qaeda from reaping long-term benefits from the Arab Spring. Refocus the media message, showing benefits of democracy and peaceful change. Maintain pressure on al Qaeda core (drone attacks on Pakistani leadership) Use diplomacy and foreign aid to pressure new governments to purge jihadists from their ranks and carefully chose when to intervene and when not to. Train the new intelligence services.