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Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal

Central America

8


7.5

7

6.5

6

5.5


5

4.5

4

3.5

3

1
10
100
1000


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Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal, soil types
soft

hard

rock

8
7.5
7
6.5

Mw

6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

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Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,


shalow crustal, soil types
soft

hard

rock

1000

100
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1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

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Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,
shalow crustal, magnitude ranges
4 - 4.9

5 - 5.9

6 - more

1000

GM PGA c(cm/ss)

100

10

0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

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Caso 1: 3 4
b5
b6
-0.00018 3.26359
Caso 2: 2 4
b5
b6
0.1646
0.11278
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b1
b2
-0.22828 0.65261

b3
-0.01377

b4
-1.09463

b1
0.18508

b2
0.50472

b3
-1.11803

b4
3.59823

b1
1.45279

b2
0.18577

b3
0.02808

b4
-1.37805

b5
b6
0.00147
5.63257
Caso 4: 2 2

b1
0.38662

b2
0.48772

b3
-1.15454

b4
-3.57197

b1
b2
-0.18751 0.55613

b3
-0.0058

b4
-0.92783

b1
0.12602

b3
-1.03591

b4
4.22442

b5
b6
0.13484
0.10846
Caso 5: 3 1
b5
b6
-0.00075 2.30174
Caso 6: 2 1
b5
b6
0.22075
0.11742

b2
0.49081

b7
b8
0.16439 0.1123

SD
0.42242928
SD
0.42157614

b7
b8
0.14036 0.11862

SD
0.46326974
SD
0.45912871

b7
0.21954

b8
0.11735

SD
0.4086
SD
0.4078


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Comparison for crustal, rock, Mw = 6

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

1000

100

Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Case 5
Case 6

10

1
1

10

100

Hypocentral distance (km)

1000

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URPERVQHJURVUHSUHVHQWDQODVREVHUYDFLRQHV




Comparison for crustal, rock, Mw = 5

Comparison for crustal, rock, Mw = 7

E

Case 5
Case 6
Case 1

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

10000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)





D 
1000



100

10


1


0.1




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1000
Case 5

100

Case 6
Case 1

10

10

100

1000

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

Hypocentral distance (km)

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Comparison for crustal, rock
10000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

1000
100

Case 6 M6
Case 5 M6
Case 6 M5

10

Case 5 M5
Case 6 M7
Case 5 M7

1
0.1
0.01
0.1

10

100

Hypocentral distance (km)

1000

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Comparison different inversion methods, rock


Douglas M6
SigmaPlot M7

SigmaPlot M6
Douglas M5

Douglas M7
SigmaPlot M5

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

1000

100

10

1
1

10

100

Hypocentral distance (km)

1000

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+%XQJXPFRPXQLFDFLyQSHUVRQDO 

/RVUHVLGXRVUHSUHVHQWDGRVHQODVILJXUDVD\EVHREWXYLHURQGHDFXHUGRFRQOD
UHODFLyQ

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FDVRHVOD*03*$REWHQLGDGHODFHOHURJUDPD\SUHG\DOYDORUREWHQLGRFRQEDVHHQOD
HFXDFLyQ\FRQHOXVRGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVGHOFDVRVHJ~QODWDEOD

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HPEDUJR HV GH HVSHUDUVH TXH ORV YDORUHV TXH SUHGLFHQ ODV HFXDFLRQHV VHDQ PD\RUHV R
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VXHOHVHUORFRP~QGHDFXHUGRFRQUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSRUGLYHUVRVDXWRUHV



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR



(Q OD ILJXUD D VH JUDILFDQ ORV UHVLGXRV HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO VH
REVHUYD XQD FODUD WHQGHQFLD DO GHFUHFLPLHQWR TXH SXHGH VHU UHSUHVHQWDGD SRU XQD
HFXDFLyQ OLQHDO FX\R UHVLGXR DGTXLHUH XQ YDORU LJXDO D FHUR D ORV  NP &XDQGR VH
JUDILFDQHQIXQFLyQGHODPDJQLWXG0ZVHREVHUYDWDPELpQXQVHVJRDOGHFUHFLPLHQWR
DODXPHQWDUODPDJQLWXGUHSUHVHQWDGRSRUXQDOtQHDUHFWDSHURFRQXQDSHQGLHQWHPHQRU
TXHODDQWHULRU ILJXUDE (QHVWHFDVRORVUHVLGXRVDGTXLHUHQXQYDORULJXDODFHUR
SDUDXQDPDJQLWXG0Z 

)LQDOPHQWH OD ILJXUD  PXHVWUD XQD FRPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH ORV UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV HQ
HVWHHVWXGLRUHVSHFWRDRWURVDXWRUHV6HREVHUYDTXHHQHOFDPSRFHUFDQR KDVWDORV
NPGHGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO ODHFXDFLyQSURSXHVWDHVFHUFDQDDOSURPHGLRGHODVGHPiV
PRVWUDGDV 6LQ HPEDUJR SDUD YDORUHV PD\RUHV ORV RWURV PRGHORV VXSHUDQ HO REWHQLGR
FRQ GDWRV GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO VREUHWRGR SRUTXH HVWH WLHQH XQD FDtGD SUiFWLFDPHQWH
OLQHDO HQWUH ORV  \  NP (VWR VH SXHGH GHEHU HQ JUDQ PHGLGD D ORV PpWRGRV GH
UHJUHVLyQHPSOHDGRV\DTXHHQHVWHHVWXGLRHOPpWRGRGHPtQLPRVFXDGUDGRVHVHOTXH
PHMRU VH DGDSWy D ORV GDWRV GLVSRQLEOHV \ RWURV DXWRUHV KDQ XWLOL]DGR HO GH Pi[LPD
YHURVLPLOLWXG =KDRHWDOD\6SXGLFKHWDO DVtFRPRHOPpWRGRGH%D\HV
'DKOHHWDO6FKPLGWHWDO SDUD%D\HVDOXWLOL]DUFRQRFLPLHQWRFLHQWtILFR
SUHYLR HO YDORU GH FDGD FRHILFLHQWH VH UHVWULQJH D UDQJRV SUHYLDPHQWH HVWXGLDGRV \ VH
ORJUDSRUHMHPSORTXHORVFRHILFLHQWHVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDVXHORILUPHREODQGRVLHPSUH
DPSOLILTXHQUHVSHFWRDODURFD

(VSHFLDO DWHQFLyQ PHUHFH OD FRPSDUDFLyQ FRQ ORV PRGHORVSURSXHVWRVSRU 'DKOH HW DO
  \D TXH WDPELpQ VH EDVDQ HQ GDWRV TXH SURYLHQHQ GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO /RV
UHVXOWDGRV PXHVWUDQ GLIHUHQFLDV SUiFWLFDPHQWH HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH GLVWDQFLDV 6LQ
HPEDUJR GHEH DFODUDUVH TXHSDUD HOSUHVHQWH HVWXGLR IXHURQ HOLPLQDGRV SUiFWLFDPHQWH
WRGRV ORV UHJLVWURV SURYHQLHQWHV GH LQVWUXPHQWRV DQDOyJLFRV TXH IXHURQ ORV
SUHGRPLQDQWHVHQHOHVWXGLRGH$GHPiVFRPRVHGLMRORVPpWRGRVGHLQYHUVLyQVH
EDVDQ HQ SULQFLSLRV GLVWLQWRV SRU OR TXH ORV UHVXOWDGRV QR VRQ GLUHFWDPHQWH
FRPSDUDEOHVDSHVDUGHTXHORVGDWRVSURYHQJDQGHXQPLVPRHQWRUQRVtVPLFR






















10

100

1000

10000

F

10

100

1000

D

100

100

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

1000

1000

Crustal, soft, Mw = 6, case 6

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Crustal, rock, Mw = 6, case 6

soft - SD

soft
soft + SD

rock - SD

rock + SD

rock

10

100

1000

G

10

100

1000

E

100

1000

100
Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Crustal, soils, Mw = 6, case 6

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Crustal, hard, Mw = 6, case 6

1000

hard
soft

rock

hard - SD

hard
hard + SD



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

)LJXUD5HVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUDURFD D VXHORILUPH E VXHOREODQGR F \ORVWUHVWLSRVGHVXHOR G SDUD*03*$\PDJQLWXG0Z (QODVILJXUDVDE\FVH


PXHVWUDQDGHPiVODVGHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDU 6' \ODVREVHUYDFLRQHVDSDUWLUGHODVFXDOHVVHREWXYLHURQODVUHJUHVLRQHVTXHIXHURQWUDQVIRUPDGDVVLODREVHUYDFLyQ
FRUUHVSRQGHDXQFDVRGLVWLQWR VXHORGLIHUHQWH DOFRQVLGHUDGR





























GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)

E

Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal

Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal

2.5

2.5

1.5

1.5

0.5

0.5

residuals

residuals



 D















3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

0
-0.5

0
-0.5

-1

-1

-1.5

-1.5

-2

-2

y = -0.2368Ln(x) + 0.8923

y = -0.1276x + 0.6376

-2.5

-2.5
1

10

100

1000

hypocentral distance (km)

magnitude

)LJXUD5HSUHVHQWDFLyQGHORVUHVLGXRVHQIXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO D \GHOD0Z E SDUD


*03*$FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDUHJLVWURVGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDOGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO

Comparison crustal, rock, Mw = 6, GM PGA


1000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)


























100
this study
Schmidt et al, 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
Spudich 1999

10

1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)


)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQGHODVUHODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVHQHVWHHVWXGLRFRQODVSURSXHVWDVSRU
RWURVDXWRUHVSDUDGDWRVGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO0Z \HQFRQGLFLyQGHURFD




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR




GM PSA (cm/s/s)

GM PSA (cm/s/s)




(Q HVWH DSDUWDGR VHSUHVHQWDQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRVSDUD OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD GH OD
SVHXGRDFHOHUDFLyQ *036$ SDUDSHULRGRVVHOHFFLRQDGRV

5HVSHFWRDOD*036$+]VHREVHUYDHQODILJXUDDORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUD
URFD \0Z FRQVXUHVSHFWLYDGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDU\HQODILJXUDEVHPXHVWUDQ
ODVWUHVFXUYDVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQORVWUHVWLSRVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGRV(QHVWHFDVRHVPiV
QRWRULDODGLIHUHQFLDFLyQHQWUHVXHOR6,,, EODQGR UHVSHFWRD6, URFD \DTXH6,,\6,
DSDUHFHQ FRPRFXUYDVPiVFHUFDQDV(VWDVLWXDFLyQHVPiVHYLGHQWHTXH HQHOFDVRGH
*03*$GRQGHODVWUHVFXUYDVVRQPiVHTXLGLVWDQWHV ILJXUDG VLWXDFLyQHVSHUDEOH
\DTXHSDUD+]36$ODDPSOLILFDFLyQSRUSUHVHQFLDGHVXHORVEODQGRVVXHOHVHUPD\RU
TXHSDUDIUHFXHQFLDVDOWDVUHSUHVHQWDGDVSRUHO3*$

&RQVLGHUDQGR ORV UHVLGXRV QR VH REVHUYD XQ VHVJR R WHQGHQFLD HQ VX GLVWULEXFLyQ
UHVSHFWR D OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO R D OD PDJQLWXG \D TXH OD OtQHD GH PHMRU DMXVWH
FRLQFLGH FRQ OD OtQHD GH UHVLGXR LJXDO D FHUR 6H REWLHQHQ DGHPiV UHVLGXRV Pi[LPRV
DOUHGHGRUGH\TXHVRQPHQRUHVTXHSDUDHOFDVRGH*03*$ ILJXUDVD\
E 

/D ILJXUD  FRPSDUD ODV HFXDFLRQHV REWHQLGDV SRU GLVWLQWRV DXWRUHV SDUD *0 36$
UHVSHFWRDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO(VHYLGHQWHTXHHOPRGHORSURSXHVWRHQHVWHHVWXGLR
VH PDQWLHQH SRU GHEDMR GH ORV GHPiV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH GLVWDQFLDV (Q YDULRV GH ORV
SURSXHVWRVSRURWURVDXWRUHVHVXWLOL]DGDODGLVWDQFLDDOD]RQDGHUXSWXUDRODSURSXHVWD
SRU-R\QHU %RRUH  \HQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRODKLSRFHQWUDOTXHFRPR\DVHGLMR
HVPD\RUSRUORTXHHVWHIDFWRUSXHGHMXVWLILFDUHQSDUWHORVUHVXOWDGRVREVHUYDGRV


Crustal, soils, Mw = 6, case 6
D  Crustal, rock, Mw = 6, case 6, PSA 1hz
E

1000
1000


100 
100

rock

rock + SD
10
rock - SD

10

1

0.1 
1
1
10
100
1000
1
10
100
1000

Hypocentral distance (km)
Hypocentral distance (km)


)LJXUD  5HODFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ REWHQLGDV SDUD *0 36$ +] SDUD 0Z   6H PXHVWUDQ ORV
UHVXOWDGRV SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH URFD FRQ   GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU OtQHDV SXQWHDGDV  \ ODV REVHUYDFLRQHV
SXQWRVQHJURVD \ODVUHODFLRQHVSDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR E 




rock
hard
soft

E

Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal, 1Hz PSA

Log(obs)-Log(pred), crustal, 1Hz PSA


2
1.5
1
0.5

residuals





D 
2
1.5
1

0.5

0

-0.5

 -1
-1.5

 -2

-2.5
 1



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5

10

100

1000

hypocentral distance (km)

magnitude

)LJXUD5HVLGXRVSDUD*036$HQIXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO D \HQIXQFLyQGHOD
PDJQLWXG E 

























Comparison crustal, rock, Mw = 6, GM, PSA


1 Hz
1000

GM PSA (cm/s/s)

residuals

100

this study
Schmidt et al, 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006
Spudich 1999

10

1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQGHODUHODFLyQGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDHQHVWHHVWXGLR OtQHDD]XORVFXUD FRQ


RWURVSURSXHVWRVSRUGLYHUVRVDXWRUHVSDUD*036$+]


/RVJUiILFRVGHODILJXUDPXHVWUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUDFDVRVGLVWLQWRV\
SDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGDV+RUL]RQWDOPHQWHVHFDPELDODGLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDOGHD\DNP\YHUWLFDOPHQWHVHDXPHQWDODPDJQLWXG0ZGHD
\D




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


6HREVHUYDQSULQFLSDOPHQWHODVVLJXLHQWHVVLWXDFLRQHV

 3DUDXQDPLVPDPDJQLWXG XQDPLVPDOtQHDKRUL]RQWDOGHILJXUDV ODVRUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVGLVPLQX\HQSRUTXHDXPHQWDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO

 +DVWD  V GH SHULRGR QR HV PX\ QRWRULD OD GLIHUHQFLD HQWUH ODV RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVSDUDORVGLVWLQWRVWLSRVGHVXHOR6LQHPEDUJRDSDUWLUGHHVWHYDORU
ODV FXUYDV VH VHSDUDQ WRPDQGR YDORUHV PiV DOWRV SDUD VXHORV 6 ,,, (VWH
FRPSRUWDPLHQWR HV GH HVSHUDUVH \D TXH ORV SHULRGRV PiV ODUJRV R IUHFXHQFLDV
EDMDV VHYHQPiVDPSOLILFDGRVHQVXHORVEODQGRV

 6HREVHUYDTXHFRQIRUPHDXPHQWDODPDJQLWXG YHU~OWLPDOtQHDGHILJXUDVTXH
FRUUHVSRQGH D 0Z    ORV HVSHFWURV DGTXLHUHQ XQD IRUPD PiV SODQD FRQ
QLYHOHVGH*036$PiVVHPHMDQWHVSDUDWRGRHOUDQJRGHSHULRGRVFRQVLGHUDGR
ORTXHHVFRLQFLGHQWHFRQHOKHFKRGHTXHVLVPRVGHPDJQLWXGHVDOWDVWLHQHQXQ
FRQWHQLGRIUHFXHQFLDOPiVDPSOLR(VWRVHHYLGHQFLDFODUDPHQWHDOFRPSDUDUOD
SULPHUDILJXUDGHODSULPHUDFROXPQD 0Z  FRQODWHUFHUDILJXUDGHODPLVPD
FROXPQD 0Z  

 /D WHUFHUD ILOD 0Z    PXHVWUD TXH DO DXPHQWDU OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO
DXPHQWDQRWRULDPHQWHODGLIHUHQFLDGHODVFXUYDV6,, VXHORILUPH \6,,, VXHOR
EODQGR UHVSHFWRDOD6,DSDUWLUGHV\HVWRVXFHGHSUHFLVDPHQWHSRUTXHODV
RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV  SDUD 6 , URFD  VRQ VHPHMDQWHV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH
SHULRGRV HVSHFWURPX\SODQR \DGHPiVHVHQHOUDQJRHQWUH\VGRQGH
ORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUD6,,\6,,,VRQPD\RUHV

 (OSHULRGRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUDURFD 6, QRFDPELD
PXFKR QL HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO QL HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD PDJQLWXG
6LQ HPEDUJR HVWH SHULRGR Vt DXPHQWD FRQIRUPH VH LQFUHPHQWD OD PDJQLWXG HQ
IXQFLyQGHOWLSRGHVXHORSULQFLSDOPHQWHSDUDVXHOREODQGR 6,,, 

 &RQVLGHUDQGR ORV WLSRV GH VXHOR HO UDQJR HQ HO TXH VH REVHUYDQ PD\RUHV
GLIHUHQFLDV HQWUH  ODV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV YD GH  V D  V \ HV HYLGHQWH
SULQFLSDOPHQWHSDUDGLVWDQFLDVOHMDQDV\PDJQLWXGHVDOWDV





period (s)

0.1
period (s)

hard

soft

period (s)

soft

soft

10

10

10

period (s)

period (s)

rock

0.1
period (s)

hard

Crustal, M=7, D=50 km

0.1

hard

Crustal, M=6, D=50 km

0.1

hard

Crustal, M=5, D=50 km

rock

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

rock

soft

soft

soft

10

10

10

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.1
period (s)

hard

period (s)

rock

0.1
period (s)

hard

Crustal, M=7, D=100 km

0.1

hard

Crustal, M=6, D=100 km

rock

rock

Crustal, M=5, D=100 km

soft

10

10

10

soft

soft

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

)LJXUD(VSHFWURVREWHQLGRVDSDUWLUGHODVHFXDFLRQHVHVSHFWUDOHVGHDWHQXDFLyQSDUDWUHVGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHV FRO  FRO \NP FRO \SDUDWUHV




PDJQLWXGHV0Z  ILOD 0Z  ILOD \0Z  ILOD SDUDORVWUHVWLSRVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGRV6LVPRVFRUWLFDOHV$PpULFD&HQWUDO

0.1

hard

Crustal, M=7, D=10 km

rock

rock

Crustal, M=6, D=10 km

0.1

hard

Crustal, M=5, D=10 km

rock

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


/D WDEOD  PXHVWUD ORV UHVXOWDGRV GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV REWHQLGRV GH *0 36$ FRPR
YDULDEOH GHSHQGLHQWH SDUD  SHULRGRV DVt FRPR OD GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU \ ODV ILJXUDV
DEFG\HPXHVWUDQODYDULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVHQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGR

(QODDVHREVHUYDTXHEDXPHQWDOLJHUDPHQWHKDVWDOOHJDUDXQPi[LPRHQV\
OXHJRGLVPLQX\H(OUDQJRGHYDULDFLyQGHHVWHFRHILFLHQWHYDGHD3DUDHVWH
FRHILFLHQWH TXH GHILQH OD IRUPD JHQHUDO GHO HVSHFWUR GH UHVSXHVWD \D TXH HV XQ
FRHILFLHQWH GH HVFDOD VH REVHUYD XQ FRPSRUWDPLHQWR GH DFXHUGR FRQ OR HVSHUDGR
REVHUYiQGRVHXQPi[LPRHQV

(QODILJXUDEVHREVHUYDXQDXPHQWRGHE FRHILFLHQWHTXHHVFDODODPDJQLWXG GH
DHQXQUDQJRGHSHULRGRVGHVDV(VWRUHSUHVHQWDTXHODPDJQLWXGWLHQH
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FRPSRUWDPLHQWRHVSHUDGR\REVHUYDGRSRUDXWRUHVFRPR*DUFtDHWDO  \$WNLQVRQ
%RRUH  

(Q OD F VH REVHUYD TXH QR H[LVWH XQD WHQGHQFLD GHILQLGD SDUD OD YDULDFLyQ GH E
H[SDQVLyQJHRPpWULFD HQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGRREWHQLpQGRVHXQPi[LPRHQVGH
\XQPtQLPRHQVGHVLHQGRHVWHUDQJRGHYDULDFLyQSHTXHxRSRUORTXH
SXHGH VHU FRQVLGHUDGR XQ FRHILFLHQWH EDVWDQWH HVWDEOH (Q HVWH FDVR WRGRV ORV YDORUHV
REWHQLGRVHVWiQHQWRUQRDSRUORTXHVHDVXPHXQDSURSDJDFLyQGHRQGDVHVIpULFD
7DSLD 

/D YDULDFLyQ GH E GLVWDQFLD ILFWLFLD LQWURGXFLGD  QR VLJXH XQD WHQGHQFLD SDUWLFXODU
ILJXUDG PRVWUDQGRXQUDQJRGHYDORUHVGHD

(QODILJXUDHVHPXHVWUDODYDULDFLyQGHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUGRQGHVHREVHUYD
XQYDORUHVWDEOHHQWUHV\VFHUFDQRDXQLQFUHPHQWRHQWUHV\VGH
D\QXHYDPHQWHVHHVWDELOL]DDSDUWLUGHVHQ(VWHLQFUHPHQWRHQIXQFLyQ
GHOSHULRGRSXHGHHVWDUDVRFLDGRDORVSURFHVRVGHUHJLVWUR\SURFHVDGRGHODVHxDO\D
TXHD~QFXDQGRVHKDQ DSOLFDGRORVILOWURVVHxDODGRVORVSHULRGRVODUJRVSXHGHQ HVWDU
PiVLQIOXHQFLDGRVSRUHVWRVSURFHVRV











3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR




7DEOD9DULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEDE\GHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDUSDUDSHULRGRVFRQVLGHUDGRV
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDHYHQWRVFRUWLFDOHV


3HULRG























IUHF























E























E























E























E























E























E























6'


























Coef C1 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

Coef C2 vs. period

&RHIEYVSHULRG

E
1
0.9
0.8
0.7

C2

0.6

C1




 D
1

0.5

0

-0.5

-1
-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3

-3.5

-4
0.01




 F
-0.98


-1

-1.02

-1.04

-1.06

-1.08

-1.1

-1.12

-1.14

-1.16
0.01




















3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1

0.1

0
0.01

10

0.1

period

10

period

Coef C3 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

Coef C4 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

G
10
9
8
7

C4

C3

6
5
4
3
2
1
0.1

0
0.01

10

0.1

period

10

period

SD vs. period

6'YVSHULRG

H
0.6
0.5

SD

0.4

0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.01

0.1

10

period

)LJXUD9DULDFLyQGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEEE\E\GHODGHVYLDFLyQHVWiQGDU6'VHJ~QODWDEOD
HQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGRSDUDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVFRQGDWRVGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO




Amplification

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR



5HVSHFWRDORVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQODDPSOLILFDFLyQGHOVXHOR E\E ODILJXUD
DPXHVWUDODYDULDFLyQGHDPERVHQIXQFLyQGHOSHULRGR(VWRVVHPDQWLHQHQPiVR
PHQRVHVWDEOHV\VHPHMDQWHVHQWUHV\VSHURDSDUWLUGHDOOtHOFRHILFLHQWHE
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDVXHOREODQGRVXIUHXQJUDQLQFUHPHQWRKDVWDOOHJDUDXQYDORUGH
E  HQ  V (O FRHILFLHQWH E FRUUHVSRQGLHQWH D VXHOR ILUPH VXIUH WDPELpQ XQ
LQFUHPHQWR SHUR PXFKR PHQRU OOHJDQGR D XQ Pi[LPR GH  E  HQ  V 6LQ
HPEDUJRDSDUWLUGHHVWHSHULRGRH[LVWHXQIDFWRUGHHQWUHE\E

/DILJXUDEPXHVWUDORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQREWHQLGRVSRU=KDRHWDO E 
SDUD -DSyQ FRQ EDVH HQ ORV SURPHGLRV +9 (V GH GHVWDFDU TXH VH REVHUYDQ
FRPSRUWDPLHQWRVVHPHMDQWHVSDUDDPEDV]RQDVVLVHFRPSDUDFRQODFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHD
$PpULFD&HQWUDO ILJXUDD HQFXDQWRDODVIRUPDVGHODVFXUYDVSHURQRDVtDOYDORU
GHORVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHVRQPD\RUHVSDUDOD]RQDGHHVWXGLR

(OJUDGRGHPHWHRUL]DFLyQGHORVVXHORVHQ$PpULFD&HQWUDOHVHVSHUDEOHTXHVHDPD\RU
DO GH -DSyQ SRU DJHQWHV FRPR HO FOLPD $GHPiV JHROyJLFDPHQWH KDEODQGR -DSyQ HV
PiVDQWLJXRTXH$PpULFD&HQWUDOSRUORTXHHVGHVXSRQHUXQDPD\RUSUHVHQFLDGHURFD
DIORUDQWH R ELHQ PDWHULDOHV PiV FRQVROLGDGRV 3RU RWUR ODGR VH HVWiQ FRPSDUDQGR
IDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQREWHQLGRVSRUPpWRGRVGLVWLQWRV6LQHPEDUJRSDUD HOUDQJR
GHPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQ FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDXQSHULRGRFHUFDQRDV ODUD]yQHQWUH
ORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQHQWUHVXHOREODQGR\ILUPHHVFHUFDQDDVHPHMDQWHWDQWR
SDUD $PpULFD &HQWUDO FRPR SDUD -DSyQ R VHD OD GLIHUHQFLD UHODWLYD HQWUH HOORV HV OD
PLVPDSDUDDPEDVUHJLRQHVHQOD]RQDGHSHULRGRVGHPi[LPDDPSOLILFDFLyQ

(O KHFKR GH TXH OD Pi[LPD DPSOLILFDFLyQ REWHQLGD HQ HVWH HVWXGLR VHD PD\RU TXH OD
SURSXHVWDSDUD-DSyQSXHGHHVWDUUHODFLRQDGRWDPELpQDTXHDTXtIXHURQDJUXSDGRVORV
WLSRV GH VXHOR 6 ,,, \ 6 ,9 FRPR XQD VROD FDWHJRUtD GHQRPLQDGD VXHOR EODQGR
PLHQWUDVTXHHQORVJUiILFRVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVD-DSyQVHREVHUYDTXHODDPSOLILFDFLyQ
Pi[LPDSDUDVXHOR6,9HVPD\RUTXHSDUD6,,,

Soil coefficients, crustal


hard
soft
4

D
3.5

E
3
2.5

2
1.5

1
0.5

0
 0.01
0.1
1
10

period (s)

)LJXUD  &RPSDUDFLyQ GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV GH VXHOR E \ E REWHQLGRV HQ HVWH HVWXGLR D  \ ORV
HVWLPDGRVSDUD-DSyQVHJ~Q=KDRHWDO E REWHQLGRVFRQEDVHHQORVSURPHGLRVGH+9 E 





3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


/DILJXUDFRPSDUDORVHVSHFWURVREWHQLGRVHQHVWHHVWXGLRSDUD0Z \GLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDOGHNPSDUDODVWUHVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR6,6,,\6,,,'HELGRDTXH
HQFDVRVFRPR'DKOHHWDO  \6FKPLGWHWDO  VHUHSRUWDQYDORUHVGH3*$\
36$Pi[LPRVVHVLJXLyHOSURFHGLPLHQWRSURSXHVWRSRU%H\HU %RPPHU  SDUD
WUDQVIRUPDUHVRVYDORUHVD*03*$\*036$UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH

(QODILJXUDFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDURFD D HVHYLGHQWHTXHODVRUGHQDGDVREWHQLGDVFRQ
HOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVRQLQIHULRUHVDODVREWHQLGDVSRURWURVDXWRUHVHQFDVLWRGRHOUDQJR
GH SHULRGRV H[FHSWR GH  D  V GRQGH VRQ PX\ VHPHMDQWHV D ODV SURSXHVWDV SRU
'DKOH HW DO   \ SRU 6FKPLGW HW DO   'HEH UHFRUGDUVH TXH ORV UHJLVWURV
REWHQLGRVHQFRQGLFLyQGHURFDVRQHVFDVRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLR

/RV HVSHFWURV VH DFHUFDQ XQ SRFR PiV SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR ILUPH E  SHUR
VLHPSUHORVREWHQLGRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVRQLQIHULRUHV1RVHFRPSDUyFRQ'DKOHHW
DO  GHELGRDTXHHVWDFRQGLFLyQGHVXHORQRIXHFRQVLGHUDGDH[SOtFLWDPHQWHSDUD
VXHVWXGLR

/DILJXUDFPXHVWUDODFRPSDUDFLyQGHORVHVSHFWURVSDUDVXHOREODQGR 6,,, \VH
REVHUYDXQDVHPHMDQ]DFRQVLGHUDEOHHQWUHODVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVGHVGHDVGH
SHULRGR(VWDVHPHMDQ]DGH*036$HVWiDVRFLDGDDORVDOWRVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQ
REWHQLGRV HQ HO SUHVHQWH HVWXGLR SDUD OD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR 6 ,,, HQ HVH UDQJR GH
SHULRGRVWDO\FRPRVHGLVFXWLyDQWHULRUPHQWH

)LQDOPHQWH HQ OD ILJXUD  SXHGH DSUHFLDUVH OD FRPSDUDFLyQ GH ORV HVSHFWURV
REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV HFXDFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SODQWHDGDV SDUD VLVPRV GH RULJHQ
FRUWLFDO FRQ ORV HVSHFWURV GH GLVHxR SURSXHVWRV SRU HO &yGLJR 6tVPLFR GH &RVWD 5LFD
&),$ SDUDDxRVGHSHULRGRGHUHWRUQRFX\DVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVIXHURQ
WUDQVIRUPDGDVGHDFHOHUDFLyQSLFRHIHFWLYDD3*$VHJ~Q/DSRUWH  

(QODILJXUDDVHREVHUYDTXHHOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSRUODQRUPDFLWDGDFXEUHWRGDV
ODVRUGHQDGDVHVSHFWUDOHVREWHQLGDVSDUDXQVLVPRGHRULJHQFRUWLFDOGHPDJQLWXG0Z 
\XQDGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO ' GHNPSDUDHPSOD]DPLHQWRVGHURFDHQ6DQ-RVp
&RVWD 5LFD SRU OR TXH SXHGH DILUPDUVH TXH VLVPRV GH PDJQLWXGHV \ GLVWDQFLDV
KLSRFHQWUDOHVLQIHULRUHVWDPELpQHVWDUiQFXELHUWRVSRUGLFKDQRUPD

3RUPHGLRGHODILJXUDEVHFRPSDUD HOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSDUD&RVWD5LFDSRUOD
QRUPD SDUD FRQGLFLyQ GH VXHOR ILUPH HQ 6DQ -RVp FRQ HO FRUUHVSRQGLHQWH D XQ VLVPR
FRUWLFDOGHODVPLVPDVFDUDFWHUtVWLFDVTXHHODQWHULRU 0Z \' NP (QHVWHFDVR
VHREVHUYDXQDJUDQVLPLOLWXGHQWUHDPERVKDVWDXQSHULRGRGHVDSDUWLUGHOFXDOOD
QRUPD VH YXHOYH FRQVHUYDGRUD GHELGR D TXH HO GHFDLPLHQWR REVHUYDGR HQ HO HVSHFWUR
REWHQLGRFRQODVHFXDFLRQHVSURSXHVWDVHVPiVIXHUWH

/DILJXUDFFRPSDUDHOHVSHFWURGHODQRUPDGH&RVWD5LFDSDUDFRQGLFLyQGHVXHOR
EODQGR FRQ GRV HVSHFWURV REWHQLGRV FRQ ODV HFXDFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SURSXHVWDV TXH
QXHYDPHQWH PXHVWUDQ XQ GHFDLPLHQWR PiV IXHUWH UHVSHFWR DO HVSHFWUR GHO FyGLJR 6H
SXHGHFRQFOXLUHQWRQFHVTXHSDUDHVWHFDVRHOHVSHFWURSURSXHVWRSRUODQRUPDVHXELFD
HQWUHGRVSRVLEOHVVLVPRVXQRGH0Z \' NPSRUHQFLPD\RWURGH0Z \
' NPTXHTXHGDSRUGHEDMRGHODQRUPDDPERVGHRULJHQFRUWLFDO\HVWLPDGRVSDUD
VXHOREODQGR




D

Crustal, Mw=6, D=50 km, rock


this study

Schmidt 1997

Dahle 1995

Zhao 2006

1000

GM PSA (cm/s2)

100

10

0.1

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

E

Crustal, Mw=6, D=50 km, hard


this study

Schmidt 1997

Zhao 2006

1000

GM PSA (cm/s2)

100

10

0.1

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

F

Crustal, Mw=6, D=50 km, soft


this study

Schmidt 1997

Dahle 1995

Zhao 2006

1000

100

GM PSA (cm/s2)



















































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

10

0.1

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

)LJXUD  &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH ORV HVSHFWURV HVWLPDGRV VHJ~Q GLVWLQWRV PRGHORV D  SDUD URFD 6,  E 
SDUD VXHOR ILUPH 6 ,,   \ F  SDUD VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,,  FRQ ODV SURSXHVWDV SRU ORV DXWRUHV 'DKOH HW DO
 6FKPLGWHWDO  \=KDRHWDO D 




Crustal, Mw=7, D=10 km, rock

D

this study

CSCR 2002

1000

3*$ 

GM PSA

100

10

1
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

Crustal, Mw=7, D=10 km, hard

E

this study

CSCR 2002

10000

1000

GM PSA

3*$ 

100

10

1
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

F

this study M7 D 10

CSCR 2002

this study M7 D50

10000

1000

3*$ 
GM PSA (cm/s2)




















































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

1
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

)LJXUD  &RPSDUDFLyQ GH ORV HVSHFWURV REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV HFXDFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ FRQ HO
&yGLJR6tVPLFRGH&RVWD5LFD &6&5 SDUDD URFDE VXHORILUPH\F VXHOREODQGR




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR






(QHVWH DSDUWDGRVHSODQWHDQODV HFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRGHOVXHORSDUD
VLVPRV SRU VXEGXFFLyQ HQ &RVWD 5LFD HQ WpUPLQRV GH OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD GH OD
DFHOHUDFLyQ SLFR *0 3*$  \ GH OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD GH OD SVHXGR DFHOHUDFLyQ
HVSHFWUDO *036$ SDUDHOGHDPRUWLJXDPLHQWR\SDUDIUHFXHQFLDV

(Q SULPHU OXJDU VH H[DPLQD OD GLVWULEXFLyQ GH 0Z YV OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO SDUD
UHYLVDU OD FRPSOHWLWXG GH ORV GDWRV 6H SURSRQHQ PRGHORV XVDQGR GLVWLQWDV
FRPELQDFLRQHV GH WLSRV GH HFXDFLRQHV \ PpWRGRV GH UHJUHVLyQ \ VH VHOHFFLRQD OD
FRPELQDFLyQPiVFRQYHQLHQWHSDUDORVGDWRVH[LVWHQWHV

6H REWLHQHQ ODV HFXDFLRQHV WDQWR SDUD *0 3*$ FRPR SDUD WRGDV ODV *0 36$
FRQVLGHUDGDV\VHFRPSDUDQFRQORVGDWRVRULJLQDOHVSRUPHGLRGHJUiILFRV6HFDOFXODQ
ORV UHVLGXRV \ ILQDOPHQWH VH FRPSDUDQ FRQ ODV REWHQLGDV HQ HVWH HVWXGLR SDUD VLVPRV
FRUWLFDOHV\FRQODVREWHQLGDVSRURWURVDXWRUHVSDUDVLVPRVGHVXEGXFFLyQ




3DUD HO FDVR GH HYHQWRV JHQHUDGRV SRU SURFHVRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ VH GHFLGLy WUDEDMDU
~QLFDPHQWH FRQ VLVPRV RFXUULGRV HQ &RVWD 5LFD GHELGR D TXH VRQ ORV TXH VH WLHQHQ
PHMRU LGHQWLILFDGRV \ PiV FODUDPHQWH VHSDUDGRV UHVSHFWR D ORV GH IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO
DGHPiV GH TXH FRQ HVWH JUXSR GH GDWRV IXH FRQ ORV TXH VH REWXYLHURQ UHVXOWDGRV PiV
HVWDEOHV \ FRQJUXHQWHV DO HVWLPDU ORV PRGHORV SDUD WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV
VHOHFFLRQDGRV

6HPHMDQWHDORGHVFULWRHQHODSDUWDGRSDUDODVHOHFFLyQGHORVGDWRVVHDSOLFDURQ
XQD VHULH GH ILOWURV TXH VH UHVXPHQ D FRQWLQXDFLyQ \ TXH \D IXHURQ GHWDOODGRV HQ
FDStWXORVSUHYLRV

 0DJQLWXGHV0ZVXSHULRUHVD\GLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVLQIHULRUHVDNP
 (Q FDVR GH TXH HO VLVPR QR KD\D VLGR SUHYLDPHQWH FODVLILFDGR VH FRQVLGHUy
GHQWUR GH OD FDWHJRUtD GH VXEGXFFLyQ WRGRV DTXHOORV FX\D SURIXQGLGDG IXHUD
PD\RURLJXDODNP
 (OLPLQDFLyQGHODPD\RUSDUWHGHORVUHJLVWURVDQDOyJLFRV \GHIRUPDVGH RQGD
LQFRPSOHWDV R LQFRUUHFWDV  FRQ XQD DSDULHQFLD YLVXDO LQDFHSWDEOH R ELHQ FRQ
67$/7$PHQRUDRVXSHULRUD
 (QHOFDVRGH&RVWD5LFDVHXVDURQFDVLWRGDVODVHVWDFLRQHVGHHVWHSDtV\DTXH
ODJUDQPD\RUtDGHHOODVFXPSOHFRQORVFULWHULRVGHFDOLILFDFLyQ$%R&

'H DFXHUGR FRQ OD WDEOD   HYHQWRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ JHQHUDURQ  UHJLVWURV
DFHOHURJUiILFRVGHORVFXDOHVVRORXQFRUUHVSRQGHQDVXHORVWLSR6,XQD6
,, \ XQ  D 6 ,,, \ 6 ,9 8QD YH] PiV VH REVHUYD OD SRFD FDQWLGDG GH UHJLVWURV
SURYHQLHQWHVGHHPSOD]DPLHQWRVHQURFD

'HDFXHUGRFRQODVPDJQLWXGHV0ZXQGHORVGDWRVWLHQHYDORUHVHQWUH\XQ
HQWUH\\VRODPHQWHXQWLHQHPDJQLWXGHVVXSHULRUHVD



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR




7DEOD'LVWULEXFLyQGHORVGDWRVGHHYHQWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQSURYHQLHQWHVGH&RVWD5LFDGHDFXHUGRDO
Q~PHURGHHYHQWRVQ~PHURGHUHJLVWURVWLSRGHVXHOR\UDQJRVGHPDJQLWXGHV


1~PHURGHHYHQWRV

1~PHURGHUHJLVWURV
6HJ~QWLSRGHVXHOR





6
 
D
 

6,,
 
D
 

6,,,\6,9
 
RPiV
 

Mw

6HJ~QUDQJRGH
PDJQLWXGHV

5HVSHFWR D OD GLVWULEXFLyQ JUiILFD GH ORV GDWRV ODV ILJXUDV  \  PXHVWUDQ ODV
PDJQLWXGHV HQ IXQFLyQ GH ODV GLVWDQFLDV KLSRFHQWUDOHV \ VH REVHUYDQ ORV SXQWRV
GLVWULEXLGRV HQ IRUPD PiV R PHQRV KRPRJpQHD FRQ DOJXQDV ]RQDV GHVFXELHUWDV
VREUHWRGRSDUDPDJQLWXGHVDOUHGHGRUGH\GLVWDQFLDVLQWHUPHGLDVDVtFRPRSDUD0Z 
 \ GLVWDQFLDV KLSRFHQWUDOHV FRUWDV HQWUH  \  NP &DEH PHQFLRQDU TXH OD
GLVWULEXFLyQGHGDWRVQRHVWDQGHQVDFRPRHQHOFDVRGHVLVPRVSRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO
DQDOL]DGRVHQODVHFFLyQDQWHULRU


Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,

subduction

Costa Rica

7.5

7

6.5

6


5.5

5

4.5

4


3.5

3

10
100
1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDVLVPRVJHQHUDGRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ&RVWD
5LFD


6LVHDJUXSDQORVGDWRVVHJ~Q HOWLSRGHVXHOR ILJXUD VHREVHUYDQ GLVWULEXFLRQHV
SRFR XQLIRUPHV SDUD URFD HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH PDJQLWXGHV \ PiV R PHQRV XQLIRUPHV
SDUD VXHORV ILUPH \ URFD SDUD PDJQLWXGHV HQWUH  \  (QWUH  \  ORV GDWRV VH
GLVWULEX\HQHQIRUPDPiVXQLIRUPHSDUDVXHORVILUPH\EODQGR







Moment magnitude vs. hypocentral distance,


subduction
soft

hard

rock

7.5
7
6.5
6
5.5
Mw






















3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

5
4.5
4
3.5
3
10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDVLVPRVJHQHUDGRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVHJ~QHO
WLSRGHVXHORGDWRVSDUD&RVWD5LFD

GM PGA c(cm/ss)


/DV*03*$VHGLVWULEX\HQUHVSHFWRDODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOWDO\FRPRORPXHVWUDQ
ODV ILJXUDV  \  6HJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR VH REVHUYDQ GDWRV GLVWULEXLGRV FDVL
XQLIRUPHPHQWHHQWRGRHOUDQJRGHGLVWDQFLDV\PDJQLWXGHVVLHQGRPiVHVFDVRVSDUD6
,

6L VH FRQVLGHUD OD GLVWULEXFLyQ GH ORV GDWRV UHVSHFWR D ORV WUHV UDQJRV GH PDJQLWXGHV
ILJXUD VHHYLGHQFLDODVHSDUDFLyQGHORVGDWRVGHDFXHUGRFRQHOORV\ODIRUPDHQ
TXH FDGD UDQJR VH DWHQ~D FRQ OD GLVWDQFLD FRORUHV D]XO URMR \ DPDULOOR HQ OD PLVPD
ILJXUD 

Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,

subduction

soft
hard
rock
1000



100


10



1


0.1

10
100
1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOGDWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVHSDUDGRVVHJ~Q
WLSRGHVXHOR&RVWD5LFD




Geometrical mean PGA vs. hypocentral distance,


subduction, magnitude ranges
4 - 4.9

5 - 5.9

6 - more

1000

100

GM PGA c(cm/ss)























3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

10

0.1
10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGH*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOGDWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVHSDUDGRVVHJ~Q
UDQJRVGHPDJQLWXGHV&RVWD5LFD





3DUDODVHOHFFLyQGHORVPRGHORVSRUVXEGXFFLyQIXHURQFRQVLGHUDGRVFLQFRFDVRVTXHVH
LQGLFDQHQODWDEOD6RQLGHQWLILFDGRVFRQGRVFLIUDV

/DSULPHUDFLIUDVHUHILHUHDOWLSRGHHFXDFLyQTXHVHJ~QORVWpUPLQRVGHODHFXDFLyQ
WLHQHODVLJXLHQWHIRUPD

HTXLYDOHD

ORJ< EE 0E ORJ VTUW 'E 6 E+ E(FXDFLyQ

<HVOD*03*$R*036$HQFPVORJFRUUHVSRQGHDOORJDULWPREDVHEDEVRQ
ORVFRHILFLHQWHVDVHUREWHQLGRVSRUPHGLRGHODUHJUHVLyQQRHVFRQVLGHUDGRHOWpUPLQR
TXH VH UHILHUH D OD DWHQXDFLyQ LQHOiVWLFD /RV GRV ~OWLPRV WpUPLQRV FRUUHVSRQGHQ D OD
FRQGLFLyQGHOVXHORHQHOVLWLRGHUHJLVWURHQFDVRGHTXHVHDURFD 6, 6 + VLHO
VXHORHVILUPH 6,, 6 \+ \SDUDVXHOREODQGR 6,,,\6,9 6 \+ 

HTXLYDOHD

ORJ< EE 0E 0E ORJ VTUW 'E E VTUW GE 6 E+ E(F

$TXtORVFRHILFLHQWHVDREWHQHUVRQEDE\VHFRQVLGHUDHOWpUPLQRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHD
ODDWHQXDFLyQLQHOiVWLFD DQWHSHQ~OWLPRWpUPLQRHQODHFXDFLyQ /RVFRHILFLHQWHVE\E
WLHQHQHOPLVPRVLJQLILFDGRTXHE\EHQODHFXDFLyQDQWHULRU






HTXLYDOHD


3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

ORJ< EE 0E ORJ VTUW ' 6 E+ E(FXDFLyQ


(VWH FDVR HV XQD YHUVLyQ VLPSOLILFDGD GHO WLSR GH HFXDFLyQ  HO FRHILFLHQWH
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODSURIXQGLGDGILFWLFLDEVHILMDDNPGHELGRDTXHHQPXFKRVFDVRV
ORVPpWRGRVGHLQYHUVLyQVRQLQFDSDFHVGHUHVROYHUORFRPRVXFHGLyDTXtSDUDDOJXQRV
SHULRGRV

/DVHJXQGDFLIUDTXHGHILQHFDGDFDVRFRUUHVSRQGHDOPpWRGRGHUHJUHVLyQXWLOL]DGR

FRUUHVSRQGHDODUHJUHVLyQRUGLQDULDGHXQSDVR PtQLPRVFXDGUDGRV 
FRUUHVSRQGHDODUHJUHVLyQRUGLQDULDGHGRVSDVRV -R\QHU %RRUH 

6LVHREVHUYDODWDEODODVPHQRUHVGHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUFRUUHVSRQGHQDORVFDVRV
\6LQHPEDUJRORVPRGHORV\VRQORVJUDILFDGRVHQODVILJXUDVD\
ESDUDURFD\PDJQLWXGHV0Z \UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH

(QHVWDPLVPDWDEODVHREVHUYDTXHEHVUHVXHOWRHQIRUPDGLVWLQWDSRUORVFLQFRFDVRV
FRQVLGHUDGRVWDO\FRPRVXFHGLySDUDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHV

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WLHQGHDVREUHWRGRDOFRQVLGHUDUORVFDVRV\

/RVFRHILFLHQWHVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQODDPSOLILFDFLyQTXHVXIUHHOVXHORILUPHUHVSHFWRDOD
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 VRQ EDVWDQWH PD\RUHV XQ    TXH UHSUHVHQWD XQ  GH DPSOLILFDFLyQ
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3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


'DGRTXHOD~QLFDGLIHUHQFLDHQWUHHVWRVFDVRVHVTXHHQHOODSURIXQGLGDGILFWLFLDHV
ILMDGD D  NP \ TXH HQ HO FDVR  HVWH QR IXH SRVLEOH HVWLPDUOR SDUD YDULRV SHULRGRV
HVWXGLDGRV LQHVWDELOLGDGHVGHOPRGHOR VHGHFLGLyVHOHFFLRQDUHOFRPRHOPRGHORPiV
DSURSLDGRSDUD ORV GDWRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ 2WURV WLSRV GH HFXDFLRQHV UHVXOWDURQ VHU PX\
FRPSOHMDV\GHLPSRVLEOHVROXFLyQFRQORVGDWRVGLVSRQLEOHV


7DEOD&DVRVFRQVLGHUDGRVSDUDVHOHFFLRQDUORVPRGHORVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ6HPXHVWUDQORVFRHILFLHQWHV
REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV UHJUHVLRQHV \ ODV GHVYLDFLRQHV HVWiQGDU 6'  FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV (Q FHOHVWH VH
PXHVWUDHOFDVRVHOHFFLRQDGR
Caso 1: 3 2
b1
3.23497

b2
0.63887

b3
-0.02439

b4
-2.85607

b1
0.67366

b2
0.38804

b3
-0.88246

b4
12.35314

b1
-1.19277

b2
1.02348

b3
-0.04511

b4
-0.96722

b1
1.0597

b2
0.54079

b3
-1.57902

b4
26.73778

b5
b6
0.36179
0.10591
Caso 5: 13 1

SD
0.352

b1
0.49807

b2
0.5371

b3
-1.30061

b4
0.35955

b5
0.11626

SD
0.352

b6
38.28745

b7
0.14435

b8
-0.02726

b6
-0.01721
b6
13.53483

SD
0.413
SD
0.418

b7
0.35693

b8
0.1152

SD
0.351

Comparison for subduction, rock, Mw = 6


1000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)
























b5
0.00744
Caso 2: 2 2
b5
0.14972
Caso 3: 3 1
b5
-0.00233
Caso 4: 2 1

100
Case 2
Case 4
Caso 5

10

1
10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVFDVRV\SDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVXHOR6,\0Z (Q
SXQWRVQHJURVVHUHSUHVHQWDQODVREVHUYDFLRQHVSDUDHVDPDJQLWXG\WLSRGHVXHOR




E

Comparison for subduction, rock, Mw = 7

10000

Case 2
Case 4
Caso 5

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)



D  Comparison for subduction, rock, Mw = 5

1000



100


10


1


0.1
100
1000
 10
Hypocentral distance (km)



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

1000
Case 2

100

Case 4
Case 5

10

1
10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVFDVRV\SDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQVXHOR6,\0Z  D \


0Z  E (QSXQWRVQHJURVODVREVHUYDFLRQHVSDUDFDGDPDJQLWXG\WLSRGHVXHOR



/RVPRGHORVREWHQLGRVFRQHOFDVRSDUDGLVWLQWDVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR\*03*$HQ
IXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOVRQPRVWUDGRVHQODVILJXUDVDEF\GGRQGH
ORVSXQWRVQHJURVFRUUHVSRQGHQDODVREVHUYDFLRQHVDMXVWDGDVDODVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHOR
6,6,,\6,,,UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH6HGLEXMDQDGHPiVODVFXUYDVUHIHUHQWHVD6'\VH
REVHUYDXQDGHFXDGRDMXVWHYLVXDOGHORVGDWRVGHQWURGHHVWRVUDQJRV3UiFWLFDPHQWHQR
DSDUHFHQ REVHUYDFLRQHV D GLVWDQFLDV LQIHULRUHV D ORV  NP FRPR HUD GH HVSHUDUVH
GHELGRDODUHVWULFFLyQLPSXHVWDDORVGDWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ

/DILJXUDGPXHVWUDODVFXUYDVREWHQLGDVSDUDORVWLSRVGHVXHOR6,6,,\6,,,HQ
XQPLVPRJUiILFR\VHHYLGHQFLDXQDPD\RUDPSOLILFDFLyQUHODWLYDGH6,,,D6,,TXHGH
6 ,, D 6 , OR TXH SURYLHQH GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV E \ E GHWHUPLQDGRV SRU HO PRGHOR
VHOHFFLRQDGRVHJ~QHOFDVRGHODWDEOD

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EHQIXQFLyQGHODPDJQLWXG6HREVHUYDHQDPERVFDVRVTXHORVUHVLGXRVVHXELFDQ
HQWUH  W  SRU OR TXH UHVXOWDQ VHU LQIHULRUHV \ PiV FHUFDQRV D FHUR UHVSHFWR D ORV
REWHQLGRVSDUDHYHQWRVSRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO

5HVSHFWR D OD PDJQLWXG ORV UHVLGXRV GHFUHFHQ HQ IXQFLyQ GH HVWD \ HQ DPERV FDVRV
GLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO\PDJQLWXG ODOtQHDGHUHVLGXRLJXDODFHURFRLQFLGHFRQODOtQHD
GHWHQGHQFLDSRUORTXHQRKD\XQVHVJRRLQFOLQDFLyQGHODPLVPD

6LVHFRPSDUDQODVUHODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVHQHOHVWXGLRSDUDVXEGXFFLyQFRQ
ODV GH VLVPRV SRU IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO ILJXUD   VH REVHUYD TXH ODV *0 3*$ SDUD
VXEGXFFLyQVRQPD\RUHVD~QHQHOUDQJRGHYDOLGH]GHHVWRVTXHHVDSDUWLUGHORV
NP /D DPSOLILFDFLyQ UHODWLYD HQWUH 6 ,,, \ 6 ,, WDPELpQ HV PD\RU SDUD HO FDVR GH
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UHODWLYDVGH6,,,D6,,\GH6,,D6,VRQPX\VHPHMDQWHV3RURWURODGRHOGHFDLPLHQWR
PRVWUDGRSRUODVFXUYDVSDUDPRGHORVSRUVXEGXFFLyQHVPD\RU




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


$O FRPSDUDU ODV HFXDFLRQHV SUHGLFWLYDV GHO PRYLPLHQWR GHO VXHOR SURSXHVWDV SRU
GLVWLQWRV DXWRUHV ILJXUD   VH REVHUYD TXH OD SURSXHVWD HQ HVWH HVWXGLR HV
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GLVWLQWDV SURSXHVWDV D GLVWDQFLDV PD\RUHV FHUFDQDV DO OtPLWH GH  NP /R DQWHULRU
VLJQLILFD TXH HO PRGHOR SURSXHVWR WLHQH XQ GHFDLPLHQWR PHQRU FRQ OD GLVWDQFLD TXH HO
UHVWR GH ORV PRGHORV FRQVLGHUDGRV D H[FHSFLyQ GH ORV SURSXHVWRV SRU 'DKOH HW DO
 \6FKPLGWHWDO  TXHPXHVWUDQXQGHFDLPLHQWRD~QPHQRU\TXHSRUWDQWR
SUHGLFHQPD\RUHVYDORUHVGH*03*$DGLVWDQFLDVODUJDV

(VWD FRPSDUDFLyQ HV LPSRUWDQWH \D TXH 6FKPLGW HW DO   WDPELpQ REWXYLHURQ
HFXDFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQSDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQDSDUWLUGHGDWRVGH&RVWD5LFD
SHURWDO\FRPRVHGLMRDQWHVORVUHVXOWDGRVQRFRUUHVSRQGHQDOPLVPRJUXSRGHGDWRV
\D TXH HQ  SUHGRPLQDURQ ORV SURYHQLHQWHV GH LQVWUXPHQWRV DQDOyJLFRV \ ORV
PpWRGRVGHUHJUHVLyQXWLOL]DGRVVHEDVDQHQSULQFLSLRVGLVWLQWRV




































100

1000

100

1000

soft + SD
soft - SD

soft

100

1000

10000

G

10

100

100

1000

100
Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Subdu, soils, Mw = 6, case 5, PGA

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Subdu, hard, Mw = 6, case 5, PGA

1000

hard
soft

rock

hard + SD
hard - SD

hard

)LJXUD5HODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVDSDUWLUGHVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQUHJLVWUDGRVHQ&RVWD5LFDSDUD0Z \FDVRD SDUDVXHOR6,E SDUDVXHOR6


,,\F SDUDVXHOR6,,,/DVREVHUYDFLRQHV SXQWRVQHJURV VHKDQDMXVWDGRDODUHVSHFWLYDFRQGLFLyQGHVXHOR/DILJXUDG FRPSDUDODVFRUYDVREWHQLGDVSDUDORVWUHV
WLSRVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGRV

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

Subdu, soft, Mw = 6, case 5, PGA

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

rock - SD

rock + SD

rock

1000

10000

E

1
1

Subdu, rock, Mw = 6, case 5, PGA



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

10

10

100

1000

10000

F

10

100

1000

10000

D

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)
GM PGA (cm/s/s)

D

E

Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu

Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu

1.5

1.5

0.5

0.5
residuals

residuals



















3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

-0.5

-0.5

-1

-1

-1.5

-1.5

10

100

1000

hypocentral distance (km)

magnitude

)LJXUD  5HVLGXRV SDUD HYHQWRV SRU VXEGXFFLyQ HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO D  \ OD
PDJQLWXG E 

Comparison subdu crustal, Mw = 6, PGA


10000

GM PSA (cm/s/s)


























1000
crust-rock
crust-hard
crust-soft

100

subdu-rock
subdu-hard
subdu-soft

10

1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD  &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH ODV UHODFLRQHV GH DWHQXDFLyQ SDUD VLVPRV GH IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO \
VXEGXFFLyQREWHQLGDVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRSDUDODVGLVWLQWDVFRQGLFLRQHVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGDV/DOtQHD
YHUWLFDOPXHVWUDHOLQLFLRGHOUDQJRGHYDOLGH]SDUDODVUHODFLRQHVGHVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ NP 









Comparison subdu, rock, Mw = 6, PGA


this study

Schmidt et al, 1997

Dahle 1995

Garcia 2005

Atkinson 2003

Cepeda 2004

Zhao 2006

10000

1000
GM PGA (cm/s/s)


























3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHODVUHODFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQREWHQLGDVSRUGLVWLQWRVDXWRUHVSDUDHYHQWRV
SRUVXEGXFFLyQSDUD0Z \*03*$/DOtQHDYHUWLFDOGHSXQWRVLQGLFDHOLQLFLRGHOD]RQDGHYDOLGH]
SDUDHOPRGHORSURSXHVWRHQHVWHHVWXGLRTXHFRUUHVSRQGHDNP







3DUD ODV UHJUHVLRQHV UHIHUHQWHV D OD PHGLD JHRPpWULFD HQWUH ODV GRV SVHXGRV
DFHOHUDFLRQHV HVSHFWUDOHV KRUL]RQWDOHV *0 36$  IXHURQ FRQVLGHUDGRV  SHULRGRV
FRPSUHQGLGRVHQWUHV\V

3ULPHUR VH PXHVWUDQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV SDUD  +] V GH SHULRGR   \ PiV
DGHODQWH ORV HVSHFWURV FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV PHQFLRQDGRV DVt
FRPR ODV FRPSDUDFLRQHV FRQ UHVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV SRU DXWRUHV GH RWUDV UHJLRQHV GHO
PXQGR

/DV HFXDFLRQHV SUHGLFWLYDV HVWLPDGDV SDUD URFD 0Z   DVt FRPR ORV YDORUHV
REVHUYDGRVDSDUWLUGHORVFXDOHVVHREWXYLHURQODVUHJUHVLRQHVVHPXHVWUDQHQODILJXUD
D 1yWHVH TXH HQ HVWH FDVR D GLIHUHQFLD GHO 3*$ YDULRV SXQWRV QHJURV
REVHUYDFLRQHV  VH VDOHQ GHO UDQJR GHILQLGR SRU   6' (Q OD ILJXUD E VH SXHGH
QRWDUODJUDQDPSOLILFDFLyQTXHVHREWLHQHHQHOWLSRGHVXHOR6,,, \HVWRHVGHELGRDO
FRHILFLHQWHE TXHHVPX\VXSHULRUDOYDORUGHE TXHFRUUHVSRQGHDO
VXHORWLSR6,,DPERVFDVRVUHVSHFWRDODURFD YHUWDEODSDUDV 

5HVSHFWR D ORV UHVLGXRV GH *0 36$ SDUD  +] VH REVHUYDQ YDORUHV PD\RUHV TXH ORV
REWHQLGRVSDUD*03*$(QHOFDVRDFWXDODOJXQRVYDORUHVVXSHUDQ\GHUHVLGXR
SHUR OD PD\RUtD VH FRQFHQWUD GHQWUR GH HVH UDQJR ILJXUD D  (Q OD ILJXUD E



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

GM PSA (cm/s/s)

GM PSA (cm/s/s)


GRQGH VH PXHVWUDQ ORV UHVLGXRV HQ IXQFLyQ GH OD PDJQLWXG VH REVHUYDQ YDORUHV DOWRV
SDUD 0Z   GHELGR D TXH ODV REVHUYDFLRQHV VXSHUDQ D ODV HVWLPDFLRQHV HQ EXHQD
PHGLGD 6L VH DQDOL]DQ DPERV JUiILFRV OD OtQHD SURPHGLR FRLQFLGH FRQ OD GHO UHVLGXR
LJXDODFHURSRUORTXHQRVHHYLGHQFLDXQVHVJRUHVSHFWRDOLQFUHPHQWRGHODGLVWDQFLD
KLSRFHQWUDORDODPDJQLWXG



Subdu, rock, Mw = 6, case 5, PSA 1 Hz
D
E Subdu, soils, Mw = 6, case 5, PSA, 1Hz
1000
1000


100

100

rock
rock + SD
 10
rock - SD

10
 1

 0.1
1
1
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
 1
Hypocentral
distance
(km)
Hypocentral
distance
(km)



rock
hard
soft

)LJXUD  5HVXOWDGRV REWHQLGRV FRQ ORV GDWRV GH &RVWD 5LFD VXEGXFFLyQ /D ILJXUD D  PXHVWUD ODV
REVHUYDFLRQHV SXQWRV QHJURV  WUDQVIRUPDGDV D URFD \ ORV UDQJRV TXH GHILQHQ   6' /D ILJXUD E 
PXHVWUDODVFXUYDVREWHQLGDVSDUDORVGLVWLQWRVWLSRVGHVXHOR

E

Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu

Log(obs)-Log(pred), subdu

1.5

1.5

1
residuals

residuals




D














0.5
0

0.5
0

-0.5

-0.5

-1

-1

-1.5

-1.5
10

100
hypocentral distance (km)

1000

magnitude

)LJXUD5HVLGXRVREWHQLGRVDSDUWLUGHODVHFXDFLRQHVGHDWHQXDFLyQSDUD&RVWD5LFDVXEGXFFLyQHQ
IXQFLyQGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO D \HQIXQFLyQGHODPDJQLWXG E 




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

GM PSA (cm/s/s)



6LVHFRPSDUDQODVHFXDFLRQHVREWHQLGDVGH*036$D+]SDUDGDWRVGHVLVPRVGH
IDOODPLHQWRORFDOFRQODVGHVXEGXFFLyQ ILJXUD VHREVHUYDTXHSDUDHVWDV~OWLPDV
ODV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV VRQ PD\RUHV VREUHWRGR HO HIHFWR GH DPSOLILFDFLyQ SRU
SUHVHQFLD GH VXHOR 6 ,,, HV EDVWDQWH PD\RU TXH SDUD VLVPRV GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO SRU
VLVPRVFRUWLFDOHV(OGHFDLPLHQWRGHODVFXUYDVEDVDGDVHQDPERVPRGHORVHVSDUHFLGR
\DTXHUHVXOWDQVHUEDVWDQWHSDUDOHODV


Comparison subdu crustal, Mw = 6, PSA 1 Hz


1000




100
crustal-rock

crustal-hard
crustal-soft

subdu-rock

subdu-hard

subdu-soft
10




1

1
10
100
1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHPRGHORVGHVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ OtQHDVURMDV \GHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO
OtQHDVD]XOHV VHJ~QHOWLSRGHVXHORSDUD0Z \+]GH36$


$OFRPSDUDUODVHFXDFLRQHVDTXtSURSXHVWDVFRQODVGHRWURVDXWRUHVVREUHWRGRDSDUWLU
GHOUDQJRGHYDOLGH]GHORVGDWRVGHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLR NPSDUDVXEGXFFLyQGHILQLGR
SRU OD OtQHD YHUWLFDOSXQWHDGD HQ OD ILJXUD   VH QRWD TXH ORV UHVXOWDGRVSDUD &RVWD
5LFDVHDVHPHMDQPXFKRDORVREWHQLGRVSRU*DUFtDHWDO  SDUDUHJLVWURVHQURFD
GH VLVPRV SRU VXEGXFFLyQ HQ 0p[LFR $PERV FDVRV SUHGLFHQ YDORUHV GH *0 36$
LQIHULRUHV D FDVL WRGR HO UHVWR GH ORV PRGHORV FRQVLGHUDGRV D~Q FXDQGR ORV GHPiV
GHFDHQPiVIXHUWHPHQWHFRQODGLVWDQFLD $WNLQVRQ %RRUH=KDRHWDOD 

+D\XQDFODUDGLIHUHQFLDFRQORVPRGHORVSURSXHVWRVWDQWRSRU'DKOHHWDO  FRPR
SRU 6FKPLGW HW DO   \D TXH HVWRV SUHGLFHQ YDORUHV PD\RUHV HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH
SHULRGRV\WLHQHQXQGHFDLPLHQWRPHQRUFRQODGLVWDQFLD














Comparison subdu, rock, Mw = 6, PSA 1Hz


this study

Schmidt et al, 1997

Dahle 1995

Zhao 2006

Garcia 2005

Atkinson 2003

10000

1000
GM PSA (cm/s/s)





















3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

0.1
1

10
100
Hypocentral distance (km)

1000

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQGHORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHVWHHVWXGLRFRQORVSURSXHVWRVSRURWURV
DXWRUHVSDUD+]*036$SDUDVXHOR6,\0Z 



/DILJXUDPXHVWUDJUiILFRVTXHUHSUHVHQWDQORVHVSHFWURVGHUHVSXHVWDREWHQLGRV
FRQ ORV GDWRV GH VLVPRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ FRQVLGHUDGRV HQ HVWH HVWXGLR SDUD GLVWLQWDV
GLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVGHNPNP\NP\YDORUHVGHPDJQLWXG0ZGH\


(Q WRGRV HVWRV FDVRV HV HYLGHQWH OD VLJQLILFDWLYD DPSOLILFDFLyQ TXH PXHVWUD HO WLSR GH
VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,, HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV SHUR HV VREUHWRGR HQWUH  \  V
GRQGH HVWH HIHFWR HV PiV QRWRULR (VWR VH DFHQW~D SDUD PDJQLWXGHV DOWDV GRQGH ORV
HVSHFWURVSDUDURFDUHVXOWDQVHUPiVSODQRV\SRUORWDQWRORVIDFWRUHVGHDPSOLILFDFLyQ
SURGXFHQXQHIHFWRPiVGUDPiWLFR YHU~OWLPDILODGHJUiILFRVGHODILJXUD 

/RVHVSHFWURVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDPDJQLWXGHVEDMDV 0ZLJXDOD WLHQHQXQSLFRPiV
GHILQLGRDOUHGHGRUGHVORTXHHVGHHVSHUDUVH\DTXHFRUUHVSRQGHQDVLVPRVFRQ
XQFRQWHQLGRIUHFXHQFLDOPHQRUTXHVLVPRVPiVJUDQGHV

(VGHUHVDOWDUTXHHOVXHOR6,,DPSOLILFDUHODWLYDPHQWHSRFRUHVSHFWRDODURFDHQWRGR
HOUDQJRGHSHULRGRVLQGHSHQGLHQWHPHQWHGHODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDORODPDJQLWXG\D
TXHODVFXUYDVTXHFRUUHVSRQGHQDORVWLSRVGHVXHOR6,\D6,,VRQEDVWDQWHSDUDOHODV









period (s)

period (s)

0.1

period (s)

hard

Subdu, M=7, D=25 km

0.1

hard

Subdu, M=6, D=25 km

rock

rock

0.1

hard

Subdu, M=5, D=25 km

soft

soft

soft

10

10

10

GM PSA (cm/s2)
0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

rock

pe riod (s)

0.1
pe riod (s )

hard

0.1
pe riod (s )

hard

Subdu, M=6, D=50 km

0.1

hard

Subdul, M=5, D=50 km

Subdu, M=7, D=50 k m

rock

rock

soft

soft

soft

10

10

10

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

period (s)

0.1
period (s)

hard

0.1
period (s)

hard

Subdu, M=6, D=100 km

0.1

hard

Subdu, M=5, D=100 km

Subdu, M=7, D=100 km

rock

rock

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

rock

soft

soft

soft

10

10

10

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHVSUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

0Z  ILOD \0Z  ILOD SDUDORVWUHVWLSRVGHVXHORFRQVLGHUDGRV6LVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQ&RVWD5LFD

)LJXUD(VSHFWURVREWHQLGRVDSDUWLUGHODVUHJUHVLRQHVSDUDWUHVGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHV FRO  FRO \NP FRO \SDUDWUHVPDJQLWXGHV0Z  ILOD 




0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

100

1000

rock

GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)
GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


/D WDEOD  PXHVWUD ORV FRHILFLHQWHV \ ODV GHVYLDFLRQHV HVWiQGDU FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D
FDGDSHULRGRVHOHFFLRQDGR(VWRVVRQUHSUHVHQWDGRVJUiILFDPHQWHHQODVILJXUDVDE
F\G

6H REVHUYD FRPR E TXH VH UHODFLRQD FRQ OD IXHQWH JHQHUDGRUD GHO VLVPR
SUHGRPLQDQWHPHQWHGHFDHFRQHODXPHQWRGHOSHULRGRVREUHWRGRHQWUHV\VGH
XQ YDORU GH  D  ILJXUD D  6LQ HPEDUJR PXHVWUD XQ FRPSRUWDPLHQWR
HVSHUDGR\VHPHMDQWHDOGHVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVVLHQGRPD\RUHVORVREWHQLGRVFRQVLVPRV
SRUVXEGXFFLyQ

3RU HO FRQWUDULR E FRHILFLHQWH GH HVFDOD GH PDJQLWXG ILJXUD E  DXPHQWD FRQ HO
SHULRGRGHHQVDHQV(VWHFRHILFLHQWHVHFRPSRUWDHQIRUPDEDVWDQWH
VHPHMDQWHDOESDUDVLVPRVFRUWLFDOHVGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO\HVFRKHUHQWHFRQHOKHFKR
GHTXHODPDJQLWXGWLHQHPD\RULQIOXHQFLDSDUDSHULRGRVODUJRV

(OFRHILFLHQWHETXHUHSUHVHQWDODH[SDQVLyQJHRPpWULFDRDWHQXDFLyQHQIXQFLyQGHOD
GLVWDQFLD WLHQH XQD YDULDFLyQ PD\RU \ YDORUHV DOJR VXSHULRUHV TXH SDUD VLVPRV GH
IDOODPLHQWRORFDOLQFUHPHQWiQGRVHHQ HVWHFDVRGHHQV DHQVSDUD
OXHJRVXIULUXQGHVFHQVRKDVWDOOHJDUDXQYDORUGH ILJXUDF 

3RU RWUR ODGR OD GHVYLDFLyQ HVWiQGDU 6' WLHQH XQ OLJHUR LQFUHPHQWR JUDGXDO FRQ HO
DXPHQWRGHOSHULRGRGHVGHHQVKDVWDHQV(VWRVYDORUHVVRQDOJR
LQIHULRUHVDORVREWHQLGRVFRQVLVPRVSRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDOSDUD$PpULFD&HQWUDOSHUR
VX WHQGHQFLD DO LQFUHPHQWR HV VLPLODU ILJXUD G  OR TXH WDO \ FRPR VH GLMR SXHGH
HVWDUDVRFLDGRDOSURFHVDPLHQWRGHORVUHJLVWURV

7DEOD&RHILFLHQWHV\GHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUSDUDSHULRGRVVHOHFFLRQDGRV6LVPRVGHVXEGXFFLyQHQ
&RVWD5LFD


3HULRG






















IUHF






















E






















E






















E






















E






















E






















6'

























3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR








 
 

Coef C1 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

D




 
 

Coef C2 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

E

1.2

0.8

C1

C2

-1
0.6

-2
0.4
-3
0.2

-4
-5
0.01

0.1

0
0.01

10

0.1

Coef C3 vs. period


&RHIEYVSHULRG

F

10

10

period

period

SD vs. period
6'YVSHULRG

G
0.6

0
-0.2

0.5

-0.4
0.4
SD

-0.6
C3





































-0.8
-1

0.3

0.2

-1.2
0.1

-1.4
-1.6
0.01

0.1

1
period

10

0
0.01

0.1
period

)LJXUD5HSUHVHQWDFLyQJUiILFDGHORVFRHILFLHQWHVEDE\GHODVGHVYLDFLRQHVHVWiQGDUPRVWUDGRV
HQODWDEODSDUDVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQHQ&RVWD5LFD


/DILJXUDUHSUHVHQWDORVFRHILFLHQWHVGHOVXHORE VXHOREODQGR \E VXHORILUPH \
VH FRPSDUDQ FRQ UHVXOWDGRV VHPHMDQWHV REWHQLGRV SDUD -DSyQ SRU =KDR HW DO E 
FDOFXODGRV D SDUWLU GH ORV SURPHGLRV GH ODV UD]RQHV +9 SDUD XQD JUDQ FDQWLGDG GH
HVWDFLRQHV FODVLILFDGDV VHJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR 6H REVHUYD TXH E HV EDVWDQWH HVWDEOH
GHELGR D TXH WLHQH XQ YDORU SURPHGLR FHUFDQR D  HQ WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV
VHPHMDQWHDOREWHQLGRSDUD-DSyQ6LQHPEDUJREHVEDVWDQWHPiVDOWRTXHHQORVGDWRV
SURYHQLHQWHVGH-DSyQ\SDUDXQSHULRGRGHVOOHJDDXQYDORUGH(Q-DSyQVHOOHJD
DXQYDORUPi[LPRGHHQXQSHULRGRDOJRLQIHULRUDV

7DO\FRPRVHFRPHQWyHQHODSDUWDGRHVWHHIHFWRGHDPSOLILFDFLyQH[FHVLYDSRU
SUHVHQFLD GH VXHORV EODQGRV SXHGH GHEHUVH D TXH ORV VXHORV HQ $PpULFD &HQWUDO HQ
JHQHUDO WLHQHQ XQ JUDGR PD\RU GH PHWHRUL]DFLyQ \ GH PiV PDOD FDOLGDG TXH RWUDV
ODWLWXGHVGHELGRDTXHVRQWLHUUDVPiVMyYHQHV\TXHDGHPiVHQHVWHHVWXGLRHOVXHOR6
,,, VH DJUXSy D 6 ,9 SRU OR TXH HQ HVWXGLRV SRVWHULRUHV VHUtD PHMRU WUDWDUORV FRPR



G M PSA (cm/s2)

3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


FDWHJRUtDV VHSDUDGDV VLHPSUH \ FXDQGR VH FXHQWH FRQ XQD FODVLILFDFLyQ GH VXHORV PiV
SUHFLVDEDVDGDHQHVWXGLRVJHRItVLFRVSDUDODPD\RUtDGHODVHVWDFLRQHVTXHVHWRPHQHQ
FXHQWD6LQHPEDUJRGHEHWHQHUVHSUHVHQWHTXHODFRPSDUDFLyQHQWUHDPERVJUiILFRVHV
GHFDUiFWHUFXDOLWDWLYDHQHOVHQWLGRGHTXHIXHURQREWHQLGRVSRUPpWRGRVGLVWLQWRVHQ
HOFDVRGH$PpULFD&HQWUDOORVIDFWRUHVIXHURQHVWLPDGRVDSDUWLUGHLQYHUVLRQHV\ORV
SURSXHVWRV SDUD -DSyQ FDOFXODQGR HO SURPHGLR GH ODV UD]RQHV HVSHFWUDOHV +9 SDUD
WRGDV ODV HVWDFLRQHV FODVLILFDGDV VHJ~Q HO WLSR GH VXHOR UHVSHFWLYR 6LQ HPEDUJR VRQ
UHPDUFDEOHVODVVHPHMDQ]DVHQFXDQWRDODVWHQGHQFLDV

Soil coefficients, subdu


hard
soft
 5

D
4.5
 4

3.5
E

E
E
E
 3
2.5

 2
1.5

1

0.5
 0
 0.01
0.1
1
10

period (s)



)LJXUD  *UiILFRV TXH PXHVWUDQ OD YDULDFLyQ GH ORV FRHILFLHQWHV GH VXHOR E R VXHOR EODQGR \ E R
VXHORILUPH SDUDD ORVGDWRVGHVLVPRVGHVXEGXFFLyQHQ&RVWD5LFD\E ORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVSDUD
-DSyQSRU=KDRHWDO E 


/DVILJXUDVD\EFRPSDUDQORVHVSHFWURVSDUD*036$REWHQLGRVSDUDVLVPRV
SRUIDOODPLHQWRORFDO $PpULFD&HQWUDO \SRUVXEGXFFLyQ &RVWD5LFD SDUDUHJLVWURVHQ
URFD \ GRV GLVWDQFLDV KLSRFHQWUDOHV GLVWLQWDV  \  NP 6H REVHUYDQ IRUPDV
HVSHFWUDOHV SDUHFLGDV HQ DPERV FDVRV VH HYLGHQFLD XQ SLFR HQ  V \ VH QRWD FyPR
SDUDPDJQLWXGHVPiVDOWDVORVHVSHFWURVVHYXHOYHQPiVVXDYL]DGRV\KRUL]RQWDOHV3DUD
WRGR HO UDQJR GH SHULRGRV ORV HVSHFWURV GH VLVPRV GH VXEGXFFLyQ WLHQHQ RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVPD\RUHVTXHORVGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDO











D


100


10

1

0.1


0.01
 0.01




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR
Crustal and subduction, D=50 km, rock
crustal M6
subdu M5

subdu M6
crustal M7

1000

crustal M6
crustal M7

subdu M6
subdu M5

crustal M5
crustal M7

1000

100
GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)

Crustal and subduction, M=6, D=100 km, rock

E

crustal M5
subdu M7

10

0.1

0.1

1
period (s)

10

0.01
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

)LJXUD  &RPSDUDFLyQ HQWUH HVSHFWURV GH VLVPRV GH IDOODPLHQWR ORFDO OtQHDV FRQWLQXDV  \ GH
VXEGXFFLyQ OtQHDV GLVFRQWLQXDV  SDUD PDJQLWXGHV 0Z GH   \  VXHOR WLSR 6 , \ GLVWDQFLDV
KLSRFHQWUDOHVGHNP D \GHNP E 


$O FRPSDUDU ORV HVSHFWURV SURSXHVWRV SRU GLYHUVRV DXWRUHV FRQ ORV REWHQLGRV HQ HO
SUHVHQWH HVWXGLR SDUD 0Z   \ GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO GH  NP VH REVHUYD TXH SDUD
URFD ILJXUDD HVWHHVWXGLRFRLQFLGHEDVWDQWHELHQFRQHOGH*DUFtDHWDO  D
SDUWLUGHORVVGHSHULRGR6LQHPEDUJRHQHOUDQJRGHDVORVPRGHORVSDUD
&RVWD 5LFD SUHGLFHQ PD\RUHV RUGHQDGDV HVSHFWUDOHV \ SDUD SHULRGRV LQIHULRUHV D  V
HVWDVLWXDFLyQVHLQYLHUWHUHVXOWDQGRPD\RUHVODVGH0p[LFR

=KDR HW DO D  VH PDQWLHQH VLHPSUH SRU HQFLPD GH WRGRV ORV PRGHORV DVt FRPR
VXFHGH FRQ ORV GH 'DKOH HW DO   \ 6FKPLGW HW DO   TXH VRQ
FRQVLGHUDEOHPHQWHPD\RUHVDORVTXHDTXtVHSURSRQHQDSDUWLUGHV

6LVHDQDOL]DHOJUiILFRSDUDODVPLVPDVFRQGLFLRQHVGHGLVWDQFLD\PDJQLWXGDQWHULRUHV
SHUR SDUD VXHOR EODQGR ILJXUD E  VH REVHUYD TXH ORV YDORUHV GH ODV RUGHQDGDV
HVSHFWUDOHVGHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRVXSHUDQODVSURSXHVWDVSRUORVRWURVDXWRUHVGHVGHV
KDVWD  V $ SDUWLU GH HVH SHULRGR ODV FXUYDV VH DVHPHMDQ WHQLHQGR XQ GHFDLPLHQWR
PHQRU PD\RUHVYDORUHVGH*036$ ODVSURSXHVWDVSRU'DKOHHWDO  \6FKPLGW
HWDO  2EVpUYHVHTXHQRVHFRPSDUDFRQ*DUFtDHWDO  GHELGRDTXHSDUD
HVDVHFXDFLRQHVVRORVHFRQVLGHUDURQGDWRVSDUDURFD

/DDPSOLILFDFLyQGHVFULWDHQHOSiUUDIRDQWHULRUHVGHELGDDORVDOWRVYDORUHVREWHQLGRV
SDUD HO FRHILFLHQWH E SDUD VXHOR EODQGR 6 ,,,  VHJ~Q OD WDEOD  \ OD ILJXUD D
VLWXDFLyQTXHUHIXHU]DODLGHDGHTXHORVVXHORVEODQGRVHQHOiUHDGHHVWXGLRVXIUHQXQD
IXHUWHDPSOLILFDFLyQSDUDSHULRGRVPD\RUHVDV

)LQDOPHQWH OD ILJXUD  FRPSDUD ORV HVSHFWURV REWHQLGRV D SDUWLU GH ODV HFXDFLRQHV
SURSXHVWDVSDUDXQVLVPRGHPDJQLWXG0Z \GLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO' NPFRQ
ORVHVSHFWURVGHGLVHxRGHO&yGLJR6tVPLFRGH&RVWD5LFD &),$ SDUDODFLXGDG
GH6DQ-RVp =RQD,,, SDUDURFD ILJXUDD \VXHOREODQGR ILJXUDE 

6HREVHUYDTXHSDUDURFDHOHVSHFWURGHODQRUPDVHXELFDSRUHQFLPDGHOREWHQLGRFRQ
ODV HFXDFLRQHVSDUD HVRV GRVSDUiPHWURV GH PDJQLWXG \ GLVWDQFLDSRU OR TXH VHSXHGH



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

GM PSA (cm/s2)

GM PSA (cm/s2)


DILUPDUTXHGHDFXHUGRFRQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHOHVSHFWURTXHSURSRQHODQRUPD
FXEUHDOPHQRVDXQVLVPRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQFRQPDJQLWXGGH\GLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDO
FHUFDQDDNP3RUORWDQWRVLVPRVFRQHVWHRULJHQFRQPDJQLWXGHVLQIHULRUHVD \
GLVWDQFLDVVXSHULRUHVDNPHVWiQFXELHUWRVWDPELpQ

$OFRPSDUDUORVHVSHFWURVGHOFyGLJRPHQFLRQDGRFRQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHVWD
WHVLV SDUD VXHOR EODQGR VH REVHUYD DO LJXDO TXH HQ HO FDVR GH VLVPRV FRUWLFDOHV TXH D
SDUWLU GH  V GH SHULRGR HO HVSHFWUR GH OD QRUPD HV FRQVHUYDGRU UHVSHFWR DO HVSHFWUR
SURSXHVWRDTXtSHURDPERVVRQPX\VHPHMDQWHVGHVGHVKDVWDV


Subdu, Mw=6, D=50 km, rock
this study
Schmidt 1997
Dahle

D
Zhao 2006
Garcia 2005

1000


100


10



1


0.1


0.01

0.01
0.1
1
10

period (s)


Subdu, Mw=6, D=50 km, soft

this study
Schmidt 1997
Dahle 1995
Zhao 2006

1000
E


100


10



1


0.1



0.01
0.01
0.1
1
10

period (s)


)LJXUD(VSHFWURVGHUHVSXHVWDTXHFRPSDUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVHQHOSUHVHQWHHVWXGLRFRQORV
SURSXHVWRV SRU GLYHUVRV DXWRUHV SDUD 0Z   \ XQD GLVWDQFLD KLSRFHQWUDO GH  NP /D ILJXUD D 
FRUUHVSRQGHDURFD\ODE DVXHOREODQGR




Subdu Mw=7 D=25 Km, rock

D

CSCR 2002

this study

10000

GM PSA (cm/s2)

1000

3*$ 
100

10

1
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

Subdu, Mw=7, D=25 km, soft

E

this study

CSCR 2002

10000

1000
3*$ 
GM PSA (cm/s2)













































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

1
0.01

0.1

10

period (s)

)LJXUD&RPSDUDFLyQHQWUHORVHVSHFWURVGHO&yGLJR6tVPLFRGH&RVWD5LFDFRQORVREWHQLGRVHQHVWD
PHPRULDSDUDXQVLVPRGH0Z \' NPSDUDD URFDE VXHOREODQGR








3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR




(Q HVWH DSDUWDGR VH SODQWHDUiQ HFXDFLRQHV SUHGLFWLYDV XWLOL]DQGR UHJLVWURV GH VLVPRV
FX\RRULJHQHVWDQWRGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDOFRPRGHVXEGXFFLyQ(QYLVWDGHTXHH[LVWHQ
PX\SRFDVHFXDFLRQHVDQLYHOPXQGLDOTXHSHUPLWDQFRPELQDUGDWRVGHHVWRVGRVWLSRV
VH DGRSWDUi OD SURSXHVWD SRU =KDR HW DO D  SDUD -DSyQ /RV PRGHORV VHUiQ
SURSXHVWRV~QLFDPHQWHSDUD*03*$



$OLJXDOTXHHQORVFDVRVDQWHULRUHVDORVGDWRVXWLOL]DGRVOHVIXHURQLPSXHVWDVXQDVHULH
GHFRQGLFLRQHVTXHVHHQXPHUDQDFRQWLQXDFLyQ

 /DV HVWDFLRQHV FRQVLGHUDGDV SDUD GDWRV SURYHQLHQWHV GH $PpULFD &HQWUDO $& 
IXHURQ VRODPHQWH ODV TXH UHFLELHURQ FDOLILFDFLyQ $ R % GH DFXHUGR FRQ OD
GHILQLFLyQSUHVHQWDGDHQHOFDStWXOR
 /DV HVWDFLRQHV GH 0p[LFR TXH IXHURQ LQFRUSRUDGDV HQ HVWD HWDSD GHO HVWXGLR
IXHURQFODVLILFDGDVFRPRURFDWDO\FRPRORLQGLFDODIXHQWHGHGDWRVFRQVXOWDGD
KWWSZZZVHLVPRXQYHGXJXHUUHUR ,QVWLWXWR GH ,QYHVWLJDFLRQHV GH OD
8QLYHUVLGDG 1DFLRQDO $XWyQRPD GH 0p[LFR &RRUGLQDFLyQ GH ,QVWUXPHQWDFLyQ
6tVPLFD 
 /DVPDJQLWXGHV0ZXVDGDVVRQVXSHULRUHVD
 /DVGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVXVDGDVVRQKDVWDNP
 /RVVLVPRVTXHVHFODVLILFDURQFRPRGHIDOODPLHQWRORFDOFRUUHVSRQGHQDFDVRV
GH SURIXQGLGDGHV LQIHULRUHV D  NP D PHQRV TXH ODV DJHQFLDV FRQVXOWDGDV
UHSRUWDUDQ RWUR WLSR GH FODVLILFDFLyQ R ELHQ VH LQFOX\HUDQ GHQWUR GH HVWD
FDWHJRUtD VLVPRV FRQ SURIXQGLGDGHV PD\RUHV )XHURQ FODVLILFDGRV FRPR GH
VXEGXFFLyQ DTXHOORV FX\D SURIXQGLGDG IXHUD LJXDO R PD\RU D  NP D PHQRV
TXHODVIXHQWHVGHLQIRUPDFLyQFRQVXOWDGDVORVFODVLILTXHQFRPRGHIDOODPLHQWR
ORFDO
 /RV PHFDQLVPRV IRFDOHV DVLJQDGRV IXHURQ WRPDGRV GH *OREDO &07 +DUYDUG
&HQWURLG0RPHQW7HQVRU KWWSZZZJOREDOFPWRUJ  6LQ HPEDUJR VRODPHQWH
VLVPRVFRQPDJQLWXGHV0ZLJXDOHVRVXSHULRUHVDHVWiQLQFOXLGRVHQHVDEDVH
GH GDWRV SRU OR WDQWR D ORV VLVPRV GH 0Z HQWUH  \  QR OHV IXH DVLJQDGR HO
PHFDQLVPR D PHQRV TXH HQ RWUDV IXHQWHV FRQVXOWDGDV VH HQFRQWUDUD WDO
LQIRUPDFLyQ
 (OLPLQDFLyQ GH OD PD\RU SDUWH GH UHJLVWURV DQDOyJLFRV SRU VX LQIHULRU FDOLGDG
UHVSHFWR D ORV GLJLWDOHV \ DTXHOORV FX\DV IRUPDV GH RQGD QR FXPSOHQ FRQ ORV
HVWiQGDUHV HVWDEOHFLGRV HQ HVWH WUDEDMR LQFRUUHFWD DSDULHQFLD YLVXDO 67$/7$
LQIHULRUD\VXSHULRUD 

/RV GDWRV VH GLVWULEX\HQ VHJ~Q PXHVWUD OD WDEOD  3DUD PHMRUDU OD FRPSOHWLWXG
GLVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYV GLVWDQFLDWDO \FRPRVH GLVFXWLUiPiVDGHODQWH  VHLQFOX\HURQ
GDWRV GH 0p[LFR TXH FRUUHVSRQGHQ D XQ  GH ORV  UHJLVWURV VHOHFFLRQDGRV (O
UHVWDQWHFRUUHVSRQGHDUHJLVWURVGH$PpULFD&HQWUDO





3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR



7DEOD'LVWULEXFLyQGHORVGDWRVXVDGRVDOFRPELQDUHYHQWRVFRUWLFDOHV\GHVXEGXFFLyQ


1~PHURGHHYHQWRVWRWDO
1~PHURGHUHJLVWURV
6HJ~QWLSRGHVXHOR





6,
 

'H$&
 
6,,
 

'H0p[LFR
 
6,,,\6,9
 


'HDFXHUGRFRQHOWLSRGHVXHORPiVGHODPLWDGGHORVUHJLVWURVFRUUHVSRQGHQDVXHOR6
,, ILUPH  \ VROR XQ  D VXHOR 6 , URFD  HYLGHQFLiQGRVH XQD YH] PiV OD IDOWD GH
UHJLVWURV SURYHQLHQWH GH HVWD FRQGLFLyQ GH VLWLR D~Q FXDQGR WRGRV ORV UHJLVWURV GH
0p[LFRIXHURQREWHQLGRVHQURFD

6LVHFRQVLGHUDODGLVWULEXFLyQGHORVGDWRVVHJ~QODIXHQWH\HOWLSRGHPHFDQLVPRTXH
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ODIDOWDGHXQDGLVWULEXFLyQXQLIRUPHGHORVGDWRVHQHVWRVFXDWURJUXSRV

/DVILJXUDVDE\FPXHVWUDQODVGLVWULEXFLRQHVGHODVPDJQLWXGHVHQIXQFLyQGHOD
GLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDWRGRHOJUXSRGHGDWRV D VHJ~QHOWLSRGHVXHOR E 
\GHDFXHUGRFRQVXRULJHQ F 

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TXHHVWRV~OWLPRVPHMRUDQODGLVWULEXFLyQGH0ZYVGLVWDQFLDSDUDPDJQLWXGHVHQWUH
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D

Mw vs. hypocentral distance


Central America

Mexico

8
7.5

Magnitud (Mw)

7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)


Mw vs. hypocentral distance, soil type

E

soft

hard

rock

8
7.5

Magnitude (Mw)

7
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)


Mw vs. hypocentral distance, source

F

crustal other
subd inslab

crustal reverse
subd interface

8
7.5
7
Magnitude (Mw)



















































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)

)LJXUD'LVWULEXFLyQGHORVGDWRVVHJ~QODPDJQLWXGYVODGLVWDQFLDKLSRFHQWUDOSDUDD WRGRHO
JUXSRGHGDWRVE VHJ~QWLSRGHVXHOR\F VHJ~QODIXHQWH




3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR


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PDJQLWXGHVGHD\GLVWDQFLDVGHDNPSHURVHGLVWULEX\HQHQIRUPDSRFR
GHQVD\SRFRXQLIRUPHGHQWURGHHVHUHFWiQJXOR

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FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D VLVPRV FRUWLFDOHV GH FXDOTXLHU PHFDQLVPR H[FHSWR HO LQYHUVR VH
GLVWULEX\HQ HQ IRUPD PHQRV GHQVD TXH HO FDVR DQWHULRUSHUR Vt XQLIRUPH HQWUH  \ 
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DVRFLDGDVDGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHVHQWUH\NP

5HVSHFWRDODVGLVWULEXFLRQHVGHO*03*$YVGLVWDQFLDVKLSRFHQWUDOHV ILJXUDVDE
\ F  VH REVHUYD HQ OD D TXH ORV GDWRV DSRUWDGRV SRU 0p[LFR FRUUHVSRQGHQ D *0
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NP

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FRUWLFDOLQYHUVR \VXEGXFFLyQLQWHUIDFHVHUHSDUWHQHQIRUPDPXFKRPHQRVGHQVD \QR
XQLIRUPH\DTXHVRQQRWRULDPHQWHPiVHVFDVRVTXHODVRWUDVGRVFDWHJRUtDV






GM PGA vs. hypocentral distance


Central America

Mexico

10000

GM PGA (cm/ss)

1000

100

10

0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)

GM PGA vs. hypocentral distance, soil type


soft

hard

rock

10000

GM PGA (cm/ss)

1000

100

10

0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)

GM PGA vs. hypocentral distance, source


crustal other
subd inslab

subd interface
crustal reverse

10000

1000

GM PGA (cm/ss)



















































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral Distance (Km)


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WLSRGHVXHOR\F VHJ~QODIXHQWH




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SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR






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GHUHJLVWURVSRUFDGDFDWHJRUtD

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KF QE )B6 ORJ G E 6B6E 6B$E )B,E )B6E )B5(FXDFLyQ

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WRPDHIHFWRVLHQGRQXQDYDULDEOHILFWLFLDTXHHVLJXDODFHURFXDQGRKKF\FXDQGR
KKF&XDQGRKHVPD\RUTXHNPKVHILMDDNP


7pUPLQRVTXHGHILQHQHORULJHQ\HOPHFDQLVPR
)B6LGHQWLILFDORVHYHQWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQHLQVODE
)B,FRUUHVSRQGHDORVHYHQWRVSRUVXEGXFFLyQHLQWHUIDFH
)B5LGHQWLILFDORVHYHQWRVFRUWLFDOHVLQYHUVRV SDUiPHWURGHIDOODLQYHUVD 
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VyORVHDSOLFDDHYHQWRVLQVODE

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(QHOFDVRGHURFD6B6 \6B$  

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3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
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REWHQLGRVORVFRHILFLHQWHVEPRVWUDGRVHQODWDEODGRQGHVHPXHVWUDWDPELpQHO
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Coeficiente
Valor
Coeficiente
Valor

b1
-0.16744
b7
-0.08744

b2
0.54247
b8
0.20375

b3
-0.00026
b9
0.12437

b4
0.01054
b10
-0.03808

b5
0.79777
b11
0.16331

b6
0.00062
b12
-0.09812

SD
0.3594



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JUDILFDGDVDGHPiVODVREVHUYDFLRQHVFRPRSXQWRVQHJURV

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REWHQLGRV

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PHQRUTXHSDUDPDJQLWXGHVPiVEDMDV




D

0.1

10

100

1000

10000

F

crustal-other

10

100

1000

crustal-other

100

inslab

100

inslab

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

interface

Mw=5, depth=40, rock

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

interface

Mw=6, depth=10, rock

1000

crustal-reverse

1000

crustal-reverse

E

10

100

1000

10000

G

crustal-other

10

100

1000

crustal-other

100

inslab

100

inslab

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

interface

Mw=7, depth=40, rock

Hypocentral distance (km)

10

interface

Mw=6, depth=40, rock

1000

crustal-reverse

1000

crustal-reverse

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SURIXQGLGDGGHNP D 0Z \SURIXQGLGDGGHNP E 0Z \SURIXQGLGDGGHNP F \0Z \SURIGHNP G 






























GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm /s/s)

Mw=5, depth=40, rock, crustal unknown


crustal-other

+SD

-SD

10000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

1000

100

10

D
0.1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

Mw=6, depth=40, rock, inslab


inslab

+SD

-SD

10000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

1000

100

10

E
1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

Mw=7, depth=40, rock, inslab


inslab

+SD

-SD

10000

1000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)



















































3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

100

10

F
1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

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crustal-rev rock

1000




100




10



D

1

1



3DUWH,2EWHQFLyQGHHFXDFLRQHV
SUHGLFWLYDVGHOPRYLPLHQWRVtVPLFRGHOVXHOR

Mw=6, depth=40, soil types


crustal-rev stiff

Mw=6, depth=40,soil types


crustal-rev soft

inslab rock

inslab stiff

inslab soft

1000

100
GM PGA (cm/s/s)

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

10

E
1

10

100

1000

10

Hypocentral distance (km)

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)




D

2

1.5 

1

0.5 

0

-0.5 

-1

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1





log (obs)-log (pred)

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1
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0.5
0
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10

100

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1000

Magnitude

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Mw=6, depth=10, rock


interface CA

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interface Japan

crustal reverse Japa

1000

GM PGA (cm/s/s)

100

10

D
1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

Mw=6, depth=40, rock


interface CA

crustal-reverse CA

interface Japan

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1000

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100

10

E
1
1

10

100

1000

Hypocentral distance (km)

Mw=6, depth=40, rock


inslab CA

inslab Japan

1000

100
GM PGA (cm/s/s)

















































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10

F
1
10

100

1000

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