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David Solomon Hadi - Chief Strategist - Financial Services

International Trade, Econometrics, Statistics, Research

Professional Profile
I am a principal centered, progress driven individual financial strategist focused on international financial market research using scientific methods, research and tools to deliver accurate forecasting reports and strategic guidance. I specialise in customising research in accordance with specific client requirements, with the primary focus of delivered highly detailed financial reporting and methods for clients. I demonstrate a logical and analytical approach to solving complex problems and issues, ensuring the achievement of client goals while working to challenging deadlines. I possess excellent interpersonal and communication skills, with the ability to develop and maintain positive internal and external relationships. I am driven by progress and achievement, self-managed, highly articulate, scientific and detail oriented.

Technical Skills Name

M !xcel, "ord and #ower #oint M ,ccess and -. tata /0 1Microeconometrics2 OxMetrics 1!mpirical Macroeconomics2 46!3 6 .anguage 8 and 9*

evel
$ormal training. #roficient % & 'ears $ormal training % & 'ears $ormal training proficient % & 'ears $ormal training proficient % & 'ears & years & years $ormal training. & 'ears

Description!Detail
(uring )igh chool and *achelor. +sed in Masters education as well. (uring )igh chool, *achelor and self-taught. 3horough training during Masters in !conomic 14ermany2. 5now scripting in tata /0. 3horough training during Masters in !conomic 14ermany2.

+sed over & years. 5now scripting in 46!3.. ,rtificial 7eural 7etworks, imulations and 7umerical olutions. ,lso knowledge of flow statements e.g. If12 and loop12 .ogical Operator, 8onditional tatements, .oops, ,rrays, #ointers, $unctions, "riting and 6eading $iles. *asic theoretical knowledge of Ob:ect Oriented #rogramming.

"ducation and #ualifications

$ar%urg University $ar%urg& 'ermany Msc. In Economics and Institutions, Speciali ation! Mone", #ccounting and Finance #pril$ %%&ec$ %' ; Relevant (ourses )$y Strengths*+ !mpirical Macroeconomics, !mpirical Microeconomics, International Macroeconomics and $inance, !xchange 6ate !conomics. ; Seminars+ !mpirical Macroeconomics, ,sset #ricing and 8apital Markets, ,pplied #ublic !conomics. ; Thesis+ ,nalysing !xchange 6ate Movements over hort )ori<on - 8ase of ingapore. NU$ ,slama%ad& Pakistan Msc. In Economics (an$ )*- &ec$ '))+ ; Relevant (ourses )$y Strengths*+ ocial cience 6esearch Methods 1Operational (efinitions, -uestionnaire (esign, Interviews2, !conometric 3heory, Mathematics for !conomics, tatistics, 8orporate $inance. ; Research Pro-ect+ 8auses of $ailure of 9isit 'ear 0==>. .rid .griculture University Ra/alpindi& Pakistan ,,#. -honors. Sep$)'-#ug$)/ anguages +rdu?)indi?#un:abi % 7ative !nglish % *usiness $luent, I!.3 >.&, no section below >.= and @.= in reading 4erman % ,/ course

(areer Summary
0123 Rock Star (onsulting 'roup& Chief Strategist 0 Financial Services 6esponsible for the delivery of research and strategies for 6ock tar 8onsulting 4roup clients includingA !mpirical Macro !conomics International $inance and !conomics $orecasting

0114 5ank of Pun-a% Ra/alpindi& Pakistan Internship "orked in consumer loan section and managed process of loan disbursement. !valuated consumer risk, calculated loan amount and instalment si<e.

0116 S.(H"T ,slama%ad& Pakistan Internship !valuated an ongoing pro:ect in B slums in capital territory of #akistan. 8onducted group interviews to identify success of pro:ect and further needs.

University ,slama%ad& Pakistan #ssisted 1rof. of #dvanced Microeconomics in his pro2ect. (an$ )+-#ug )+ 8ollected literature on socio-economic and political conditions in tribal regions of #akistan. (eveloped a theoretical framework explaining social and political reasons of poverty in tribal areas.

The Daily Ne/s Ra/alpindi& Pakistan ,n article published about the !ducation in #akistan. (an$ )+

Professional Services (atalogue

Name "mpirical $acro "conomics Description I analyse empirically macroeconomic conditions in the following target areasA Monetary #olicy, !conomic 4rowth, !mpirical $inance, #olicies 6elating to International $inance and 3rade, *usiness 8ycle and Investment. Technical Details olving 7on-.inearity, +nit 6oots, 9ector ,uto 6egressions, 4ranger 8ausality, Identification #roblem, 8o-Integration, tructural *reak, 6egime hift, 3ime eries $iltering ,nd $orecasting. Source!Skill evel $ormal training in !mpirical Macro !conomics (uring M c. In !conomics. Delivera%le , 6eport providing theoretical background of questions posed, details of empirical analysis, discussion of answers through lens of economic theory and results of analysis and suggestions for further work 1if needed2. , report as above with focus on international financial markets

,nternational 7inance and "conomics

I analyse, empirically, international financial markets 1esp. Markets exchange rates2 for policy purpose or profit.

7orecasting

$orecasting using time series analysis.

"valuation of Pro-ects .nd (ausal .nalysis

!valuate, empirically, pro:ects and field experiments. ,nalyse relation of EcauseF between economic activities using micro-econometrics. 1example questionA did recent marketing strategy EcauseF an increase in salesG2

3ypes Of ,rbitrage In International $inance, 8urrent ,ccounts ,nd 8apital $lows, !xchange 6ate, 8entral *ank Intervention, tatistical Methods/, 3echnical ,nalysis, #olicies 6elating 3o International $inance ,nd 3rade. ,rima-D Models, 9ector ,uto 6egression, 3ime eries $iltering, (ecomposing 3ime eries. 3echnical ,nalysis, ,rtificial 7eural 7etwork ,nd ,rfima Model #anel (ata ,nalysis 1Micro (ata2, -ualitative 9ariable ,nalysis, $ixed !ffect Model, .ogit?#robit Model, Identification, !ndogeneity.

3horough 5nowledge from MasterCs 3hesis. 17ame of 3hesisA ,naly<ing hort )ori<on !xchange 6ate Movement % 8ase of ingapore2

$ormal 3raining in Msc. and elf 3aught.

, report on forecast with reasons of why we can expect forecast to be true.

$ormal training in Micro !conometrics. Msc. In !conomics.

, report clearly describing arguments in favour and against presented assumptions, details of my analysis, results and discussion about your question in light of findings?results.

,nformal Skills+ *ased on my interests, aptitude, self-education and experience. Name Description Delivera%le

These include but are not limited to Simulations, Numerical Solutions and any other statistical methods in R language. I can further develop them based on formal education and experience in statistics and computer programming.

8reativity

*usiness needs identifying possibilities. I teach and also use formal methods to identify patterns in data and information, find possible ways of conducting an activity and develop new concepts. *usiness needs careful understanding of proposals. I use formal reasoning 1deductive2 and informal logical techniques 1logical fallacies2 for analysing written arguments. *usiness needs to be informed. I help you in finding a potential buyer or seller in international trade, finding possible markets where you should sell or buy, conduct a background check using internet?phone calls about potential buyer or seller, forecast about possibilities for your business in international market. *usiness needs to know all possible consequences before making strategic decisions. I assist you by providing strategic possibilities your business face when making new decisions and their consequences.

.ogical ,nalysis

International 3rade Information

,n excel file or a document with bullets presenting all possibilities found. , meeting giving an introduction to creative activity in business and also some exercises to practice it. , report highlighting logical mistakes found in arguments analysed. $ormal mistakes in arguments would be made clearer with simple examples. , report with results of requested query, background information about it, methods of investigation and limitations I faced.

trategic 6easoning

, report with all possibilities described clearly. If possible with a graphical tree diagrams for ease of analysis.

7orecasting Service (atalogue+

examplesA 87orecasting "9change Rate: and 8Profiting in "9change Rate $arket:. 7orecast Hori;on )future vie/* / )our % H )ours % I )ours % / (ay % / "eek % / Month Delivera%le Time Needed< $ethods Used

6eport 1/ page2 ImmediateJJ tatistical Methods. Modified 8ontentA $orecast with *olinger *ands. Other methods chances of being true can be discussed. calculated from recent past. K Month % I Month 6eport 1/%& pages2 /%& (ays Methods ,s ,bove. 8ontentA $orecast as !conomic Methods. above and impacts of Other methods can be discussed. central bank, investorCs expected behaviour, condition of 4(# and Inflation etc. / 'ear % & 'ears 6eport 1.engthA ,s ,s agreedL tatistical Methods as above. requested2 !conomic Methods. Other 8ontentA ,s requested methods can be discussed. trategies for intra-day to 6eport 1.engthA ,s ,s ,greedL tatistical Methods and economic yearly basis. requested2 models for finding patterns and 8ontentA ,s requested arbitrage possibilities. J ,ll time is on average time. (epending on assignment it may change and would be discussed and agreed. JJ time will be needed to set up everything according to client needs. Once setup has been made I would start sending signals immediately.

7orecast Definitions
$orecastA , forecast is to be divided into two further divisions. 3rend $orecastA , trend forecast would mean only to identify if a new trend has begun. It ignore Magnitude forecast. Magnitude $orecastA )ere focus is to answer Ehow much change 1rise or fall2 is expected in next time periodGF. ,ll forecasts are based on chances. 8hancesA $ormally called pro3a3ilit". It is calculated from past observation asA /== x 3ime for which event of our interest happened ? 3otal 3ime. 1time can be number of hours, days, month etc2 (istribution of chancesA $ormally called pro3a3ilit" distri3ution. It is graphical presentation of different chances with events being on D-axis 1hori<ontal2 and chances on '-axis 1vertical2. ,rbitrageA ,n act that leads to least risky profit. ,ll profit is risky. )owever, we can find a pattern or economic phenomenon that offer least risk in market.

#atternA , phenomenon that repeats itself so that we can identify it with chances of successful identification being at least of &/M.

'eneral Services (atalogue

Name .ogical "riting #resentation (evelopment -uestionnaire (evelopment Interviews Description I write clear and logically developed reports in simple language in field of economics and business. I develop simple and formal presentations for economic or business topics. I develop questionnaires for business or economic research. I develop operational definitions and make questions from them. I conduct formal interview from professionals within field of economics and business. I have an excellent ability to work with large data files, manage them, modify them, transfer them from one format to another and prepare them for analysis. I en:oy transferring my knowledge and skills to others. Delivera%le , report as requested. , #ower #oint #resentation 1editable2 as requested. , report and a questionnaire. 6eport would explain the usage and the questions. , written file or a 8( of interview along with the, if requested, a summary of key points of interview. , file as requested. ,nything as requested.

(ata #reparation 3eaching

"orldwide 8ontactA NI/ H0H /=0 I=K 10Hx>xKI&2 ,*7A IB KH0 K0B KK&