Recopilacin de datos

Zona
Numero

Empresa
Total
X1

Empresa
Estatal
X2

Empresa
Privada
X3

Otras Empresas
X4

Viajes Atraidos Y
Producidos
Y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Total
Promedio

1804
1719
574
127
3736
883
523
36
2223
272
50
1046
410
11009
527
183
25122
1570.125

6820
1804
1719
37
2729
83
460
4
1500
45
16
36
1046
10914
180
50
27443
1715.1875

2547
1899
1804
1719
820
700
45
27
523
145
25
131
50
1046
347
50
11878
742.375

115
0
267
1804
1719
100
18
5
200
82
9
42
295
0
1046
83
5785
361.5625

9428
2192
330
153
1804
1719
240
55
1064
280
52
230
420
9654
450
1046
29117
1819.8125

Determinacin de matriz de correlacin

X1
X1
X2
X3
X4
Y

X2
1

X3
0.885375484
1

X4
0.372392319
0.578483461
1

Y
0.493438136
0.480753354
0.571034341
1

0.751854207
0.944573991
0.720332844
0.413270474
1

RX1X2

0.88537548

RX1X3

0.37239232

RX1X4

0.49343814

RX1Y

0.75185421

RX2X3

0.57848346

RX2X4

0.48075335

RX2Y

0.94457399

RX3X4

0.57103434

RX3Y

0.72033284

RX4Y

0.41327047

Ecuaciones
Ecuaciones de una variable

Ecuaciones de dos variables

Ecuacin de una variable

Ecuacin 1:

Ecuacin 2:

Ecuaciones de 2 variables

Ecuacin 1

Ecuacin 1 - 2 variables
sistema de ecuaciones 1
K0
b1
b4
=
16
25280.75
6968.625
31629.125
25280.75 109912239.8 12075972.41 94274466.3
6968.625 12075972.41 5449199.938 11538202.8

Resultado
1476.134895
0.651625002
-1.214386207

Ecuacin 2
Ecuacin 2 - 2 variables
sistema de ecuaciones 2
K0
b2
b4
=
16
30820.125
6968.625
31629.125
30820.125 135817190.4 13078744.8 131659067
6968.625 13078744.8 5449199.938 11538202.8

Resultado
547.8815352
0.921640739
-0.795287787

Ecuacin 3
Ecuacin 3 - 2 variables
sistema de ecuaciones 3
K0
b1
b3
=
16
25280.75
10761.5
31629.125
25280.75 109912239.8 12457693.47 94274466.3
10761.5 12457693.47 10181875.75 27490619.9

Resultado
-1685.995484
0.856270627
3.434269302

Teniendo las ecuaciones encontramos las Y-estimadas

Y observada
9428
2192
330
153
1899
1719
240
55
1064
280
52
230
420
9654
450
1046
29212

Ecuaciones de 1 Var.
Ecuaciones de 2 var.
Y estimada
Y estimada
Y estimada
Y estimada
Y estimada
2118.613234 6504.636724 2319.005078 6580.366427 7606.256262
2064.796622 1863.704233 2353.911755
1937.16559
5728.078764
1339.85521 1785.060042 1258.018378 1791.596434 4522.536962
1056.843147 228.8302873 -405.3381792 -157.2303333 3918.192692
3341.833154 2719.538076 2396.45654 2371.183165 4373.558545
1535.494421 271.390673 1635.640665 309.3913993 1695.412245
1307.565243 620.2007905 1434.183184 680.9146558 -428.1667226
999.2277163 198.2978367 1077.20916 259.4385335 -878.3884019
2383.897471 1582.435597 2562.481049 1604.286909 2302.047611
1148.647955 236.2320935 1189.231168 278.4754992 -355.2528497
1008.091629 209.400546 1084.344166
269.620306 -872.4711059
1638.695687 227.9050615 1808.888411 280.0409279
241.389567
1236.020806 1162.383095 1109.88474
1157.81436
-507.023964
7946.635682 10292.51105 9377.388594 10422.03524 10977.81091
1310.097789 361.1375732 550.7240526 164.4686653 417.9056128
1092.298797 240.8582224 1121.082561 282.8837019 -693.4666344
31528.61456 28504.5219 30873.11132 28232.45148 38048.41949

Ecuaciones de 1 var.
(Yobs-Yest)^2 (Yobs-Yest)^2
53427134.9
16180.6993
1019807.545
816932.4349
2081767.511
33674.29767
1139695.548
891565.9802
1742129.334
754549.2698
914111.2025
1984423.539
665889.9566
2915092.915
739768.2071
2143.57862
69144866.92

8546052.842
107778.1106
2117199.726
5750.232473
673282.7336
2095572.764
144552.6411
20534.27001
268775.4685
1915.629638
24774.93189
4.388767177
551132.6598
407696.3614
7896.530889
648253.282
15621172.57

Ecuaciones de 2 var.
(Yobs-Yprom)^2
(Yobs(Yobs(YobsYest)^2
Yest)^2
Yest)^2
50537808.8 8109016.967 3318750.246 59283262.69
26215.41647 64940.57675 12503853.03 214890.1914
861218.1106 2136264.135 17577366.18 1955627.441
311741.5223 96242.85969 14176676.01 2482003.316
247463.0088 222956.9416 6123439.991 29091.56641
6948.778798 1986996.407 556.3822025 89.06640625
1426073.478 194405.7337 446446.7692 2215446.191
1044911.567 41795.11399 871213.9088 2800393.066
2245445.454 291909.9435 1532761.888 441477.1914
826701.3164 2.324102592 403546.1831 2097971.191
1065734.476 47358.5976 854646.8256 2810442.691
2492888.615 2504.094467 129.7222375 2245314.941
475940.954 544370.0299 859373.4297 1712008.691
76513.86968 589878.1293 1752475.32
62814540.94
10145.33478 81528.14311 1030.04969
1634402.441
5637.390965 582346.4844 3025744.172 465720.9414
61661388.09 14992516.48 63448010.1
143202682.6

Calculo de error y coeficientes de correlacin

Se
R

Ecuacion1
Ecuacion 2
Ecuacion 3
Ecuacion 4
Ecuacion 5
2222.367896 1056.31342 2098.662637 1034.840101 2128.849624
0.694871334 0.330279211 0.656192212 0.323565114 0.665630826

Se escogi la ecuacin 4 (Ecuacin 2 de dos variables)

como ecuacin de R.M.

X1

X2

X3

X4

X12

X22

X32

X42

7608.1875 54697.5156 26059110.66 3256671.39 60793.0664

Y2

233.875

5104.8125

1804.625

246.5625

57884517

148.875

88.8125

1156.625

361.5625

372.1875 22163.7656 7887.660156 1337781.39 130727.441 138523.535

996.125

3.8125

1061.625

94.5625

1489.8125 992265.016 14.53515625 1127047.64 8942.06641 2219541.29

1443.125

1678.1875

976.625

1442.4375

1666.8125 2082609.77 2816313.285 953796.391 2080625.94 2778263.91

2165.875

1013.8125

77.625

1357.4375

15.8125 4691014.52 1027815.785 6025.64063 1842636.57 250.035156

687.125

1632.1875

42.375

261.5625

100.8125 472140.766 2664036.035 1795.64063 68414.9414 10163.1602

1047.125

1255.1875

697.375

343.5625

1579.8125 1096470.77

1575495.66 486331.891 118035.191 2495807.54

1534.125

1711.1875

715.375

356.5625

1764.8125 2353539.52

2928162.66 511761.391 127136.816 3114563.16

652.875

215.1875

219.375

161.5625

755.8125 426245.766 46305.66016 48125.3906 26102.4414 571252.535

10

1298.125

1670.1875

597.375

279.5625

1539.8125 1685128.52 2789526.285 356856.891 78155.1914 2371022.54

11

1520.125

1699.1875

717.375

352.5625

1767.8125 2310780.02

2887238.16 514626.891 124300.316 3125161.04

12

524.125

1679.1875

611.375

319.5625

1589.8125 274707.016

2819670.66 373779.391 102120.191 2527503.79

13

1160.125

669.1875

692.375

66.5625

1399.8125 1345890.02 447811.9102 479383.141 4430.56641 1959475.04

14

9438.875

9198.8125

303.625

361.5625

7834.1875 89092361.3 84618151.41 92188.1406 130727.441 61374493.8

15

1043.125

1535.1875

395.375

684.4375

1369.8125 1088109.77

2356800.66 156321.391 468454.691 1876386.29

16

1387.125

1665.1875

692.375

278.5625

773.8125 1924115.77

2772849.41 479383.141 77597.0664 598785.785

SUMATORIA

25280.75

30820.125

10761.5

6968.625

31629.125 109912240 135817190.4 10181875.8 5449199.94 143045710

X1X2

X1X3

X1X4

X1Y

X2X3

X2X4

X2Y

X3X4

X3Y

X4Y

1193888.02 422056.672 57664.8047 1779364.85 9212272.258 1258655.332 38838370.7 444952.852

13729925.37 1875893.73

13221.9609 172192.547 53827.6172 55409.4141 102722.7578 32111.26953 33054.9023 418192.227

430481.3672 134569.043

3797.72656

1581622.195 140880.395

1057511.2 94196.0703 1484039.48 4047.445313 360.5195313 5679.91016 100389.914

2421834.34 1409391.95 2081617.62 2405418.79 1638959.867 2420680.582

2797223.9 1408720.52

1627850.758 2404272.86

2195791.15 168126.047 2940039.95 34247.8984 78697.19531 1376187.105 16030.9102 105371.086

1227.445313 21464.4805

1121516.84 29116.9219 179726.133 69270.7891 69163.94531

4271.929688 26368.7695

426919.043 164544.902 11083.7109

1314338.21 730238.797 359752.883 1654261.16 875336.3828 431235.3555

1982960.9 239591.898

1101721.742 542764.332

610145.293 3019925.09 255075.898

1262502.742 629265.957

140490.539 143224.453 105480.117 493451.086 47206.75781 34766.23047 162641.402 35442.7734

165806.3672 122110.957

2168112.15 775467.422

466921.793 2571775.59 167003.648

919845.4922 430473.832

599069.793

3003844.9 252919.523

1268184.492 623264.395

880104.148 320436.922 167490.695 833260.477 1026613.258 536605.3555 2669593.28 195372.523

971971.6172 508044.457

776341.148 803241.547 77220.8203 1623957.48 463328.6953 44542.79297 936737.027 46086.2109

969195.1797 93175.0195

86826441.3 2865878.42 3412743.24 73945916.5 2792989.445 3325945.645 72065221.9 109779.414

2378655.18 2832548.42

1601392.46 412425.547 713953.867 1428885.66 606974.7578 1050739.895 2102919.03 270609.477

541589.6172 937551.043

2309823.21 960410.672 386401.008 1073374.66 1152934.195

463858.793

1288542.9 192869.711

535768.4297 215555.145

108175246 12457693.5 12075972.4 94274466.3 21512070.61

13078744.8 131659067 4253461.39

27490619.92 11538202.8

2625175.52 1097474.67 547011.445 2707442.98 1224140.758

2582977.4 1090499.67

362907.07

1998869.1 997728.2578

535939.07 2687295.98 1218954.633

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE INGENIERIA

RECINTO UNIVERSITARIO PEDRO ARAUZ PALACIOS

FACULTAD DE TECNOLOGIA DE LA CONSTRUCCIN
DEPARTAMENTO DE VIAS TERRESTRES
PLANIFICACIN DE TRANSPORTE

Elaborado por:
Ervin Martin Hollmann Alguera

Carnet N: 2011-36658