Questions on Network problems

1. A project designed to refurbish a hospital operating theatre consists of the following activities, with estimated times and precedence relationships shown. Using this information draw a network diagram, determine the expected time and variance for each activity, and estimate the probability of completing the project within sixty days. Activity A ) . / 1 3 Immediate redecessors % % A ) ), . / !ptimistic "ime & 1* 1 ,& ' #ost $ikely "ime ' 1+ , 0 +' 0 !ptimistic "ime ( ,1& 1' 21 1-

,. An activity has these time estimates4 optimistic time o 5 1& weeks, most likely time m 5 ,* weeks, and pessimistic time p 5 ,, weeks. a6 calculate the activity7s expected time or duration t. b6 calculate the activity7s variance v. c6 calculate the activity7s standard deviation. +. A project has the following activities, precedence relationships, and time estimates in weeks4 Activity A ) . / 1 3 8 a6 b6 c6 d6 e6 Immediate redecessors % % A ) ) 1 / !ptimistic "ime 1& ,& 1& ,, 1& ,* #ost $ikely "ime ,* 1* +* 1& ,& ,* ,* !ptimistic "ime ,& 1, 2* 1& ,( ,, ,,

.alculate the expected time or duration and the variance for each activity. .onstruct the network diagram "abulate the values of 19,13,$9,$3 and slack for each activity Identify the critical path, and the project duration. :hat is the probability that the project will take longer than &( weeks to complete;

2. "he project detailed below has the both normal costs and <crash< costs shown. "he crash time is the shortest possible activity time given that extra resources are allocated to that activity.

Activity A ) . / 1 3 8

Immediate redecessors % A ) ) . ., / 1, 3

=ormal "ime & , + 0 ( 2

=ormal "ime .ost >?6 , *** + *** 1 *** 2 *** & *** 2 &** , ***

.rash "ime 2 ' , , ' & ,

.rash "ime .ost >?6 ' *** ' *** 1 *** ' *** - *** ' *** & ***

Assuming that the cost per day for shortening each activity is the difference between crash costs and normal costs, divided by the time saved, determine by how much each activity should be shortened so as to complete the project within twenty%six days and at the minimum extra cost.