Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Matrcula: AL02728422
Nombre del profesor:
Antecedentes.
Maestra
Maestra
Fundamentacin conceptual.
Maestra
Maestra
Maestra
Date
7/1/15
6/1/15
5/4/15
4/1/15
3/2/15
2/3/15
1/2/15
12/1/14
11/3/14
10/1/14
9/2/14
8/4/14
7/1/14
6/2/14
5/2/14
4/1/14
3/3/14
2/4/14
1/2/14
12/2/13
11/1/13
10/1/13
9/2/13
8/1/13
7/1/13
6/3/13
5/2/13
4/1/13
3/1/13
2/1/13
1/2/13
12/3/12
11/1/12
10/1/12
9/3/12
8/1/12
7/18/12
6/29/12
5/31/12
4/30/12
3/30/12
2/29/12
BMER180F BBVANDQ C
62.616
23.5543
62.6221
23.2174
62.4777
23.4306
62.3346
23.1111
62.1606
22.6963
62.0382
22.7279
61.9333
20.9596
61.7666
21.4051
61.5884
20.2463
61.4624
19.0641
61.3278
19.0341
61.2126
18.4334
61.0656
18.0482
60.9175
17.2872
60.6865
16.6986
60.5182
16.3741
60.3553
16.3703
60.1697
17.4996
60.0008
16.8735
59.8266
17.0011
59.6471
16.777
59.5037
16.0131
59.3332
15.6309
59.0833
15.3383
58.9077
14.7532
58.7194
14.2276
58.5711
14.7165
58.4052
13.3498
58.1212
13.3271
57.9164
13.5017
57.7042
13.4622
57.4819
13.1683
57.2341
13.5551
57.0287
13.6142
56.8251
14.2093
56.6396
14.5052
56.4484
13.8544
56.1836
13.7428
55.9654
14.2675
55.7739
14.1693
55.5635
14.1367
55.364
13.6008
SERIESDEINDICES
PRECIOSAJUSTADOS
BBVAXJPC BBVAJP UHN
CEMEX, S.A.B. DEC.V.
BMERIND-GB PEMERGEFA GFINBURO
12.4973
13.4277
14.36
115.16
14.2813
35.38
12.2356
13.1446
14.41
113.984
14.001
35.62
12.8408
13.7737
14.42
114.314
14.5251
35.17
13.208
14.1481
14.8
114.371
15.0915 36.21766
12.3587
13.2194
13.9135
111.442
14.0534 38.08638
12.1066
12.93
14.5673
112.64
14.0368 41.50743
11.8809
12.672
12.7981
106.049
13.7484 38.21492
11.3657
12.1051
14.4615
109.141
13.3217 37.65133
11.0517
11.7522
16.6058
113.352
13.2633 37.10752
10.6601
11.3206
15.9519
112.827
12.8715 39.98476
10.5537
11.1911
16.8269
113.561
12.7956 38.07649
10.9706
11.6155
16.7019
115.003
13.4393 39.28276
11.0172
11.6487
15.9423
111.995
13.3268 39.80679
10.4449
11.0273
16.5192
107.238
12.819 38.04683
10.2444
10.7996
15.9231
106.061
12.5456 34.83341
10.0896
10.6212
16.0865
102.58
12.2821 32.72374
9.94041
10.4492
15.2552
100.815
12.0408 32.86066
10.0346
10.5326
16.0318
98.0077
11.9397 31.04159
9.72631
10.1954
15.2829
103.28
11.5367 32.61616
10.2023
10.6789
14.1827
108.194
12.208 36.11738
10.3119
10.7772
13.3598
105.621
12.3378 33.85821
10.1877
10.6326
12.8144
102.365
12.4515 31.40344
10.1411
10.5683
13.554
101.992
12.2827
28.0211
9.50242
9.88812
14.0255
97.69
11.4809 26.61024
9.43749
9.80652
13.6095
100.351
11.5552 27.98373
9.31004
9.65888
12.7219
98.7468
11.5497 26.74105
9.91682
10.2747
13.8036
102.034
12.3539 27.39509
9.53671
9.86625
12.6572
104.028
11.9933 32.90715
9.6151
9.93123
13.8961
108.019
12.1201 33.32334
10.1802
10.5013
12.6849
108.278
12.7465 33.31409
10.2687
10.5786
12.8236
113.054
12.9325 32.95339
10.3617
10.6585
11.7419
108.073
13.0272 36.26445
9.97133
10.2419
10.6509
104.087
12.3458 33.15686
9.82123
10.0734
10.9745
102.647
12.3596 32.25048
9.66053
9.893
9.902
100.512
12.247 33.31409
9.44402
9.65841
9.01442
98.4539
11.9979 33.07362
9.44017
9.64026
8.57988
101.977
12.1015 32.03776
9.40721
9.592
8.30251
97.6563
11.9074 27.73708
9.66168
9.83789
7.44268
93.8286
12.1793 27.38563
9.86912
10.0343
8.70932
96.5502
12.6143 26.19768
9.72306
9.95475
9.15311
95.6719
12.5779 24.27743
10.168
9.95475
9.09763
92.9084
13.1817 23.13443
Maestra
RETORNOSMENSUALES
DIFERENCIALESDEPRECIOSAJUSTADOS
BMER180F
BBVANDQC BBVAXJPC
BBVAJPUHN CEMEXSAB
BMERINDGB PEMERGEFA GFINBURO
-0.01%
1.45%
2.14%
2.15%
-0.35%
1.03%
2.00%
-0.67%
0.23%
-0.91%
-4.71%
-4.57%
-0.07%
-0.29%
-3.61%
1.28%
0.23%
1.38%
-2.78%
-2.65%
-2.57%
-0.05%
-3.75%
-2.89%
0.28%
1.83%
6.87%
7.03%
6.37%
2.63%
7.39%
-4.91%
0.20%
-0.14%
2.08%
2.24%
-4.49%
-1.06%
0.12%
-8.24%
0.17%
8.44%
1.90%
2.04%
13.82%
6.22%
2.10%
8.62%
0.27%
-2.08%
4.53%
4.68%
-11.50%
-2.83%
3.20%
1.50%
0.29%
5.72%
2.84%
3.00%
-12.91%
-3.71%
0.44%
1.47%
0.21%
6.20%
3.67%
3.81%
4.10%
0.47%
3.04%
-7.20%
0.22%
0.16%
1.01%
1.16%
-5.20%
-0.65%
0.59%
5.01%
0.19%
3.26%
-3.80%
-3.65%
0.75%
-1.25%
-4.79%
-3.07%
0.24%
2.13%
-0.42%
-0.29%
4.76%
2.69%
0.84%
-1.32%
0.24%
4.40%
5.48%
5.64%
-3.49%
4.44%
3.96%
4.63%
0.38%
3.52%
1.96%
2.11%
3.74%
1.11%
2.18%
9.23%
0.28%
1.98%
1.53%
1.68%
-1.02%
3.39%
2.15%
6.45%
0.27%
0.02%
1.50%
1.65%
5.45%
1.75%
2.00%
-0.42%
0.31%
-6.45%
-0.94%
-0.79%
-4.84%
2.86%
0.85%
5.86%
0.28%
3.71%
3.17%
3.31%
4.90%
-5.10%
3.49%
-4.83%
0.29%
-0.75%
-4.67%
-4.53%
7.76%
-4.54%
-5.50%
-9.69%
0.30%
1.34%
-1.06%
-0.91%
6.16%
2.44%
-1.05%
6.67%
0.24%
4.77%
1.22%
1.36%
4.26%
3.18%
-0.91%
7.82%
0.29%
2.45%
0.46%
0.61%
-5.46%
0.37%
1.37%
12.07%
0.42%
1.91%
6.72%
6.88%
-3.36%
4.40%
6.98%
5.30%
0.30%
3.97%
0.69%
0.83%
3.06%
-2.65%
-0.64%
-4.91%
0.32%
3.69%
1.37%
1.53%
6.98%
1.62%
0.05%
4.65%
0.25%
-3.32%
-6.12%
-5.99%
-7.84%
-3.22%
-6.51%
-2.39%
0.28%
10.24%
3.99%
4.14%
9.06%
-1.92%
3.01%
-16.75%
0.49%
0.17%
-0.82%
-0.65%
-8.92%
-3.69%
-1.05%
-1.25%
0.35%
-1.29%
-5.55%
-5.43%
9.55%
-0.24%
-4.91%
0.03%
0.37%
0.29%
-0.86%
-0.73%
-1.08%
-4.22%
-1.44%
1.09%
0.39%
2.23%
-0.90%
-0.75%
9.21%
4.61%
-0.73%
-9.13%
0.43%
-2.85%
3.91%
4.07%
10.24%
3.83%
5.52%
9.37%
0.36%
-0.43%
1.53%
1.67%
-2.95%
1.40%
-0.11%
2.81%
0.36%
-4.19%
1.66%
1.82%
10.83%
2.12%
0.92%
-3.19%
0.33%
-2.04%
2.29%
2.43%
9.85%
2.09%
2.08%
0.73%
0.34%
4.70%
0.04%
0.19%
5.06%
-3.45%
-0.86%
3.23%
0.47%
0.81%
0.35%
0.50%
3.34%
4.42%
1.63%
15.51%
0.39%
-3.68%
-2.63%
-2.50%
11.55%
4.08%
-2.23%
1.28%
0.34%
0.69%
-2.10%
-1.96%
-14.54%
-2.82%
-3.45%
4.53%
0.38%
0.23%
1.50%
0.80%
-4.85%
0.92%
0.29%
7.91%
0.36%
3.94%
-4.38%
0.00%
0.61%
2.97%
-4.58%
4.94%
Maestra
INDICE
BMER180F
BBVANDQC
BBVAXJPC
BBVAJPUHN
CEMEXSAB
BMERINDGB
PEMERGEFA
GFINBURO
INDICADORES
RETORNO
RIESGO
TIPOACTIVO
0.30%
0.09%
DEUDA
1.40%
3.31% R. VARIABLE
0.55%
3.13% R. VARIABLE
0.78%
3.03% R. VARIABLE
1.37%
6.99%
DEUDA
0.57%
2.96% R. VARIABLE
0.25%
3.17%
DEUDA
1.25%
6.38%
DEUDA
Riesgo-Retorno
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
RETORNO
2.00%
RIESGO
1.00%
0.00%
DistribucindeFrecuencias
45
40
35
BMER180F
BBVANDQC
25
BBVAXJPC
20
BBVAJPUHN
15
CEMEXSAB
10
BMERINDGB
Frecuencia
30
PEMERGEFA
GFINBURO
0
-5
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Rendimiento %
Maestra
INDICE
BMER180F
BBVANDQC
BBVAXJPC
BBVAJPUHN
CEMEXSAB
BMERINDGB
PEMERGEFA
GFINBURO
INDICADORES
RETORNO
RIESGO
0.30%
0.09%
1.40%
3.31%
0.55%
3.13%
0.78%
3.03%
1.37%
6.99%
0.57%
2.96%
0.25%
3.17%
1.25%
6.38%
CV
0.30
2.36
5.65
3.90
5.12
5.21
12.90
5.12
Maestra
Donde
A ,B
10
Maestra
).
0.64
1.00
11
Maestra
PORTAFOLIO1
RETORNO
0.43%
RIESGO
1.48%
50%
50%
CORRELACION
FRONTERA
BMER180F
BMERINDGB RETORNO
RIESGO
100%
0%
0.30%
0.09%
90%
10%
0.33%
0.31%
80%
20%
0.35%
0.60%
70%
30%
0.38%
0.90%
60%
40%
0.41%
1.19%
50%
50%
0.43%
1.48%
40%
60%
0.46%
1.78%
30%
70%
0.49%
2.08%
20%
80%
0.52%
2.37%
10%
90%
0.54%
2.67%
0%
100%
0.57%
2.96%
0.0725
PORTAFOLIO1
4.00%
RIESGO%
PORTAFOLIO1
INDICE
Wi
BMER180F
BMERINDGB
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%
RETORNO%
En este caso, la combinacion de las carteras tiene una correlacion muy baja,
casi cercana a cero. Esto no ayuda en minimizar el riesgo, no hay un punto de
inflexion. Aqu el riesgo menor se obtiene con una participacion del 100% del
activo BMER180F. No recomendable para el perfil de nuestro inversionista.
Portafolio 2.
beta
PORTAFOLIO2
INDICE
Wi
BBVANDQC
GFINBURO
0.99
1.03
50%
50%
PORTAFOLIO2
RETORNO
1.32%
RIESGO
3.39%
CORRELACION
FRONTERA
BBVANDQC GFINBURO
RETORNO
RIESGO
100%
0%
1.40%
3.31%
90%
10%
1.39%
3.05%
80%
20%
1.37%
2.95%
70%
30%
1.36%
3.02%
60%
40%
1.34%
3.25%
50%
50%
1.32%
3.60%
40%
60%
1.31%
4.06%
30%
70%
1.29%
4.58%
20%
80%
1.28%
5.15%
10%
90%
1.26%
5.75%
0%
100%
1.25%
6.38%
-0.1340
PORTAFOLIO2
8.00%
RIESGO%
BBVANDQC
GFINBURO
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
1.20% 1.25% 1.30% 1.35% 1.40% 1.45%
RETORNO%
Maestra
PORTAFOLIO3
INDICE
Wi
CEMEXSAB
GFINBURO
1.83
1.03
0%
100%
PORTAFOLIO3
RETORNO
1.2469%
RIESGO
6.38%
CORRELACION
FRONTERA
CEMEXSAB GFINBURO
RETORNO
RIESGO
100%
0%
1.37%
6.99%
90%
10%
1.35%
6.21%
80%
20%
1.34%
5.52%
70%
30%
1.33%
4.94%
60%
40%
1.32%
4.52%
50%
50%
1.31%
4.31%
40%
60%
1.29%
4.34%
30%
70%
1.28%
4.60%
20%
80%
1.27%
5.06%
10%
90%
1.26%
5.67%
0%
100%
1.25%
6.38%
-0.1708
PORTAFOLIO3
8.00%
RIESGO%
CEMEXSAB
GFINBURO
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
1.20%
1.25%
1.30%
1.35%
RETORNO%
1.40%
Vamos a retomar las figuras del portafoio 2 y 3 que son los que representan un
efecto de disminucion del riesgo, para tomar la decision sobre cual sera la
propuesta de solucion.
FRONTERA
BBVANDQC GFINBURO RETORNO
RIESGO
100%
0%
1.40%
90%
10%
1.39%
80%
20%
1.37%
70%
30%
1.36%
60%
40%
1.34%
50%
50%
1.32%
40%
60%
1.31%
30%
70%
1.29%
20%
80%
1.28%
10%
90%
1.26%
0%
100%
1.25%
Portafolio 2
3.31%
3.05%
2.95%
3.02%
3.25%
3.60%
4.06%
4.58%
5.15%
5.75%
6.38%
FRONTERA
CEMEXSAB GFINBURO
RETORNO
RIESGO
100%
0%
1.37%
90%
10%
1.35%
80%
20%
1.34%
70%
30%
1.33%
60%
40%
1.32%
50%
50%
1.31%
40%
60%
1.29%
30%
70%
1.28%
20%
80%
1.27%
10%
90%
1.26%
0%
100%
1.25%
6.99%
6.21%
5.52%
4.94%
4.52%
4.31%
4.34%
4.60%
5.06%
5.67%
6.38%
Portafolio 3
13
Maestra
Portafolio 2
BBVANDQC
GFINBURO
beta
Portafolio 3
CEMEXSAB
GFINBURO
beta
0.99
1.03
1.83
1.03
Conclusiones.
Los conceptos que revisamos en el proyecto nos ayudan a comprender
mejor la relacin entre riesgo e inversin. Si se comprenden los conceptos
bsicos,entonces ser posible construir un portafolio de inversin que
presente un nivel de riesgo cmodo. El riesgo y rendimiento est
correlacionados de manera positiva, es decir, si se tiene una inversin que
page alto rendimiento, se debe llegar a la conclusin que la inversin tiene
un riesgo alto. Se puede reducir parte del riesgo mediante la diversificacin,
que se logra a partir de la compra de diferentes inversiones que no tengan
una alta relacin positiva entre s. En muchos casos es posible reducir la
tasa de riesgo sin reducir significativamente la tasa de rendimiento
esperada asociada a la posicin de inversin del inversionista. El riesgo del
mercado de una inversin se mide por medio del coeficiente beta, si este
tiene el valor de la unidad , las variaciones del mercado impactarn de
manera 1 a 1 a la inversin. Si el valor de beta es del 0.5, entonces las
14
Maestra
15
Maestra
16