Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 716 Burnaby North-Seymour residents, 661 Fleetwood-Port Kells

residents, and 673 West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country residents by Smart IVR on
October 9-10, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones. Burnaby North Seymour
margin of error: +/- 3.65%, Fleetwood Port Kells margin of error: +/- 3.8%, West Vancouver-Sunshine
Coast-Sea to Sky Country margin of error: +/- 3.76%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by
age & gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

A2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

BRITISH COLUMBIA
October 15, 2015 (Toronto, ON) - With less than a week to go, a new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia
riding polls in British Columbia finds three races too close to call.
FLEETWOOD-PORT KELLS
In Fleetwood-Port Kells the Liberals and Conservatives are tied among decided and leaning
voters, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. The Conservatives have a slight
advantage in that they are 2% ahead among all voters, but considering the margin of error even
that would be a statistical tie. This one looks like its coming down to the wire.
BURNABY NORTH-SEYMOUR
Right now the Conservatives are in the drivers seat in Burnaby North-Seymour, continued Maggi.
There is a very even vote split with the Liberals and NDP tied for second place. Theres not much
time left for one of them to break out in order to challenge for first. These are the kinds of vote
splits that Conservatives need around the country if they are going to be able to hold on to their
incumbents.
WEST VANCOUVER-SUNSHINE COAST-SEA TO SKY COUNTRY
The Liberals have a 5 point lead in West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Seat to Sky Country. This is
outside the margin of error and we would expect given regional trends that the Liberals will do
well here on election night, he finished.
ABOUT MAINSTREET
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels
of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public
affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted an NDP majority government in Alberta (2015), a Liberal majority
government in British Columbia, and a Liberal majority government in Ontario. Most recently,
Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of last OctobersToronto mayoral election.
-30Available for interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, 613-698-5524, david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A4

FLEETWOOD - PORT KELLS

All Voters
Grewal

NINA GREWAL (CPC)

GARRY BEGG (NDP)
KEN HARDIE (LPC)
RICHARD HOSEIN (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
NINA GREWAL (CPC)
GARRY BEGG (NDP)
KEN HARDIE (LPC)
RICHARD HOSEIN (GPC)
UNDECIDED

Begg

6%

35%

24%

35%

14%

5%

29%

21%

31%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided and Leaning

Hardie

Hosein

Undecided

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

33% 28%
28% 36% 29% 32%
22% 16%
23% 23% 19% 23%
27% 37%
28% 23% 29% 29%
4%
8%
6%
4%
4% 7%
12%
11%
13%
17% 15% 16%
328
333
107
144
198
212
Certain
32%
21%
29%
5%
12%

Likely
19%
8%
39%
8%
25%

Might
18%
28%
20%
0%
34%

Unlikely
20%
21%
5%
10%
44%

A5

FLEETWOOD - PORT KELLS

And, is there anyone you would lean towards?

10%

7%

54%
27%

2%

Grewal

Begg

Hardie

Hosein

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a

chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC
86%
6%
8%

NDP LPC GPC

60% 71% 40%
30% 26% 41%
10% 8% 19%

A6

BURNABY NORTH - SEYMOUR

All Voters
Little

MIKE LITTLE (CPC)

CAROL BAIRD (NDP)
TERRY BEECH (LPC)
LYNNE QUARMBY (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
MIKE LITTLE (CPC)
CAROL BAIRD (NDP)
TERRY BEECH (LPC)
LYNNE QUARMBY (GPC)
UNDECIDED

Baird

9%

27%

26%

38%

12%

8%

24%

23%

33%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided and Leaning

Beech

Quarmby

18-34
35%
13%
32%
4%
15%
125

Undecided

35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

29%
32% 36% 40% 26%
26%
27% 27% 19% 26%
22%
23% 19% 22% 27%
11%
9%
11%
7% 5%
11%
15%
7%
12% 14%
397
188
176
227 319

Certain
32%
24%
24%
8%
12%

Likely
24%
13%
29%
8%
26%

Might
20%
17%
23%
10%
30%

Unlikely
44%
20%
13%
10%
14%

A7

BURNABY NORTH - SEYMOUR

And, is there anyone you would lean towards?

19%

13%
59%

5%
3%

Little

Baird

Beech

Quarmby

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a

chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC NDP LPC GPC

85% 51% 68% 51%
9% 23% 18% 31%
7% 26% 14% 18%

A8

WEST VANCOUVER - SUNSHINE COAST SEA TO SKY COUNTRY

All Voters
Weston

Koopman

JOHN WESTON (CPC)

LARRY KOOPMAN (NDP)
PAMELA GOLDSMITH-JONES (LPC)
KEN MELAMED (GPC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
JOHN WESTON (CPC)
LARRY KOOPMAN (NDP)
PAMELA GOLDSMITH-JONES (LPC)
KEN MELAMED (GPC)
UNDECIDED

16%

37%

15%

32%

12%

12%

34%

14%

29%

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

Decided and Leaning

Goldsmith-Jones

Melamed

18-34
31%
12%
25%
12%
19%
116

Undecided

35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

22%
27% 37% 36% 22%
17%
23%
10% 10% 11%
29% 47% 33% 33% 34%
13%
17%
7%
10% 9%
13%
9%
9%
10% 11%
355
163
146
248 318

Certain
30%
14%
33%
12%
11%

Likely
10%
14%
64%
5%
6%

Might
3%
3%
7%
4%
84%

Unlikely
22%
8%
38%
20%
12%

A9

WEST VANCOUVER - SUNSHINE COAST SEA TO SKY COUNTRY

And, is there anyone you would lean towards?

11%
3%
7%

54%

26%

Weston

Koopman

Goldsmith - Jones

Melamed

Undecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a

chance you will change your mind before the next election?

STRONG SUPPORTER
MIGHT CHANGE MIND
DONT KNOW

CPC
80%
10%
10%

NDP LPC GPC

73% 83% 53%
17% 10% 35%
10% 7% 12%

A10

FLEETWOODPORT KELLS SCRIPT

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Absolutely certain to vote
Likely to vote
Might vote
Unlikely to vote
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
Nina Grewal of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Garry Begg of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Ken Hardie of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Richard Hosein of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change
your mind before the next election? [Decided Only]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know
And, is there anyone you would lean towards? [Undecided Only]
Nina Grewal of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Garry Begg of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Ken Hardie of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Richard Hosein of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided

A11

BURNABY NORTHSEYMOUR SCRIPT

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Absolutely certain to vote
Likely to vote
Might vote
Unlikely to vote

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
Mike Little of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Carol Baird Ellan of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Terry Beech of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Lynne Quarmby of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change
your mind before the next election? [Decided Only]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know
And, is there anyone you would lean towards? [Undecided Only]
Mike Little of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Carol Baird Ellan of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Terry Beech of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Lynne Quarmby of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided

A12

WEST VANCOUVERSUNSHINE COASTSEA TO SKY COUNTRY SCRIPT

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?
Absolutely certain to vote
Likely to vote
Might vote
Unlikely to vote
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
John Weston of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Larry Koopman of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Pamela Goldsmith-Jones of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Ken Melamed of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change
your mind before the next election? [Decided Only]
Strong supporter
Might change your mind
Dont know
And, is there anyone you would lean towards? [Undecided Only]
John Weston of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Larry Koopman of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair
Pamela Goldsmith-Jones of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Ken Melamed of the Green Party led by Elizabeth May
Undecided

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all
three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator
on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority
Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.
Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral
election.

2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved