Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
METHODOLOGY
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,798 Manitoba residents by Smart IVR on February
20th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.31%, 19
times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Winnipeg: +/-3.28%; Rest of Manitoba: +/-3.28%;
19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011
Census.
A2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.
The Return of
Greg Selinger
Quito
Maggi
one, honest
distractions.
conversation
with
voters,
no
A4
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan 7
Jan 27
NDP
PC
Liberal
Feb 11
Green
18-34
18%
38%
13%
7%
24%
162
Feb 20
Undecided
35-49
14%
38%
21%
4%
23%
412
Manitoba
17%
40%
17%
5%
22%
1798
50-64
16%
38%
19%
3%
24%
522
Winnipeg
20%
33%
18%
6%
23%
891
Rest of MB
11%
50%
15%
3%
21%
907
A5
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (DECIDED OR LEANING)
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
Jan 7
Jan 27
NDP
PC
Feb 11
Liberal
18-34
21%
50%
18%
12%
133
Feb 20
Green
35-49
19%
46%
30%
5%
355
Manitoba
21%
50%
23%
6%
1599
50-64
22%
49%
25%
3%
466
65+
23%
55%
18%
4%
645
Winnipeg
25%
43%
24%
8%
795
Male Female
21%
22%
50% 49%
23%
22%
6%
6%
754
845
Rest of MB
15%
60%
21%
4%
804
A6
And which party are you leaning towards voting for? (UNDECIDED ONLY)
9%
17%
55%
15%
5%
NDP
PC
Liberal
Green
Undecided
A7
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (DECIDED ONLY)
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
Jan 7
Jan 27
Feb 11
Jan 7
23%
44%
27%
6%
Feb 20
Jan 27
20%
52%
19%
9%
Feb 11 Feb 20
22%
21%
51%
52%
22%
20%
6%
7%
A4
16%
48%
36%
Approve
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
Disapprove
18-34
46%
35%
20%
Not Sure
35-49
45%
39%
16%
Manitoba
48%
36%
16%
50-64
53%
34%
14%
65+
51%
36%
13%
Winnipeg
47%
36%
17%
Male Female
48% 49%
38%
33%
14%
17%
Rest of MB
50%
36%
14%
A9
Do you approve or disapprove of new revenue tools for the City of Winnipeg, such as a city sales tax?
34%
39%
27%
Approve
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
Disapprove
Not Sure
18-34
36%
24%
40%
35-49
35%
26%
39%
Manitoba
34%
27%
39%
50-64
30%
29%
40%
Winnipeg
36%
28%
36%
Rest of MB
31%
27%
42%
A10
21%
38%
42%
Approve
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
Disapprove
18-34
36%
42%
22%
Not Sure
35-49
39%
41%
20%
Manitoba
38%
42%
21%
50-64
36%
41%
23%
Winnipeg
37%
54%
9%
Rest of MB
39%
21%
40%
A11
17%
17%
66%
Approve
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
Disapprove
18-34
59%
21%
20%
Not Sure
35-49
66%
17%
17%
Manitoba
66%
17%
17%
50-64
69%
13%
18%
65+
72%
15%
13%
Winnipeg
64%
18%
18%
Male Female
67%
64%
19%
15%
14%
21%
Rest of MB
69%
14%
17%
A12
If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?
NDP led by Greg Selinger
Progressive Conservative Party led by Brian Pallister
Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari
Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning towards? [Undecided Only]
NDP led by Greg Selinger
Progressive Conservative Party led by Brian Pallister
Liberal Party led by Rana Bokhari
Green Party led James Beddome
Undecided
And do you approve or disapprove of the province funding rapid bus transit?
Do you approve or disapprove of new revenue tools for the City of Winnipeg, such as a city sales tax?
Do you approve or disapprove of funding the Winnipeg Police Helicopter?
Do you approve or disapprove of a mandatory
secret ballot for votes to approve or reject unionization in the workplace?
Approve
Disapprove
Not Sure
ONLY WE
CALLED
THE
LIBERAL
MAJORITY.
I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because its an interview
with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a week
before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,
in deance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation
for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign. - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet Research | 1322255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.
WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER
@MainStResearch
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fb.com/mainstresearch