Fuel Economy Improvement

565

Demand Management

5~68

SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR MITIGATION OPTIONS IN THE TRANSPORT SECTOR 5.70

Scenario I: Change from Gasoline Engines to Diesel Engines

Scenario II: Increase Fuel Economy in Automobiles ",.""" .. ,
Scenario III: Mode Shift from Trucks to Rail,.,.,

""""",

",

,."""."
,.,.", .. "",

571
5~n

,."" .. "

Scenario N: Increase the Use of Buses

Scenario V: Combined Options

5~70

,.,
""",.,.""

NATIONAL SCENARIO

,.,
,

5~73

575
5.77

V. Conclusion and~Policy Options

5~80

POLICY OPTIONS

581

5..83

References

Gteenhouse' Gas MitlgationOptions : ForestrY

Sector
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INTRODUCTION

6-1

MATERIALS AND METHODS

6.2

STEP 1,

IDENTIFICATION OF MITIGATION OPTIONS

6-2

STEP 2,

COMPARISON TO BASELINE SCENARIO

6.3

STEP 3:

PROJECTION OF LANDUSE PATTERN FOR EACH SCENARIO

6.3

STEP 4,

EsTIMATING CARBON SEQUESTRATION PER UNIT AREA

6-4

STEp

5,

ESTIMATING UNIT COSTS AND BENEFITS

6-5

STEp

6,

EsTIMATING TOTAL CARBON, TOTAL COST AND BENEFIT

AND ANNUAL INCREMENTAL CARBON STORAGE AND NET BENEFIT

6-9

STEp 7,

EVALUATING COST EFFECTlVENESS

, 6.11

RESULTS:

6.11

LAND USE PATTERNS PROJECTION

611

CARBON POOL AND SEQUESTRATION

6.11

INCREMENTAL CARBON

6.12

COST AND BENEFITS OF VARIOUS SCENARIOS

612

INCREMENTAL NET BENEFIT (IN B)

6.18

COSTEFFECTIVENESS INDICATORS (CEO

6-19

DISCUSSION :

6.24

CONCLUSION :

6.26

References

6..28

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INTRODUCTION

7.1

GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL'; (GCMs) ........................................... ,

10-2

OBJECTIVES 103

1.

COMPARING CLIMATES UNDER lXCO, FROM LOCAL WEATHER STATIONS WITH GCMs l03

2.

SELEcrION OF GCM MODELS FOR CONSTRUCTING CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS

OF DOUBLING CO, 1016

3.

COMPARING CLIMATE DATA FROM THE INTERNATlONAllNSTITUTE

OF ApPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS (lIASA) WITH OBSERVATIONS

FROM LOCAL WEATHER STATIONS..........................................................

lO~17

DEVELOPING CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS 10.20

1.
2.

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS AT THE MAIN CLIMATIC REGION:

1020

PATTERNS AND MAGNITUDES OF MEAN ANNUAL TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION

UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS:.......................................................... 10-22

UK89
GISS

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,

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UKMO ............. ,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,., ......... ,............................................. ,

UK89

3.

,........ 10-22

,.,.,_,_,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,_,_,.,.,.,.,.,., ............ ,............................................. ,.......... ,.,.,.,.10-24

GISS ............... ,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,

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10-24
10-24

SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION

UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS: 10.25

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS 10.28

References

10-29

Modeling Potential Forest Changes in Thailand

under Climate Change Scenarios
Simulated by General Circulation Models (GeMs)
INTRODUCTION 11.1
METHODOLOGY 11.2
1. FOREST CLASSIFICATION SySTEM.,.,.,.,.,

,.,

,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,

11-2

2_ FOREST AREA UNDER CURRENT CLIMATE (I X CO,)

11-2

3. FOREST AREA UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS (2 X CO,)

IH

RESULTS 114
DISCUSSION 1110
CONCLUSIONS 11.12

References

11-13

Forest Adaptation Options for Climate Change

11-14

Application of Holdridge Life Zone Classification to Forest Distribution in Thailand

11-17