Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
5.2%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
9. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson
10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Too extreme
47%
19%
7%
About right
47%
70%
54%
Too moderate
5%
11%
39%
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Yes, consistent
66%
71%
51%
12. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Understands
79%
76%
63%
Doesnt understand
21%
24%
37%
13. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84%
15. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
Hillary Clinton
43%
23%
52%
28%
Bernie Sanders
41%
69%
17%
55%
Both equally
16%
7%
31%
17%
38%
50%
41%
23%
21%
27%
17. From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Realistic
76%
38%
Idealistic
24%
62%
18. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
65%
85%
Doesnt understand
35%
15%
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
23. Have you been told the specific location of your caucus meeting yet, or do you still need to
find that out?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters
26. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
39%
11%
2%
59%
31%
10%
1%
37%
46%
13%
4%
28%
46%
26%
0%
37%
41%
11%
11%
49%
40%
11%
0%
62%
34%
4%
0%
48%
39%
11%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,246)
(586)
(659)
(174)
(240)
(532)
(300)
(1,179)
(17)
(9)
(41)
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
14%
8%
11%
13%
2%
59%
15%
6%
9%
9%
2%
45%
12%
10%
13%
16%
4%
50%
19%
7%
4%
20%
0%
49%
23%
12%
6%
4%
7%
51%
11%
8%
15%
13%
2%
56%
7%
6%
11%
16%
4%
52%
12%
8%
11%
13%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,247)
(587)
(660)
(174)
(240)
(532)
(300)
(1,181)
(17)
(9)
(41)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
34%
18%
15%
29%
40%
20%
11%
36%
29%
17%
18%
32%
35%
18%
14%
26%
28%
15%
31%
34%
35%
19%
12%
37%
36%
20%
7%
32%
35%
19%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,247)
(587)
(660)
(174)
(240)
(532)
(300)
(1,181)
(17)
(9)
(41)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%
1%
4%
0%
34%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
15%
1%
40%
0%
1%
7%
4%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
10%
0%
38%
0%
0%
0%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
9%
0%
54%
0%
1%
13%
0%
25%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
31%
0%
25%
0%
1%
4%
4%
37%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
10%
1%
37%
0%
1%
4%
0%
35%
4%
0%
0%
2%
3%
6%
1%
43%
0%
1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(491)
(302)
(189)
(62)
(87)
(211)
(131)
(479)
(0)
(2)
(10)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
5%
47%
1%
43%
5%
51%
1%
47%
4%
44%
4%
14%
0%
74%
12%
50%
1%
47%
2%
46%
5%
48%
1%
61%
9%
28%
1%
45%
4%
50%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(193)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(128)
(449)
(23)
(5)
(14)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
41%
22%
0%
39%
42%
18%
0%
34%
38%
27%
0%
51%
30%
19%
0%
26%
48%
26%
0%
42%
35%
23%
0%
31%
50%
18%
1%
38%
41%
21%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(302)
(188)
(62)
(87)
(211)
(130)
(478)
(0)
(2)
(10)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
41%
28%
53%
30%
35%
36%
22%
19%
26%
16%
19%
32%
22%
26%
21%
33%
13%
33%
21%
27%
13%
3%
17%
2%
7%
6%
11%
6%
14%
4%
10%
3%
13%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(183)
(124)
100%
(307)
(65)
(122)
(89)
(298)
(30)
(0)
(2)
(7)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
32%
5%
65%
30%
5%
62%
33%
6%
59%
37%
4%
81%
15%
4%
58%
36%
6%
64%
30%
6%
62%
32%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(192)
(284)
(63)
(74)
(212)
(127)
(443)
(22)
(5)
(6)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
63%
41%
59%
32%
68%
24%
76%
45%
55%
48%
52%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(173)
(111)
100%
(284)
(60)
(125)
(71)
(277)
(28)
(0)
(1)
(7)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
33%
74%
26%
54%
46%
87%
13%
64%
36%
55%
45%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(196)
(117)
100%
(313)
(62)
(128)
(81)
(304)
(42)
(0)
(1)
(8)
10
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
36%
63%
37%
66%
34%
89%
11%
71%
29%
64%
36%
50%
50%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(400)
(239)
(160)
(56)
(51)
(180)
(113)
(389)
(0)
(2)
(9)
11
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
35%
65%
36%
64%
34%
66%
34%
66%
32%
68%
34%
66%
40%
60%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(452)
(284)
(168)
(62)
(87)
(185)
(119)
(441)
(0)
(2)
(9)
12
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
31%
69%
36%
64%
40%
60%
38%
62%
29%
71%
33%
67%
33%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(276)
(175)
(61)
(79)
(191)
(119)
(440)
(0)
(2)
(9)
13
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
17%
83%
21%
79%
10%
90%
10%
90%
15%
85%
18%
82%
20%
80%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(442)
(269)
(173)
(62)
(74)
(193)
(114)
(431)
(0)
(2)
(9)
14
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
58%
42%
68%
32%
42%
58%
56%
44%
66%
34%
54%
46%
62%
38%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(434)
(268)
(167)
(62)
(67)
(191)
(114)
(423)
(0)
(2)
(9)
15
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
47%
5%
45%
49%
6%
51%
45%
4%
55%
44%
1%
66%
28%
6%
41%
51%
8%
41%
55%
4%
48%
47%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(484)
(295)
(189)
(62)
(82)
(210)
(130)
(472)
(0)
(2)
(10)
16
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
19%
70%
11%
17%
76%
7%
21%
62%
17%
9%
82%
9%
21%
76%
3%
21%
70%
9%
18%
63%
19%
19%
71%
10%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(293)
(188)
(62)
(83)
(208)
(129)
(469)
(0)
(2)
(10)
17
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
7%
54%
39%
6%
51%
43%
7%
60%
33%
0%
41%
59%
0%
71%
28%
5%
56%
39%
15%
48%
37%
7%
55%
38%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(297)
(188)
(62)
(83)
(210)
(130)
(473)
(0)
(2)
(10)
18
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
66%
34%
64%
36%
70%
30%
60%
40%
54%
46%
69%
31%
73%
27%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(484)
(295)
(189)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(125)
(472)
(0)
(2)
(10)
19
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
71%
29%
76%
24%
63%
37%
69%
31%
72%
28%
75%
25%
64%
36%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(294)
(185)
(62)
(87)
(207)
(124)
(468)
(0)
(2)
(10)
20
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
47%
53%
57%
43%
56%
44%
52%
48%
51%
49%
48%
52%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(294)
(186)
(62)
(87)
(207)
(124)
(468)
(0)
(2)
(10)
21
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
79%
21%
80%
20%
76%
24%
75%
25%
63%
37%
82%
18%
86%
14%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(487)
(299)
(188)
(62)
(86)
(210)
(129)
(475)
(0)
(2)
(10)
22
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
76%
24%
77%
23%
73%
27%
63%
37%
88%
12%
76%
24%
73%
27%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(487)
(299)
(188)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(130)
(475)
(0)
(2)
(10)
23
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
37%
65%
35%
60%
40%
75%
25%
70%
30%
62%
38%
54%
46%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(299)
(182)
(62)
(87)
(202)
(130)
(469)
(0)
(2)
(10)
24
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
29%
15%
16%
16%
29%
10%
21%
20%
30%
21%
8%
38%
16%
15%
2%
21%
38%
7%
16%
13%
26%
16%
18%
13%
35%
17%
20%
17%
30%
14%
16%
22%
23%
21%
29%
18%
26%
16%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(488)
(302)
(186)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(130)
(479)
(0)
(2)
(7)
25
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
84%
11%
89%
23%
77%
9%
91%
12%
88%
13%
87%
26%
74%
15%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(302)
(188)
(62)
(85)
(213)
(131)
(478)
(0)
(2)
(10)
26
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
11%
85%
4%
15%
81%
2%
6%
92%
15%
16%
69%
1%
7%
92%
2%
13%
85%
1%
10%
89%
3%
12%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(492)
(302)
(190)
(62)
(87)
(213)
(131)
(480)
(0)
(2)
(10)
27
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
41%
16%
39%
49%
12%
46%
36%
19%
16%
73%
11%
48%
42%
10%
35%
42%
23%
67%
21%
12%
42%
41%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(438)
(14)
(5)
(7)
28
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
23%
69%
7%
18%
73%
9%
27%
67%
6%
15%
82%
3%
31%
63%
6%
21%
70%
10%
28%
66%
6%
22%
71%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(466)
(180)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(203)
(123)
(441)
(14)
(5)
(7)
29
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
17%
31%
53%
14%
32%
51%
18%
31%
25%
31%
44%
63%
10%
27%
45%
17%
38%
72%
12%
16%
52%
17%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(178)
(293)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(438)
(14)
(5)
(14)
30
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
55%
17%
28%
57%
15%
27%
53%
20%
8%
90%
2%
43%
46%
11%
21%
58%
21%
40%
36%
24%
26%
56%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(439)
(14)
(5)
(7)
31
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
41%
21%
37%
50%
13%
38%
36%
27%
6%
82%
12%
45%
40%
15%
34%
35%
31%
57%
31%
12%
35%
42%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(187)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(210)
(123)
(438)
(23)
(5)
(7)
32
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
23%
27%
51%
22%
27%
49%
23%
28%
22%
36%
42%
47%
24%
29%
48%
21%
31%
68%
17%
15%
48%
23%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(438)
(14)
(5)
(7)
33
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
76%
24%
74%
26%
78%
22%
71%
29%
79%
21%
70%
30%
89%
11%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(191)
(294)
(71)
(75)
(213)
(125)
(443)
(23)
(5)
(14)
34
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
49%
51%
32%
68%
50%
50%
40%
60%
36%
64%
36%
64%
40%
60%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(181)
(292)
(71)
(75)
(205)
(121)
(440)
(14)
(5)
(14)
35
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
35%
59%
41%
69%
31%
35%
65%
64%
36%
68%
32%
80%
20%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(182)
(288)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(122)
(438)
(14)
(5)
(14)
36
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
85%
15%
94%
6%
79%
21%
86%
14%
92%
8%
88%
12%
74%
26%
86%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(181)
(292)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(125)
(441)
(14)
(5)
(14)
37
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
61%
39%
54%
46%
85%
15%
62%
38%
57%
43%
37%
63%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(483)
(189)
(294)
(71)
(73)
(214)
(124)
(441)
(23)
(5)
(14)
38
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
9%
91%
7%
93%
10%
90%
10%
90%
20%
80%
7%
93%
4%
96%
6%
94%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(178)
(290)
(71)
(73)
(204)
(120)
(436)
(14)
(5)
(14)
39
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
12%
27%
13%
13%
29%
3%
11%
26%
23%
1%
47%
9%
11%
42%
3%
18%
14%
3%
7%
28%
7%
12%
25%
54%
46%
60%
29%
37%
64%
62%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(447)
(23)
(5)
(14)
40
Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
56%
16%
37%
53%
10%
22%
58%
20%
40%
35%
25%
24%
53%
23%
33%
52%
15%
16%
75%
9%
28%
54%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(448)
(23)
(5)
(14)
41
Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
63%
21%
12%
76%
13%
19%
56%
26%
5%
74%
21%
11%
52%
37%
15%
64%
21%
26%
64%
10%
15%
64%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(448)
(23)
(5)
(14)
42
Gender
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
38%
68%
32%
56%
44%
65%
35%
61%
39%
58%
42%
67%
33%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(982)
(495)
(487)
(133)
(163)
(428)
(258)
(929)
(23)
(7)
(24)
43
7.2%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
72%
25%
3%
0%
84%
13%
4%
0%
73%
26%
1%
0%
81%
16%
3%
0%
63%
34%
3%
0%
72%
24%
3%
0%
77%
22%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(202)
100%
(491)
(251)
(233)
(255)
(197)
(40)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
72%
25%
3%
0%
84%
16%
0%
0%
54%
39%
7%
0%
67%
25%
8%
0%
63%
35%
2%
0%
74%
22%
3%
0%
78%
22%
0%
1%
73%
24%
3%
0%
79%
20%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(491)
(302)
(189)
(62)
(87)
(212)
(131)
(380)
(94)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%
0%
2%
0%
51%
1%
0%
0%
0%
5%
6%
1%
33%
0%
1%
6%
4%
28%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
15%
1%
40%
0%
1%
4%
0%
38%
2%
0%
0%
0%
5%
8%
1%
40%
0%
1%
6%
4%
29%
1%
0%
0%
1%
2%
16%
1%
38%
0%
1%
8%
3%
38%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
14%
0%
30%
0%
1%
2%
0%
30%
3%
0%
0%
1%
2%
12%
1%
47%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(202)
100%
(491)
(251)
(232)
(254)
(197)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Tea Party
(41)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%
1%
4%
0%
34%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
15%
1%
40%
0%
1%
7%
4%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
10%
0%
38%
0%
0%
0%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
9%
0%
54%
0%
1%
13%
0%
25%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
31%
0%
25%
0%
1%
4%
4%
37%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
10%
1%
37%
0%
1%
4%
0%
35%
4%
0%
0%
2%
3%
6%
1%
43%
0%
1%
5%
1%
35%
2%
0%
0%
1%
2%
15%
0%
37%
0%
0%
7%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
1%
6%
3%
2%
47%
0%
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(491)
(302)
(189)
(62)
(87)
(211)
(131)
(380)
(93)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
41%
22%
0%
45%
38%
17%
0%
30%
45%
24%
0%
39%
46%
15%
0%
35%
36%
28%
0%
38%
39%
23%
0%
35%
43%
21%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(202)
100%
(490)
(251)
(231)
(253)
(197)
(41)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
41%
22%
0%
39%
42%
18%
0%
34%
38%
27%
0%
51%
30%
19%
0%
26%
48%
26%
0%
42%
35%
23%
0%
31%
50%
18%
1%
38%
41%
21%
0%
35%
44%
20%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(302)
(188)
(62)
(87)
(211)
(130)
(379)
(93)
Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
32%
34%
39%
32%
32%
42%
22%
29%
16%
20%
24%
21%
18%
26%
22%
33%
24%
28%
26%
27%
13%
3%
12%
5%
17%
1%
12%
5%
14%
2%
18%
2%
6%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(92)
(141)
100%
(307)
(154)
(150)
(156)
(128)
(20)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
36%
41%
28%
53%
30%
35%
43%
15%
22%
19%
26%
16%
19%
32%
19%
35%
26%
21%
33%
13%
33%
21%
23%
31%
13%
3%
17%
2%
7%
6%
11%
6%
14%
4%
10%
3%
13%
3%
14%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(183)
(124)
100%
(307)
(65)
(122)
(89)
(233)
(60)
(30)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
63%
38%
62%
41%
59%
44%
56%
29%
71%
37%
63%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(103)
(116)
100%
(284)
(146)
(131)
(166)
(100)
(15)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
63%
41%
59%
32%
68%
24%
76%
45%
55%
48%
52%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(173)
(111)
100%
(284)
(60)
(125)
(71)
(230)
(28)
(44)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
33%
82%
18%
65%
35%
82%
18%
53%
47%
80%
20%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(82)
(138)
100%
(313)
(149)
(158)
(153)
(130)
(34)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
33%
74%
26%
54%
46%
87%
13%
64%
36%
55%
45%
64%
36%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(196)
(117)
100%
(313)
(62)
(128)
(81)
(237)
(61)
(42)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
64%
36%
60%
40%
73%
27%
61%
39%
69%
31%
67%
33%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(150)
(159)
100%
(400)
(221)
(174)
(200)
(164)
(33)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
64%
36%
63%
37%
66%
34%
89%
11%
71%
29%
64%
36%
50%
50%
69%
31%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(400)
(239)
(160)
(56)
(51)
(180)
(113)
(299)
(85)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
35%
65%
30%
70%
40%
60%
26%
74%
45%
55%
31%
69%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(162)
(177)
100%
(452)
(240)
(204)
(224)
(188)
(36)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
35%
65%
36%
64%
34%
66%
34%
66%
32%
68%
34%
66%
40%
60%
40%
60%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(452)
(284)
(168)
(62)
(87)
(185)
(119)
(355)
(85)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
67%
26%
74%
36%
64%
24%
76%
42%
58%
42%
58%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(163)
(176)
100%
(450)
(237)
(206)
(229)
(182)
(35)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
33%
67%
31%
69%
36%
64%
40%
60%
38%
62%
29%
71%
33%
67%
38%
62%
9%
91%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(276)
(175)
(61)
(79)
(191)
(119)
(347)
(86)
10
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
17%
83%
15%
85%
18%
82%
13%
87%
20%
80%
17%
83%
16%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(156)
(177)
100%
(442)
(236)
(200)
(221)
(183)
(35)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
17%
83%
21%
79%
10%
90%
10%
90%
15%
85%
18%
82%
20%
80%
18%
82%
13%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(442)
(269)
(173)
(62)
(74)
(193)
(114)
(341)
(84)
11
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
58%
42%
79%
21%
47%
53%
73%
27%
41%
59%
65%
35%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(156)
(174)
100%
(434)
(233)
(194)
(215)
(181)
(33)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
58%
42%
68%
32%
42%
58%
56%
44%
66%
34%
54%
46%
62%
38%
55%
45%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(434)
(268)
(167)
(62)
(67)
(191)
(114)
(335)
(83)
12
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
47%
5%
47%
44%
10%
47%
49%
5%
39%
53%
8%
55%
42%
3%
49%
46%
5%
47%
47%
6%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(198)
100%
(484)
(244)
(232)
(252)
(193)
(41)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
47%
5%
45%
49%
6%
51%
45%
4%
55%
44%
1%
66%
28%
6%
41%
51%
8%
41%
55%
4%
52%
44%
5%
25%
66%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(484)
(295)
(189)
(62)
(82)
(210)
(130)
(376)
(90)
13
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
19%
70%
11%
9%
84%
7%
22%
68%
10%
10%
80%
10%
26%
63%
12%
14%
79%
7%
24%
64%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(163)
(197)
100%
(481)
(242)
(232)
(249)
(193)
(40)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
19%
70%
11%
17%
76%
7%
21%
62%
17%
9%
82%
9%
21%
76%
3%
21%
70%
9%
18%
63%
19%
18%
71%
11%
16%
74%
10%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(293)
(188)
(62)
(83)
(208)
(129)
(374)
(89)
14
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
7%
54%
39%
9%
43%
49%
5%
61%
34%
5%
44%
51%
8%
65%
27%
8%
54%
39%
4%
61%
36%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(198)
100%
(485)
(245)
(232)
(252)
(193)
(40)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
7%
54%
39%
6%
51%
43%
7%
60%
33%
0%
41%
59%
0%
71%
28%
5%
56%
39%
15%
48%
37%
5%
57%
38%
10%
44%
46%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(297)
(188)
(62)
(83)
(210)
(130)
(377)
(90)
15
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
34%
62%
38%
66%
34%
71%
29%
62%
38%
62%
38%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(200)
100%
(484)
(247)
(229)
(251)
(192)
(39)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
34%
64%
36%
70%
30%
60%
40%
54%
46%
69%
31%
73%
27%
64%
36%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(484)
(295)
(189)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(125)
(375)
(92)
16
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
71%
29%
85%
15%
66%
34%
76%
24%
65%
35%
74%
26%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(199)
100%
(479)
(246)
(226)
(248)
(191)
(38)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
71%
29%
76%
24%
63%
37%
69%
31%
72%
28%
75%
25%
64%
36%
72%
28%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(294)
(185)
(62)
(87)
(207)
(124)
(372)
(91)
17
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
40%
60%
61%
39%
41%
59%
62%
38%
45%
55%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(199)
100%
(480)
(245)
(227)
(249)
(191)
(38)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
49%
47%
53%
57%
43%
56%
44%
52%
48%
51%
49%
48%
52%
57%
43%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(294)
(186)
(62)
(87)
(207)
(124)
(373)
(91)
18
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
79%
21%
75%
25%
84%
16%
84%
16%
74%
26%
78%
22%
80%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(201)
100%
(487)
(247)
(232)
(251)
(196)
(41)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
79%
21%
80%
20%
76%
24%
75%
25%
63%
37%
82%
18%
86%
14%
80%
20%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(487)
(299)
(188)
(62)
(86)
(210)
(129)
(376)
(93)
19
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
76%
24%
81%
19%
75%
25%
81%
19%
71%
29%
80%
20%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(202)
100%
(487)
(248)
(231)
(250)
(197)
(40)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
76%
24%
77%
23%
73%
27%
63%
37%
88%
12%
76%
24%
73%
27%
76%
24%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(487)
(299)
(188)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(130)
(375)
(94)
20
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
37%
61%
39%
67%
33%
62%
38%
64%
36%
63%
37%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(196)
100%
(480)
(247)
(225)
(244)
(197)
(40)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
37%
65%
35%
60%
40%
75%
25%
70%
30%
62%
38%
54%
46%
69%
31%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(299)
(182)
(62)
(87)
(202)
(130)
(369)
(93)
21
Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
29%
15%
16%
25%
24%
11%
26%
15%
34%
15%
11%
15%
28%
12%
21%
21%
30%
17%
11%
27%
24%
11%
18%
7%
36%
20%
12%
22%
15%
25%
23%
22%
20%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(202)
100%
(488)
(247)
(232)
(252)
(196)
(40)
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
29%
15%
16%
16%
29%
10%
21%
20%
30%
21%
8%
38%
16%
15%
2%
21%
38%
7%
16%
13%
26%
16%
18%
13%
35%
17%
20%
18%
34%
13%
11%
20%
14%
13%
36%
22%
23%
21%
29%
18%
26%
16%
24%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(488)
(302)
(186)
(62)
(87)
(209)
(130)
(379)
(92)
22
Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
16%
84%
7%
93%
16%
84%
11%
89%
20%
80%
11%
89%
18%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(200)
100%
(490)
(251)
(231)
(255)
(195)
(41)
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
16%
84%
11%
89%
23%
77%
9%
91%
12%
88%
13%
87%
26%
74%
17%
83%
11%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(302)
(188)
(62)
(85)
(213)
(131)
(378)
(94)
23
Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
11%
85%
6%
20%
74%
2%
9%
89%
5%
15%
80%
2%
7%
91%
5%
13%
82%
1%
10%
89%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(202)
100%
(492)
(251)
(233)
(255)
(197)
(41)
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
11%
85%
4%
15%
81%
2%
6%
92%
15%
16%
69%
1%
7%
92%
2%
13%
85%
1%
10%
89%
4%
10%
85%
0%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(492)
(302)
(190)
(62)
(87)
(213)
(131)
(380)
(94)
24
Ideology
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
56%
44%
63%
37%
52%
48%
56%
44%
56%
44%
54%
46%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(168)
(202)
100%
(492)
(251)
(233)
(255)
(197)
(41)
Gender
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
56%
44%
61%
39%
49%
51%
62%
38%
52%
48%
56%
44%
56%
44%
58%
42%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(492)
(302)
(190)
(62)
(87)
(213)
(131)
(380)
(94)
25
8.9%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
64%
33%
3%
0%
79%
21%
0%
0%
67%
33%
0%
0%
64%
34%
1%
0%
73%
27%
1%
0%
58%
36%
6%
0%
46%
44%
11%
0%
53%
35%
12%
0%
68%
31%
1%
0%
73%
27%
1%
0%
63%
32%
5%
0%
70%
30%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(84)
(154)
(143)
(193)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(128)
(387)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
5%
47%
2%
33%
1%
64%
1%
47%
5%
47%
1%
55%
6%
36%
2%
43%
5%
51%
1%
47%
4%
44%
4%
14%
0%
74%
12%
50%
1%
47%
2%
46%
5%
48%
1%
61%
9%
28%
1%
52%
4%
40%
3%
24%
7%
67%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(84)
(154)
(144)
(193)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(128)
(387)
(72)
Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
63%
32%
5%
81%
15%
4%
67%
27%
6%
58%
34%
8%
65%
30%
5%
62%
33%
6%
59%
37%
4%
81%
15%
4%
58%
36%
6%
64%
30%
6%
67%
28%
5%
35%
58%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(83)
(152)
(140)
(192)
(284)
(63)
(74)
(212)
(127)
(375)
(71)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
43%
41%
16%
23%
58%
19%
43%
43%
14%
54%
29%
17%
39%
49%
12%
46%
36%
19%
16%
73%
11%
48%
42%
10%
35%
42%
23%
67%
21%
12%
51%
34%
15%
20%
61%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(82)
(147)
(134)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(362)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
23%
69%
7%
14%
82%
4%
24%
69%
6%
21%
71%
8%
18%
73%
9%
27%
67%
6%
15%
82%
3%
31%
63%
6%
21%
70%
10%
28%
66%
6%
28%
65%
6%
7%
78%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(466)
(82)
(149)
(134)
(180)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(203)
(123)
(363)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
52%
17%
31%
48%
26%
26%
61%
6%
33%
54%
15%
31%
53%
14%
32%
51%
18%
31%
25%
31%
44%
63%
10%
27%
45%
17%
38%
72%
12%
16%
60%
12%
28%
26%
42%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(82)
(147)
(134)
(178)
(293)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(368)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
28%
55%
17%
24%
66%
10%
27%
58%
15%
28%
44%
27%
28%
57%
15%
27%
53%
20%
8%
90%
2%
43%
46%
11%
21%
58%
21%
40%
36%
24%
33%
48%
18%
4%
74%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(82)
(147)
(134)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(362)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
41%
21%
26%
57%
17%
35%
36%
28%
47%
37%
16%
37%
50%
13%
38%
36%
27%
6%
82%
12%
45%
40%
15%
34%
35%
31%
57%
31%
12%
46%
33%
21%
10%
66%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(82)
(147)
(142)
(187)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(210)
(123)
(370)
(72)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
50%
23%
27%
35%
39%
27%
50%
9%
41%
54%
21%
25%
51%
22%
27%
49%
23%
28%
22%
36%
42%
47%
24%
29%
48%
21%
31%
68%
17%
15%
56%
21%
22%
30%
34%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(82)
(147)
(134)
(178)
(286)
(64)
(75)
(201)
(123)
(362)
(72)
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
76%
24%
74%
26%
73%
27%
80%
20%
74%
26%
78%
22%
71%
29%
79%
21%
70%
30%
89%
11%
80%
20%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(81)
(154)
(142)
(191)
(294)
(71)
(75)
(213)
(125)
(382)
(72)
10
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
62%
50%
50%
31%
69%
47%
53%
49%
51%
32%
68%
50%
50%
40%
60%
36%
64%
36%
64%
33%
67%
46%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(83)
(150)
(133)
(181)
(292)
(71)
(75)
(205)
(121)
(370)
(72)
11
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
65%
35%
49%
51%
71%
29%
72%
28%
59%
41%
69%
31%
35%
65%
64%
36%
68%
32%
80%
20%
72%
28%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(82)
(151)
(134)
(182)
(288)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(122)
(367)
(72)
12
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
85%
15%
95%
5%
87%
13%
75%
25%
94%
6%
79%
21%
86%
14%
92%
8%
88%
12%
74%
26%
81%
19%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(82)
(154)
(134)
(181)
(292)
(71)
(75)
(201)
(125)
(370)
(72)
13
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
43%
71%
29%
54%
46%
41%
59%
61%
39%
54%
46%
85%
15%
62%
38%
57%
43%
37%
63%
51%
49%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(483)
(79)
(154)
(142)
(189)
(294)
(71)
(73)
(214)
(124)
(379)
(72)
14
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
9%
91%
7%
93%
4%
96%
5%
95%
7%
93%
10%
90%
10%
90%
20%
80%
7%
93%
4%
96%
10%
90%
4%
96%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(80)
(150)
(133)
(178)
(290)
(71)
(73)
(204)
(120)
(365)
(72)
15
Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
12%
27%
11%
7%
50%
11%
15%
23%
4%
14%
17%
13%
13%
29%
3%
11%
26%
23%
1%
47%
9%
11%
42%
3%
18%
14%
3%
7%
28%
4%
10%
29%
6%
19%
22%
54%
33%
51%
65%
46%
60%
29%
37%
64%
62%
57%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(83)
(154)
(144)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(386)
(72)
16
Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
28%
56%
16%
45%
42%
14%
35%
51%
15%
18%
62%
20%
37%
53%
10%
22%
58%
20%
40%
35%
25%
24%
53%
23%
33%
52%
15%
16%
75%
9%
23%
61%
16%
39%
45%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(84)
(154)
(143)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(386)
(72)
17
Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
16%
63%
21%
6%
75%
19%
12%
72%
15%
24%
59%
17%
12%
76%
13%
19%
56%
26%
5%
74%
21%
11%
52%
37%
15%
64%
21%
26%
64%
10%
19%
59%
22%
8%
74%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(84)
(154)
(143)
(192)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(127)
(386)
(72)
18
Ideology
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
68%
32%
80%
20%
73%
27%
70%
30%
79%
21%
61%
39%
67%
33%
72%
28%
61%
39%
78%
22%
65%
35%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(490)
(84)
(154)
(144)
(193)
(297)
(71)
(75)
(215)
(128)
(387)
(72)
19