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banks.
Introduction
Analytical models are very important for ALM analysis and scientific decision
making. The basic models are:
Any of these models is being used by banks through their Asset Liability
Management Committee (ALCO). The Executive Director and other vital
departments’ heads head ALCO in banks. There are minimum four members and
maximum eight members. It is responsible for Responsible for Setting business
policies and strategies, Pricing assets and liabilities, Measuring risk, Periodic
review, Discussing new products and Reporting.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
Though Basel Capital Accord and subsequent RBI guidelines have given a
structure for ALM in banks, the Indian Banking system has not enforced the
guidelines in total. The banks have
formed ALCO as per the guidelines; but they rarely meet to take decisions.
Public Sector banks are yet to collect 100% of ALM data because of lack of
computerization in all branches. With this background, this research aims to find
out the status of Asset Liability Management across all commercial banks in India
with the help of multivariate technique of canonical correlation. The discussion
paper has following objectives to explore:
Redundancy
Asset 0.212 0.426 0.279 0.476
Liability 0.196 0.539 0.288 0.629
The first row (R2) is a measure of the significance of the correlation. In this case
all the correlations are significant. The canonical loading is a measure of the
strength of the association i.e. it is the percent of variance linearly shared by an
original variable with one of the canonical variates. A loading greater that 40% is
assumed to be significant. A negative loading indicates an inverse relationship.
For example, for Foreign Banks, Fixed Assets (FA) under Assets has a loading of
-0.903 and Net Worth (NW) under liabilities has a loading of
-0.664. Since both are negative this means there is a strong correlation between
FA and NW. Similarly for Foreign Banks, we can observe that there is a strong
negative correlation betweenshort term deposit with both Term Loan and Fixed
Asset.
OBSERVATIONS
As per the summary table above, the canonical co-relation coefficients of
different set of banks indicate that different banks have different degree of
association among constituents of assets and liabilities. Bank-Groups can be
arranged in decreasing order of correlation:
– SBI & Associates
– Private Banks
– Nationalized Banks
– Foreign Banks
Redundancy factors indicate how redundant oneset of variables is, given the
other set of variable which gives an idea about independent anddependent sets.
This also gives an idea aboutthe fact that whether the bank is assetmanaged or
liability managed. Looking at the redundancy factors, the independent and
dependent sets for different bank- groups can beidentified:
Other than foreign bank groups, all other three have asset as their independent
set. This means during the study period (1992-2004), these banks were actively
managing assets and liability was dependent upon how well the assets are
managed. This is in perfect consonance with the macro indicators. The interest
rates were coming down all these years and banks were busy in parking their
assets in different avenues where they could get maximum return. Lately, the
scenario has changed in terms of interest rates. Now as there is ample liquidity in
the market, banks especially the bigger one is not concerned about the liability.
They can always borrow from active money market to manage their liability.
Foreign Banks
The canonical function coefficient or the canonical weight of different constituents
in case of foreign banks Term Loans and Fixed Assets form asset side and Net
Worth and Short Term Deposit from liability side have significant presence with
following interpretation:
• Very strong co-relation between Fixed Assetand Net Worth.
• Strong negative correlation between short term deposit with both Term Loan
and Fixed Asset. This indicates-
• Proper usage of short term deposit.
• Not used for long term assets or long term loans.
Private Banks
In case of private banks all constituents of asset side Liquid Assets, SLR
Securities, Short Term Loans, Investments, Term Loans, and Fixed Asset are
significantly explaining the co-relation while on liability side only Net Worth and
Short Term Deposit are contributing. This shows how actively these banks
manage their asset to generate maximum return. This relationship can
be interpreted in the following ways:
• Very strong co-relation between FA and NW.
• Short Term Deposits is used for Liquid Assets, SLR and Short Term Loans. As
defined above LA, SLR and STL – all are highly liquid section of assets. So it is
very prudent to employ short term deposit.
• Borrowings are used for Investment and Term Loans. As defined, borrowings
are near maturity liability while investment and term loans are of long term
maturity. So the private banks are using risky strategy of deploying short term
fund in long term investment which is clearly against right
asset-liability management. Under normal circumstances long term investment
gives better returns, so this strategy is to generate additional profitability at the
cost of liquidity. However as the money market has become more matured, it is
easy to manage liquidity without much of risk.
Nationalized Banks
In case of nationalized banks Investment, short term loan, fixed asset contribute
significantly in explaining asset part while net worth and borrowings constituent of
liability is major factor.
The major interpretations are:
• Very strong co-relation between FA and NW.
• Nationalized banks use Borrowings for Short Term Loans.
• There is negative co-relation between Borrowings and investment.
• More concerned with liquidity than profitability
• Conservative strategy ( in comparison toPrivate Banks)
• Good short term maturity/liquidity management
Nationalized banks use a borrowing (which is near term maturity) for short term a
loan which is effective way of ALM. However nationalized banks deploy long term
liability in short term assets. This is distinctly different from private banks
strategy. The nationalized banks are more concerned about liquidity than
profitability.
14
12
10
Public
8
Private
6
0
1996
1997
1999
2001
2002
2004
1995
1998
2000
2003
25
20
Public
15
Private
10
0
1996
1997
1999
2001
2002
2004
1995
1998
2000
2003