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Technology Economics
Polypropylene Production via Gas Phase Process
2013
Abstract
Polypropylene is a thermoplastic polymer with low specific gravity, high stiffness, relatively high temperature resistance and good
resistance to chemicals and fatigue. These exceptional properties, combined with this materials versatility have made it one of the
most widely used polymers, second only to polyethylene in terms of global demand. The global market for polypropylene was
over 50 million metric tons in 2011 as it was utilized in a broad and diverse range of end-uses from injection molding applications
to film and sheet, raffia and fiber, among others.
Growth in polyolefin consumption will be largely driven by the rapid economic development of numerous transition countries in
the Asia Pacific region, Central Europe, the Middle East and South America. On the supply side, the shift in global steam cracker
production toward lighter, natural gas-based feedstock is increasingly limiting by-product propylene output. The resulting tight
supply of propylene has led to higher propylene and polypropylene prices, which are encouraging investments in alternate
propylene sources, as the on-purpose technologies. High propylene feedstock prices also rendered the construction of standalone polypropylene plants infeasible, making upstream integration indispensable for most of the new polypropylene projects.
Gas phase polypropylene production technology is the fastest growing route for producing polypropylene homopolymers and
random copolymers. In this report, the production of polypropylene through the polymerization of propylene via a gas phase
process is reviewed. Included in the analysis is an overview of the technology and economics of a method similar to the Dow
UNIPOL TM process. Both the capital investment and the operating costs for plants erected on the US Gulf Coast are presented.
The economic analysis presented in this study is based on a 400 kta polypropylene plant. Two scenarios are analyzed: a standalone unit, obtaining feedstock at market prices and a plant integrated upstream with a propylene source, acquiring feedstock at a
transfer price, below market average. The economic feasibility of both scenarios is presented and the actual market conditions for
polypropylene production are discussed.
Propylene elevated market prices in the USA make it unprofitable to operate a stand-alone PP unit in that country. However, when
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ii
Contents
About this Study .............................................................................................................................................................. 8
Object of Study.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Analysis Performed ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Construction Scenarios ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Location Basis ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Design Conditions......................................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Polypropylene Manufacturing........................................................................................................................................................................................11
Types of Process........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
The Role of Catalyst in Process ...........................................................................................................................................................................................12
Technical Analysis......................................................................................................................................................... 14
Chemistry.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Raw Material ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Technology Overview...........................................................................................................................................................................................................15
Detailed Process Description & Conceptual Flow Diagram.......................................................................................................................16
Area 100: Purification & Reaction.....................................................................................................................................................................................16
Area 200: Resin Degassing & Pelleting .........................................................................................................................................................................17
Area 300: Vent Recovery........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 17
Key Consumptions ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18
Technical Assumptions ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18
Labor Requirements.................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18
General Assumptions............................................................................................................................................................................................................29
Project Implementation Schedule...............................................................................................................................................................................30
Capital Expenditures..............................................................................................................................................................................................................30
Fixed Investment......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 32
Other Capital Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................32
Total Capital Expenses ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 33
References....................................................................................................................................................................... 40
Acronyms, Legends & Observations....................................................................................................................... 41
Technology Economics Methodology................................................................................................................... 42
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................42
Workflow........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................42
Capital & Operating Cost Estimates ............................................................................................................................................................................44
ISBL Investment............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 44
OSBL Investment ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 44
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 45
Start-up Expenses ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 45
Other Capital Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................46
Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 46
Contingencies ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................46
Accuracy of Economic Estimates..................................................................................................................................................................................47
Location Factor..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................47
List of Tables
Table 1 Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration) ......................................................................................9
Table 2 Locations & Pricing Basis ..................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Table 3 General Design Assumptions .......................................................................................................................................................................................9
Table 4 Polypropylene End-uses................................................................................................................................................................................................11
Table 5 Catalyst Advances..............................................................................................................................................................................................................12
Table 6 - Raw Materials & Utilities Consumption (per ton of product)................................................................................................................18
Table 7 Design & Simulation Assumptions.........................................................................................................................................................................18
Table 8 Labor Requirements for a Typical Plant..............................................................................................................................................................18
Table 9 Main Streams Operating Conditions and Composition..........................................................................................................................23
Table 10 Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List...................................................................................................................................................23
Table 11 - Outside Battery Limits Major Equipment List ...............................................................................................................................................26
Table 12 Base Case General Assumptions...........................................................................................................................................................................29
Table 13 - Bare Equipment Cost per Area (USD Thousands)......................................................................................................................................30
Table 14 Total Fixed Investment Breakdown (USD Thousands) ..........................................................................................................................30
Table 15 Working Capital (USD Million) ................................................................................................................................................................................32
Table 16 Other Capital Expenses (USD Million) ...............................................................................................................................................................33
Table 17 CAPEX (USD Million)......................................................................................................................................................................................................33
Table 18 Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton) ................................................................................................................................................................34
Table 19 Manufacturing Variable Cost (USD/ton)..........................................................................................................................................................34
Table 20 OPEX (USD/ton)................................................................................................................................................................................................................34
Table 21 Technology Economics Datasheet: Polypropylene via Gas Phase Process on the US Gulf Coast.........................36
Table 22 Technology Economics Datasheet: Polypropylene via Gas Phase Process in Client-Defined Location ...........39
Table 23 Project Contingency......................................................................................................................................................................................................46
Table 24 Criteria Description.........................................................................................................................................................................................................46
Table 25 Accuracy of Economic Estimates .........................................................................................................................................................................47
Table 26 Detailed Material Balance & Stream Properties..........................................................................................................................................49
Table 27 Utilities Consumption Breakdown ......................................................................................................................................................................54
Table 28 Assumptions for CO2e Emissions Calculation.............................................................................................................................................55
Table 29 CO2e Emissions (ton/ton prod.)............................................................................................................................................................................55
Table 30 Compressors .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................56
Table 31 Heat Exchangers ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................56
Table 32 Pumps......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................57
5
List of Figures
Figure 1 OSBL Construction Scenarios .....................................................................................................................................................................................8
Figure 2 Polypropylene from Multiple Sources...............................................................................................................................................................13
Figure 3 Process Block Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................................................................................15
Figure 4 Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................19
Figure 5 Project Implementation Schedule.......................................................................................................................................................................29
Figure 6 Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................31
Figure 7 Total Fixed Investment of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) .......................................................................32
Figure 8 Total Fixed Investment Validation (USD Million)........................................................................................................................................33
Figure 9 OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton) ...................................................................................................................................................35
Figure 10 EBITDA Margin & IP Indicators History Comparison..............................................................................................................................35
Figure 11 CAPEX per Location (USD Million).....................................................................................................................................................................37
Figure 12 Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton) .........................................................................................................................38
Figure 14 Methodology Flowchart...........................................................................................................................................................................................43
Figure 15 Location Factor Composition...............................................................................................................................................................................47
Figure 16 ISBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type (Base Case).....................................................................................................62
Figure 17 OSBL Direct Costs by Equipment Type (Base Case) ..............................................................................................................................62
Non-Integrated
Partially Integrated
Products Storage
Products Storage
ISBL Unit
ISBL Unit
Raw Materials
Storage
Raw Materials
Provider
Object of Study
This assignment assesses the economic feasibility of an
industrial unit for homopolymer polypropylene (PP)
production via gas phase process, implementing
technology similar to the Dow UNIPOL process.
The current assessment is based on economic data
gathered on Q3 2011 and a chemical plants nominal
capacity of 400 kta (thousand metric tons per year).
Analysis Performed
Location Basis
Construction Scenarios
Petrochemical Complex
20 days of operation
Not included
20 days of operation
20 days of operation
All required
All required
Design Conditions
Table 2 Locations & Pricing Basis
The process analysis is based on rigorous simulation models
developed on Aspentech Aspen Plus and Hysys, which
support the design of the chemical process, equipment and
OSBL facilities.
The design assumptions employed are depicted in Table 3.
24 C
11 C
7 bar abs
25 C
USD/man-
Salaries
hour
Study Background
About Polypropylene
Polypropylene (PP) is a thermoplastic material formed by
the reaction of polymerization of propylene, resulting in a
macromolecule that contains from 10,000 to 20,000
monomer units. As a thermoplastic, PP is capable of
melting and flowing (in a reversible physical transformation)
when subjected to increases in temperature and pressure,
assuming a specified form when those conditions cease.
Based on its exceptional mechanical and thermal
properties, it is suitable for applications in fibers, injection
molding, thermoforming, film and blow molding.
In a qualitative approach, PP is a colorless, translucent to
transparent solid with a glossy surface, with very good
resistance to chemicals (except for hydrocarbons and
chloride compounds), greater scratch resistance than other
polyolefins, good environmental stress cracking resistance,
good processability via injection molding and extrusion,
and a low moisture absorption rate.
Polypropylene annual consumption worldwide exceeds 50
million tons, with an expanding market in its core
applications as well as in inter-material substitution. The
use of polypropylene has increased at rates slightly faster
than one of its main competitor materials, polyethylene;
while linear low and high density polyethylene are growing
faster than polypropylene, low density polyethylene drags
down overall polyethylene growth.
10
Applications
This combination of physical, chemical, mechanical, thermal
and electrical properties explains polypropylenes
immediate industrial application and continuous growth. In
terms of current global representativeness, polypropylene is
the second largest consumed plastic material after
polyethylene (PE) and before polyvinyl chloride (PVC).
Furthermore, PP processes are able to improve polymer
properties through orientation, i.e., the previously
mentioned methyl groups distribution. This unique aspect
is only found in a limited number of the other major plastics
(e.g. PET), and contributes to expanding the range of
polypropylene applications.
Table 4 lists polypropylene end-uses, as well as respective
examples, considering all the spectrum of grades that can
be produced varying methyl groups distribution,
copolymers and additives employed.
Food packaging
Injection molding
Automotive components
Fibre
Blow molding
Bottles
Civil piping
Raffia
Polypropylene Manufacturing
Types of Process
In order to properly explain the technology involved in PP
manufacturing it is useful to define some concepts about
the forms in which propylene polymerization is conducted.
Traditionally, the following are the most representative:
Hydrocarbon Slurry or Suspension. Consists of using
a liquid inert hydrocarbon diluent in the reactor to
facilitate transfer of propylene to the catalyst, the
removal of heat from the system, the
deactivation/removal of the catalyst as well as
11
1st (1957-1970)
3TiCl3AlCl3/AlEt2Cl
0.81.2
8891
2nd (1970-1978)
TiCl3/AlEt2Cl
35
95
3rd (1978-1980)
TiCl4/Ester/MgCl2 + AlEt3/Ester
515
98
2060
99
50120
99
9099
9099
4 (1980) RGT
TiCl4/Diether/MgCl2 + AlEt3 three dimensional
Intratec | Study Background
12
Metallocenes
Zirconocene + MAO
Granule Technology)
Propylene
Polypropylene
(PP)
JPP Horizone
Gas Phase Process:
Multi-zone Circulation
Reactor
LyondellBasell
Spherizone
Hybrid Process
Borealis Borstar
13
Technical Analysis
Chemistry
The main reaction that occurs in the polymerization of
propylene to polypropylene is shown in the following.
Propylene
Polypropylene
Raw Material
14
Technology Overview
The process is separated into three different areas:
purification & reaction; resin degassing & pelleting; and vent
recovery.
Fresh propylene and the other raw materials fed to the unit
are passed through the purification facilities, in which trace
quantities of impurities are removed. The purified raw
materials are then fed to the reaction system.
Only one reaction system, consisting of a fluidized bed
reactor, a cycle gas compressor and cooler, and product
discharge tanks, is required to produce homopolymer and
random copolymer. The raw materials and a recycle stream
from the vent recovery system are fed continuously to the
reactor. The cycle gas compressor circulates reaction gas
upward through the reactor, providing the agitation
required for fluidization, backmixing, and heat removal. No
mechanical stirrers or agitators are needed in the process
reactors. The cycle gas leaving overhead from the reactor
passes through the cooler that removes the heat of
reaction. Catalyst is continuously fed to the reactor.
Recovered Propylene
Recycled Nitrogen
PG Propylene
Area 100
Purification &
Reaction
Area 200
Resin Degassing &
Pelleting
Unreacted
Monomer
Area 300
Vent Recovery
Fresh Nitrogen
Polypropylene
Catalyst &
Chemicals
15
16
17
Key Consumptions
Labor Requirements
Non-Integrated Plant
18
19
20
P-303A/B
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
Economic Analysis
General Assumptions
The general assumptions for the base case of this analysis
are outlined below.
Basic Engineering
Detailed Engineering
Procurement
Construction
Start-up
29
Project Implementation
Schedule
The main objective of knowing upfront the project
implementation schedule is to enhance the estimates for
both capital initial expenses and return on investment.
The implementation phase embraces the period from the
decision to invest to the start of commercial production.
This phase can be divided into five major stages: (1) Basic
Engineering, (2) Detailed Engineering, (3) Procurement, (4)
Construction, and (5) Plant Start-up.
The duration of each phase is detailed in Figure 5.
Capital Expenditures
Fixed Investment
Table 13 shows the bare equipment cost associated with
each area of the project.
30
31
32
33
Operational Expenditures
Table 18 Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton)
Manufacturing Costs
The manufacturing costs, also called Operational
Expenditures (OPEX), are composed of two elements: a fixed
cost and a variable cost. All figures regarding operational
costs are presented in USD per ton of product.
Table 18 shows the manufacturing fixed cost, while Table 19
details the manufacturing variable cost breakdown.
Historical Analysis
Economic Datasheet
34
35
36
Operational Expenditures
Specific regional conditions influence prices for raw
materials, utilities and products. Such differences are thus
reflected in the operating costs. An OPEX breakdown
structure for the different locations approached in this study
is presented in Figure 12.
Economic Datasheet
The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table
22, is an overall evaluation of the technology's capital
investment and production costs in the alternative location
analyzed in this study.
37
38
39
Intratec | References
References
40
PE: Polyethylene
PP: Polypropylene
41
Introduction
The same general approach is used in the development of
all Technology Economics assignments. To know more
about Intratecs methodology, see Figure 14.
While based on the same methodology, all Technology
Economics studies present uniform analyses with identical
structures, containing the same chapters and similar tables
and charts. This provides confidence to everyone interested
in Intratecs services since they will know upfront what they
will get.
Workflow
Once the scope of the study is fully defined and
understood, Intratec conducts a comprehensive
bibliographical research in order to understand technical
aspects involved with the process analyzed.
42
a.
b.
c.
d.
b.
These are estimates that form the basis for budget authorization,
appropriation, and/or funding. Accuracy ranges for this class of
estimates are + 10% to + 30% on the high side, and - 10 % to - 20 %
on the low side.
Non-Confidential
Information from
Technology Licensors or
Suppliers
Bibliographical Research
Technical Validation
Process Description &
Flow Diagram
Vendor Quotes
Construction Location
Factor
(http://base.intratec.us)
Economic Analysis
Analyses of
Different Construction
Scenarios and Plant Location
43
OSBL Investment
The OSBL investment accounts for auxiliary items necessary
to the functioning of the production unit (ISBL), but which
perform a supporting and non-plant-specific role. OSBL
items considered may vary from process to process. The
OSBL investment could include the installed cost of the
following items:
Storage and packaging (storage, bagging and a
warehouse) for products, feedstocks and by-products
Steam units, cooling water and refrigeration systems
44
ISBL Investment
The ISBL investment includes the fixed capital cost of the
main processing units of the plant necessary to the
manufacturing of products. The ISBL investment includes
the installed cost of the following items:
Start-up Expenses
When a process is brought on stream, there are certain onetime expenses related to this activity. From a time
standpoint, a variable undefined period exists between the
nominal end of construction and the production of quality
product in the quantity required. This period is commonly
referred to as start-up.
During the start-up period expenses are incurred for
operator and maintenance employee training, temporary
construction, auxiliary services, testing and adjustment of
equipment, piping, and instruments, etc. Our method of
estimating start-up expenses consists of four components:
Labor component. Represents costs of plant crew
training for plant start-up, estimated as a certain
number of days of total plant labor costs (operators,
supervisors, maintenance personnel and laboratory
labor).
Commercialization cost. Depends on raw materials
and products negotiation, on how integrated the plant
is with feedstock suppliers and consumer facilities, and
on the maturity of the technology. It ranges from 0.5%
to 5% of annual manufacturing expenses.
2
The accounting definition of working capital (total current assets
minus total current liabilities) is applied when considering the
entire company.
Working Capital
45
Manufacturing Costs
Manufacturing costs do not include post-plant costs, which
are very company specific. These consist of sales, general
and administrative expenses, packaging, research and
development costs, and shipping, etc.
Operating labor and maintenance requirements have been
estimated subjectively on the basis of the number of major
equipment items and similar processes, as noted in the
literature.
Plant overhead includes all other non-maintenance (labor
and materials) and non-operating site labor costs for
services associated with the manufacture of the product.
Such overheads do not include costs to develop or market
the product.
G & A expenses represent general and administrative costs
incurred during production such as: administrative
salaries/expenses, research & development, product
distribution and sales costs.
Contingencies
46
Complex
Typical
Simple
Project Contingency
25%
20%
15%
Simple
Complexity
Typical
Complex
New &
Maturity
Proven
Licensed
Reliability
Accuracy
Very
Low
Moderate
High
+ 30%
+ 22%
+ 18%
+ 10%
- 20%
- 18%
- 14%
- 10%
High
Location Factor
Relative Salary
Productivity
Readiness of
Bureaucratic
Procedures
Legal Protection of
Investors
Taxes
47
48
(kJ/kg K)
Liquid Thermal
Conductivity (W/m K)
Liquid Heat Capacity
(kJ/kg K)
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
Working Capital
costs
64
Operational Expenses
Fixed Costs
Fixed costs are estimated based on the specific
characteristics of the process. The fixed costs, like operating
charges and plant overhead, are typically calculated as a
percentage of the industrial labor costs, and G & A expenses
are added as a percentage of the operating costs.
65
66
CONCEPTUAL DESIGN
Membranes on Polyolefins Plants Vent Recovery:
The Report evaluates membrane units for the
separation of monomers and nitrogen in PP plants,
similar to the VaporSep system commercialized by
MTR.
Use of Propylene Splitter to Improve Polypropylene
Business: The report assesses the opportunity of
purchasing the less valued RG propylene to produce
the PG propylene raw material used in a PP plant.
Appendix H.
Technology Economics Form
Submitted by Client
Acetic Acid
Acetone
Acrylic Acid
Acrylonitrile
Adipic Acid
Aniline
Benzene
Butadiene
n-Butanol
Isobutylene
Caprolactam
Chlorine
Cumene
Ethanol
Ethylene
Bio-Ethylene
Ethylene Glycol
Ethylene Oxide
Formaldehyde
HDPE
Isoprene
LDPE
LLDPE
MDI
Methanol
Methyl Methacrylate
Phenol
Polypropylene (PP)
Polybutylene Terephthalate
Polystyrene (PS)
Polyurethanes (PU)
Propylene
Propylene Glycol
Terephthalic Acid
If the main chemical product of your target technology is not found above, please check the "Technology Economic Form - Specialties".
Commercial Scale Unit. Inform the exact location of one commercial scale plant under operation.
Plant Location:
I don't know
I know the location of a commercial plant:
If there is no commercial scale plant based on the technology of your interest, you are referred to Intratec's Research Potential advisory service
at www.intratec.us/advisory/research-potential/overview
Operating Hours
150 kta
Operating Hours
300 kta
Other (kta)
8,000 h/year
Other (h/year)
400
Analysis Date
Define the date (quarter and year) that will be considered in the analysis. Our databases can provide consolidated values from the year 2000
up to the last closed quarter, quarter-to-date values are estimated.
Quarter
Year
Q3
2011
Storage Facilities
Define the assumptions employed for the storage facilities design.
Products
20 days
By-Products
20 days
Other
Other
Raw Materials
20 days
Other
Yes
No
Unit
Default Value
User-specified value
24
DSPEC1
11
DSPEC2
bar abs
DSPEC3
bar abs
11
DSPEC4
bar abs
28
DSPEC5
Refrigerant (Ethylene)
-100
DSPEC6
Refrigerant (Propane)
-40
DSPEC7
Refrigerant (Propylene)
-45
DSPEC8
38
DSPEC9
25
DS10
United States
E.g. Louisiana (USA), China or Saudi Arabia. Please define only one location.
Plant Location Data
Provider
I will use Intratec's Internal Database containing standard chemical prices and location factors
(only for Germany, Japan, China or Brazil).
I will provide location specific data. Please fill the Custom Location topic below.
Custom Location Description. Describe both capital investment and prices at your custom location.
A) Capital Investment. Provide the relative capital cost at your custom location in comparison to the United States (U.S. Gulf Coast)
Custom Location Relative Cost (%)
130% means that the capital costs in the custom location are 30% higher than the costs in the United States.
B) Raw Materials Prices. Describe the raw material prices to be considered in the custom location.
Item Description
Raw1
Price Unit
RU1
USD/metric ton
Price
RP1
Raw2
RU2
RP2
Raw3
RU3
RP3
E.g.
Propane
USD/metric ton
420
C) Product Prices. Describe the products prices to be considered in the custom location.
Item Description
Price Unit
Price
Prod1
PU1
PP1
Prod2
PU2
PP2
Prod3
PU3
PP3
E.g.
Polypropylene
USD/metric ton
1700
D) Utilities Prices. Describe the utilities prices to be considered in the custom location.
Item Description
Price Unit
Price
Electricity
UP1
UP2
UP3
Fuel
UP4
Clarified Water
UP5
Util6
UU6
YP6
Util7
UU7
UP7
Util8
UU8
UP8
E) Labor Prices. Describe the labor prices to be considered in the custom location.
Item Description
Price Unit
Price
Operating Labor
USD/operator/hour
LP1
Supervision Labor
USD/supervisor/hour
LP1
F) Others. Describe any other price you deem necessary to be considered in the custom location.
Item Description
Price Unit
Price
Other1
OU1
OP1
Other2
OU2
OP2
Other3
OU3
OP3
E.g.
Catalyst
USD/metric ton
5000
Other Remarks
If you have any other comments, feel free to write them below:
Co
m
m
en
ts:
I have filled just the propylene price field, because a propylene source already exists and may provide propylene at prices below
market average. Regarding the reamining prices, please use the same of your internal database for the US Gulf.
Complementary Files
Along with this form, you may also upload any other chemical document deemed relevant for the description of the project, such as
articles, brochures, book sections, patents, etc. Multiple files may be uploaded.
If you are filling this form offline please upload this form and any complementary files at www.intratec.us/advisory/technology-economics/
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Technology Economics
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Publications pioneer approach.
Technology Economics studies answer
main questions surrounding process
technologies:
- How is the technology? What are the
main pieces of equipment required?
- What are the raw materials and utilities
consumption rates?
- What are the capital and operating
expenses breakdown?
- What are the economic
indicators?
- In which regions is this
technology more
profitable?