Mainstreet - SK January 2016

SASKATCHEWAN
[JANUARY 2016]
METHODOLOGY
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,508 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR on January
4th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.53%, 19
times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Regina: +/-4.37%; Saskatoon: +/-4.33%; rest of
Saskatchewan: +/-4.41%; 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based
on the 2011 Canadian Census.
A2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.
SK PARTY LEADS EARLY POLLING

January 7, 2016 (Toronto, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nd the Saskatchewan Party leading over
the NDP with a provincial election just months away. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error
of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.
Mainstreet tested Saskatchewans PC Party, but with scores within the polls margin of error, (1.73% among
all voters and 2.01% among decided voters) Mainstreet will not be including the PC Party in future polling
at this time.
The SK Party is dominating across the province right now, though their best scores come from outside
Regina and Saskatoon where the NDP performs better, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.
There are certainly opportunities for the NDP. On some issues Saskatchewan voters give them higher
marks than their horserace number. 31% say the NDP would do best on Education and 34% say they would
do best on Healthcare. When you compare that to the 24% who would vote NDP today it shows there is
room for growth
For the SK Party their strongest issue are taxes (52%) and creating jobs (51%). With solid leads across the
province if the election were held today they would win a majority government. But of course, the election
has not yet begun and there will be plenty of time for all politicians to take their message to the doorstep,
he nished.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British
Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rm
in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only
polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
A3
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?
14%
2%
3%
6%
51%
24%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL
SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

NDP LED BY CAM BROTEN
LIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUX
GREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAU
PC PARTY LED BY RICK SWENSON
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE
18-34
48%
23%
6%
5%
2%
16%
241
GREEN
35-49
51%
22%
8%
3%
2%
14%
326
PC
50-64
49%
28%
6%
2%
1%
13%
459
UD
65+
59%
21%
5%
1%
1%
12%
482
Male Female
55%
48%
18%
29%
10%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
12%
15%
702
806
Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

41%
42%
58%
29%
30%
20%
5%
5%
8%
8%
2%
1%
1%
3%
1%
16%
17%
12%
503
511
494
A4
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (Decided Only)
3%
2%
7%
28%
59%
SK PARTY
NDP

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
LIBERAL
18-34
48%
23%
6%
5%
2%
16%
GREEN
35-49
51%
22%
8%
3%
2%
14%
50-64
50%
28%
6%
2%
1%
13%
PC
65+
59%
22%
5%
1%
1%
12%
Male Female
55%
48%
18%
29%
10%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
12%
15%

41%
42%
58%
28%
30%
20%
5%
4%
8%
8%
2%
1%
1%
3%
1%
16%
18%
12%
A5
In your opinion, which party do you think would do a better job on taxes?
13%
2%
2%
7%
52%
24%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
18-34
48%
22%
9%
4%
3%
14%
GREEN
35-49
54%
23%
7%
2%
2%
11%
PC
50-64
51%
28%
5%
2%
1%
13%
UD
65+ Male Female

60% 60% 45%
23% 17%
31%
4%
8%
5%
1%
1%
3%
1%
2%
1%
12%
11%
15%

49%
45%
57%
26%
26%
22%
4%
6%
8%
4%
3%
1%
1%
4%
1%
16%
15%
11%
A6
And, which party do you think would do a better job on Education?
12%
2%
8%
46%
31%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
18-34
46%
27%
9%
2%
2%
14%
GREEN
35-49
41%
40%
8%
3%
1%
9%
PC
50-64
45%
31%
9%
2%
0%
13%
UD
65+ Male Female

54% 47%
45%
27% 29%
34%
6%
11%
5%
0%
3%
1%
3%
1%
2%
11%
9%
14%

39%
36%
52%
36%
36%
28%
9%
6%
8%
1%
4%
1%
1%
3%
1%
13%
16%
9%
A7
And, which party do you think would do a better job on creating jobs?
12%
2%
3%
9%
51%
23%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
18-34
45%
21%
10%
7%
3%
14%
GREEN
35-49
53%
24%
9%
2%
3%
8%
PC
50-64
52%
24%
9%
3%
1%
12%
UD
65+
57%
22%
7%
1%
1%
13%
Male Female
53%
49%
17%
28%
11%
7%
5%
1%
3%
2%
10%
13%

49%
44%
55%
28%
30%
18%
9%
6%
10%
2%
3%
4%
1%
4%
2%
13%
12%
11%
A8
And, which party do you think would do a better job on the environment?
8%
1%
11%
44%
8%
27%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
18-34
45%
19%
14%
13%
0%
8%
GREEN
35-49
45%
31%
5%
10%
4%
5%
PC
50-64
39%
34%
6%
12%
1%
9%
UD
65+ Male Female

48% 47%
41%
25% 25%
30%
6%
7%
9%
7%
12%
10%
1%
1%
1%
13%
7%
9%

38%
34%
50%
31%
31%
25%
5%
10%
9%
14%
18%
7%
2%
0%
1%
11%
6%
8%
A9
And, which party do you think would do a better job on Healthcare?
10%
2%
3%
8%
44%
34%
SK PARTY
NDP
LIBERAL

UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED
18-34
39%
31%
12%
5%
2%
11%
GREEN
35-49
45%
36%
8%
1%
3%
7%
PC
50-64
41%
39%
6%
2%
0%
12%
UD
65+ Male Female

51% 47% 40%
30% 34%
35%
6%
9%
8%
0%
2%
3%
1%
1%
2%
10%
6%
13%

41%
36%
47%
38%
40%
30%
6%
7%
10%
2%
5%
2%
1%
3%
1%
12%
9%
9%
A10
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?
Saskatchewan Party led by Brad Wall
NDP led by Cam Broten
Liberal Party led by Darrin Lamoureux
Green Party led by Victor Lau
Progressive Conservative Party led by Rick Swenson
Undecided
[RANDOMIZED]
In your opinion, which party do you think would do a better job on taxes?
Undecided
And, which party do you think would do a better job on Education?
Undecided
And, which party do you think would do a better job on creating jobs?
Undecided
A11
And, which party do you think would do a better job on the environment?
Undecided
And, which party do you think would do a better job on Healthcare?
Undecided
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.
CONNECT WITH US:
WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER
@MainStResearch
FACEBOOK
fb.com/mainstresearch
2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

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SASKATCHEWAN

SK PARTY LEADS EARLY POLLING

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

65+ Male Female

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

And, which party do you think would do a better job on Education?

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

65+ Male Female

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

65+ Male Female

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

And, which party do you think would do a better job on Healthcare?

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALL

65+ Male Female

Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK

CONNECT WITH US:

2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

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