The Hungarian Hyperinflation and
Stabilization of 1945-1946
William A. Bomberger
University of Florida
Gail E. Makinen
Georgetown University
Inflation in Hungary after World War II was the most intense on
record. The reforms of August 1946 were immediately and entirely
successful in stabilizing prices. This paper describes and analyzes the
unique policies and institutions that produced these phenomena.
Despite its severity, the Hungarian experience was consistent with
the less extreme inflation and stabilization experiences examined by
Sargent. Price stabilization was accomplished by fiscal rather han
purely monetary measures and was, paradoxically, accompanied by
rapid and prolonged money growth
Any attempt to study this era is fraught with difficulties. Hungarian state archives are
reality closed. Because this period is now 36 years in the past, few individuals
associated with it are still alive, outside Hungary. Fortunately, we located several
strategically placed officials in the U.S. and Hungarian governments who provided us
with information that made it possible to conclude our study. We were able to locate
these individuals through the assistance of Professor Joseph Zrinyi, $.]., of Georgetown
University: Aladar Szegedy-Maszak, Hungarian Minister to the United States, 1945—
46; and Professor Will
resident of the Hungarian National Bank (the central bank of Hungary) from AusustFrom July 1945 until August 1946, Hungary experienced the worst
hyperinflation on record. In this brief period of 13 months, the price
level rose by a factor of 3 x 10°. When stabilization was achieved on
August 1, exchange of old for new currency was at a rate of 400
octillion to one. This contrasts with the conversion in Germany's fa-
mous hyperinflation of a trillion to one.
~ -- pon ve
only Hungary had the misfortune to suffer a second hyperinflation
after World War II. Second, in Cagan’s (1956) seminal study of the
demand for money in hyperinflations, Hungary stands out as posing
the most formidable data problems. Third, Hungary is unique in its
extensive experiment with indexed money.
to December 1945, and a member of its board of directors until June 1946. Dr. Karasz
provided us with a great deal of information on the inflationary process, the unique
Hungarian experience with indexed money, and institutional details surrounding the
successful stabilization, Dr. L. Laszlé Ecker-Racz, economic counselor to the Allied
Control Commission the allied occupational authority in Hungary) and later economic
counselor at the American Legation in Budapest, made available two extensive statisti-
cal and economic analyses of the Hungarian economy and state finances during and
after the hyperinflation. The data used in these studies were provided to the US.
Legation by the government of Hungary. Many of these data have been hitherto
unavailable to researchers. We were unable to inspect the Hungarian archives, but Dr
Uournat of Paticat 1983, vol. 91. no. 5}
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