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Based on available evidence, scientists have concluded
that Earths climate is presently changing. Proxy records
show how climate changed naturally in the past. Todays
climate changes are occurring quickly and are unlike the
natural changes that took place in the past. Many changes
are due to human activities.
Global Warming
Scientists can tell that climate is changing by studying past
temperature records. Weather stations have recorded daily
temperatures and other weather data since the late 1800s. From
these records, scientists can calculate Earths annual average
temperature for more than 100 years.
Global warming is a term scientists use to describe the recent
increases in Earths average temperature. Figure 1 shows changes
in Earths average temperature from 1880 to 2006. You can see
that Earths average temperature has risen fairly steadily over this
time period.
Temperature change from average (C)
1910
annual average
1940
1970
2000
Year
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actual data
173
168
163
trend
158
153
148
143
1911
1923
1935
1947
1959
1971
1983
1995
2007
Year
Figure 2 Data for this graph came from satellites and ocean floats.
Sea levels have risen an average of 0.3 cm each year from 1911 to 1997.
Thermal Expansion
Thermal expansion is the increase in volume of a particular mass
of a substance when it is heated. Global warming is also causing
thermal expansion of the water in Earths oceans. This expansion is
adding to the rise in sea levels.
If you were to heat a cup of water, you would not notice that it
expands. This is because the thermal expansion of water is very
small. However, there is a lot of water in the oceans, so even a little
expansion is enough to affect sea levels.
(a)
1954
(b)
2004
Figure 3 This glacier in Auyuittuq National Park on Baffin Island has retreated significantly.
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Career Link
As the number of
flooding storms increases,
there are more jobs in
reducing flood risks
and damage. For more
information about a career
in flood abatement,
go to Nelson Science
tornadoes
more rain in some regions, causing flooding (Figure 4)
less rain in other regions, causing severe droughts (Figure 5)
How might these changes affect your life now and in the future?
Changes in Seasons
The length of the seasons is changing, as are the amount of
precipitation and average temperature each season brings. In 2009,
scientists reported that spring was arriving earlier and winters were
warmer on average than 50 years ago. In Canada, this means that
farmers may have more time to produce crops or can switch to
warmer-weather crops, such as peppers. It will also mean less time
for outdoor winter activities, such as snowboarding (Figure 6).
Figure 6 Shorter, warmer winters will mean less time for winter sports.
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Changes in Ecosystems
Global warming is also affecting plants,
animals, and their habitats. Trees, shrubs,
and many other plants across North
America bloom earlier in the spring.
Animals, such as squirrels, breed earlier in
the year. The numbers of mosquitoes and
blackflies are increasing in some areas,
while bird numbers are falling.
Ecosystems in Arctic regions, such as
in Canadas Far North, are particularly
affected by global warming. For example,
polar bears spend much of the year
hunting on sea ice (Figure 7). With less
ice, the bears are having difficulty finding
seals, their primary food source.
Figure 7 The Arctic ice cap has shrunk by 2.5 million km2 in the
past 30 years. All summer sea ice could vanish by 2040.
8.3 Wrap Up
Global warming is the recent upward trend in global temperatures.
Sea levels are rising.
Glaciers and ice sheets are melting.
Earths weather patterns and seasons are changing.
Global warming is affecting ecosystems.
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