PROBABILITY

Elif Gokbel

Before

starting our new chapter,

Probability, you may take the jeopardy
quiz on what we have learned so far. Or
you may start with lesson, Probability, and
take the jeopardy quiz at the end.

Jeopardy

Game
Probability

Lets start now!

Welcome to
Jeopardy!! Just
click, when you
are ready to
start..

When you complete your quiz, click here to take next lesson

ROUND 1

Team
A

Team
B

Team
C

Team
D

Operations

Geometry

Patterns

Measurement

100

100

100

100

200

200

200

200

300

300

300

300

400

400

400

400

500

500

500

500

What is 2

This is the greatest common factor

Of 6, 8, and 12

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Answer

The factors of 6: 1, 2, 3, and 6

The factors of 8: 1, 2, 4, and 8
The factors of 12: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, and 12
The highest number that divides
exactly into two or more numbers
Ex. The greatest common factor of 25 and 35 is 5.

What is pythagoren theorem

This is a theorem which shows the

relationship between the lengths of the 3
sides of a right triangle : a2+b2=c2
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Explain!

What is 12.

Alice bought some bottles of juices for her

party.
The juice was on sale for 3 bottles for $4.5.
This is how much Alice spent for 8 bottles
of juice.
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What is The U.S.

This is the only country not using

metric system

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What is -11

Simplify (-8)^2 / 4 (-12+21) * 3

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What is trapezoid

This is a geometric figure which has

4 sides and 1 pair of parallel sides.
It has two bases.

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Explain!

4 sides, one pair of parallel sides,

and two bases.

What is 5,100 gallons of milk

A stores record showed that during a one-month

period 3 gallons of milk were sold for every 2
boxes of cereal sold. If 3,400 boxes of cereal
were sold that month, this is the number of
gallons of milk that were sold.

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CLUE: 1 m = 100 cm

3,700 cm= _______m

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ANSWER

What is 37 cm

What is $128.75

Fred pays the same amount of property tax each

month.
His total property tax for the year is $1,545.
This is his monthly tax payment in dollars and cents

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What is 100 cm2

The area of square ABCD is 400 cm2. This is

the area of a square that has a side length that
is one-half of the side length of square ABCD.
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explain

A=20
A2 =400 cm2
20

B=10

B2 =100 cm2
10

What is 5n+8=3n-2

This is an equation that matches the following

statement. 8 more than five times a number is
two less than three times that number

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9 times more

John plans to build a playroom that is 5 by 7

feet. He decided the room is too small so he
will triple the dimensions. How will the new
area compare to the original area?
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What is 0.5x + 2.05 = 9.50

Mr. Carter paid $9.50 for an international

phone call.
He paid a fee of $2.05 plus $0.5 per minute.
This is an equation can be used to find x,
the length of the call in minutes
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This is the ratio of the circumference

of a circle to the diameter

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What is pi

Circumference the circle: C= pi.d

So, pi= C/d

This is the 12th term of the following

sequence -5, -8, -11,, -3n-2 .

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What is -38

-3n-2
For n=1, the number is -3*1 - 2=-5
.
.
.
For n=12, the number is -3*12 -2=-38

CLUE: 1 mile= 1760 yds

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What is 5456 yds

A side of Janes aquarium is a square with

an area of 192 square inches. The number of
inches of each side of between
these two whole numbers_________

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What are 13 and 14

192 = 13.85
13.85 is the number of inches of each side.
This number is between those two whole numbers: 13 and 14

The name of a triangle with

exactly two congruent sides,
exactly two congruent angles,
and one 90 degree angle called?

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What is isosceles right triangle

In a number game,
Rick was supposed to find the square root of a
number. Instead, he squared the number and
said 16. This is the square root of the
number.
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What is 2

Find a
a2 =16 so a=4.
Then, 4=2

This is the symbol for

dekameter?

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What is dam

kilo

1000

Hecto

100

Deka

da

10

metre

deci

0.1

centi

0.01

Mili

0.001 (one
thousandth)

Probability

Click here to go back Jeopardy game

To

explore experimental and theoretical

probability with experiments and
simulations

To

calculate and compare both

probabilities

Goals

The

probability of a simple event is a

ratio of the number of favorable outcomes
for the event to the total number of
possible outcomes of the event.

Probability

can have two approaches

-experimental probability
-theoretical probability

Definition

 Experimental probability
Theoretical probability
Law of Large Numbers
Outcome
Event
Random

Key words

Experimental probability:
P(event) = number of times event occurs
total number of trials
Theoretical probability:
P(E) = number of favorable outcomes
total number of possible outcomes

Experimental vs.Theoretical

Experimental:

Theoretical:

You tossed a coin 10

times and recorded a
head 3 times, a tail 7
times
P(head)= 3/10
P(tail) = 7/10

Toss a coin and getting

a head or a tail is
1/2.
P(head) = 1/2
P(tail) = 1/2

How can you tell which is experimental

and which is theoretical probability?

Experimental probability
Experimental probability is found by
repeating an experiment and
observing the outcomes.
P(head)= 3/10
A head shows up 3 times out of 10 trials,
P(tail) = 7/10
A tail shows up 7 times out of 10 trials

Theoretical probability

HEADS

TAILS

P(head) = 1/2
P(tail) = 1/2
Since there are
only two
outcomes, you
have 50/50
chance to get a
head or a tail.

Both probabilities are ratios that

compare the number of favorable
outcomes to the total number of
possible outcomes
P(head)= 3/10
P(tail) = 7/10

P(head) = 1/2
P(tail) = 1/2

Compare experimental and theoretical

probability

Identifying the Type of Probability

A

bag contains three

red marbles and
three blue marbles.
P(red) = 3/6 =1/2

Theoretical
(The result is based on
the possible
outcomes)

Identifying the Type of Probability

You
Trial

Red

Blue

1
2

1
1

3
4

1
1

Total
Exp. Prob.

1/3

2/3

draw a marble out

of the bag, record the
color, and replace the
marble. After 6 draws,
you record 2 red
marbles
P(red)= 2/6 = 1/3
Experimental
(The result is found by
repeating an
experiment.)

More examples:
Today there is a 60% chance of rain.
The odds of winning the lottery are a
million to one.
What are some examples you can think
of?

Probability

Probabilities

are written as:

Fractions from 0 to 1
Decimals from 0 to 1
Percents from 0% to 100%

Probability

 If

an event is certain to happen, then the

probability of the event is 1 or 100%.

If

an event will NEVER happen, then the

probability of the event is 0 or 0%.

If

an event is just as likely to happen as to

not happen, then the probability of the event
is , 0.5 or 50%.

Probability

Impossible

0
0%

Unlikely

Equal Chances

Likely

0.5

50%

100%

Probability

Certain

Probability

When a meteorologist states that the chance of rain

is 50%, the meteorologist is saying that it is equally
likely to rain or not to rain.

If the chance of rain rises to 80%, it is more likely to

rain.

If the chance drops to 20%, then it may rain, but it

probably will not rain.

What

are some events that will never

happen and have a probability of 0%?

What

are some events that are certain

to happen and have a probability of
100%?

What

are some events that have

equal chances of happening and have
a probability of 50%?

Probability

The

probability of an event is written:

P(event) = number of ways event can occur

total number of outcomes

Probability

P(event) = number of ways event can occur

total number of outcomes

Probability

An

outcome is a possible result of a

probability experiment
When rolling a number cube, the possible
outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6

P(event) = number of ways event can occur

total number of outcomes

Probability

An

event is a specific result of a

probability experiment
When rolling a number cube, the event of
rolling an even number is 3 (you could roll a
2, 4 or 6).

What is the probability of getting heads when flipping

a coin?

Lets solve this together!!

Probability

P(heads) = number of ways = 1 head on a coin = 1

total outcomes = 2 sides to a coin = 2
P(heads)= = 0.5 = 50%

Now its your turn!

Try These:
B
C

A
D
A)

1. What is the probability that the spinner

will stop on part A?
B) 1/3

C)1/4

Oops!
Be

Click here to try again.

careful that you have only one A on

the spinner and 3 more.

Try Again! Keep in mind that youre the

denominator should be the total number of
outcomes.

Great Job!
P(Part A) = number of ways = 1 A on the sipnner = 1
total outcomes = 4 parts in total
=4

2.What

is the probability
that the spinner will
stop on an odd
number?

A)1/3
B)2/3
C)1

1
2

The odd numbers on the spinners: 1 and 3.

Click here to try again!

Not

all numbers on
the spinner is odd.
Make sure you count
the odd numbers
correct!

Click here to go back

the question..

3. Probability Word Problem:

Lawrence

is the captain of his track team.

The team is deciding on a color and all eight
members wrote their choice down on equal
size cards. Lawrence picks one card at
random, the probability that he will pick blue
is 37.5%.

True

or

False

yellow

green

blue

black

red

blue

black

blue

The statement was not false because as

you see below, there are only 3 blue card.
So, the probability should be
3/8= 0.375 (37.5%)

yellow
red

green
black

black

blue
blue
blue

The

statement is true because:

Number of blues = 3
Total cards = 8
3/8 or 0.375 or 37.5%

Probability of Compound
events

compound event consists of two or

more simple events.
Examples:
rolling a die and tossing a penny
spinning a spinner and drawing a card
tossing two dice
tossing two coins

Probability of Compound Events

When

the outcome of one event does not

affect the outcome of a second event,
these are called independent events.

The

probability of two independent events

is found by multiplying the probability of
the first event by the probability of the
second event.

Compound Events

Compound Event Notations

1)P(roll even #, spin odd) =

31 41 1
g
62 82 4

P(jack, tails)

4 1
4
( )
0.04 4%
52 2
104

Probability of Compound events

Events

that cannot occur at the same time

are called mutually exclusive.

Suppose

you want to find the probability

of rolling a 2 or a 4 on a die. P(2 or 4)

Since

a die cannot show both a 2 and a 4

at the same time, the events are mutually
exclusive.

Compound Events

Compound Mutually Exclusive

You now have

completed the lesson!