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STATISTIKA MATEMATIKA 1
DOSEN PENGAMPU
Mahmudi, M.Si.
DISUSUN OLEH
Kelompok 15
Trismi Murdianti (1111094000004)
Muhammad Fahmi Adli (1111094000013)
Dwika Maulydia Chasanah (1111094000026)
Fauzia Muslimah (1111094000029)
Jurusan Matematika
Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi
UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta
2015
= [0,7 .0,3 . 0,1 .0,6] + [0,3 .0,7 .0,1 .0,6] + [0,3 . 0,3 .0,9 .0,6] +
[0,3 .0,3 .0,1 .0,4]
= 0,0774
(c) Tidak ada satupun yang mengenai target
(1 2 3 4 ) = [1 (1 )][1 (2 )][1 (3 )][1 (4 )]
(1 2 3 4 ) = 0,3 .0,3 .0,1 .0,6
(1 2 3 4 ) = 0,0054
(d) Setidaknya satu mengenai target
(1 2 3 4 ) = 1 [(1 2 3 4 ) ]
(1 2 3 4 ) = 1 (1 2 3 4 )
(1 2 3 4 ) = 1 0,0054
(1 2 3 4 ) = 0,9946
Section 1.7 Properties of the Distribution Function
3.
(Soal nomor 1.73 halaman 51) Let () = /6, = 1,2,3, zero elsewhere, be the
p.d.f of . Find the distribution function and the p.d.f of 2 .
Hint: note that is a random variable of the discrete type.
(Jawab)
0, < 1
1
, 1<2
6
() =
3
, 2<3
6
{ 1, 3
Misalkan () adalah fungsi distribusi dari , maka
() = ( ) = (X 2 ) = ( )
() = 0 , < 1
() =
= [6 ]
() =
= [6 ]
= 6 ( + )
= 6 2
= 6 ( + )
= 6
3
3
= 3 , 1 < 2
= , 2 < 3
() = 1 , 3
Sehingga dapat ditulis,
0, <1
1
, 1 < 2
() = 3
, 2 < 3
1, 3
{
Section 1.9 Some Special Expectation
4.
(Soal nomor 1.102 halaman 66) Let X be a random variable with mean and
variance 2 such that the third moment [( )4 ] about the vertical line throught
exists. The value of the ratio
[()4 ]
4
Graph each of the following probability density functions and show that this measure
is smaller for the first distribution.
1
3(1 2 )
4
, 1 < < 1,
(Jawab)
1
1 1
1 1 2 1
() = = . [ ] = 0
2 1
2 2
1
1
1
1
1 1
1
( 2 ) = 2 = . [ 3 ] =
2 1
2 3
3
1
1
1 1
1 1
( 3 ) = 3 = . [ 4 ] = 0
2 1
2 4
1
1
1
1
1 1
1
( 4 ) = 4 = . [ 5 ] =
2 1
2 5
5
1
4]
4
3
3
[( ) = [ 3 + 3 2 2 + 3 2 2 3 3 3 + 4 ]
[( )4 ] = [ 4 4 3 + 6 2 2 4 3 + 4 ]
[( )4 ] = ( 4 ) 4()( 3 ) + 6( 2 )[()]2 4()[()]3
+ [()]4
1
1
1
[( )4 ] = 4.0.0 + 6.0. 4.0.0 + 0 =
5
3
5
(b) () =
3(1 2 )
4
, 1 < < 1,
3 1
3 1 2 1 4 1
3
() = = . [ ] = 0
4 1
4 2
4
1
1
3
3 1 3 1 5 1
1
2)
2
4
( = = . [ ] =
4 1
4 3
5
5
1
1
1
3
3 1
1
( 3 ) = 3 5 = . [ 4 6 ] = 0
4 1
4 4
6
1
1
1
3
3 1
1
3
( 4 ) = 4 6 = . [ 5 7 ] =
4 1
4 5
7
35
1
[( )4 ] = [ 4 3 3 3 + 3 2 2 + 3 2 2 3 3 3 + 4 ]
[( )4 ] = [ 4 4 3 + 6 2 2 4 3 + 4 ]
[( )4 ] = ( 4 ) 4()( 3 ) + 6( 2 )[()]2 4()[()]3
+ [()]4
3
1
3
[( )4 ] =
4.0.0 + 6. . 0 4.0.0 + 0 =
35
5
35
5.
(Soal nomor 1.109 halaman 67) Let have the p.d.f () = 1/, = 1,2, . . . , ,
zero elsewhere. Show that the m.g.f is
(1 )
() =
, 0
(1 )
= 1 , = 0.
(Jawab)
() = ( )
=
=1
=1
1
= ( + 2 + 3 + + )
() =
() = ( )
(1 )
, 0
(1 )
1
=
=1
1
= ( + 2 + 3 + + )
(0) =
1
=1
1 ( 0 + 2.0 + 3.0 + + .0 )
, = 0
Terbukti
( < , < ) = (, )
= (, )|
= [(, ) (, )]
= [(, ) (, )]
= [(, ) (, )][(, ) (, )]
= (, ) (, ) (, ) + (, )
= (, ) (, ) (, ) + (, )
Terbukti
7.
(Soal nomor 2.10 halaman 82) Let 1 and 2 have the joint p.d.f. (1 , 2 ) =
15 1 2 2 , 0 < 1 < 2 < 1 , zero elsewhere. Find each marginal p.d.f. and compute
Pr(1 + 2 1).
(Jawab)
(1 , 2 ) = 15 1 2 2 ,
= 0
1 , 2
1 (1 ) = 151 2 2 2 ,
0 < 1 < 1
15
2 2 ]1
2 1 2 1
15
15
1 2
4
2
2 1
2
2 (2 ) = 15 1 2 2 1 ,
0 < 2 < 1
15
3 ] 2
3 1 2 0
15
4 0
3 2
= 5 2 4
Pr(1 + 2 1)
1 11
11
15 1 2 2 2 1 = 15 1 2 [ 2 2 ] 1
0
1
1
= 15 1 2 [ (1 1 )2 (0)] 1
2
2
0
15
=
1 2 [(1 1 )2 ] 1
2
0
15
=
1 2 [1 21 + 1 2 ] 1
2
0
15
=
[1 2 21 3 + 1 4 ] 1
2
0
15 1 3 2 4
1 5 1
]
[ 1 1 +
2 3
4
5 1 0
15 1
2
1
[ + ]
2 3
4
5
15 1
[
]
2 30
1
4
, 0 < 1 < 1
, 1
1
1
2|1 (2 |1 ) =
=0
(b) (1 , 2 ) = 2|1 (1 , 2 ) 1 (1 )
1
=
. 1
1
1
=
1
(1 , 2 ) =
1
1
=0
Pr(1 + 2 1) =
1 11
2
1
2 1
1
2 1
]
1
1 11
=
1
2
1
1 1
= 1 (
) 1
1
1
2
=
1
2
1
=
1
2
1 1 + 1
1
1
2 1 1
1
1
= 2
1
2
1
1
1
= 2 1 ln(1 ) ]11
2
1
= 2 (1) ln(1) [1 ln ( )]
2
1
= 1 ln(1) + ln ( )
2
= 1 ln(2)
(c)
1|2 (1 , 2 ) =
1
2 (2 ) =
2
(1 , 2 )
2 (2 )
1
1
1
= ln(1 )]12
= ln(1) ln(2 )
= ln(2 )
(1 , 2 )
2 (2 )
1
1
=
ln(2 )
1|2 (1 , 2 ) =
1
1 ln ( )
2
Jadi,
1
(1|2 ) =
2
1
1
1 ln ( )
2
1
]
1
ln ( )
2
1
=
1
ln ( )
2
=
2
1
ln ( )
2
1 2
1
ln ( )
2
(1 , 2 ) = exp(1 + 2 )
0
1
, + 2 < 1, 2 < 1
(1 1 2 )(1 2 ) 1
2 = 2,
12 = 1,
22 = 2,
[( 1 )( 2 )] = 1.
(6)
(Jawab)
a) Pertama, akan dibuktikan 1 = 1, 2 = 2,
(1 , 2 ) = [(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]1
(1 ,2 )
1
2 )(1 2 )]2
(0,0)
1 =
= (1 0)[(1 0 0)(1 0)]2 = 1 . 11 = 1
1
(1 , 2 ) = [(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]1
(1 , 2 )
= 1[(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2 [(1 2 ) + (1 1 2 )(1)]
2
= [(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2 [2 + 1 + 22 ]
= [2 1 22 ][(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2
(0,0)
2 =
= [2 0 0][(1 0 0)(1 0)]2 = 2 . 11 = 2
2
Terbukti 1 = 1, 2 = 2.
b) Selanjutnya akan dibuktikan 12 = 1, 22 = 2
2 (1 ,2 )
1 2
2 (1 ,2 )
2 2
2 (0,0)
= (2[(1 0 0)(1 0)]2 )[1
2 2
(2 0 0)2 [(1 0 0)(1 0)]1 ]
= (2)(1 4) = (2)(3) = 6
22
2 (0,0)
=
2 2 = 6 22 = 2
2 2
Terbukti 12 = 1, 22 = 2
c) Kemudian akan dibuktikan [( 1 )( 2 )] = 1
2 (1 , 2 )
= (1)[(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2 + (1 2 )(2)
1 2
[(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]3 [(1 2 ) + (1 1 2 )(1)]
= [(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2 + (2)(1 2 )[2 + 1 + 22 ]
[(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]3
= [(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]2 + 2(1 2 )[2 1 22 ]
[(1 1 2 )(1 2 )]3
2 (0,0)
= [(1 0 0)(1 0)]2
1 2
+ 2(1 0)[2 0 0][(1 0 0)(1 0)]3
= 1 + 2.1 + 2.1 = 1 + 4 = 3
[( 1 )( 2 )] =
2 (0,0)
1 2 = 3 1.2 = 3 2 = 1
1 2
Terbukti [( 1 )( 2 )] = 1
Sehingga, terbukti 1 = 1, 2 = 2, 12 = 1, 22 = 2, [( 1 )( 2 )] = 1.