NBC News/Marist Poll

September 2015
New Hampshire Questionnaire
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Registered voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents:
n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%; February 2015: Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/3.3%; Residents: n=1013, MOE +/- 3.1%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

September 2015
43
53
5
100
September 2015
42
52
6
100

July 2015
41
53
6
100
July 2015
41
52
7
100

September 2015: Registered independents n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%; July 2015:
Registered independents n=395, MOE +/- 4.9%
Now, thinking about the 2016 presidential primary in New Hampshire are you
more likely to vote in the New Hampshire:
REGISTERED INDEPENDENTS
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Wait to vote in the general election in November
Not planning to vote
Total

September 2015
36
30
33
1
100

July 2015
39
28
30
2
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 1

February 2015
43
52
5
100
February 2015
43
50
7
100

September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%; July
2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE +/- 4.9%
February 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=381, MOE +/- 5.0%
If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire were held
today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Donald Trump
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Ted Cruz
Chris Christie
Scott Walker
Marco Rubio
Mike Huckabee
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
Rick Santorum
Rick Perry
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Undecided
Total
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate
Preference: n=348, MOE +/- 5.3%
Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in
New Hampshire (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate):
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Scott Walker
Mike Huckabee
Rick Perry
Rick Santorum
Bobby Jindal
Lindsey Graham
Jim Gilmore
George Pataki
Undecided
Total

September 2015
28
12
11
8
6
5
5
5
4
3
2
1
1
<1
<1
<1
<1

July 2015
21
7
6
14
2
4
5
6
12
5
3
<1
<1
<1
<1
2
<1

8
100

13
100

September 2015
16
12
10
9
9
9
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
<1
<1
<1
7
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 2

February 2015
NA
NA
7
18
NA
14
6
13
15
6
7
1
NA
1
1
NA
NA
13
100

September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; July
2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%
If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire were held
today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Martin O'Malley
Undecided
Total

September 2015
49
38
2
1
1
8
100

July 2015
34
47
1
2
5
11
100

September 2015
41
32
16
1
1
<1

July 2015
32
42
12
1
3
2
10

February 2015
13
69
8
2
<1
NA
7

100

100

September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; July
2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; February 2015:
Potential Democratic Electorate: n=309, MOE +/- 5.6%
If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire were held
today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and if Vice President Joe Biden
enters the race):
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Undecided
Total

September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%;

Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%;
July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary
Clinton?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total

8
100

September 2015

July 2015

69
27
4
100
September 2015
36
60
5
100
September 2015

71
23
7
100
July 2015
37
57
6
100
July 2015

36
58
6
100

37
56
7
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 3

September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%;

Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe Biden?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total

September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%;

Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%;
July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Bernie
Sanders?
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total

September 2015
76
17
7
100
September 2015
46
43
12
100
September 2015
44
42
14
100

September 2015

July 2015

79
9
12
100
September 2015
46
33
21
100
September 2015

65
14
22
100
July 2015
41
29
30
100
July 2015

45
31
24
100

38
29
33
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 4

September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%;

Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%;
July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE +/- 4.9%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Jeb Bush?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%;
Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%;
July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE +/- 4.9%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Scott
Walker?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total

September 2015

July 2015

49
38
13
100
September 2015
34
51
14
100
September 2015

56
32
12
100
July 2015
40
45
15
100
July 2015

31
51
17
100

38
44
18
100

September 2015

July 2015

48
12
39
100
September 2015
24
32
44
100
September 2015

51
17
32
100
July 2015
28
34
38
100
July 2015

22
31
47
100

26
32
41
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 5

September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%;

Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%;
July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE +/- 4.9%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure
Total

September 2015

July 2015

56
39
5
100
September 2015
34
59
6
100
September 2015

39
53
8
100
July 2015
27
67
7
100
July 2015
27

34
58
8
100

65
8
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; February 2015:
Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/- 3.3%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Jeb Bush, the Republican
Undecided
Total

September 2015
43
48
8
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Undecided
Total

September 2015
46
45
8
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Joe Biden, the Democrat
Jeb Bush, the Republican
Undecided
Total

September 2015
45
46
10
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Joe Biden, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Undecided
Total

September 2015
50
41
9
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 6

February 2015
48
42
10
100

September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%;

Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; Registered voters:
n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE
+/- 4.9%; Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; Registered
voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%
Are you are more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for president who
supports:
ISSUES
Common Core education standards
September 2015
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
More Likely
25
Less Likely
48
No Difference to vote
22
Unsure
6
Total
100
September 2015
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
More Likely
47
Less Likely
21
No Difference to vote
25
Unsure
7
Total
100
September 2015
REGISTERED VOTERS
More Likely
37
Less Likely
32
No Difference to vote
22
Unsure
8
Total
100
A pathway to citizenship for undocumented or illegal
immigrants
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total

September 2015
27
56
14
3
100
September 2015
66
19
11
4
100
September 2015
44
38
14
4
100

Amending the U.S. constitution to change birthright so children of

undocumented immigrants are not automatically granted citizenship

POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE

More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
More Likely
Less Likely
No Difference to vote
Unsure
Total

September 2015
43
32
20
5
100
September 2015
18
66
13
3
100
September 2015
31
47
17
5
100

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 7

July 2015
36
46
10
7
100
July 2015
55
26
9
10
100
July 2015
46
36
10
8
100

July 2015
23
63
10
4
100
July 2015
63
29
6
3
100
July 2015
39
49
9
3
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Registered voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents:
n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%; February 2015: Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/3.3%; Residents: n=1013, MOE +/- 3.1%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Maggie Hassan is doing as
governor?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

September 2015
51
35
13
100
September 2015
50
34
15
100

July 2015
57
35
8
100
July 2015
56
34
10
100

February 2015
70
24
7
100
February 2015
68
23
10
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; February 2015:
Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/- 3.3%
If the 2016 election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican
Undecided
Total

September 2015
45
48
7
100

July 2015
42
50
8
100

February 2015
48
44
7
100

September 2015

July 2015

February 2015

49
51
100

48
52
100

49
51
100

September 2015

July 2015

February 2015

49
51
100

49
51
100

49
51
100

September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121,
MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Registered voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents:
n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%; February 2015: Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/3.3%; Residents: n=1013, MOE +/- 3.1%
Are you male or female?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Male
Female
Total
RESIDENTS
Male
Female
Total

NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 8