Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
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Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal
Central America
8
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
1
10
100
1000
Hypocentral distance (km)
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SRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO /DOtQHDLQFOLQDGDLQGLFDOD IURQWHUD HQWUHOD]RQDGRQGHKD\DXVHQFLDGHGDWRV \
GRQGHHVWRVVRQGHQVRV
Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal, soil types
soft
hard
rock
8
7.5
7
6.5
Mw
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD*UiILFRGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOFRQVHSDUDFLyQSRUWLSRGHVXHOR
hard
rock
1000
100
GM PGA c(cm/ss)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOVHJ~QORVGLVWLQWRVWLSRVGHVXHOR
Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal, magnitude ranges
4 - 4.9
5 - 5.9
6 - more
1000
GM PGA c(cm/ss)
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDGLVWLQWRVUDQJRVGHPDJQLWXGHV
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/DVHOHFFLyQGHOPRGHORPiVDGHFXDGRVHOOHYyDFDERFRQVLGHUDQGRVHLVFDVRVTXHVH
REWXYLHURQ PHGLDQWH FRPELQDFLRQHV HQWUH GRV GLVWLQWRV WLSRV GH HFXDFLRQHV \ WUHV
PpWRGRVGHUHJUHVLyQ
6H VHOHFFLRQDURQ HVWRV FDVRV D SDUWLU GH XQD VHULH GH SUXHEDV \ DO FRPSUREDU TXH FRQ
PRGHORV PiV FRPSOHMRV QR VH ORJUDEDQ DMXVWHV DFHSWDEOHV D SDUWLU GH ORV GDWRV
GLVSRQLEOHV GHVYLDFLRQHV PiV DOWDV TXH ODV PRVWUDGDV R LQFOXVLYH LPSRVLELOLGDG GH
REWHQHUUHVXOWDGRVFRQHOXVRGHHVWHSURJUDPDSRUHUURUHVPDWHPiWLFRVHQODHMHFXFLyQ
GHUXWLQDVGHQWURGHOPLVPRGHELGRDLQHVWDELOLGDGHVGHORVPRGHORV
/RVFDVRVTXHVHLQGLFDQHQODWDEODHVWiQGHILQLGRVSRUGRVFLIUDV
/D SULPHUD FLIUD VH UHILHUH DO WLSR GH HFXDFLyQ WRPDQGR HQ FXHQWD ORV WpUPLQRV GH OD
HFXDFLyQGHODVLJXLHQWHIRUPD
HTXLYDOHD
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HVLJXDODFHURSRUWUDWDUVHGHOSUHFHQWLO<HVOD*03*$R*036$HQFPVORJ
FRUUHVSRQGHDOORJDULWPREDVHEDEVRQORVWpUPLQRVDVHUREWHQLGRVSRUPHGLRGH
ODUHJUHVLyQ \QR HVFRQVLGHUDGRHOWpUPLQRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDOD DWHQXDFLyQLQHOiVWLFD
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HQ FDVR GH TXH VHD URFD 6 , 6 + VL HO VXHOR HV ILUPH 6 ,, 6 \ + \SDUD
VXHOREODQGR6,,,\6,96 \+
HTXLYDOHD
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E+
E\HOFRHILFLHQWH&S
HVLJXDODFHURSRUWUDWDUVHGHOSUHFHQWLO$TXtORVFRHILFLHQWHVDREWHQHUVRQEDE
6tDSDUHFHHOWpUPLQRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODDWHQXDFLyQLQHOiVWLFDDQWHSHQ~OWLPRWpUPLQR
HQODHFXDFLyQ\DSDUHFHDGHPiVE
0TXHFRUUHVSRQGHDXQWpUPLQRDGLFLRQDOSDUD
FRUUHODFLRQDUODPDJQLWXGFRQODYDULDEOHGHSHQGLHQWH</RVFRHILFLHQWHVE\EWLHQHQ
HOPLVPRVLJQLILFDGRTXHE\EHQODHFXDFLyQDQWHULRU
/DVHJXQGDFLIUDTXHGHILQHFDGDFDVRFRUUHVSRQGHDOPpWRGRGHUHJUHVLyQXWLOL]DGR
FRUUHVSRQGHDUHJUHVLyQRUGLQDULDGHXQSDVRPtQLPRVFXDGUDGRV
FRUUHVSRQGHDUHJUHVLyQRUGLQDULDGHGRVSDVRV-R\QHU %RRUH
FRUUHVSRQGHDOPpWRGRGHPi[LPDYHURVLPLOLWXG-R\QHU %RRUH
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/D WDEOD PXHVWUD ORV FRHILFLHQWHV REWHQLGRV PHGLDQWH ORV GLVWLQWRV FDVRV DVt FRPR
ODVGHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUDVRFLDGDV
6HREVHUYDTXHORVFDVRVFRQORVTXHVHREWLHQHPHQRUGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUVRQHO\HO
TXH FRUUHVSRQGHQ D ORV WLSRV GH HFXDFLRQHV \ UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH SHUR HQ DPERV
XVDQGRHOPpWRGRGHUHJUHVLyQPiVVLPSOHHORUGLQDULRGHPtQLPRVFXDGUDGRV
(QODWDEODVHREVHUYDTXHORVYDORUHVREWHQLGRVSDUDEVRQGLVWLQWRVSDUDWRGDVODV
VROXFLRQHV 6LQ HPEDUJR FXDQGR VH XWLOL]D HO WLSR GH HFXDFLyQ VH REWLHQHQ YDORUHV
VHPHMDQWHVSDUDORVFDVRVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV(OFRHILFLHQWHESRUVXSDUWHWLHQHXQYDORU
HQWRUQRDTXHUHVXOWDVHUEDVWDQWHHVWDEOHORTXHSDUHFHLQGLFDUTXHWRGRVORVFDVRV
FRQVLGHUDGRVUHVXHOYHQHQIRUPDVHPHMDQWHHOFRHILFLHQWHGHHVFDODGHPDJQLWXG
(OFRHILFLHQWHESRUVXSDUWHTXHHVWiUHODFLRQDGRFRQ0\TXHVRODPHQWHDSDUHFHHQ
ORVFDVRV\PXHVWUDXQYDORUFHUFDQRDFHURHVGHFLUTXHODSDUWLFLSDFLyQGH0
WLHQHSRFDLPSRUWDQFLDGHQWURGHODHFXDFLyQ
(OWpUPLQRUHIHUHQWHDODDWHQXDFLyQHOiVWLFDDGTXLHUHXQYDORUFHUFDQRDHQWRGRV
ORVFDVRVORTXHSDUHFH LQGLFDUTXHVHHVWiHQSUHVHQFLDGHXQDSURSDJDFLyQGHRQGDV
WLSRHVIpULFD\TXHHVVHPHMDQWHSDUDWRGDVODVVROXFLRQHV
/RVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHGHWHUPLQDQODDPSOLILFDFLyQSRUSUHVHQFLDGHVXHORILUPH\EODQGR
UHVSHFWRDODURFDWDPELpQVRQVHPHMDQWHVHQWRGRVORVFDVRVFRQVLGHUDGRV\WLHQHQXQ
YDORUSURPHGLRGHSDUDVXHOREODQGR\SDUDVXHORILUPHORTXH
VLJQLILFD TXH HVWRV WLSRV GH VXHOR DPSOLILFDQ UHVSHFWR D OD URFD XQ \ XQ
UHVSHFWLYDPHQWHSDUD*03*$
7DEOD&RHILFLHQWHVREWHQLGRVGHDFXHUGRFRQORVFDVRVFRQVLGHUDGRVSDUD*03*$VLVPRV
FRUWLFDOHV(QFHOHVWHVHPDUFDHOFDVRHVFRJLGR
Caso 1: 3 4
b5
b6
-0.00018 3.26359
Caso 2: 2 4
b5
b6
0.1646
0.11278
Caso 3: 3 2
b1
b2
-0.22828 0.65261
b3
-0.01377
b4
-1.09463
b1
0.18508
b2
0.50472
b3
-1.11803
b4
3.59823
b1
1.45279
b2
0.18577
b3
0.02808
b4
-1.37805
b5
b6
0.00147
5.63257
Caso 4: 2 2
b1
0.38662
b2
0.48772
b3
-1.15454
b4
-3.57197
b1
b2
-0.18751 0.55613
b3
-0.0058
b4
-0.92783
b1
0.12602
b3
-1.03591
b4
4.22442
b5
b6
0.13484
0.10846
Caso 5: 3 1
b5
b6
-0.00075 2.30174
Caso 6: 2 1
b5
b6
0.22075
0.11742
b2
0.49081
b7
b8
0.16439 0.1123
SD
0.42242928
SD
0.42157614
b7
b8
0.14036 0.11862
SD
0.46326974
SD
0.45912871
b7
0.21954
b8
0.11735
SD
0.4086
SD
0.4078
1RWDEDEVRQORVFRHILFLHQWHVGHWHUPLQDGRVSRUODUHJUHVLyQ\6'HVODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDU
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
(QODVILJXUDVD\EVHFRPSDUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVPRVWUDGRVHQODWDEODSDUD
0Z \UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH\SDUDORVGLVWLQWRVFDVRVFRQVLGHUDGRV6HREVHUYDTXH
ODVFXUYDVVRQPX\VHPHMDQWHVDSDUWLUGHORVNPVLHQGRQRWRULDODGLIHUHQFLDSDUD
GLVWDQFLDVPiVFRUWDVSHURHVWRHVGHHVSHUDUVHHQHOFDPSRFHUFDQR\DTXHGHELGRDOD
DXVHQFLD GH GDWRV SXQWRV QHJURV HQ ODV PLVPDV ILJXUDV ORV PpWRGRV GH UHJUHVLyQ
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QHJURVDSDUWLUGHORVNP\FRQEDVHHQORVFXDOHVVHREWLHQHQORVUHVXOWDGRV
(QYLVWDGHTXHORVFDVRV\VRQUHSUHVHQWDGRVSRUODPHQRUGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUSHUR
FRUUHVSRQGHQ D WLSRV GH HFXDFLRQHV GLVWLQWDV VH FRPSDUDQ HQ OD ILJXUD /D OtQHD
YHUWLFDOHQHVWDILJXUDUHSUHVHQWDHOOtPLWHGHGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVFRQVLGHUDGDVHQHO
SUHVHQWHHVWXGLR
2EVpUYHVH HQ HVD PLVPD ILJXUD TXH HQWUH ORV \ NP DPERV FDVRV VRQ
SUiFWLFDPHQWH LGpQWLFRV SDUD ODV WUHV PDJQLWXGHV UHSUHVHQWDGDV (VWR TXLHUH GHFLU TXH
SDUDHVWHUDQJRGHGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVHOWpUPLQRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODDWHQXDFLyQ
DQDHOiVWLFDTXHHVWiFRQWHQLGRHQHOFDVRSHURQRHQHOQRWLHQHUHOHYDQFLDDOJXQD
SDUDORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRV
7RPDQGRHQFXHQWDORDQWHULRU\HOKHFKRGHTXHHOFDVRVHYXHOYHLQHVWDEOHFXDQGRVH
WUDEDMD FRQ RWURV SHULRGRV SDUD HVWLPDU DOJXQRV *0 36$ VH SURGXFHQ HUURUHV
PDWHPiWLFRVLQWHUQRVDVtFRPRODLPSRVLELOLGDGGHREWHQHUHOWpUPLQRTXHUHSUHVHQWDOD
GLVWDQFLD ILFWLFLD HQ HO FDPSR FHUFDQR VH GHFLGLy FRQVLGHUDU HO FDVR FRPR HO PiV
FRQYHQLHQWHSDUDHOUHVWRGHOHVWXGLRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHV
/DILJXUDUHSUHVHQWDODFRPSDUDFLyQHQWUHODVUHJUHVLRQHVREWHQLGDVDSDUWLUGHGRV
SURJUDPDV HO FRQVLGHUDGR DFWXDOPHQWH - 'RXJODV FRPXQLFDFLyQ SHUVRQDO HQ
0DW/DE \ HOSDTXHWHFRPHUFLDO6LJPD3ORW6\VWDWVRIWZDUH ,QF9 /RV JUiILFRV
FRUUHVSRQGHQ DO FDVR \ VH REVHUYD TXH ORV UHVXOWDGRV VRQ SUiFWLFDPHQWH LGpQWLFRV
VREUHWRGRSDUDGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVVXSHULRUHVDNP
Comparison for crustal, rock, Mw = 6
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
1000
100
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Case 5
Case 6
10
1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVVHLVFDVRVFRQVLGHUDGRVSDUDPDJQLWXG0Z \FRQGLFLyQGHURFD/RV
URPERVQHJURVUHSUHVHQWDQODVREVHUYDFLRQHV
E
Case 5
Case 6
Case 1
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
10000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
D
1000
100
10
1
0.1
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
1000
Case 5
100
Case 6
Case 1
10
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Comparison for crustal, rock
10000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
1000
100
Case 6 M6
Case 5 M6
Case 6 M5
10
Case 5 M5
Case 6 M7
Case 5 M7
1
0.1
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVFDVRV\SDUDWUHVPDJQLWXGHVGLVWLQWDV\/DOtQHDYHUWLFDO
UHSUHVHQWD HO OtPLWH VXSHULRU GH GLVWDQFLDV KLSRFHQWUDOHV FRQVLGHUDGDV HQ HO SUHVHQWH HVWXGLR TXH
FRUUHVSRQGHDNP
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
SigmaPlot M6
Douglas M5
Douglas M7
SigmaPlot M5
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
1000
100
10
1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHODVUHJUHVLRQHVREWHQLGDVDSDUWLUGHGRVSURJUDPDVGLVWLQWRV-'RXJODV
FRPXQLFDFLyQSHUVRQDO\6LJPD3ORW
/DVILJXUDVDEF\GPXHVWUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGH
VXHOR 6 , 6 ,, \ 6 ,,, SDUD 0Z \ VH PXHVWUDQ ORV YDORUHV REVHUYDGRV SXQWRV
QHJURVWUDQVIRUPDGRVDODSOLFDUORVFRHILFLHQWHVGHVXHORUHVXOWDQWHVDODVREVHUYDFLRQHV
HQVXHORVGLVWLQWRVDOFDVRFRQVLGHUDGR6HPXHVWUDQDGHPiVODVFXUYDVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV
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GHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUSXHGDVHUFRQVLGHUDGDDOWDGHDFXHUGRFRQRWURVDXWRUHV-'RXJODV
+%XQJXPFRPXQLFDFLyQSHUVRQDO
/RVUHVLGXRVUHSUHVHQWDGRVHQODVILJXUDVD\EVHREWXYLHURQGHDFXHUGRFRQOD
UHODFLyQ
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'HDFXHUGRFRQHVWDHFXDFLyQHOYDORULGHDOVHDOFDQ]DFXDQGRHOUHVLGXR\ 6LQ
HPEDUJR HV GH HVSHUDUVH TXH ORV YDORUHV TXH SUHGLFHQ ODV HFXDFLRQHV VHDQ PD\RUHV R
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DODXPHQWDUODPDJQLWXGUHSUHVHQWDGRSRUXQDOtQHDUHFWDSHURFRQXQDSHQGLHQWHPHQRU
TXHODDQWHULRUILJXUDE(QHVWHFDVRORVUHVLGXRVDGTXLHUHQXQYDORULJXDODFHUR
SDUDXQDPDJQLWXG0Z
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HVWHHVWXGLRUHVSHFWRDRWURVDXWRUHV6HREVHUYDTXHHQHOFDPSRFHUFDQRKDVWDORV
NPGHGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOODHFXDFLyQSURSXHVWDHVFHUFDQDDOSURPHGLRGHODVGHPiV
PRVWUDGDV 6LQ HPEDUJR SDUD YDORUHV PD\RUHV ORV RWURV PRGHORV VXSHUDQ HO REWHQLGR
FRQ GDWRV GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO VREUHWRGR SRUTXH HVWH WLHQH XQD FDtGD SUiFWLFDPHQWH
OLQHDO HQWUH ORV \ NP (VWR VH SXHGH GHEHU HQ JUDQ PHGLGD D ORV PpWRGRV GH
UHJUHVLyQHPSOHDGRV\DTXHHQHVWHHVWXGLRHOPpWRGRGHPtQLPRVFXDGUDGRVHVHOTXH
PHMRU VH DGDSWy D ORV GDWRV GLVSRQLEOHV \ RWURV DXWRUHV KDQ XWLOL]DGR HO GH Pi[LPD
YHURVLPLOLWXG=KDRHWDOD\6SXGLFKHWDODVtFRPRHOPpWRGRGH%D\HV
'DKOHHWDO6FKPLGWHWDOSDUD%D\HVDOXWLOL]DUFRQRFLPLHQWRFLHQWtILFR
SUHYLR HO YDORU GH FDGD FRHILFLHQWH VH UHVWULQJH D UDQJRV SUHYLDPHQWH HVWXGLDGRV \ VH
ORJUDSRUHMHPSORTXHORVFRHILFLHQWHVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDVXHORILUPHREODQGRVLHPSUH
DPSOLILTXHQUHVSHFWRDODURFD
(VSHFLDO DWHQFLyQ PHUHFH OD FRPSDUDFLyQ FRQ ORV PRGHORVSURSXHVWRVSRU 'DKOH HW DO
\D TXH WDPELpQ VH EDVDQ HQ GDWRV TXH SURYLHQHQ GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO /RV
UHVXOWDGRV PXHVWUDQ GLIHUHQFLDV SUiFWLFDPHQWH HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH GLVWDQFLDV 6LQ
HPEDUJR GHEH DFODUDUVH TXHSDUD HOSUHVHQWH HVWXGLR IXHURQ HOLPLQDGRV SUiFWLFDPHQWH
WRGRV ORV UHJLVWURV SURYHQLHQWHV GH LQVWUXPHQWRV DQDOyJLFRV TXH IXHURQ ORV
SUHGRPLQDQWHVHQHOHVWXGLRGH$GHPiVFRPRVHGLMRORVPpWRGRVGHLQYHUVLyQVH
EDVDQ HQ SULQFLSLRV GLVWLQWRV SRU OR TXH ORV UHVXOWDGRV QR VRQ GLUHFWDPHQWH
FRPSDUDEOHVDSHVDUGHTXHORVGDWRVSURYHQJDQGHXQPLVPRHQWRUQRVtVPLFR
10
100
1000
10000
F
10
100
1000
D
100
100
10
1000
1000
10
soft - SD
soft
soft + SD
rock - SD
rock + SD
rock
10
100
1000
G
10
100
1000
E
100
1000
100
Hypocentral distance (km)
10
10
1000
hard
soft
rock
hard - SD
hard
hard + SD
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
E
Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal
Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal
2.5
2.5
1.5
1.5
0.5
0.5
residuals
residuals
D
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
0
-0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1
-1.5
-1.5
-2
-2
y = -0.2368Ln(x) + 0.8923
y = -0.1276x + 0.6376
-2.5
-2.5
1
10
100
1000
magnitude
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
100
this study
Schmidt et al, 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
Spudich 1999
10
1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQGHODVUHODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVHQHVWHHVWXGLRFRQODVSURSXHVWDVSRU
RWURVDXWRUHVSDUDGDWRVGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO0Z \HQFRQGLFLyQGHURFD
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
(Q HVWH DSDUWDGR VHSUHVHQWDQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRVSDUD OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD GH OD
SVHXGRDFHOHUDFLyQ*036$SDUDSHULRGRVVHOHFFLRQDGRV
5HVSHFWRDOD*036$+]VHREVHUYDHQODILJXUDDORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUD
URFD \0Z FRQVXUHVSHFWLYDGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDU\HQODILJXUDEVHPXHVWUDQ
ODVWUHVFXUYDVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQORVWUHVWLSRVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGRV(QHVWHFDVRHVPiV
QRWRULDODGLIHUHQFLDFLyQHQWUHVXHOR6,,,EODQGRUHVSHFWRD6,URFD\DTXH6,,\6,
DSDUHFHQ FRPRFXUYDVPiVFHUFDQDV(VWDVLWXDFLyQHVPiVHYLGHQWHTXH HQHOFDVRGH
*03*$GRQGHODVWUHVFXUYDVVRQPiVHTXLGLVWDQWHVILJXUDGVLWXDFLyQHVSHUDEOH
\DTXHSDUD+]36$ODDPSOLILFDFLyQSRUSUHVHQFLDGHVXHORVEODQGRVVXHOHVHUPD\RU
TXHSDUDIUHFXHQFLDVDOWDVUHSUHVHQWDGDVSRUHO3*$
&RQVLGHUDQGR ORV UHVLGXRV QR VH REVHUYD XQ VHVJR R WHQGHQFLD HQ VX GLVWULEXFLyQ
UHVSHFWR D OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO R D OD PDJQLWXG \D TXH OD OtQHD GH PHMRU DMXVWH
FRLQFLGH FRQ OD OtQHD GH UHVLGXR LJXDO D FHUR 6H REWLHQHQ DGHPiV UHVLGXRV Pi[LPRV
DOUHGHGRUGH\TXHVRQPHQRUHVTXHSDUDHOFDVRGH*03*$ILJXUDVD\
E
/D ILJXUD FRPSDUD ODV HFXDFLRQHV REWHQLGDV SRU GLVWLQWRV DXWRUHV SDUD *0 36$
UHVSHFWRDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO(VHYLGHQWHTXHHOPRGHORSURSXHVWRHQHVWHHVWXGLR
VH PDQWLHQH SRU GHEDMR GH ORV GHPiV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH GLVWDQFLDV (Q YDULRV GH ORV
SURSXHVWRVSRURWURVDXWRUHVHVXWLOL]DGDODGLVWDQFLDDOD]RQDGHUXSWXUDRODSURSXHVWD
SRU-R\QHU %RRUH\HQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRODKLSRFHQWUDOTXHFRPR\DVHGLMR
HVPD\RUSRUORTXHHVWHIDFWRUSXHGHMXVWLILFDUHQSDUWHORVUHVXOWDGRVREVHUYDGRV
Crustal, soils, Mw = 6, case 6
D Crustal, rock, Mw = 6, case 6, PSA 1hz
E
1000
1000
100
100
rock
rock + SD
10
rock - SD
10
1
0.1
1
1
10
100
1000
1
10
100
1000
Hypocentral distance (km)
Hypocentral distance (km)
)LJXUD 5HODFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ REWHQLGDV SDUD *0 36$ +] SDUD 0Z 6H PXHVWUDQ ORV
UHVXOWDGRV SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH URFD FRQ GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU OtQHDV SXQWHDGDV \ ODV REVHUYDFLRQHV
SXQWRVQHJURVD\ODVUHODFLRQHVSDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHORE
rock
hard
soft
E
residuals
D
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
1
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
10
100
1000
magnitude
)LJXUD5HVLGXRVSDUD*036$HQIXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOD\HQIXQFLyQGHOD
PDJQLWXGE
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
residuals
100
this study
Schmidt et al, 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
Spudich 1999
10
1
1
10
100
1000
/RVJUiILFRVGHODILJXUDPXHVWUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUDFDVRVGLVWLQWRV\
SDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGDV+RUL]RQWDOPHQWHVHFDPELDODGLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDOGHD\DNP\YHUWLFDOPHQWHVHDXPHQWDODPDJQLWXG0ZGHD
\D
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
6HREVHUYDQSULQFLSDOPHQWHODVVLJXLHQWHVVLWXDFLRQHV
3DUDXQDPLVPDPDJQLWXGXQDPLVPDOtQHDKRUL]RQWDOGHILJXUDVODVRUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVGLVPLQX\HQSRUTXHDXPHQWDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO
+DVWD V GH SHULRGR QR HV PX\ QRWRULD OD GLIHUHQFLD HQWUH ODV RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVSDUDORVGLVWLQWRVWLSRVGHVXHOR6LQHPEDUJRDSDUWLUGHHVWHYDORU
ODV FXUYDV VH VHSDUDQ WRPDQGR YDORUHV PiV DOWRV SDUD VXHORV 6 ,,, (VWH
FRPSRUWDPLHQWR HV GH HVSHUDUVH \D TXH ORV SHULRGRV PiV ODUJRV R IUHFXHQFLDV
EDMDVVHYHQPiVDPSOLILFDGRVHQVXHORVEODQGRV
6HREVHUYDTXHFRQIRUPHDXPHQWDODPDJQLWXGYHU~OWLPDOtQHDGHILJXUDVTXH
FRUUHVSRQGH D 0Z ORV HVSHFWURV DGTXLHUHQ XQD IRUPD PiV SODQD FRQ
QLYHOHVGH*036$PiVVHPHMDQWHVSDUDWRGRHOUDQJRGHSHULRGRVFRQVLGHUDGR
ORTXHHVFRLQFLGHQWHFRQHOKHFKRGHTXHVLVPRVGHPDJQLWXGHVDOWDVWLHQHQXQ
FRQWHQLGRIUHFXHQFLDOPiVDPSOLR(VWRVHHYLGHQFLDFODUDPHQWHDOFRPSDUDUOD
SULPHUDILJXUDGHODSULPHUDFROXPQD0Z FRQODWHUFHUDILJXUDGHODPLVPD
FROXPQD0Z
/D WHUFHUD ILOD 0Z PXHVWUD TXH DO DXPHQWDU OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO
DXPHQWDQRWRULDPHQWHODGLIHUHQFLDGHODVFXUYDV6,,VXHORILUPH\6,,,VXHOR
EODQGRUHVSHFWRDOD6,DSDUWLUGHV\HVWRVXFHGHSUHFLVDPHQWHSRUTXHODV
RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV SDUD 6 , URFD VRQ VHPHMDQWHV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH
SHULRGRVHVSHFWURPX\SODQR\DGHPiVHVHQHOUDQJRHQWUH\VGRQGH
ORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUD6,,\6,,,VRQPD\RUHV
(OSHULRGRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUDURFD6,QRFDPELD
PXFKR QL HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO QL HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD PDJQLWXG
6LQ HPEDUJR HVWH SHULRGR Vt DXPHQWD FRQIRUPH VH LQFUHPHQWD OD PDJQLWXG HQ
IXQFLyQGHOWLSRGHVXHORSULQFLSDOPHQWHSDUDVXHOREODQGR6,,,
&RQVLGHUDQGR ORV WLSRV GH VXHOR HO UDQJR HQ HO TXH VH REVHUYDQ PD\RUHV
GLIHUHQFLDV HQWUH ODV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV YD GH V D V \ HV HYLGHQWH
SULQFLSDOPHQWHSDUDGLVWDQFLDVOHMDQDV\PDJQLWXGHVDOWDV
period (s)
0.1
period (s)
hard
soft
period (s)
soft
soft
10
10
10
period (s)
period (s)
rock
0.1
period (s)
hard
0.1
hard
0.1
hard
rock
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
rock
soft
soft
soft
10
10
10
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.1
period (s)
hard
period (s)
rock
0.1
period (s)
hard
0.1
hard
rock
rock
soft
10
10
10
soft
soft
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
0.1
hard
rock
rock
0.1
hard
rock
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/D WDEOD PXHVWUD ORV UHVXOWDGRV GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV REWHQLGRV GH *0 36$ FRPR
YDULDEOH GHSHQGLHQWH SDUD SHULRGRV DVt FRPR OD GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU \ ODV ILJXUDV
DEFG\HPXHVWUDQODYDULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVHQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGR
(QODDVHREVHUYDTXHEDXPHQWDOLJHUDPHQWHKDVWDOOHJDUDXQPi[LPRHQV\
OXHJRGLVPLQX\H(OUDQJRGHYDULDFLyQGHHVWHFRHILFLHQWHYDGHD3DUDHVWH
FRHILFLHQWH TXH GHILQH OD IRUPD JHQHUDO GHO HVSHFWUR GH UHVSXHVWD \D TXH HV XQ
FRHILFLHQWH GH HVFDOD VH REVHUYD XQ FRPSRUWDPLHQWR GH DFXHUGR FRQ OR HVSHUDGR
REVHUYiQGRVHXQPi[LPRHQV
(QODILJXUDEVHREVHUYDXQDXPHQWRGHEFRHILFLHQWHTXHHVFDODODPDJQLWXGGH
DHQXQUDQJRGHSHULRGRVGHVDV(VWRUHSUHVHQWDTXHODPDJQLWXGWLHQH
XQD LQIOXHQFLD PD\RU HQ SHULRGRV ODUJRV D SDUWLU GH V OR FXDO HV WDPELpQ XQ
FRPSRUWDPLHQWRHVSHUDGR\REVHUYDGRSRUDXWRUHVFRPR*DUFtDHWDO\$WNLQVRQ
%RRUH
(Q OD F VH REVHUYD TXH QR H[LVWH XQD WHQGHQFLD GHILQLGD SDUD OD YDULDFLyQ GH E
H[SDQVLyQJHRPpWULFDHQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGRREWHQLpQGRVHXQPi[LPRHQVGH
\XQPtQLPRHQVGHVLHQGRHVWHUDQJRGHYDULDFLyQSHTXHxRSRUORTXH
SXHGH VHU FRQVLGHUDGR XQ FRHILFLHQWH EDVWDQWH HVWDEOH (Q HVWH FDVR WRGRV ORV YDORUHV
REWHQLGRVHVWiQHQWRUQRDSRUORTXHVHDVXPHXQDSURSDJDFLyQGHRQGDVHVIpULFD
7DSLD
/D YDULDFLyQ GH E GLVWDQFLD ILFWLFLD LQWURGXFLGD QR VLJXH XQD WHQGHQFLD SDUWLFXODU
ILJXUDGPRVWUDQGRXQUDQJRGHYDORUHVGHD
(QODILJXUDHVHPXHVWUDODYDULDFLyQGHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUGRQGHVHREVHUYD
XQYDORUHVWDEOHHQWUHV\VFHUFDQRDXQLQFUHPHQWRHQWUHV\VGH
D\QXHYDPHQWHVHHVWDELOL]DDSDUWLUGHVHQ(VWHLQFUHPHQWRHQIXQFLyQ
GHOSHULRGRSXHGHHVWDUDVRFLDGRDORVSURFHVRVGHUHJLVWUR\SURFHVDGRGHODVHxDO\D
TXHD~QFXDQGRVHKDQ DSOLFDGRORVILOWURVVHxDODGRVORVSHULRGRVODUJRVSXHGHQ HVWDU
PiVLQIOXHQFLDGRVSRUHVWRVSURFHVRV
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
7DEOD9DULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEDE\GHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUSDUDSHULRGRVFRQVLGHUDGRV
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDHYHQWRVFRUWLFDOHV
3HULRG
IUHF
E
E
E
E
E
E
6'
&RHIEYVSHULRG
E
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
C2
0.6
C1
D
1
0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
-3
-3.5
-4
0.01
F
-0.98
-1
-1.02
-1.04
-1.06
-1.08
-1.1
-1.12
-1.14
-1.16
0.01
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0
0.01
10
0.1
period
10
period
G
10
9
8
7
C4
C3
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.1
0
0.01
10
0.1
period
10
period
SD vs. period
6'YVSHULRG
H
0.6
0.5
SD
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.01
0.1
10
period
)LJXUD9DULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEEE\E\GHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDU6'VHJ~QODWDEOD
HQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGRSDUDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVFRQGDWRVGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO
Amplification
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
5HVSHFWRDORVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQODDPSOLILFDFLyQGHOVXHORE\EODILJXUD
DPXHVWUDODYDULDFLyQGHDPERVHQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGR(VWRVVHPDQWLHQHQPiVR
PHQRVHVWDEOHV\VHPHMDQWHVHQWUHV\VSHURDSDUWLUGHDOOtHOFRHILFLHQWHE
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDVXHOREODQGRVXIUHXQJUDQLQFUHPHQWRKDVWDOOHJDUDXQYDORUGH
E HQ V (O FRHILFLHQWH E FRUUHVSRQGLHQWH D VXHOR ILUPH VXIUH WDPELpQ XQ
LQFUHPHQWR SHUR PXFKR PHQRU OOHJDQGR D XQ Pi[LPR GH E HQ V 6LQ
HPEDUJRDSDUWLUGHHVWHSHULRGRH[LVWHXQIDFWRUGHHQWUHE\E
/DILJXUDEPXHVWUDORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQREWHQLGRVSRU=KDRHWDOE
SDUD -DSyQ FRQ EDVH HQ ORV SURPHGLRV +9 (V GH GHVWDFDU TXH VH REVHUYDQ
FRPSRUWDPLHQWRVVHPHMDQWHVSDUDDPEDV]RQDVVLVHFRPSDUDFRQODFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHD
$PpULFD&HQWUDOILJXUDDHQFXDQWRDODVIRUPDVGHODVFXUYDVSHURQRDVtDOYDORU
GHORVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHVRQPD\RUHVSDUDOD]RQDGHHVWXGLR
(OJUDGRGHPHWHRUL]DFLyQGHORVVXHORVHQ$PpULFD&HQWUDOHVHVSHUDEOHTXHVHDPD\RU
DO GH -DSyQ SRU DJHQWHV FRPR HO FOLPD $GHPiV JHROyJLFDPHQWH KDEODQGR -DSyQ HV
PiVDQWLJXRTXH$PpULFD&HQWUDOSRUORTXHHVGHVXSRQHUXQDPD\RUSUHVHQFLDGHURFD
DIORUDQWH R ELHQ PDWHULDOHV PiV FRQVROLGDGRV 3RU RWUR ODGR VH HVWiQ FRPSDUDQGR
IDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQREWHQLGRVSRUPpWRGRVGLVWLQWRV6LQHPEDUJRSDUD HOUDQJR
GHPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDXQSHULRGRFHUFDQRDVODUD]yQHQWUH
ORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQHQWUHVXHOREODQGR\ILUPHHVFHUFDQDDVHPHMDQWHWDQWR
SDUD $PpULFD &HQWUDO FRPR SDUD -DSyQ R VHD OD GLIHUHQFLD UHODWLYD HQWUH HOORV HV OD
PLVPDSDUDDPEDVUHJLRQHVHQOD]RQDGHSHULRGRVGHPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQ
(O KHFKR GH TXH OD Pi[LPD DPSOLILFDFLyQ REWHQLGD HQ HVWH HVWXGLR VHD PD\RU TXH OD
SURSXHVWDSDUD-DSyQSXHGHHVWDUUHODFLRQDGRWDPELpQDTXHDTXtIXHURQDJUXSDGRVORV
WLSRV GH VXHOR 6 ,,, \ 6 ,9 FRPR XQD VROD FDWHJRUtD GHQRPLQDGD VXHOR EODQGR
PLHQWUDVTXHHQORVJUiILFRVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVD-DSyQVHREVHUYDTXHODDPSOLILFDFLyQ
Pi[LPDSDUDVXHOR6,9HVPD\RUTXHSDUD6,,,
Soil coefficients, crustal
hard
soft
4
D
3.5
E
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.01
0.1
1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD &RPSDUDFLyQ GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV GH VXHOR E \ E REWHQLGRV HQ HVWH HVWXGLR D \ ORV
HVWLPDGRVSDUD-DSyQVHJ~Q=KDRHWDOEREWHQLGRVFRQEDVHHQORVSURPHGLRVGH+9E
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/DILJXUDFRPSDUDORVHVSHFWURVREWHQLGRVHQHVWHHVWXGLRSDUD0Z \GLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDOGHNPSDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR6,6,,\6,,,'HELGRDTXH
HQFDVRVFRPR'DKOHHWDO\6FKPLGWHWDOVHUHSRUWDQYDORUHVGH3*$\
36$Pi[LPRVVHVLJXLyHOSURFHGLPLHQWRSURSXHVWRSRU%H\HU %RPPHUSDUD
WUDQVIRUPDUHVRVYDORUHVD*03*$\*036$UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH
(QODILJXUDFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDURFDDHVHYLGHQWHTXHODVRUGHQDGDVREWHQLGDVFRQ
HOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVRQLQIHULRUHVDODVREWHQLGDVSRURWURVDXWRUHVHQFDVLWRGRHOUDQJR
GH SHULRGRV H[FHSWR GH D V GRQGH VRQ PX\ VHPHMDQWHV D ODV SURSXHVWDV SRU
'DKOH HW DO \ SRU 6FKPLGW HW DO 'HEH UHFRUGDUVH TXH ORV UHJLVWURV
REWHQLGRVHQFRQGLFLyQGHURFDVRQHVFDVRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLR
/RV HVSHFWURV VH DFHUFDQ XQ SRFR PiV SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR ILUPH E SHUR
VLHPSUHORVREWHQLGRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVRQLQIHULRUHV1RVHFRPSDUyFRQ'DKOHHW
DOGHELGRDTXHHVWDFRQGLFLyQGHVXHORQRIXHFRQVLGHUDGDH[SOtFLWDPHQWHSDUD
VXHVWXGLR
/DILJXUDFPXHVWUDODFRPSDUDFLyQGHORVHVSHFWURVSDUDVXHOREODQGR6,,,\VH
REVHUYDXQDVHPHMDQ]DFRQVLGHUDEOHHQWUHODVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVGHVGHDVGH
SHULRGR(VWDVHPHMDQ]DGH*036$HVWiDVRFLDGDDORVDOWRVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQ
REWHQLGRV HQ HO SUHVHQWH HVWXGLR SDUD OD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR 6 ,,, HQ HVH UDQJR GH
SHULRGRVWDO\FRPRVHGLVFXWLyDQWHULRUPHQWH
)LQDOPHQWH HQ OD ILJXUD SXHGH DSUHFLDUVH OD FRPSDUDFLyQ GH ORV HVSHFWURV
REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV HFXDFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SODQWHDGDV SDUD VLVPRV GH RULJHQ
FRUWLFDO FRQ ORV HVSHFWURV GH GLVHxR SURSXHVWRV SRU HO &yGLJR 6tVPLFR GH &RVWD 5LFD
&),$SDUDDxRVGHSHULRGRGHUHWRUQRFX\DVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVIXHURQ
WUDQVIRUPDGDVGHDFHOHUDFLyQSLFRHIHFWLYDD3*$VHJ~Q/DSRUWH
(QODILJXUDDVHREVHUYDTXHHOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSRUODQRUPDFLWDGDFXEUHWRGDV
ODVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVREWHQLGDVSDUDXQVLVPRGHRULJHQFRUWLFDOGHPDJQLWXG0Z
\XQDGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO'GHNPSDUDHPSOD]DPLHQWRVGHURFDHQ6DQ-RVp
&RVWD 5LFD SRU OR TXH SXHGH DILUPDUVH TXH VLVPRV GH PDJQLWXGHV \ GLVWDQFLDV
KLSRFHQWUDOHVLQIHULRUHVWDPELpQHVWDUiQFXELHUWRVSRUGLFKDQRUPD
3RUPHGLRGHODILJXUDEVHFRPSDUD HOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSDUD&RVWD5LFDSRUOD
QRUPD SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR ILUPH HQ 6DQ -RVp FRQ HO FRUUHVSRQGLHQWH D XQ VLVPR
FRUWLFDOGHODVPLVPDVFDUDFWHUtVWLFDVTXHHODQWHULRU0Z \' NP(QHVWHFDVR
VHREVHUYDXQDJUDQVLPLOLWXGHQWUHDPERVKDVWDXQSHULRGRGHVDSDUWLUGHOFXDOOD
QRUPD VH YXHOYH FRQVHUYDGRUD GHELGR D TXH HO GHFDLPLHQWR REVHUYDGR HQ HO HVSHFWUR
REWHQLGRFRQODVHFXDFLRQHVSURSXHVWDVHVPiVIXHUWH
/DILJXUDFFRPSDUDHOHVSHFWURGHODQRUPDGH&RVWD5LFDSDUDFRQGLFLyQGHVXHOR
EODQGR FRQ GRV HVSHFWURV REWHQLGRV FRQ ODV HFXDFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SURSXHVWDV TXH
QXHYDPHQWH PXHVWUDQ XQ GHFDLPLHQWR PiV IXHUWH UHVSHFWR DO HVSHFWUR GHO FyGLJR 6H
SXHGHFRQFOXLUHQWRQFHVTXHSDUDHVWHFDVRHOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSRUODQRUPDVHXELFD
HQWUHGRVSRVLEOHVVLVPRVXQRGH0Z \' NPSRUHQFLPD\RWURGH0Z \
' NPTXHTXHGDSRUGHEDMRGHODQRUPDDPERVGHRULJHQFRUWLFDO\HVWLPDGRVSDUD
VXHOREODQGR
D
Schmidt 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
1000
GM PSA (cm/s2)
100
10
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
E
Schmidt 1997
Zhao 2006
1000
GM PSA (cm/s2)
100
10
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
F
Schmidt 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
1000
100
GM PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
10
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH ORV HVSHFWURV HVWLPDGRV VHJ~Q GLVWLQWRV PRGHORV D SDUD URFD 6, E
SDUD VXHOR ILUPH 6 ,, \ F SDUD VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,, FRQ ODV SURSXHVWDV SRU ORV DXWRUHV 'DKOH HW DO
6FKPLGWHWDO\=KDRHWDOD
D
this study
CSCR 2002
1000
3*$
GM PSA
100
10
1
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
E
this study
CSCR 2002
10000
1000
GM PSA
3*$
100
10
1
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
F
this study M7 D 10
CSCR 2002
10000
1000
3*$
GM PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
1
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
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6
D
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GLVWULEXFLyQGHGDWRVQRHVWDQGHQVDFRPRHQHOFDVRGHVLVPRVSRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO
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Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,
subduction
Costa Rica
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
10
100
1000
Hypocentral distance (km)
)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDVLVPRVJHQHUDGRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ&RVWD
5LFD
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GLVWULEX\HQHQIRUPDPiVXQLIRUPHSDUDVXHORVILUPH\EODQGR
hard
rock
7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
Mw
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
10
100
1000
)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDVLVPRVJHQHUDGRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVHJ~QHO
WLSRGHVXHORGDWRVSDUD&RVWD5LFD
GM PGA c(cm/ss)
/DV*03*$VHGLVWULEX\HQUHVSHFWRDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOWDO\FRPRORPXHVWUDQ
ODV ILJXUDV \ 6HJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR VH REVHUYDQ GDWRV GLVWULEXLGRV FDVL
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,
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Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,
subduction
soft
hard
rock
1000
100
10
1
0.1
10
100
1000
Hypocentral distance (km)
)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOGDWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVHSDUDGRVVHJ~Q
WLSRGHVXHOR&RVWD5LFD
5 - 5.9
6 - more
1000
100
GM PGA c(cm/ss)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
10
0.1
10
100
1000
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UDQJRVGHPDJQLWXGHV&RVWD5LFD
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Caso 1: 3 2
b1
3.23497
b2
0.63887
b3
-0.02439
b4
-2.85607
b1
0.67366
b2
0.38804
b3
-0.88246
b4
12.35314
b1
-1.19277
b2
1.02348
b3
-0.04511
b4
-0.96722
b1
1.0597
b2
0.54079
b3
-1.57902
b4
26.73778
b5
b6
0.36179
0.10591
Caso 5: 13 1
SD
0.352
b1
0.49807
b2
0.5371
b3
-1.30061
b4
0.35955
b5
0.11626
SD
0.352
b6
38.28745
b7
0.14435
b8
-0.02726
b6
-0.01721
b6
13.53483
SD
0.413
SD
0.418
b7
0.35693
b8
0.1152
SD
0.351
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
b5
0.00744
Caso 2: 2 2
b5
0.14972
Caso 3: 3 1
b5
-0.00233
Caso 4: 2 1
100
Case 2
Case 4
Caso 5
10
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVFDVRV\SDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVXHOR6,\0Z (Q
SXQWRVQHJURVVHUHSUHVHQWDQODVREVHUYDFLRQHVSDUDHVDPDJQLWXG\WLSRGHVXHOR
E
10000
Case 2
Case 4
Caso 5
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
D Comparison for subduction, rock, Mw = 5
1000
100
10
1
0.1
100
1000
10
Hypocentral distance (km)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
1000
Case 2
100
Case 4
Case 5
10
1
10
100
1000
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IXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOVRQPRVWUDGRVHQODVILJXUDVDEF\GGRQGH
ORVSXQWRVQHJURVFRUUHVSRQGHQDODVREVHUYDFLRQHVDMXVWDGDVDODVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR
6,6,,\6,,,UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH6HGLEXMDQDGHPiVODVFXUYDVUHIHUHQWHVD6'\VH
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3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
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100
1000
100
1000
soft + SD
soft - SD
soft
100
1000
10000
G
10
100
100
1000
100
Hypocentral distance (km)
10
10
1000
hard
soft
rock
hard + SD
hard - SD
hard
10
10
rock - SD
rock + SD
rock
1000
10000
E
1
1
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
10
10
100
1000
10000
F
10
100
1000
10000
D
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
D
E
Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu
Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu
1.5
1.5
0.5
0.5
residuals
residuals
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
-0.5
-0.5
-1
-1
-1.5
-1.5
10
100
1000
magnitude
)LJXUD 5HVLGXRV SDUD HYHQWRV SRU VXEGXFFLyQ HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO D \ OD
PDJQLWXGE
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
1000
crust-rock
crust-hard
crust-soft
100
subdu-rock
subdu-hard
subdu-soft
10
1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH ODV UHODFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SDUD VLVPRV GH IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO \
VXEGXFFLyQREWHQLGDVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRSDUDODVGLVWLQWDVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGDV/DOtQHD
YHUWLFDOPXHVWUDHOLQLFLRGHOUDQJRGHYDOLGH]SDUDODVUHODFLRQHVGHVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQNP
Dahle 1995
Garcia 2005
Atkinson 2003
Cepeda 2004
Zhao 2006
10000
1000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHODVUHODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVSRUGLVWLQWRVDXWRUHVSDUDHYHQWRV
SRUVXEGXFFLyQSDUD0Z \*03*$/DOtQHDYHUWLFDOGHSXQWRVLQGLFDHOLQLFLRGHOD]RQDGHYDOLGH]
SDUDHOPRGHORSURSXHVWRHQHVWHHVWXGLRTXHFRUUHVSRQGHDNP
3DUD ODV UHJUHVLRQHV UHIHUHQWHV D OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD HQWUH ODV GRV SVHXGRV
DFHOHUDFLRQHV HVSHFWUDOHV KRUL]RQWDOHV *0 36$ IXHURQ FRQVLGHUDGRV SHULRGRV
FRPSUHQGLGRVHQWUHV\V
3ULPHUR VH PXHVWUDQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV SDUD +] V GH SHULRGR \ PiV
DGHODQWH ORV HVSHFWURV FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV PHQFLRQDGRV DVt
FRPR ODV FRPSDUDFLRQHV FRQ UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV SRU DXWRUHV GH RWUDV UHJLRQHV GHO
PXQGR
/DV HFXDFLRQHV SUHGLFWLYDV HVWLPDGDV SDUD URFD 0Z DVt FRPR ORV YDORUHV
REVHUYDGRVDSDUWLUGHORVFXDOHVVHREWXYLHURQODVUHJUHVLRQHVVHPXHVWUDQHQODILJXUD
D 1yWHVH TXH HQ HVWH FDVR D GLIHUHQFLD GHO 3*$ YDULRV SXQWRV QHJURV
REVHUYDFLRQHV VH VDOHQ GHO UDQJR GHILQLGR SRU 6' (Q OD ILJXUD E VH SXHGH
QRWDUODJUDQDPSOLILFDFLyQTXHVHREWLHQHHQHOWLSRGHVXHOR6,,, \HVWRHVGHELGRDO
FRHILFLHQWHE TXHHVPX\VXSHULRUDOYDORUGHE TXHFRUUHVSRQGHDO
VXHORWLSR6,,DPERVFDVRVUHVSHFWRDODURFDYHUWDEODSDUDV
5HVSHFWR D ORV UHVLGXRV GH *0 36$ SDUD +] VH REVHUYDQ YDORUHV PD\RUHV TXH ORV
REWHQLGRVSDUD*03*$(QHOFDVRDFWXDODOJXQRVYDORUHVVXSHUDQ\GHUHVLGXR
SHUR OD PD\RUtD VH FRQFHQWUD GHQWUR GH HVH UDQJR ILJXUD D (Q OD ILJXUD E
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
GRQGH VH PXHVWUDQ ORV UHVLGXRV HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD PDJQLWXG VH REVHUYDQ YDORUHV DOWRV
SDUD 0Z GHELGR D TXH ODV REVHUYDFLRQHV VXSHUDQ D ODV HVWLPDFLRQHV HQ EXHQD
PHGLGD 6L VH DQDOL]DQ DPERV JUiILFRV OD OtQHD SURPHGLR FRLQFLGH FRQ OD GHO UHVLGXR
LJXDODFHURSRUORTXHQRVHHYLGHQFLDXQVHVJRUHVSHFWRDOLQFUHPHQWRGHODGLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDORDODPDJQLWXG
Subdu, rock, Mw = 6, case 5, PSA 1 Hz
D
E Subdu, soils, Mw = 6, case 5, PSA, 1Hz
1000
1000
100
100
rock
rock + SD
10
rock - SD
10
1
0.1
1
1
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
1
Hypocentral
distance
(km)
Hypocentral
distance
(km)
rock
hard
soft
)LJXUD 5HVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV FRQ ORV GDWRV GH &RVWD 5LFD VXEGXFFLyQ /D ILJXUD D PXHVWUD ODV
REVHUYDFLRQHV SXQWRV QHJURV WUDQVIRUPDGDV D URFD \ ORV UDQJRV TXH GHILQHQ 6' /D ILJXUD E
PXHVWUDODVFXUYDVREWHQLGDVSDUDORVGLVWLQWRVWLSRVGHVXHOR
E
Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu
Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu
1.5
1.5
1
residuals
residuals
D
0.5
0
0.5
0
-0.5
-0.5
-1
-1
-1.5
-1.5
10
100
hypocentral distance (km)
1000
magnitude
)LJXUD5HVLGXRVREWHQLGRVDSDUWLUGHODVHFXDFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQSDUD&RVWD5LFDVXEGXFFLyQHQ
IXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOD\HQIXQFLyQGHODPDJQLWXGE
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
6LVHFRPSDUDQODVHFXDFLRQHVREWHQLGDVGH*036$D+]SDUDGDWRVGHVLVPRVGH
IDOODPLHQWRORFDOFRQODVGHVXEGXFFLyQILJXUDVHREVHUYDTXHSDUDHVWDV~OWLPDV
ODV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV VRQ PD\RUHV VREUHWRGR HO HIHFWR GH DPSOLILFDFLyQ SRU
SUHVHQFLD GH VXHOR 6 ,,, HV EDVWDQWH PD\RU TXH SDUD VLVPRV GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO SRU
VLVPRVFRUWLFDOHV(OGHFDLPLHQWRGHODVFXUYDVEDVDGDVHQDPERVPRGHORVHVSDUHFLGR
\DTXHUHVXOWDQVHUEDVWDQWHSDUDOHODV
Comparison subdu crustal, Mw = 6, PSA 1 Hz
1000
100
crustal-rock
crustal-hard
crustal-soft
subdu-rock
subdu-hard
subdu-soft
10
1
1
10
100
1000
Hypocentral distance (km)
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHPRGHORVGHVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQOtQHDVURMDV\GHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO
OtQHDVD]XOHVVHJ~QHOWLSRGHVXHORSDUD0Z \+]GH36$
$OFRPSDUDUODVHFXDFLRQHVDTXtSURSXHVWDVFRQODVGHRWURVDXWRUHVVREUHWRGRDSDUWLU
GHOUDQJRGHYDOLGH]GHORVGDWRVGHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRNPSDUDVXEGXFFLyQGHILQLGR
SRU OD OtQHD YHUWLFDOSXQWHDGD HQ OD ILJXUD VH QRWD TXH ORV UHVXOWDGRVSDUD &RVWD
5LFDVHDVHPHMDQPXFKRDORVREWHQLGRVSRU*DUFtDHWDOSDUDUHJLVWURVHQURFD
GH VLVPRV SRU VXEGXFFLyQ HQ 0p[LFR $PERV FDVRV SUHGLFHQ YDORUHV GH *0 36$
LQIHULRUHV D FDVL WRGR HO UHVWR GH ORV PRGHORV FRQVLGHUDGRV D~Q FXDQGR ORV GHPiV
GHFDHQPiVIXHUWHPHQWHFRQODGLVWDQFLD$WNLQVRQ %RRUH=KDRHWDOD
+D\XQDFODUDGLIHUHQFLDFRQORVPRGHORVSURSXHVWRVWDQWRSRU'DKOHHWDOFRPR
SRU 6FKPLGW HW DO \D TXH HVWRV SUHGLFHQ YDORUHV PD\RUHV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH
SHULRGRV\WLHQHQXQGHFDLPLHQWRPHQRUFRQODGLVWDQFLD
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
Garcia 2005
Atkinson 2003
10000
1000
GM PSA (cm/s/s)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
Hypocentral distance (km)
1000
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQGHORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHVWHHVWXGLRFRQORVSURSXHVWRVSRURWURV
DXWRUHVSDUD+]*036$SDUDVXHOR6,\0Z
/DILJXUDPXHVWUDJUiILFRVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQORVHVSHFWURVGHUHVSXHVWDREWHQLGRV
FRQ ORV GDWRV GH VLVPRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ FRQVLGHUDGRV HQ HVWH HVWXGLR SDUD GLVWLQWDV
GLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVGHNPNP\NP\YDORUHVGHPDJQLWXG0ZGH\
(Q WRGRV HVWRV FDVRV HV HYLGHQWH OD VLJQLILFDWLYD DPSOLILFDFLyQ TXH PXHVWUD HO WLSR GH
VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,, HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV SHUR HV VREUHWRGR HQWUH \ V
GRQGH HVWH HIHFWR HV PiV QRWRULR (VWR VH DFHQW~D SDUD PDJQLWXGHV DOWDV GRQGH ORV
HVSHFWURVSDUDURFDUHVXOWDQVHUPiVSODQRV\SRUORWDQWRORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQ
SURGXFHQXQHIHFWRPiVGUDPiWLFRYHU~OWLPDILODGHJUiILFRVGHODILJXUD
/RVHVSHFWURVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDPDJQLWXGHVEDMDV0ZLJXDODWLHQHQXQSLFRPiV
GHILQLGRDOUHGHGRUGHVORTXHHVGHHVSHUDUVH\DTXHFRUUHVSRQGHQDVLVPRVFRQ
XQFRQWHQLGRIUHFXHQFLDOPHQRUTXHVLVPRVPiVJUDQGHV
(VGHUHVDOWDUTXHHOVXHOR6,,DPSOLILFDUHODWLYDPHQWHSRFRUHVSHFWRDODURFDHQWRGR
HOUDQJRGHSHULRGRVLQGHSHQGLHQWHPHQWHGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDORODPDJQLWXG\D
TXHODVFXUYDVTXHFRUUHVSRQGHQDORVWLSRVGHVXHOR6,\D6,,VRQEDVWDQWHSDUDOHODV
period (s)
period (s)
0.1
period (s)
hard
0.1
hard
rock
rock
0.1
hard
soft
soft
soft
10
10
10
GM PSA (cm/s2)
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
rock
pe riod (s)
0.1
pe riod (s )
hard
0.1
pe riod (s )
hard
0.1
hard
rock
rock
soft
soft
soft
10
10
10
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
period (s)
0.1
period (s)
hard
0.1
period (s)
hard
0.1
hard
rock
rock
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
rock
soft
soft
soft
10
10
10
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
100
1000
rock
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/D WDEOD PXHVWUD ORV FRHILFLHQWHV \ ODV GHVYLDFLRQHV HVWiQGDU FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D
FDGDSHULRGRVHOHFFLRQDGR(VWRVVRQUHSUHVHQWDGRVJUiILFDPHQWHHQODVILJXUDVDE
F\G
6H REVHUYD FRPR E TXH VH UHODFLRQD FRQ OD IXHQWH JHQHUDGRUD GHO VLVPR
SUHGRPLQDQWHPHQWHGHFDHFRQHODXPHQWRGHOSHULRGRVREUHWRGRHQWUHV\VGH
XQ YDORU GH D ILJXUD D 6LQ HPEDUJR PXHVWUD XQ FRPSRUWDPLHQWR
HVSHUDGR\VHPHMDQWHDOGHVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVVLHQGRPD\RUHVORVREWHQLGRVFRQVLVPRV
SRUVXEGXFFLyQ
3RU HO FRQWUDULR E FRHILFLHQWH GH HVFDOD GH PDJQLWXG ILJXUD E DXPHQWD FRQ HO
SHULRGRGHHQVDHQV(VWHFRHILFLHQWHVHFRPSRUWDHQIRUPDEDVWDQWH
VHPHMDQWHDOESDUDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO\HVFRKHUHQWHFRQHOKHFKR
GHTXHODPDJQLWXGWLHQHPD\RULQIOXHQFLDSDUDSHULRGRVODUJRV
(OFRHILFLHQWHETXHUHSUHVHQWDODH[SDQVLyQJHRPpWULFDRDWHQXDFLyQHQIXQFLyQGHOD
GLVWDQFLD WLHQH XQD YDULDFLyQ PD\RU \ YDORUHV DOJR VXSHULRUHV TXH SDUD VLVPRV GH
IDOODPLHQWRORFDOLQFUHPHQWiQGRVHHQ HVWHFDVRGHHQV DHQVSDUD
OXHJRVXIULUXQGHVFHQVRKDVWDOOHJDUDXQYDORUGHILJXUDF
3RU RWUR ODGR OD GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU 6' WLHQH XQ OLJHUR LQFUHPHQWR JUDGXDO FRQ HO
DXPHQWRGHOSHULRGRGHVGHHQVKDVWDHQV(VWRVYDORUHVVRQDOJR
LQIHULRUHVDORVREWHQLGRVFRQVLVPRVSRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDOSDUD$PpULFD&HQWUDOSHUR
VX WHQGHQFLD DO LQFUHPHQWR HV VLPLODU ILJXUD G OR TXH WDO \ FRPR VH GLMR SXHGH
HVWDUDVRFLDGRDOSURFHVDPLHQWRGHORVUHJLVWURV
7DEOD&RHILFLHQWHV\GHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUSDUDSHULRGRVVHOHFFLRQDGRV6LVPRVGHVXEGXFFLyQHQ
&RVWD5LFD
3HULRG
IUHF
E
E
E
E
E
6'
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
D
E
1.2
0.8
C1
C2
-1
0.6
-2
0.4
-3
0.2
-4
-5
0.01
0.1
0
0.01
10
0.1
F
10
10
period
period
SD vs. period
6'YVSHULRG
G
0.6
0
-0.2
0.5
-0.4
0.4
SD
-0.6
C3
-0.8
-1
0.3
0.2
-1.2
0.1
-1.4
-1.6
0.01
0.1
1
period
10
0
0.01
0.1
period
)LJXUD5HSUHVHQWDFLyQJUiILFDGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEDE\GHODVGHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUPRVWUDGRV
HQODWDEODSDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQHQ&RVWD5LFD
/DILJXUDUHSUHVHQWDORVFRHILFLHQWHVGHOVXHOREVXHOREODQGR\EVXHORILUPH\
VH FRPSDUDQ FRQ UHVXOWDGRV VHPHMDQWHV REWHQLGRV SDUD -DSyQ SRU =KDR HW DO E
FDOFXODGRV D SDUWLU GH ORV SURPHGLRV GH ODV UD]RQHV +9 SDUD XQD JUDQ FDQWLGDG GH
HVWDFLRQHV FODVLILFDGDV VHJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR 6H REVHUYD TXH E HV EDVWDQWH HVWDEOH
GHELGR D TXH WLHQH XQ YDORU SURPHGLR FHUFDQR D HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV
VHPHMDQWHDOREWHQLGRSDUD-DSyQ6LQHPEDUJREHVEDVWDQWHPiVDOWRTXHHQORVGDWRV
SURYHQLHQWHVGH-DSyQ\SDUDXQSHULRGRGHVOOHJDDXQYDORUGH(Q-DSyQVHOOHJD
DXQYDORUPi[LPRGHHQXQSHULRGRDOJRLQIHULRUDV
7DO\FRPRVHFRPHQWyHQHODSDUWDGRHVWHHIHFWRGHDPSOLILFDFLyQH[FHVLYDSRU
SUHVHQFLD GH VXHORV EODQGRV SXHGH GHEHUVH D TXH ORV VXHORV HQ $PpULFD &HQWUDO HQ
JHQHUDO WLHQHQ XQ JUDGR PD\RU GH PHWHRUL]DFLyQ \ GH PiV PDOD FDOLGDG TXH RWUDV
ODWLWXGHVGHELGRDTXHVRQWLHUUDVPiVMyYHQHV\TXHDGHPiVHQHVWHHVWXGLRHOVXHOR6
,,, VH DJUXSy D 6 ,9 SRU OR TXH HQ HVWXGLRV SRVWHULRUHV VHUtD PHMRU WUDWDUORV FRPR
G M PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
FDWHJRUtDV VHSDUDGDV VLHPSUH \ FXDQGR VH FXHQWH FRQ XQD FODVLILFDFLyQ GH VXHORV PiV
SUHFLVDEDVDGDHQHVWXGLRVJHRItVLFRVSDUDODPD\RUtDGHODVHVWDFLRQHVTXHVHWRPHQHQ
FXHQWD6LQHPEDUJRGHEHWHQHUVHSUHVHQWHTXHODFRPSDUDFLyQHQWUHDPERVJUiILFRVHV
GHFDUiFWHUFXDOLWDWLYDHQHOVHQWLGRGHTXHIXHURQREWHQLGRVSRUPpWRGRVGLVWLQWRVHQ
HOFDVRGH$PpULFD&HQWUDOORVIDFWRUHVIXHURQHVWLPDGRVDSDUWLUGHLQYHUVLRQHV\ORV
SURSXHVWRV SDUD -DSyQ FDOFXODQGR HO SURPHGLR GH ODV UD]RQHV HVSHFWUDOHV +9 SDUD
WRGDV ODV HVWDFLRQHV FODVLILFDGDV VHJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR UHVSHFWLYR 6LQ HPEDUJR VRQ
UHPDUFDEOHVODVVHPHMDQ]DVHQFXDQWRDODVWHQGHQFLDV
Soil coefficients, subdu
hard
soft
5
D
4.5
4
3.5
E
E
E
E
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.01
0.1
1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD *UiILFRV TXH PXHVWUDQ OD YDULDFLyQ GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV GH VXHOR E R VXHOR EODQGR \ E R
VXHORILUPHSDUDDORVGDWRVGHVLVPRVGHVXEGXFFLyQHQ&RVWD5LFD\EORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUD
-DSyQSRU=KDRHWDOE
/DVILJXUDVD\EFRPSDUDQORVHVSHFWURVSDUD*036$REWHQLGRVSDUDVLVPRV
SRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO$PpULFD&HQWUDO\SRUVXEGXFFLyQ&RVWD5LFDSDUDUHJLVWURVHQ
URFD \ GRV GLVWDQFLDV KLSRFHQWUDOHV GLVWLQWDV \ NP 6H REVHUYDQ IRUPDV
HVSHFWUDOHV SDUHFLGDV HQ DPERV FDVRV VH HYLGHQFLD XQ SLFR HQ V \ VH QRWD FyPR
SDUDPDJQLWXGHVPiVDOWDVORVHVSHFWURVVHYXHOYHQPiVVXDYL]DGRV\KRUL]RQWDOHV3DUD
WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV ORV HVSHFWURV GH VLVPRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ WLHQHQ RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVPD\RUHVTXHORVGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO
D
100
10
1
0.1
0.01
0.01
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
Crustal and subduction, D=50 km, rock
crustal M6
subdu M5
subdu M6
crustal M7
1000
crustal M6
crustal M7
subdu M6
subdu M5
crustal M5
crustal M7
1000
100
GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
E
crustal M5
subdu M7
10
0.1
0.1
1
period (s)
10
0.01
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH HVSHFWURV GH VLVPRV GH IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO OtQHDV FRQWLQXDV \ GH
VXEGXFFLyQ OtQHDV GLVFRQWLQXDV SDUD PDJQLWXGHV 0Z GH \ VXHOR WLSR 6 , \ GLVWDQFLDV
KLSRFHQWUDOHVGHNPD\GHNPE
$O FRPSDUDU ORV HVSHFWURV SURSXHVWRV SRU GLYHUVRV DXWRUHV FRQ ORV REWHQLGRV HQ HO
SUHVHQWH HVWXGLR SDUD 0Z \ GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO GH NP VH REVHUYD TXH SDUD
URFDILJXUDDHVWHHVWXGLRFRLQFLGHEDVWDQWHELHQFRQHOGH*DUFtDHWDOD
SDUWLUGHORVVGHSHULRGR6LQHPEDUJRHQHOUDQJRGHDVORVPRGHORVSDUD
&RVWD 5LFD SUHGLFHQ PD\RUHV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV \ SDUD SHULRGRV LQIHULRUHV D V
HVWDVLWXDFLyQVHLQYLHUWHUHVXOWDQGRPD\RUHVODVGH0p[LFR
=KDR HW DO D VH PDQWLHQH VLHPSUH SRU HQFLPD GH WRGRV ORV PRGHORV DVt FRPR
VXFHGH FRQ ORV GH 'DKOH HW DO \ 6FKPLGW HW DO TXH VRQ
FRQVLGHUDEOHPHQWHPD\RUHVDORVTXHDTXtVHSURSRQHQDSDUWLUGHV
6LVHDQDOL]DHOJUiILFRSDUDODVPLVPDVFRQGLFLRQHVGHGLVWDQFLD\PDJQLWXGDQWHULRUHV
SHUR SDUD VXHOR EODQGR ILJXUD E VH REVHUYD TXH ORV YDORUHV GH ODV RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVGHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVXSHUDQODVSURSXHVWDVSRUORVRWURVDXWRUHVGHVGHV
KDVWD V $ SDUWLU GH HVH SHULRGR ODV FXUYDV VH DVHPHMDQ WHQLHQGR XQ GHFDLPLHQWR
PHQRUPD\RUHVYDORUHVGH*036$ODVSURSXHVWDVSRU'DKOHHWDO\6FKPLGW
HWDO2EVpUYHVHTXHQRVHFRPSDUDFRQ*DUFtDHWDOGHELGRDTXHSDUD
HVDVHFXDFLRQHVVRORVHFRQVLGHUDURQGDWRVSDUDURFD
/DDPSOLILFDFLyQGHVFULWDHQHOSiUUDIRDQWHULRUHVGHELGDDORVDOWRVYDORUHVREWHQLGRV
SDUD HO FRHILFLHQWH E SDUD VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,, VHJ~Q OD WDEOD \ OD ILJXUD D
VLWXDFLyQTXHUHIXHU]DODLGHDGHTXHORVVXHORVEODQGRVHQHOiUHDGHHVWXGLRVXIUHQXQD
IXHUWHDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUDSHULRGRVPD\RUHVDV
)LQDOPHQWH OD ILJXUD FRPSDUD ORV HVSHFWURV REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV HFXDFLRQHV
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ORVHVSHFWURVGHGLVHxRGHO&yGLJR6tVPLFRGH&RVWD5LFD&),$SDUDODFLXGDG
GH6DQ-RVp=RQD,,,SDUDURFDILJXUDD\VXHOREODQGRILJXUDE
6HREVHUYDTXHSDUDURFDHOHVSHFWURGHODQRUPDVHXELFDSRUHQFLPDGHOREWHQLGRFRQ
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3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
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GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)
DILUPDUTXHGHDFXHUGRFRQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHOHVSHFWURTXHSURSRQHODQRUPD
FXEUHDOPHQRVDXQVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQFRQPDJQLWXGGH\GLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO
FHUFDQDDNP3RUORWDQWRVLVPRVFRQHVWHRULJHQFRQPDJQLWXGHVLQIHULRUHVD \
GLVWDQFLDVVXSHULRUHVDNPHVWiQFXELHUWRVWDPELpQ
$OFRPSDUDUORVHVSHFWURVGHOFyGLJRPHQFLRQDGRFRQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHVWD
WHVLV SDUD VXHOR EODQGR VH REVHUYD DO LJXDO TXH HQ HO FDVR GH VLVPRV FRUWLFDOHV TXH D
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SURSXHVWRDTXtSHURDPERVVRQPX\VHPHMDQWHVGHVGHVKDVWDV
Subdu, Mw=6, D=50 km, rock
this study
Schmidt 1997
Dahle
D
Zhao 2006
Garcia 2005
1000
100
10
1
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.1
1
10
period (s)
Subdu, Mw=6, D=50 km, soft
this study
Schmidt 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
1000
E
100
10
1
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.1
1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD(VSHFWURVGHUHVSXHVWDTXHFRPSDUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRFRQORV
SURSXHVWRV SRU GLYHUVRV DXWRUHV SDUD 0Z \ XQD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO GH NP /D ILJXUD D
FRUUHVSRQGHDURFD\ODEDVXHOREODQGR
D
CSCR 2002
this study
10000
GM PSA (cm/s2)
1000
3*$
100
10
1
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
E
this study
CSCR 2002
10000
1000
3*$
GM PSA (cm/s2)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
1
0.01
0.1
10
period (s)
)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVHVSHFWURVGHO&yGLJR6tVPLFRGH&RVWD5LFDFRQORVREWHQLGRVHQHVWD
PHPRULDSDUDXQVLVPRGH0Z \' NPSDUDDURFDEVXHOREODQGR
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
(Q HVWH DSDUWDGR VH SODQWHDUiQ HFXDFLRQHV SUHGLFWLYDV XWLOL]DQGR UHJLVWURV GH VLVPRV
FX\RRULJHQHVWDQWRGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDOFRPRGHVXEGXFFLyQ(QYLVWDGHTXHH[LVWHQ
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VH DGRSWDUi OD SURSXHVWD SRU =KDR HW DO D SDUD -DSyQ /RV PRGHORV VHUiQ
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GHFRQGLFLRQHVTXHVHHQXPHUDQDFRQWLQXDFLyQ
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6tVPLFD
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GH SURIXQGLGDGHV LQIHULRUHV D NP D PHQRV TXH ODV DJHQFLDV FRQVXOWDGDV
UHSRUWDUDQ RWUR WLSR GH FODVLILFDFLyQ R ELHQ VH LQFOX\HUDQ GHQWUR GH HVWD
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VXEGXFFLyQ DTXHOORV FX\D SURIXQGLGDG IXHUD LJXDO R PD\RU D NP D PHQRV
TXHODVIXHQWHVGHLQIRUPDFLyQFRQVXOWDGDVORVFODVLILTXHQFRPRGHIDOODPLHQWR
ORFDO
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GH GDWRV SRU OR WDQWR D ORV VLVPRV GH 0Z HQWUH \ QR OHV IXH DVLJQDGR HO
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7DEOD'LVWULEXFLyQGHORVGDWRVXVDGRVDOFRPELQDUHYHQWRVFRUWLFDOHV\GHVXEGXFFLyQ
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UHJLVWURV SURYHQLHQWH GH HVWD FRQGLFLyQ GH VLWLR D~Q FXDQGR WRGRV ORV UHJLVWURV GH
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PHFDQLVPR GH FXDOTXLHU WLSR H[FHSWR LQYHUVR XQ FRUUHVSRQGH D HYHQWRV SRU
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PDJQLWXGHV GH D \ GLVWDQFLDV HQWUH \ NP /RV GH VXHOR EODQGR VH UHSDUWHQ
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D
Mexico
8
7.5
Magnitud (Mw)
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1
10
100
1000
E
soft
hard
rock
8
7.5
Magnitude (Mw)
7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1
10
100
1000
F
crustal other
subd inslab
crustal reverse
subd interface
8
7.5
7
Magnitude (Mw)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1
10
100
1000
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JUXSRGHGDWRVEVHJ~QWLSRGHVXHOR\FVHJ~QODIXHQWH
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
/RV VLVPRV FRUWLFDOHV LQYHUVRV TXH VRQ ORV PiV HVFDVRV VH XELFDQ HQ XQ UDQJR GH
PDJQLWXGHVGHD\GLVWDQFLDVGHDNPSHURVHGLVWULEX\HQHQIRUPDSRFR
GHQVD\SRFRXQLIRUPHGHQWURGHHVHUHFWiQJXOR
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WDQWR GHQVD FRPR XQLIRUPHPHQWH GH 0Z D HQWUH ORV \ NP /RV
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D VLVPRV FRUWLFDOHV GH FXDOTXLHU PHFDQLVPR H[FHSWR HO LQYHUVR VH
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GHGDWRVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDVXHORILUPH6,,HQXQUDQJRGHGLVWDQFLDVHQWUH\
NP
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FDQWLGDG GH GDWRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ LQVODE HQ GLVWDQFLDV GH D NP /RV FDVRV
FRUWLFDOLQYHUVR \VXEGXFFLyQLQWHUIDFHVHUHSDUWHQHQIRUPDPXFKRPHQRVGHQVD \QR
XQLIRUPH\DTXHVRQQRWRULDPHQWHPiVHVFDVRVTXHODVRWUDVGRVFDWHJRUtDV
Mexico
10000
GM PGA (cm/ss)
1000
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
hard
rock
10000
GM PGA (cm/ss)
1000
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
subd interface
crustal reverse
10000
1000
GM PGA (cm/ss)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
0.1
1
10
100
1000
)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDDWRGRHOJUXSRGHGDWRVEVHJ~Q
WLSRGHVXHOR\FVHJ~QODIXHQWH
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
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Coeficiente
Valor
Coeficiente
Valor
b1
-0.16744
b7
-0.08744
b2
0.54247
b8
0.20375
b3
-0.00026
b9
0.12437
b4
0.01054
b10
-0.03808
b5
0.79777
b11
0.16331
b6
0.00062
b12
-0.09812
SD
0.3594
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PD\RUHVGH*03*$HVHOFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDHYHQWRVLQVODE\HOPHQRUHODVRFLDGRD
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D
0.1
10
100
1000
10000
F
crustal-other
10
100
1000
crustal-other
100
inslab
100
inslab
10
interface
10
interface
1000
crustal-reverse
1000
crustal-reverse
E
10
100
1000
10000
G
crustal-other
10
100
1000
crustal-other
100
inslab
100
inslab
10
interface
10
interface
1000
crustal-reverse
1000
crustal-reverse
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
+SD
-SD
10000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
1000
100
10
D
0.1
1
10
100
1000
+SD
-SD
10000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
1000
100
10
E
1
1
10
100
1000
+SD
-SD
10000
1000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
100
10
F
1
1
10
100
1000
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crustal-rev rock
1000
100
10
D
1
1
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
inslab rock
inslab stiff
inslab soft
1000
100
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
10
E
1
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
D
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
1
E
2
1.5
1
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residuals
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0.5
0
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-1
-1.5
10
100
1000
Magnitude
crustal-reverse CA
interface Japan
1000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
100
10
D
1
1
10
100
1000
crustal-reverse CA
interface Japan
crustal-reverse Japan
1000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
100
10
E
1
1
10
100
1000
inslab Japan
1000
100
GM PGA (cm/s/s)
3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
10
F
1
10
100
1000
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