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CEL 442 Minor I 2008 Time 1 h

Max marks 20
1. A city consists ofthree residential zones, and a central business district(CBD). City
authorities are planning a new shopping centre to compete with the CBD. Following data are
available:
Daily shopping trip production(trips per person):
X3 =1
Xl 0 1 2
<2 .2 .3 .4
3 .1 .2 .3
>4 .1 .2 .3
X3 = II
Xl 0 1 2
<2 .3 .4 .5
3 .2 .2 .4
>4 .2 .2 .5
Xl = household size(persons/household), X2 = vehicles/household, X3 = income level I and
II
Relative shopping attractiveness is given by : A = 5 Xa + 3 Xb,Xa= area of shopping space,
Xb = parkingarea;
Annex. 1 has landuse and socioeconomic projections and gravity model parameters.
a.Calculate target year trips between different zones and number of trips to two shopping
zones. (4)
b. Discuss the sequential forecasting procedure used here. (2)

2. A city residents are using an existing bus system and cars to commute to work. Authorities
are planning to introduce a Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) system to encourage public transport
system. Table 2 has attributes of three systems.
Attribute access time(X l) wait time(X2) line haul out of pocket
time(X3) cost(X4)
car 5 0 20 100
bus 10 15 40 50
BRT 10 5 30 75

Given Uk = ak-0.025Xl - 0.032X2- 0.015X3- 0.002X4, modespecificconstantfor car=O,

bus, -0.10 and BRT = -0.06., total trips are 5000.
a.Find the modal share of the three systems.
b. What is the impact of introducing BRT? ( additional trips to PT?)
c. Find the impact of doubling BRT fare on modal shares.

(6)
3. write short answers:
a. Difference between mode specific and mode abstract mode choice models.
b. Deterministic disaggregate and stochastic disaggregate choice models. «
c. Production and attraction trip matrix and origin and destination trip matrix.
d. Impact of improving a transport facility in the short run and in the long run.
e. Difference between a gravity model and fratar mode1. (8)

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