Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Club
Adam Vukovic, MD
Thursday, December 12, 2013
Uh oh
Lets be honest
Learning Objectives
Included studies
A Quick Refresher
Sensitivity
DISEASE
TE
ST
TP
FP
FN
TN
Specificity
DISEASE
TE
ST
TP
FP
FN
TN
Likelihood ratio +
DISEASE
TE
ST
TP
FP
FN
TN
TE
ST
TP
FP
FN
TN
Pre-test Probability
How, and how accurately, do clinicians estimate pre-test
probability?
What can explain clinicians difficulties in estimating pretest probability?
What are consequences of inaccurate estimates of pretest probability?
Could evidence from clinical care research help us
estimate pre-test probability?
When should we use evidence to guide our estimates of
pre-test probability?
Richardson, W. S. (2002). Five uneasy pieces about pre-test probability. Journal of General
Internal Medicine. 17(11). 891-892. doi:10.1046/j.1525-1497.2002.20916.x
Holmes, J.F., Sokolove, P.E., Brant, W.E., Palchak, M.J., Vance, C.W., Owings, J.T., Kuppermann, N.
(2002). Identification of children with intra-abdominal injuries after blunt trauma. Annals of
Emergency Medicine, 39(5), 500-509.
Questions/Comments/Discussion
Dont Forget!!!