Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
New Hampshire
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
6.2%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
9. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson
10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Too extreme
16%
55%
36%
14%
About right
50%
41%
52%
58%
Too moderate
34%
4%
12%
27%
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Yes, consistent
53%
63%
65%
51%
12. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Understands
63%
71%
59%
60%
Doesnt understand
37%
29%
41%
40%
13. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77%
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
16. Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
34%
11%
48%
21%
Bernie Sanders
48%
79%
22%
63%
Both equally
18%
10%
30%
16%
25%
43%
49%
26%
26%
31%
17. From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Realistic
77%
46%
Idealistic
23%
54%
18. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
60%
95%
Doesnt understand
40%
5%
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
20. When you vote in the New Hampshire primary, you will be most satisfied about having a
chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
23. Thinking about the Iowa [party] caucuses, could the results in Iowa make you rethink your
choice in the New Hampshire primary?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters
26. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.
29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
34%
5%
4%
71%
22%
6%
2%
46%
44%
5%
5%
40%
41%
17%
2%
50%
36%
2%
12%
64%
32%
3%
0%
63%
30%
5%
2%
56%
35%
5%
4%
81%
19%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(558)
(136)
(245)
(492)
(166)
(967)
100%
(1,040)
(17)
(3)
(53)
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
78%
7%
7%
2%
3%
2%
81%
3%
5%
5%
5%
0%
76%
11%
7%
0%
2%
4%
65%
3%
23%
0%
9%
0%
70%
6%
7%
7%
1%
10%
84%
9%
3%
0%
4%
0%
85%
8%
3%
3%
1%
0%
77%
8%
7%
2%
3%
2%
94%
0%
0%
0%
2%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(558)
(136)
(245)
(492)
(166)
(967)
100%
(1,040)
(17)
(3)
(53)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
35%
9%
24%
31%
41%
9%
19%
34%
30%
8%
28%
35%
29%
9%
27%
40%
30%
12%
17%
31%
35%
8%
25%
21%
47%
2%
29%
32%
34%
9%
25%
29%
56%
5%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(558)
(136)
(245)
(492)
(166)
(967)
100%
(1,040)
(17)
(3)
(53)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%
5%
2%
9%
12%
6%
0%
0%
13%
3%
13%
0%
37%
0%
10%
8%
4%
21%
2%
0%
1%
7%
3%
15%
0%
30%
0%
0%
4%
12%
17%
2%
0%
0%
8%
5%
10%
0%
41%
0%
7%
6%
4%
20%
3%
0%
1%
11%
2%
9%
0%
36%
0%
10%
4%
7%
10%
6%
0%
0%
7%
0%
23%
0%
32%
0%
8%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
13%
0%
34%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(440)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
5%
57%
0%
38%
6%
56%
0%
38%
4%
57%
1%
29%
0%
71%
0%
47%
9%
44%
0%
38%
0%
59%
2%
38%
3%
58%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(289)
100%
(460)
(99)
(235)
(86)
(427)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
37%
23%
3%
43%
34%
23%
1%
29%
41%
24%
6%
45%
47%
8%
0%
29%
37%
29%
5%
39%
32%
28%
1%
35%
38%
24%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(223)
100%
(475)
(96)
(227)
(111)
(439)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
40%
34%
41%
38%
39%
38%
16%
14%
17%
13%
11%
26%
16%
29%
28%
29%
31%
34%
17%
29%
15%
3%
14%
3%
15%
5%
8%
6%
16%
2%
13%
6%
14%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(158)
100%
(302)
(52)
(161)
(68)
(286)
(22)
(0)
(1)
(15)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
31%
5%
71%
25%
5%
59%
35%
5%
61%
38%
1%
63%
31%
6%
66%
29%
5%
62%
34%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(287)
100%
(458)
(99)
(235)
(84)
(424)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
69%
31%
69%
30%
70%
34%
66%
31%
69%
32%
68%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(152)
(134)
100%
(287)
(55)
(127)
(67)
(260)
(38)
(3)
(1)
(22)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
55%
47%
53%
43%
57%
56%
44%
46%
54%
48%
52%
46%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(206)
(161)
100%
(367)
(75)
(165)
(91)
(340)
(37)
(4)
(1)
(23)
10
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
46%
51%
49%
56%
44%
51%
49%
55%
45%
55%
45%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(203)
(173)
100%
(376)
(79)
(192)
(76)
(350)
(30)
(4)
(1)
(22)
11
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
55%
40%
60%
50%
50%
44%
56%
43%
57%
53%
47%
46%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(216)
(186)
100%
(402)
(74)
(198)
(92)
(370)
(38)
(4)
(1)
(26)
12
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
59%
42%
58%
38%
62%
41%
59%
42%
58%
43%
57%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(223)
(172)
100%
(395)
(86)
(191)
(83)
(363)
(35)
(4)
(1)
(27)
13
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
70%
35%
65%
26%
74%
14%
86%
31%
69%
42%
58%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(205)
(171)
100%
(376)
(77)
(178)
(89)
(349)
(32)
(0)
(0)
(26)
14
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
27%
73%
41%
59%
38%
62%
36%
64%
37%
63%
34%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(231)
(180)
100%
(411)
(84)
(195)
(91)
(378)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(27)
15
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
16%
50%
34%
12%
45%
43%
21%
55%
24%
9%
50%
41%
19%
48%
33%
15%
58%
27%
16%
51%
33%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(212)
100%
(463)
(94)
(221)
(108)
(427)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
16
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
55%
41%
4%
49%
46%
5%
61%
37%
2%
49%
47%
4%
54%
44%
2%
54%
44%
2%
55%
41%
4%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(220)
100%
(471)
(96)
(225)
(109)
(435)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
17
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
36%
52%
12%
39%
48%
12%
31%
57%
12%
26%
58%
16%
31%
55%
14%
42%
50%
8%
35%
53%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(248)
(217)
100%
(465)
(94)
(224)
(108)
(429)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
18
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
14%
58%
27%
14%
55%
31%
14%
63%
23%
13%
53%
34%
15%
57%
28%
14%
61%
25%
14%
59%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(216)
100%
(466)
(94)
(224)
(108)
(430)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
19
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
47%
43%
57%
65%
35%
62%
38%
50%
50%
58%
42%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(245)
(210)
100%
(455)
(94)
(213)
(108)
(419)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
20
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
37%
62%
38%
65%
35%
56%
44%
65%
35%
75%
25%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(238)
(211)
100%
(450)
(92)
(208)
(108)
(417)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(27)
21
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
35%
62%
38%
68%
32%
68%
32%
66%
34%
65%
35%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(244)
(212)
100%
(456)
(94)
(215)
(107)
(420)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
22
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
47%
53%
54%
46%
39%
61%
47%
53%
64%
36%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(244)
(211)
100%
(455)
(94)
(213)
(107)
(419)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
23
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
37%
58%
42%
70%
30%
73%
27%
55%
45%
76%
24%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(219)
100%
(469)
(94)
(226)
(109)
(433)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
24
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
71%
29%
68%
32%
74%
26%
72%
28%
70%
30%
76%
24%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(221)
100%
(472)
(96)
(226)
(109)
(435)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
25
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
59%
41%
54%
46%
65%
35%
66%
34%
60%
40%
59%
41%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(219)
100%
(470)
(94)
(227)
(109)
(433)
(40)
(4)
(1)
(31)
26
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
40%
54%
46%
67%
33%
61%
39%
56%
44%
71%
29%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(249)
(219)
100%
(468)
(94)
(224)
(109)
(432)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
27
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
26%
27%
15%
5%
28%
19%
17%
3%
24%
37%
13%
0%
22%
29%
22%
6%
20%
29%
14%
3%
41%
25%
14%
4%
25%
28%
16%
28%
32%
23%
27%
31%
17%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(218)
100%
(469)
(96)
(227)
(105)
(433)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
28
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
23%
77%
25%
75%
20%
80%
22%
78%
18%
82%
25%
75%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(440)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
29
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
5%
9%
86%
6%
14%
80%
4%
4%
92%
8%
12%
79%
5%
9%
87%
3%
5%
92%
5%
6%
88%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(440)
(41)
(4)
(1)
(31)
30
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
34%
48%
18%
29%
46%
25%
37%
48%
14%
28%
53%
19%
40%
45%
15%
37%
32%
31%
34%
46%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(291)
100%
(461)
(102)
(235)
(85)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(16)
31
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
11%
79%
10%
9%
85%
6%
12%
76%
12%
7%
80%
13%
12%
81%
7%
12%
73%
15%
11%
78%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(235)
(85)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
32
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
22%
30%
53%
23%
24%
45%
21%
35%
41%
28%
30%
53%
14%
33%
56%
17%
27%
48%
21%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
33
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
63%
16%
21%
64%
15%
20%
62%
18%
15%
62%
23%
26%
59%
15%
17%
62%
21%
20%
62%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
34
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
49%
26%
30%
50%
20%
21%
49%
30%
19%
62%
18%
29%
42%
28%
25%
39%
36%
26%
48%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(429)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
35
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
26%
31%
38%
30%
32%
47%
23%
31%
38%
29%
33%
50%
17%
32%
41%
25%
34%
43%
26%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
36
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
77%
23%
84%
16%
73%
27%
81%
19%
80%
20%
78%
22%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(169)
(277)
100%
(446)
(95)
(230)
(81)
(413)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(16)
37
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
54%
46%
54%
46%
54%
48%
52%
43%
57%
50%
50%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(287)
100%
(458)
(100)
(235)
(84)
(424)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
38
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
40%
58%
42%
60%
40%
54%
46%
67%
33%
62%
38%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(287)
100%
(457)
(100)
(235)
(83)
(424)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
39
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
95%
5%
94%
6%
95%
5%
96%
4%
95%
5%
94%
6%
95%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(288)
100%
(459)
(100)
(235)
(84)
(425)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
40
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
61%
39%
64%
36%
59%
41%
65%
35%
53%
47%
60%
40%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(288)
100%
(459)
(102)
(235)
(83)
(425)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
41
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
97%
3%
97%
3%
97%
0%
100%
4%
96%
0%
100%
3%
97%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(289)
100%
(460)
(102)
(235)
(84)
(426)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
42
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
18%
38%
4%
24%
33%
9%
14%
41%
8%
6%
55%
7%
16%
35%
6%
31%
27%
7%
16%
39%
37%
39%
36%
31%
42%
35%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(171)
(291)
100%
(462)
(102)
(235)
(86)
(428)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
43
Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
47%
14%
37%
51%
12%
40%
45%
16%
36%
40%
24%
31%
56%
13%
52%
42%
6%
37%
47%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(170)
(291)
100%
(461)
(102)
(236)
(84)
(427)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
44
Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
74%
19%
7%
83%
9%
7%
69%
24%
4%
71%
26%
9%
72%
19%
7%
80%
13%
8%
72%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(169)
(290)
100%
(460)
(102)
(235)
(83)
(426)
(39)
(13)
(4)
(17)
45
Gender
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowas results dont matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
4%
3%
96%
Age group
Female
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
6%
13%
6%
3%
4%
97%
94%
87%
94%
97%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(937)
(423)
(515)
(80)
(197)
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
96%
96%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(196)
(868)
(17)
(5)
(48)
46
6.8%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
70%
28%
1%
0%
82%
17%
1%
0%
74%
25%
2%
0%
78%
21%
1%
0%
81%
19%
0%
0%
65%
33%
2%
0%
75%
24%
1%
0%
70%
29%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(69)
(185)
(118)
(172)
(282)
(118)
(331)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
70%
28%
1%
0%
76%
24%
0%
0%
64%
34%
2%
0%
62%
38%
0%
0%
71%
28%
0%
0%
84%
12%
3%
0%
67%
31%
2%
0%
72%
27%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(239)
(216)
(41)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%
4%
3%
2%
24%
2%
0%
0%
6%
8%
14%
0%
37%
0%
6%
5%
7%
20%
7%
0%
1%
5%
3%
13%
0%
33%
0%
8%
4%
8%
6%
3%
0%
0%
19%
1%
23%
0%
28%
1%
1%
6%
3%
26%
3%
0%
1%
4%
5%
8%
0%
42%
0%
11%
4%
8%
10%
5%
0%
0%
14%
2%
16%
0%
30%
0%
11%
13%
3%
21%
6%
0%
2%
1%
4%
14%
0%
25%
0%
6%
2%
7%
14%
4%
0%
0%
14%
3%
13%
0%
38%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(69)
(185)
(118)
(172)
(282)
(118)
(331)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
7%
5%
7%
16%
4%
0%
0%
10%
3%
14%
0%
34%
0%
5%
2%
9%
12%
6%
0%
0%
13%
3%
13%
0%
37%
0%
10%
8%
4%
21%
2%
0%
1%
7%
3%
15%
0%
30%
0%
0%
4%
12%
17%
2%
0%
0%
8%
5%
10%
0%
41%
0%
7%
6%
4%
20%
3%
0%
1%
11%
2%
9%
0%
36%
0%
10%
4%
7%
10%
6%
0%
0%
7%
0%
23%
0%
32%
0%
5%
5%
9%
17%
3%
0%
1%
9%
2%
15%
0%
34%
0%
10%
4%
5%
14%
6%
0%
0%
12%
3%
13%
0%
33%
0%
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
Female
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(252)
(224)
Party ID
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(96)
(228)
(111)
(239)
(216)
(41)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
37%
23%
3%
59%
32%
9%
0%
35%
42%
23%
0%
43%
35%
19%
3%
45%
36%
19%
1%
32%
38%
27%
4%
37%
31%
32%
0%
36%
40%
21%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(69)
(185)
(117)
(172)
(281)
(118)
(330)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
36%
37%
23%
3%
43%
34%
23%
1%
29%
41%
24%
6%
45%
47%
8%
0%
29%
37%
29%
5%
39%
32%
28%
1%
39%
39%
20%
2%
32%
37%
28%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(223)
100%
(475)
(96)
(227)
(111)
(239)
(215)
(41)
Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
46%
47%
40%
36%
45%
34%
16%
10%
15%
17%
13%
26%
10%
29%
25%
17%
28%
30%
11%
36%
15%
3%
16%
3%
11%
9%
13%
2%
17%
5%
14%
4%
15%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(121)
(67)
(95)
(193)
(74)
(210)
100%
(302)
(28)
Gender
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
40%
34%
41%
38%
39%
42%
35%
16%
14%
17%
13%
11%
26%
14%
18%
29%
28%
29%
31%
34%
17%
30%
25%
15%
3%
14%
3%
15%
5%
8%
6%
16%
2%
13%
6%
11%
3%
18%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(145)
(158)
100%
(302)
(52)
(161)
(68)
(146)
(146)
(22)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
69%
40%
60%
24%
76%
47%
53%
22%
78%
34%
66%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(111)
(78)
(88)
(181)
(78)
(189)
100%
(287)
(36)
Gender
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
31%
69%
31%
69%
30%
70%
34%
66%
31%
69%
32%
68%
33%
67%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(152)
(134)
100%
(287)
(55)
(127)
(67)
(143)
(129)
(38)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
45%
55%
55%
45%
27%
73%
78%
22%
30%
70%
66%
34%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(140)
(102)
(120)
(232)
(86)
(261)
100%
(367)
(45)
Gender
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
45%
55%
47%
53%
43%
57%
56%
44%
46%
54%
48%
52%
48%
52%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(206)
(161)
100%
(367)
(75)
(165)
(91)
(179)
(174)
(37)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
45%
55%
65%
35%
48%
52%
54%
46%
54%
46%
55%
45%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(55)
(147)
(81)
(139)
(225)
(90)
(270)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
46%
51%
49%
56%
44%
51%
49%
55%
45%
55%
45%
57%
43%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(203)
(173)
100%
(376)
(79)
(192)
(76)
(185)
(175)
(30)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
45%
55%
42%
58%
41%
59%
56%
44%
37%
63%
49%
51%
43%
57%
45%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(402)
(62)
(151)
(97)
(142)
(244)
(101)
(280)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
45%
55%
40%
60%
50%
50%
44%
56%
43%
57%
53%
47%
45%
55%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(216)
(186)
100%
(402)
(74)
(198)
(92)
(196)
(185)
(38)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
59%
26%
74%
34%
66%
52%
48%
35%
65%
43%
57%
27%
73%
44%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(395)
(58)
(151)
(99)
(145)
(231)
(91)
(281)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
41%
59%
42%
58%
38%
62%
41%
59%
42%
58%
43%
57%
37%
63%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(223)
(172)
100%
(395)
(86)
(191)
(83)
(203)
(171)
(35)
10
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
30%
70%
10%
90%
35%
65%
43%
57%
23%
77%
37%
63%
28%
72%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(57)
(154)
(84)
(139)
(218)
(102)
(251)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
30%
70%
35%
65%
26%
74%
14%
86%
31%
69%
42%
58%
28%
72%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(205)
(171)
100%
(376)
(77)
(178)
(89)
(195)
(161)
(32)
11
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
67%
52%
48%
41%
59%
16%
84%
48%
52%
26%
74%
40%
60%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(411)
(57)
(157)
(103)
(140)
(250)
(89)
(296)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
33%
67%
27%
73%
41%
59%
38%
62%
36%
64%
37%
63%
35%
65%
33%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(231)
(180)
100%
(411)
(84)
(195)
(91)
(206)
(184)
(41)
12
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
16%
50%
34%
2%
30%
68%
12%
52%
36%
22%
56%
22%
12%
34%
54%
20%
59%
21%
8%
49%
43%
20%
50%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(68)
(182)
(115)
(168)
(273)
(118)
(318)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
16%
50%
34%
12%
45%
43%
21%
55%
24%
9%
50%
41%
19%
48%
33%
15%
58%
27%
9%
50%
41%
24%
47%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(212)
100%
(463)
(94)
(221)
(108)
(236)
(206)
(40)
13
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
55%
41%
4%
39%
50%
11%
54%
43%
3%
62%
37%
2%
37%
57%
6%
63%
34%
2%
49%
43%
8%
55%
42%
2%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(69)
(182)
(116)
(168)
(281)
(118)
(326)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
55%
41%
4%
49%
46%
5%
61%
37%
2%
49%
47%
4%
54%
44%
2%
54%
44%
2%
52%
42%
5%
56%
42%
2%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(220)
100%
(471)
(96)
(225)
(109)
(238)
(212)
(41)
14
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
36%
52%
12%
15%
76%
9%
31%
59%
10%
60%
27%
14%
10%
77%
13%
50%
37%
13%
19%
76%
4%
40%
44%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(69)
(182)
(114)
(167)
(277)
(116)
(323)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
36%
52%
12%
39%
48%
12%
31%
57%
12%
26%
58%
16%
31%
55%
14%
42%
50%
8%
31%
54%
15%
41%
49%
10%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(248)
(217)
100%
(465)
(94)
(224)
(108)
(233)
(211)
(40)
15
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
14%
58%
27%
1%
42%
56%
8%
65%
27%
20%
57%
23%
4%
50%
46%
21%
62%
17%
9%
59%
31%
16%
57%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(466)
(68)
(182)
(115)
(168)
(277)
(118)
(321)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
14%
58%
27%
14%
55%
31%
14%
63%
23%
13%
53%
34%
15%
57%
28%
14%
61%
25%
7%
64%
29%
23%
52%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(216)
100%
(466)
(94)
(224)
(108)
(236)
(209)
(41)
16
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
53%
47%
41%
59%
43%
57%
68%
32%
35%
65%
61%
39%
39%
61%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(455)
(66)
(175)
(116)
(166)
(267)
(111)
(318)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
53%
47%
43%
57%
65%
35%
62%
38%
50%
50%
58%
42%
55%
45%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(245)
(210)
100%
(455)
(94)
(213)
(108)
(227)
(207)
(40)
17
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
37%
67%
33%
53%
47%
68%
32%
66%
34%
63%
37%
68%
32%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(67)
(169)
(113)
(163)
(265)
(107)
(316)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
37%
62%
38%
65%
35%
56%
44%
65%
35%
75%
25%
60%
40%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(238)
(211)
100%
(450)
(92)
(208)
(108)
(227)
(202)
(41)
18
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
35%
74%
26%
73%
27%
51%
49%
81%
19%
56%
44%
92%
8%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(67)
(177)
(116)
(168)
(267)
(110)
(320)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
35%
62%
38%
68%
32%
68%
32%
66%
34%
65%
35%
67%
33%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(244)
(212)
100%
(456)
(94)
(215)
(107)
(226)
(208)
(40)
19
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
42%
58%
53%
47%
52%
48%
40%
60%
55%
45%
62%
38%
45%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(455)
(66)
(176)
(116)
(167)
(267)
(110)
(319)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
49%
47%
53%
54%
46%
39%
61%
47%
53%
64%
36%
51%
49%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(244)
(211)
100%
(455)
(94)
(213)
(107)
(227)
(207)
(41)
20
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
37%
63%
37%
67%
33%
62%
38%
59%
41%
65%
35%
68%
32%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(68)
(183)
(117)
(171)
(277)
(118)
(324)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
37%
58%
42%
70%
30%
73%
27%
55%
45%
76%
24%
69%
31%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(219)
100%
(469)
(94)
(226)
(109)
(235)
(213)
(40)
21
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
71%
29%
83%
17%
74%
26%
67%
33%
89%
11%
62%
38%
77%
23%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(472)
(69)
(183)
(116)
(171)
(279)
(118)
(326)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
71%
29%
68%
32%
74%
26%
72%
28%
70%
30%
76%
24%
73%
27%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(221)
100%
(472)
(96)
(226)
(109)
(237)
(213)
(41)
22
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
59%
41%
83%
17%
69%
31%
35%
65%
83%
17%
44%
56%
85%
15%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(69)
(183)
(117)
(171)
(277)
(118)
(325)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
59%
41%
54%
46%
65%
35%
66%
34%
60%
40%
59%
41%
65%
35%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(219)
100%
(470)
(94)
(227)
(109)
(236)
(213)
(40)
23
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
60%
40%
53%
47%
69%
31%
58%
42%
60%
40%
59%
41%
72%
28%
55%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(468)
(68)
(183)
(115)
(171)
(276)
(117)
(323)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
60%
40%
54%
46%
67%
33%
61%
39%
56%
44%
71%
29%
65%
35%
55%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(249)
(219)
100%
(468)
(94)
(224)
(109)
(236)
(211)
(41)
24
Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
4%
26%
27%
15%
10%
28%
17%
26%
5%
26%
28%
16%
0%
25%
24%
8%
5%
29%
26%
18%
3%
21%
30%
13%
12%
36%
29%
12%
1%
20%
28%
16%
28%
18%
26%
42%
22%
33%
11%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(69)
(184)
(117)
(172)
(275)
(112)
(330)
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
4%
26%
27%
15%
5%
28%
19%
17%
3%
24%
37%
13%
0%
22%
29%
22%
6%
20%
29%
14%
3%
41%
25%
14%
1%
28%
27%
15%
7%
23%
27%
16%
28%
32%
23%
27%
31%
17%
30%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(251)
(218)
100%
(469)
(96)
(227)
(105)
(237)
(211)
(41)
25
Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
23%
77%
23%
77%
17%
83%
32%
68%
22%
78%
21%
79%
9%
91%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(69)
(185)
(118)
(172)
(282)
(118)
(331)
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
23%
77%
25%
75%
20%
80%
22%
78%
18%
82%
25%
75%
22%
78%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(239)
(216)
(41)
26
Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
5%
9%
86%
0%
13%
87%
8%
9%
84%
3%
10%
87%
9%
15%
76%
4%
4%
93%
12%
12%
76%
3%
7%
90%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(69)
(185)
(118)
(172)
(282)
(118)
(331)
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
5%
9%
86%
6%
14%
80%
4%
4%
92%
8%
12%
79%
5%
9%
87%
3%
5%
92%
7%
7%
85%
3%
10%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(252)
(224)
100%
(476)
(96)
(228)
(111)
(239)
(216)
(41)
27
Ideology
Total
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowas results dont matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very conservative
Tea Party
Conservative
Moderate
Totals
(Weighted N)
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
0%
7%
6%
2%
8%
5%
6%
93%
100%
93%
94%
98%
92%
95%
94%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(69)
(184)
(117)
(171)
(282)
(118)
(329)
Gender
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowas results dont matter to New
Hampshire
Evangelical
Total
Male
7%
Age group
Female
18-29
4%
10%
93%
96%
90%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(251)
(223)
Party ID
30-44
45-64
9%
5%
6%
8%
0%
91%
95%
94%
92%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(96)
(228)
(110)
(239)
(216)
(41)
65+
Republican
Independent
28
8.2%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
75%
24%
0%
0%
81%
19%
0%
0%
79%
20%
0%
0%
74%
26%
0%
0%
79%
20%
0%
0%
73%
27%
0%
0%
59%
41%
0%
0%
80%
20%
0%
0%
79%
21%
1%
0%
77%
23%
0%
0%
72%
27%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(142)
(137)
(171)
(292)
100%
(463)
(102)
(236)
(86)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
5%
57%
0%
17%
1%
81%
0%
44%
0%
55%
0%
47%
7%
46%
0%
38%
6%
56%
0%
38%
4%
57%
1%
29%
0%
71%
0%
47%
9%
44%
0%
38%
0%
59%
2%
49%
4%
48%
0%
19%
6%
74%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(142)
(137)
(171)
(289)
100%
(460)
(99)
(235)
(86)
(299)
(153)
(39)
Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
64%
31%
5%
82%
17%
1%
69%
28%
3%
68%
30%
2%
71%
25%
5%
59%
35%
5%
61%
38%
1%
63%
31%
6%
66%
29%
5%
68%
29%
3%
57%
35%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(136)
(171)
(287)
100%
(458)
(99)
(235)
(84)
(298)
(153)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
34%
48%
18%
17%
81%
2%
34%
44%
22%
37%
34%
29%
29%
46%
25%
37%
48%
14%
28%
53%
19%
40%
45%
15%
37%
32%
31%
39%
47%
14%
25%
50%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(75)
(142)
(137)
(171)
(291)
100%
(461)
(102)
(235)
(85)
(298)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
11%
79%
10%
7%
87%
7%
9%
81%
10%
16%
73%
12%
9%
85%
6%
12%
76%
12%
7%
80%
13%
12%
81%
7%
12%
73%
15%
13%
77%
10%
6%
86%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(142)
(137)
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(235)
(85)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
48%
22%
30%
30%
49%
21%
50%
16%
34%
58%
17%
25%
53%
23%
24%
45%
21%
35%
41%
28%
30%
53%
14%
33%
56%
17%
27%
54%
19%
27%
37%
26%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(137)
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
21%
63%
16%
16%
79%
5%
25%
52%
23%
27%
62%
10%
21%
64%
15%
20%
62%
18%
15%
62%
23%
26%
59%
15%
17%
62%
21%
27%
53%
20%
10%
81%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(137)
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
25%
49%
26%
17%
72%
10%
23%
50%
27%
36%
38%
26%
30%
50%
20%
21%
49%
30%
19%
62%
18%
29%
42%
28%
25%
39%
36%
32%
45%
23%
11%
57%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(142)
(137)
(171)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
43%
26%
31%
36%
44%
20%
49%
24%
27%
46%
20%
35%
38%
30%
32%
47%
23%
31%
38%
29%
33%
50%
17%
32%
41%
25%
34%
50%
24%
26%
32%
27%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(137)
(170)
(292)
100%
(462)
(102)
(236)
(85)
(299)
(155)
(39)
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
77%
23%
70%
30%
83%
17%
83%
17%
84%
16%
73%
27%
81%
19%
80%
20%
78%
22%
82%
18%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(75)
(135)
(128)
(169)
(277)
100%
(446)
(95)
(230)
(81)
(286)
(152)
(39)
10
Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
54%
58%
42%
42%
58%
43%
57%
46%
54%
46%
54%
48%
52%
43%
57%
50%
50%
46%
54%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(137)
(136)
(170)
(287)
100%
(458)
(100)
(235)
(84)
(298)
(152)
(39)
11
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
60%
40%
44%
56%
68%
32%
64%
36%
58%
42%
60%
40%
54%
46%
67%
33%
62%
38%
66%
34%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(134)
(170)
(287)
100%
(457)
(100)
(235)
(83)
(295)
(154)
(39)
12
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
95%
5%
99%
1%
95%
5%
92%
8%
94%
6%
95%
5%
96%
4%
95%
5%
94%
6%
94%
6%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(140)
(136)
(171)
(288)
100%
(459)
(100)
(235)
(84)
(296)
(154)
(39)
13
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
61%
39%
78%
22%
55%
45%
52%
48%
64%
36%
59%
41%
65%
35%
53%
47%
60%
40%
54%
46%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(139)
(135)
(171)
(288)
100%
(459)
(102)
(235)
(83)
(296)
(155)
(39)
14
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
3%
97%
0%
100%
1%
99%
4%
96%
3%
97%
3%
97%
0%
100%
4%
96%
0%
100%
3%
97%
2%
98%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(140)
(136)
(171)
(289)
100%
(460)
(102)
(235)
(84)
(297)
(154)
(39)
15
Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
18%
38%
3%
17%
55%
11%
12%
38%
3%
23%
26%
4%
24%
33%
9%
14%
41%
8%
6%
55%
7%
16%
35%
6%
31%
27%
6%
12%
39%
8%
27%
39%
37%
25%
39%
48%
39%
36%
31%
42%
35%
43%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(137)
(171)
(291)
100%
(462)
(102)
(235)
(86)
(299)
(154)
(39)
16
Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
39%
47%
14%
58%
24%
18%
35%
55%
10%
39%
50%
11%
37%
51%
12%
40%
45%
16%
36%
40%
24%
31%
56%
13%
52%
42%
6%
38%
50%
12%
39%
41%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(141)
(136)
(170)
(291)
100%
(461)
(102)
(236)
(84)
(299)
(155)
(39)
17
Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
74%
19%
7%
70%
23%
7%
77%
16%
7%
79%
13%
7%
83%
9%
7%
69%
24%
4%
71%
26%
9%
72%
19%
7%
80%
13%
10%
72%
18%
2%
77%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(139)
(137)
(169)
(290)
100%
(460)
(102)
(235)
(83)
(298)
(154)
(39)
18
Ideology
Total
Yes, because Iowa is an important test
No, Iowas results dont matter to New
Hampshire
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Gender
Moderate
Male
Age group
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Party ID
65+
Democrat
Independent
2%
10%
0%
0%
2%
2%
3%
1%
0%
3%
0%
98%
90%
100%
100%
98%
98%
97%
99%
100%
97%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(142)
(137)
(171)
(292)
100%
(463)
(102)
(236)
(86)
(299)
(155)
(39)
19