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Americancurrencies,saidtheAmericanforeignexchangestrategistNickVerdi.Lower
commoditiesprices,theeconomicdecelerationinthemajorityoftradingpartnersandthe
frequentdomesticchallengesamongLatinAmericaslargesteconomiesrepresent
importantheadwindstothecompleteregionin2015.Inearly2016theLatinAmerican
currenciescontinuetotumble,theirweakeningagainsttheU.S.dollarhaveshown
significantproblemsinthefinancialmarketsinthecommoditiesprices,mainlyforoilsas
petroleumandbasicmetalsascopper.
Verylowcommodityprices,highinflation,largefiscalproblemsandapoliticalcrisishave
allcameaheadin2015inBrazilianseconomyandingeneral,LatinAmericannations
economy.Brazilscurrency,felltoa12yearlowinMarch.Therelationshipbetween
globalgrowthandtradeisbreakingdowninawaythatwecannotapplythepast
relationshiptopredictthefuturesaidStephenen,aninternationalmonetaryfund
economist.
Thedevaluationofthecurrenciesisaneconomicalstrategyforfutureinvestmentand
optimummarketingrelationshipsbetweenothernationsinanintercontinentalsystem,
countrieslikeMexicoandArgentinaalreadyusingthistechniquehavepresentan
economicalexpansionthisyear,2,4and0,2%respectively.
Key words: Commercial relationships, profit, investment, commodity
prices, devaluation, inflation, imports, exports, emerging economies and
macroeconomics.
Involved countries:
Colombia
Brazil
Mexico
Chile
Argentina
Venezuela
Ecuador
Peru
Bolivia
United states of America
Canada
China
Russian federation
United kingdom
Germany
United arab emirates
Guiding questions:
The highly volatile economy in Latin-American nations generates
complications when deciding what to do when trying to solve a crisis
within this region. As delegates have seen before the most affected
countries are all facing internal issues which force the nations to either
reduce their currencys value or sacrifice exportations and external
investments to preserve the citizens current lifestyles and commodities.
Depending on the current government, the economy is oriented towards
a certain goal, in Argentinas case it was international investments and
macro economical decisions, which ultimately led to the devaluation of
the Argentinian peso. Having all of this in mind all delegates as
economist should consider the following questions to guide their
thoughts and their proposals:
1. Which countries have intentionally devaluated their currency?
2. What is the rate of inflation in this nations? And what is the
projection for next year?
3. Should a loan or an investment fund be given to all of the LatinAmerican countries or just those who are currently aiming to
obtain a better international market?
4. How risky is it to devaluate ones currency to benefit imports and
exports whilst utilizing the dollar in terms of inflation and local
business?
5. If other nations should pay a tax or a bill to help out other nations
recuperation to benefit the overall economic development?
6. How much should the world bank loan or invest into one nation
and why?
7. Which are the nations with the most potential and the worse
economical state at the time?
8. How can you sell your countrys market and promote external
investment or a WB loan for your country? (only if you are a
delegate for a Latin-American nation)
Sources:
FocusEconomics
http://www.focuseconomics.com/regions/latinamerica
Currency Devaluation and Revaluation
https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed38.html
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG/countries/HTxj?
display=graph
GDP growth (annual %)
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG/countries/HTxj?
display=graph
World Bank
http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/pressrelease/2015/10/06/worldbank
latinamericasslowdownputspressureonjobsandhouseholdincomes
Forbes
http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanielparishflannery/2015/05/29/investment
inlatinamericaisdwindling/#6a67b3606f92
FocusEconomics
http://www.focuseconomics.com/