Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Florida
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
4.6%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .97%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
6. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson
7. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Too extreme
42%
21%
9%
About right
53%
67%
55%
Too moderate
5%
12%
36%
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Yes, consistent
71%
74%
54%
9. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Understands
81%
74%
64%
Doesnt understand
19%
26%
36%
10. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters
Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82%
12. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
15. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.
18. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
69%
25%
5%
0%
77%
19%
4%
0%
59%
32%
7%
1%
60%
35%
3%
3%
65%
29%
6%
0%
80%
16%
4%
0%
70%
24%
5%
0%
63%
30%
7%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(154)
(422)
(362)
(820)
100%
(523)
100%
(988)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
97%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
97%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
97%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
97%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
95%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
98%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
97%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
93%
7%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(154)
(422)
(362)
(820)
100%
(523)
100%
(988)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
5%
2%
22%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
18%
0%
41%
1%
4%
3%
2%
27%
1%
0%
0%
3%
2%
14%
0%
42%
1%
5%
7%
2%
17%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
22%
0%
41%
1%
3%
5%
4%
24%
3%
0%
1%
2%
2%
19%
0%
36%
0%
6%
6%
2%
22%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
21%
0%
40%
0%
3%
3%
3%
22%
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
15%
0%
47%
1%
4%
6%
3%
24%
1%
0%
1%
3%
1%
18%
0%
39%
1%
8%
0%
0%
17%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
25%
0%
47%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(154)
(421)
(362)
(818)
100%
(521)
100%
(986)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
35%
21%
2%
40%
35%
23%
2%
43%
35%
20%
2%
52%
30%
14%
4%
41%
37%
20%
2%
37%
36%
27%
1%
40%
34%
25%
2%
47%
45%
6%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(153)
(419)
(358)
(812)
100%
(518)
100%
(979)
(49)
(9)
(135)
(22)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
30%
29%
21%
30%
34%
31%
20%
25%
24%
26%
33%
20%
25%
23%
39%
29%
26%
34%
26%
30%
30%
30%
27%
11%
5%
15%
5%
7%
5%
19%
2%
13%
7%
7%
4%
11%
6%
10%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(264)
(74)
(245)
(221)
(486)
100%
(305)
100%
(568)
(27)
(1)
(72)
(10)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
43%
67%
33%
47%
53%
47%
53%
58%
42%
66%
34%
58%
42%
55%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(263)
(96)
(243)
(172)
(467)
100%
(282)
100%
(545)
(34)
(3)
(70)
(4)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
35%
68%
32%
62%
38%
56%
44%
58%
42%
80%
20%
67%
33%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(361)
(111)
(316)
(252)
(581)
100%
(355)
100%
(716)
(36)
(4)
(111)
(19)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
37%
67%
33%
57%
43%
61%
39%
67%
33%
62%
38%
62%
38%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(339)
(122)
(316)
(272)
(629)
100%
(412)
100%
(751)
(42)
(5)
(97)
(20)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
40%
60%
35%
65%
29%
71%
34%
66%
46%
54%
38%
62%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(416)
(141)
(390)
(301)
(720)
100%
(460)
100%
(877)
(44)
(5)
(130)
(22)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
64%
34%
66%
38%
62%
44%
56%
39%
61%
27%
73%
36%
64%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(412)
(145)
(362)
(310)
(723)
100%
(448)
100%
(859)
(43)
(5)
(110)
(21)
10
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
74%
33%
67%
19%
81%
26%
74%
23%
77%
31%
69%
28%
72%
17%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(411)
(143)
(374)
(293)
(711)
100%
(441)
100%
(851)
(41)
(5)
(115)
(20)
11
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
49%
55%
45%
46%
54%
55%
45%
52%
48%
51%
49%
53%
47%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(398)
(137)
(365)
(308)
(701)
100%
(454)
100%
(852)
(41)
(9)
(120)
(21)
12
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
42%
53%
5%
37%
57%
7%
47%
49%
4%
46%
45%
9%
42%
53%
5%
39%
58%
3%
40%
54%
6%
55%
42%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(154)
(420)
(359)
(813)
100%
(518)
100%
(979)
(47)
(8)
(135)
(22)
13
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
21%
67%
12%
22%
69%
9%
20%
65%
15%
23%
57%
20%
23%
64%
12%
17%
76%
7%
20%
68%
12%
28%
63%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(457)
(153)
(414)
(357)
(807)
100%
(515)
100%
(971)
(47)
(8)
(135)
(21)
14
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
9%
55%
36%
8%
51%
41%
9%
60%
30%
8%
60%
32%
9%
56%
35%
7%
54%
39%
8%
56%
36%
10%
59%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(457)
(153)
(416)
(361)
(813)
100%
(521)
100%
(979)
(49)
(9)
(135)
(21)
15
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
71%
29%
71%
29%
71%
29%
58%
42%
73%
27%
77%
23%
70%
30%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(153)
(407)
(355)
(798)
100%
(518)
100%
(964)
(49)
(10)
(135)
(21)
16
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
26%
78%
22%
70%
30%
65%
35%
75%
25%
79%
21%
76%
24%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(440)
(153)
(403)
(350)
(787)
100%
(513)
100%
(953)
(48)
(10)
(135)
(21)
17
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
46%
49%
51%
60%
40%
54%
46%
59%
41%
50%
50%
54%
46%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(438)
(153)
(403)
(350)
(786)
100%
(516)
100%
(954)
(48)
(10)
(135)
(22)
18
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
81%
19%
84%
16%
77%
23%
77%
23%
78%
22%
89%
11%
81%
19%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(458)
(153)
(419)
(353)
(807)
100%
(517)
100%
(974)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
19
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
26%
77%
23%
71%
29%
67%
33%
71%
29%
84%
16%
75%
25%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(458)
(150)
(418)
(353)
(802)
100%
(511)
100%
(969)
(48)
(10)
(135)
(21)
20
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
36%
59%
41%
69%
31%
61%
39%
65%
35%
67%
33%
65%
35%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(151)
(415)
(358)
(805)
100%
(513)
100%
(971)
(48)
(10)
(135)
(21)
21
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
28%
18%
19%
7%
28%
13%
22%
7%
28%
23%
15%
8%
18%
15%
18%
6%
23%
21%
18%
6%
42%
13%
19%
8%
31%
17%
20%
3%
14%
26%
8%
28%
30%
27%
41%
31%
19%
25%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(154)
(421)
(362)
(819)
100%
(521)
100%
(987)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
22
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
82%
19%
81%
18%
82%
25%
75%
20%
80%
11%
89%
17%
83%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(153)
(422)
(361)
(819)
100%
(522)
100%
(986)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
23
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
5%
10%
85%
5%
12%
84%
6%
7%
87%
6%
11%
83%
6%
13%
81%
2%
6%
92%
5%
10%
84%
2%
6%
91%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(154)
(421)
(362)
(819)
100%
(521)
100%
(987)
(50)
(10)
(135)
(22)
24
4.6%
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
69%
25%
5%
0%
76%
20%
4%
0%
73%
23%
4%
1%
54%
37%
9%
0%
79%
17%
4%
0%
57%
35%
7%
1%
68%
25%
6%
1%
73%
23%
4%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(988)
(297)
(461)
(175)
(528)
(450)
(437)
(504)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
69%
25%
5%
0%
77%
19%
4%
0%
59%
32%
7%
1%
60%
35%
3%
3%
65%
29%
6%
0%
80%
16%
4%
0%
67%
26%
6%
1%
81%
16%
3%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(523)
(465)
100%
(988)
(154)
(422)
(362)
(811)
(130)
(50)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
4%
5%
2%
22%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
18%
0%
41%
1%
4%
5%
1%
31%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
18%
0%
35%
0%
3%
5%
2%
23%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
19%
0%
44%
1%
10%
6%
5%
9%
1%
0%
1%
4%
1%
21%
0%
40%
1%
2%
5%
1%
29%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
17%
0%
43%
0%
8%
6%
4%
14%
2%
0%
0%
4%
2%
20%
0%
39%
1%
2%
7%
2%
31%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
14%
0%
38%
1%
6%
4%
3%
15%
2%
0%
0%
3%
1%
20%
0%
45%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(986)
(297)
(459)
(175)
(527)
(450)
(437)
(502)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
4%
5%
2%
22%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
18%
0%
41%
1%
4%
3%
2%
27%
1%
0%
0%
3%
2%
14%
0%
42%
1%
5%
7%
2%
17%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
22%
0%
41%
1%
3%
5%
4%
24%
3%
0%
1%
2%
2%
19%
0%
36%
0%
6%
6%
2%
22%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
21%
0%
40%
0%
3%
3%
3%
22%
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
15%
0%
47%
1%
5%
6%
3%
23%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
20%
0%
39%
1%
3%
3%
1%
20%
5%
0%
0%
5%
2%
7%
0%
53%
1%
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
Female
100%
100%
100%
(986)
(521)
(465)
Party ID
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(154)
(421)
(362)
(809)
(130)
(50)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
35%
21%
2%
55%
26%
18%
0%
37%
36%
25%
2%
35%
40%
20%
4%
46%
33%
20%
1%
37%
38%
22%
3%
42%
36%
20%
2%
41%
34%
22%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(979)
(296)
(456)
(174)
(524)
(445)
(434)
(498)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
41%
35%
21%
2%
40%
35%
23%
2%
43%
35%
20%
2%
52%
30%
14%
4%
41%
37%
20%
2%
37%
36%
27%
1%
41%
35%
22%
2%
42%
37%
19%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(518)
(461)
100%
(979)
(153)
(419)
(358)
(803)
(128)
(49)
Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
30%
38%
30%
25%
29%
30%
24%
35%
25%
23%
24%
17%
25%
25%
27%
22%
29%
24%
31%
39%
29%
29%
30%
29%
11%
5%
7%
7%
12%
3%
15%
5%
13%
4%
9%
7%
13%
6%
9%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(568)
(127)
(289)
(113)
(279)
(281)
(246)
(292)
Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
30%
30%
29%
21%
30%
34%
31%
29%
25%
24%
26%
33%
20%
25%
23%
27%
29%
26%
34%
26%
30%
30%
31%
22%
11%
5%
15%
5%
7%
5%
19%
2%
13%
7%
7%
4%
11%
4%
12%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(305)
(264)
100%
(568)
(74)
(245)
(221)
(468)
(74)
(27)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
57%
43%
61%
39%
64%
36%
32%
68%
70%
30%
43%
57%
59%
41%
59%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(181)
(247)
(94)
(283)
(256)
(258)
(256)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
57%
43%
67%
33%
47%
53%
47%
53%
58%
42%
66%
34%
57%
43%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(282)
(263)
100%
(545)
(96)
(243)
(172)
(460)
(58)
(34)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
35%
74%
26%
70%
30%
43%
57%
79%
21%
51%
49%
68%
32%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(716)
(196)
(331)
(145)
(349)
(360)
(280)
(399)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
35%
68%
32%
62%
38%
56%
44%
58%
42%
80%
20%
66%
34%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(355)
(361)
100%
(716)
(111)
(316)
(252)
(582)
(99)
(36)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
37%
66%
34%
65%
35%
59%
41%
65%
35%
59%
41%
63%
37%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(751)
(227)
(346)
(129)
(405)
(338)
(346)
(373)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
37%
67%
33%
57%
43%
61%
39%
67%
33%
62%
38%
65%
35%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(412)
(339)
100%
(751)
(122)
(316)
(272)
(599)
(114)
(42)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
62%
30%
70%
40%
60%
40%
60%
37%
63%
39%
61%
30%
70%
44%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(877)
(272)
(401)
(155)
(474)
(393)
(384)
(448)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
38%
62%
40%
60%
35%
65%
29%
71%
34%
66%
46%
54%
37%
63%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(460)
(416)
100%
(877)
(141)
(390)
(301)
(714)
(121)
(44)
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
64%
32%
68%
34%
66%
49%
51%
31%
69%
42%
58%
36%
64%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(859)
(265)
(394)
(150)
(469)
(381)
(394)
(426)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
36%
64%
34%
66%
38%
62%
44%
56%
39%
61%
27%
73%
39%
61%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(448)
(412)
100%
(859)
(145)
(362)
(310)
(701)
(116)
(43)
10
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
26%
74%
25%
75%
25%
75%
30%
70%
25%
75%
26%
74%
25%
75%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(851)
(272)
(384)
(154)
(462)
(379)
(382)
(426)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
26%
74%
33%
67%
19%
81%
26%
74%
23%
77%
31%
69%
28%
72%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(441)
(411)
100%
(851)
(143)
(374)
(293)
(704)
(111)
(41)
11
Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
49%
60%
40%
55%
45%
36%
64%
62%
38%
37%
63%
62%
38%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(852)
(267)
(384)
(152)
(458)
(386)
(377)
(433)
Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
49%
55%
45%
46%
54%
55%
45%
52%
48%
51%
49%
53%
47%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(454)
(398)
100%
(852)
(137)
(365)
(308)
(692)
(117)
(41)
12
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
42%
53%
5%
36%
59%
5%
42%
53%
5%
51%
47%
3%
33%
60%
6%
51%
44%
4%
40%
52%
8%
42%
55%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(979)
(293)
(457)
(175)
(522)
(448)
(434)
(498)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
42%
53%
5%
37%
57%
7%
47%
49%
4%
46%
45%
9%
42%
53%
5%
39%
58%
3%
43%
51%
6%
29%
67%
4%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(518)
(462)
100%
(979)
(154)
(420)
(359)
(803)
(130)
(47)
13
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
21%
67%
12%
8%
81%
11%
22%
69%
9%
39%
38%
23%
15%
77%
8%
28%
55%
17%
12%
74%
15%
30%
61%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(971)
(290)
(453)
(175)
(516)
(446)
(430)
(494)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
21%
67%
12%
22%
69%
9%
20%
65%
15%
23%
57%
20%
23%
64%
12%
17%
76%
7%
20%
68%
13%
28%
64%
8%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(515)
(457)
100%
(971)
(153)
(414)
(357)
(797)
(127)
(47)
14
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
9%
55%
36%
6%
54%
40%
6%
57%
37%
14%
59%
27%
4%
48%
47%
14%
64%
23%
8%
55%
36%
9%
55%
36%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(979)
(294)
(458)
(174)
(521)
(448)
(432)
(499)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
9%
55%
36%
8%
51%
41%
9%
60%
30%
8%
60%
32%
9%
56%
35%
7%
54%
39%
8%
58%
34%
11%
45%
44%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(521)
(457)
100%
(979)
(153)
(416)
(361)
(804)
(128)
(49)
15
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
71%
29%
70%
30%
73%
27%
68%
32%
72%
28%
70%
30%
66%
34%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(964)
(280)
(455)
(175)
(510)
(444)
(431)
(486)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
71%
29%
71%
29%
71%
29%
58%
42%
73%
27%
77%
23%
70%
30%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(518)
(446)
100%
(964)
(153)
(407)
(355)
(792)
(129)
(49)
16
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
26%
85%
15%
71%
29%
64%
36%
83%
17%
64%
36%
76%
24%
73%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(953)
(277)
(451)
(175)
(504)
(440)
(424)
(482)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
26%
78%
22%
70%
30%
65%
35%
75%
25%
79%
21%
74%
26%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(513)
(440)
100%
(953)
(153)
(403)
(350)
(782)
(128)
(48)
17
Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
55%
45%
53%
47%
59%
41%
51%
49%
58%
42%
55%
45%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(954)
(277)
(451)
(175)
(506)
(438)
(425)
(482)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
46%
49%
51%
60%
40%
54%
46%
59%
41%
50%
50%
58%
42%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(516)
(438)
100%
(954)
(153)
(403)
(350)
(782)
(128)
(48)
18
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
81%
19%
79%
21%
86%
14%
72%
28%
88%
12%
72%
28%
79%
21%
83%
17%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(974)
(292)
(455)
(173)
(522)
(443)
(430)
(497)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
81%
19%
84%
16%
77%
23%
77%
23%
78%
22%
89%
11%
80%
20%
88%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(517)
(458)
100%
(974)
(153)
(419)
(353)
(800)
(128)
(50)
19
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
26%
83%
17%
78%
22%
52%
48%
83%
17%
63%
37%
80%
20%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(969)
(289)
(454)
(173)
(522)
(438)
(427)
(494)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
26%
77%
23%
71%
29%
67%
33%
71%
29%
84%
16%
75%
25%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(511)
(458)
100%
(969)
(150)
(418)
(353)
(794)
(129)
(48)
20
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
64%
36%
67%
33%
66%
34%
60%
40%
64%
36%
63%
37%
64%
36%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(971)
(290)
(455)
(173)
(522)
(440)
(428)
(496)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
64%
36%
59%
41%
69%
31%
61%
39%
65%
35%
67%
33%
68%
32%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(513)
(459)
100%
(971)
(151)
(415)
(358)
(797)
(129)
(48)
21
Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
28%
18%
19%
13%
25%
18%
24%
5%
35%
17%
18%
4%
21%
17%
12%
8%
28%
17%
22%
6%
29%
18%
15%
13%
26%
19%
21%
2%
31%
16%
17%
28%
19%
25%
47%
25%
32%
21%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(297)
(459)
(175)
(527)
(450)
(437)
(502)
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
7%
28%
18%
19%
7%
28%
13%
22%
7%
28%
23%
15%
8%
18%
15%
18%
6%
23%
21%
18%
6%
42%
13%
19%
7%
30%
18%
18%
4%
22%
21%
21%
28%
30%
27%
41%
31%
19%
27%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(521)
(465)
100%
(987)
(154)
(421)
(362)
(810)
(130)
(50)
22
Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
82%
16%
84%
17%
83%
23%
77%
15%
85%
22%
78%
18%
82%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(986)
(297)
(459)
(175)
(528)
(449)
(437)
(502)
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
82%
19%
81%
18%
82%
25%
75%
20%
80%
11%
89%
17%
83%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(522)
(464)
100%
(986)
(153)
(422)
(361)
(809)
(129)
(50)
23
Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
5%
10%
85%
4%
17%
79%
4%
7%
89%
7%
6%
87%
5%
14%
82%
7%
4%
89%
5%
9%
86%
6%
10%
84%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(987)
(297)
(459)
(175)
(527)
(450)
(437)
(502)
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
5%
10%
85%
5%
12%
84%
6%
7%
87%
6%
11%
83%
6%
13%
81%
2%
6%
92%
6%
10%
84%
2%
6%
92%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(521)
(465)
100%
(987)
(154)
(421)
(362)
(810)
(130)
(50)
24