0 Bewertungen0% fanden dieses Dokument nützlich (0 Abstimmungen)
182 Ansichten7 Seiten
Elena Hubner conducted a study to determine the percentage of upperclassmen at Austin High School who drive themselves to school. She surveyed a random sample of 44 juniors and seniors and found that 48% of them reported driving to school themselves. She then calculated 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for this percentage. The 90% confidence interval was 32.969% to 62.486%, the 95% confidence interval was 30.85% to 64.605%, and the 99% confidence interval was 26.59% to 68.864%. She concluded these intervals likely contain the true population percentage.
Elena Hubner conducted a study to determine the percentage of upperclassmen at Austin High School who drive themselves to school. She surveyed a random sample of 44 juniors and seniors and found that 48% of them reported driving to school themselves. She then calculated 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for this percentage. The 90% confidence interval was 32.969% to 62.486%, the 95% confidence interval was 30.85% to 64.605%, and the 99% confidence interval was 26.59% to 68.864%. She concluded these intervals likely contain the true population percentage.
Elena Hubner conducted a study to determine the percentage of upperclassmen at Austin High School who drive themselves to school. She surveyed a random sample of 44 juniors and seniors and found that 48% of them reported driving to school themselves. She then calculated 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for this percentage. The 90% confidence interval was 32.969% to 62.486%, the 95% confidence interval was 30.85% to 64.605%, and the 99% confidence interval was 26.59% to 68.864%. She concluded these intervals likely contain the true population percentage.
AP Statistics Period. 7 2/11/15 The Confidence Interval Mini-Project
What percent of upperclassmen at
Austin High School drive themselves to school?
During the past few years, Austin, Texas, has experienced
tremendous population growth from the vast number of people who move here daily. As a result, buildings are getting taller, neighborhoods are expanding, and roads are slowly getting more and more congested. It seems that no matter where you go, if you are driving in Austin at 8 AM or 5 PM, you are guaranteed to sit in a long line of traffic. As a high school student and a driver who has experienced the frustration of sitting in morning traffic while driving to school, I became curious about the number of people who I go to school with who also feel my frustration. In order to find out, I asked a simple random sample of juniors and seniors at Austin High School whether or not they drive themselves to school every morning using either their own car or a car their parents have provided for them. My goal was to find the proportion of upperclassmen who drive themselves to school and then use my data to create multiple confidence intervals. My first step in finding out the proportion of student drivers at Austin High was to select a population from which I could generate a simple random sample. I decided to make my population all juniors and seniors, or upperclassmen at Austin High, since the majority of upperclassmen are over the age of sixteen, the legal age to have a drivers license. However, because there may be some upperclassmen who have yet to turn 16, this sample may not be completely
representative of the entire population, since some may not be legally
eligible to drive. After establishing my population, I generated my simple random sample. Using a list of all students enrolled at Austin High, I isolated all the juniors and seniors in a numbered list. Next, I used the random number generator on my calculator to select 44 out of the 974 upperclassmen to survey. After tracking them down, I asked them whether or not they drive themselves to school every morning using either their own car or a car their parents have provided for them, I calculated the proportion of those who answered yes and those who answered no. Once I obtained my data, I found that the sample proportion of driving upperclassmen was .48. Using this proportion, I generated three different confidence intervals, 90%, 95%, and 99%. I determined that the 90% confidence interval was (.32969, .62486), meaning that I am 90% confident that the true proportion of upperclassmen who are drivers at Austin High is between .32969 and .62486. Next, I determined the 95% confidence interval to be (.3085, .64605), meaning that I am 95% confident that the true proportion of upperclassmen who are drivers at Austin High is between .3085 and . 64605. Lastly, I determined that that the 99% confidence interval was (.2659, .68864), meaning that I am 99% confident that the true
proportion of upperclassmen who are drivers at Austin High is
between .2659 and .68864. After collecting my data and determining multiple confidence intervals for it, I think it is very likely that these intervals do in fact contain the true population proportion of upperclassmen who drive themselves to school everyday. I thought it was interesting that the data I collected showed that the sample proportion of driving upperclassmen was .48, which is so close to half of the sample. However, if I were to try this project again, I would generate sampling from all Austin High School students in order to find the confidence interval containing the true population proportion of all student drivers at Austin High, not just the upperclassmen. Appendix A
Data-Driven Analytics For Reliability in The Buildings-To-Grid Integrated System Framework A Systematic Text-Mining-Assisted Literature Review and Trend Analysis