Improving nancial performance by turning challenges into opportunities 2 The telecommunications industry has experienced rapid changes over the past decade as a result of technological advancements, regulatory inuences and increased competition. Companies have responded to these changes with strategic acquisitions, multiple and complex pricing plans, and product bundling. They have also sought to offer differentiated products such as IPTV and cloud computing. These changes in the market present new challenges which could undermine earnings and impact key industry performance measures including EBITDA and Average Revenue Per User (ARPU). The telecommunications industry regularly uses data analytics in elds such as customer analysis and network optimisation. For nancial analyses such as identifying risks, which could negatively impact an entitys nancial performance, communications service providers have traditionally used statistical sampling techniques that cover only short time periods and a limited subset of data. To better understand and respond to these risks, Chief Financial Ofcers (CFOs) can now use more sophisticated data analytic methods to supplement the audit advisory services they receive. In particular, a cost-effective opportunity exists to analyse large volumes of data over an extended period, providing more insight and greater agility to respond. In this article, we discuss ve areas in which data analytics can be used to address the opportunities and risks faced by communications service providers: ARPU leakage, network development, protability of stores and franchises, phone inventory and cash outows. CFOs can now use more sophisticated data analytic methods to identify revenue opportunities and address risks that negatively impact their companys margin Data analytics and improving nancial results The following ve cases show that the combination of deep industry insights and data analytics offer CFOs the unique ability to effectively address industry specic nancial risks and create opportunities by analysing data over an extended period of time. Time Telecommunications and Data Analytics 3 CFOs can make the adjustments they need to get ARPU back on the path to growth Telecommunications companies invest heavily in capturing and analysing ARPU. In recent years, the number of variables which contribute to ARPU has increased alongside the complexity of product offerings, bundling and billing arrangements. As a result, CFOs may struggle to understand why ARPU is changing and what they can do to arrest downward trends. Outperforming competitors requires a granular, in-depth understanding of the factors that drive changes in ARPU data analytics make this possible at levels not previously achievable. Analytics can also identify outliers that provide meaningful clues to the sources of underages or overages. Armed with this information, CFOs can make strategic pricing decisions to get ARPU back on the path to growth. Deloitte recently helped a leading Australian telecommunications provider understand the reasons behind changes in ARPU by analysing how customers moved between certain price plans. This exercise signicantly helped the carrier optimise its strategic price setting. 1 ARPU leakage identifying outliers
Price plan A R P U Figure 1: ARPU analytics 4 2 Network development project accounting and capital expenditure tracking As communications service providers invest signicant time, effort and capital into optimising and expanding their networks, tracking and accounting for these projects is essential for CFOs and internal auditors. CFOs need to decide which aspects of network building exercises are booked as expenses and which can be capitalised as assets. Conducting data analytics on capital works in progress can identify projects with unusual characteristics that present increased risks of capital loss. By analysing variables such as actuals versus budget, timing of spend, and cost composition across all capital projects week to week and month to month CFOs can create a risk prole for each project. They can then pinpoint those projects which need additional management attention to minimise downside nancial exposure. CFOs can pinpoint those projects which need additional management attention to minimise downside fnancial exposure Figure 2: Network development detailed project risk prole Risk Score P r o j e c t
t u r n o v e r
( Y T D )
Projects that fall within the accepted turnover/risk ratio
Projects with increased risk that warrant further investigation Telecommunications and Data Analytics 5 3 Proftability of stores and franchisees Many customers buy telecommunication services, phones and related devices through company-owned or franchised retail stores. Data analytics gives CFOs the opportunity to measure the performance of each store using more granular metrics than protability alone. This extends to unobvious correlations not historically visible. For example, management can review the controls and processes at stores that signicantly outperform or underperform relative to their peers and potential catchment. CFOs can ensure they are comparing like for like, by taking into account factors such as the particular demographics for each store location along with store size and operating attributes. This can provide valuable insights for future planning. In addition, CFOs can identify the stores at greatest risk of poor nancial performance and take appropriate action. Catchment spend on communication devices
High performing stores
Stores with operational improvement opportunities
Underperforming stores to consider for closure and / or relocation S t o r e
c o n t r i b u t i o n
t o
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m a r g i n CFOs can identify stores at greatest risk of poor fnancial performance and take appropriate action Figure 3: Store performance 6 4 Phone inventory minimizing holding costs Mainly as a result of the introduction of the smart phone, phone inventory has signicantly increased in value and now represents a substantial cost to operators. As a consequence, adequate monitoring of phone inventory levels has become important in order to minimize holding costs and prevent the organisation from unnecessary losses relating to impairment of outdated phone inventory. Traditional inventory management systems provide high level insight into the aforementioned, however, typically allow only a retrospective view on the inventory challenge. CFOs can use data analytics to perform an in-depth analysis of its existing phone inventory, analyse product margins at the lowest level and predict phone inventory with an increased risk of becoming obsolete. This will help improve stock replenishment, optimise phone inventory levels and reduce costs relating to holding inventory. CFOs can improve stock replenishment, optimize phone inventory levels and reduce costs relating to holding inventory Average number of days to sell Figure 4: Optimising inventory levels I n v e n t o r y
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Communication devices above optimal inventory levels 7 5 Cash outfows Communications service providers typically experience signicant cash outows when purchasing fixed assets such as network components and communication devices. This warrants increased scrutiny of a telcos payments processing and control. CFOs can use data analytics to validate existing supplier databases and identify any invalid or unused suppliers. They can also verify that purchase authorisations comply with internal authorisation rules, including instances of duplicate payments (which occur more frequently than many realise). As a result, CFOs can gain insights into breaches of purchase authorisation procedures and take steps to reduce unnecessary loss. Deloitte helped a prominent Australian telecommunications carrier conduct an in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of its payments function. Several ideas to improve processes and controls were implemented. Conclusion Given the massive number of transactions processed by telecommunications companies; and the costs and complexity involved in their operations, data analytics offers CFOs a valuable opportunity for enhancing the frameworks and procedures they adopt to drive protability and minimise unnecessary downside risk. CFOs can gain insights into breaches of purchase authorisation procedures and take steps to reduce unnecessary loss About Deloitte Australia Deloittes next-generation advisory services combine deep telecommunication industry expertise with leading-edge nancial data analytics. Our advisory professionals can draw on the expertise of more than 100 data analytics experts across Australia. We can help CFOs accurately pinpoint the challenges and risks they face, correctly interpret the results of data analytics exercises and maximise the benets that result. Please contact us for more information about this topic or the role data analytics could play in your organisation. Please visit www.deloitte.com/au/tmtinsights for more Deloitte thought leadership on issues and opportunities in the Telecommunications sector. Contact Us Deloitte 225 George Street Sydney, New South Wales Australia Tel: +61 2 9322 7000 Fax: +61 2 9322 7001 This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the Deloitte Network) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/au/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloittes approximately 182,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. About Deloitte Australia In Australia, the member firm is the Australian partnership of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. As one of Australias leading professional services firms, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu and its affiliates provide audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services through approximately 5,700 people across the country. Focused on the creation of value and growth, and known as an employer of choice for innovative human resources programs, we are dedicated to helping our clients and our people excel. For more information, please visit Deloittes web site at www.deloitte.com.au. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2012 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. AM_Syd_03/12_046770 About the authors Philip Takken is a Director in Deloittes Technology, Media and Telecommunications practice in Sydney. In the last fourteen years Philip has been providing Assurance and Advisory services to major incumbents as well as emerging telecommunication companies in both the USA and Asia Pacic. Tel: +61 2 9322 3957 Email: phtakken@deloitte.com.au. Slav Tabachnik is a Director in Deloittes Data Analytics practice in Sydney. Slav has more than twelve years experience developing computer models to assist customer management, compliance, revenue and cost management activities using electronic data sets. Slav has applied these skills across a number of engagements in the telecommunications industry in Germany, Canada and Australia. Tel: +61 2 9322 7345 Email: stabachnik@deloitte.com.au.