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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1917 Registered Voters


April 20-22, 2016

3.2%

1. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Pennsylvania?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

2. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%


John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3%

4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
5. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

7. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Enthusiastic
36%
20%
12%

Satisfied
25%
30%
44%

Dissatisfied
16%
29%
30%

Upset
23%
21%
14%

8. In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Gotten better
33%
17%
20%

Gotten worse
25%
36%
19%

Stayed the
same
42%
47%
61%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
9. Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Kasich or Cruz

You like [First Choice Candidate Name] as the nominee, no matter who the
opposition is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from becoming the nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

10. Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Trump

You like [First Choice Candidate Name] as the nominee, no matter who the
opposition is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John Kasich from becoming the nominee . . . 7%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

11. If Pennsylvanias delegates get a choice at the Republican convention, what should
Pennsylvanias delegates do?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Support whoever wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%


Support whomever they feel should be the nominee, even if thats not the
Pennsylvania vote winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%

12. Which best describes your approach this year...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

If I find a candidate who agrees with me on the details of policy, that means I
can probably get to like and trust them as a person . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
If I find a candidate who I really like and trust as a person, the policy details will
probably take care of themselves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

13. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Democratic nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Enthusiastic
34%
36%

Satisfied
38%
40%

Dissatisfied
18%
21%

Upset
10%
3%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
14. In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Gotten better
30%
35%

Gotten worse
26%
20%

Stayed the
same
44%
45%

15. Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Clinton

A chance to elect Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94%


Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

16. Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Sanders

A chance to elect Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81%


Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%

17. Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the
nominee are...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Very Likely
79%
10%

Somewhat likely
18%
44%

Not too likely


2%
46%

18. To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Do whatever it takes, whether that is the most progressive policy choice or not
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
Do whatever is most progressive . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
19. Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%


It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

20. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Electable in
November
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Specific about their
policy ideas
Honest and
trustworthy

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

67%

33%

44%

56%

69%
33%

31%
67%

64%

36%

39%

61%

21. If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of
Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Positive, by making her adopt even more progressive views . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%


Negative, by making too many criticisms of her . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Neither positive nor negative, its just politics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
I dont think she will become the nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

22. Which best describes your approach this year...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

If I find a candidate who agrees with me on the details of policy, that means I
can probably get to like and trust them as a person . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
If I find a candidate who I really like and trust as a person, the policy details will
probably take care of themselves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
23. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

24. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

25. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

26. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
27. Are you registered as a...?
Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Not affiliated with any party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

28. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

30. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

31. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania
1. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Pennsylvania?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

78%
9%
4%
3%
4%
2%
0%

80%
8%
3%
1%
5%
3%
0%

76%
9%
4%
4%
4%
1%
2%

64%
10%
5%
7%
4%
7%
3%

63%
15%
6%
5%
8%
2%
1%

84%
7%
4%
1%
3%
0%
1%

88%
6%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%

78%
9%
3%
2%
5%
2%
1%

83%
6%
0%
5%
3%
1%
1%

71%
7%
18%
4%
0%
0%
0%

70%
10%
7%
7%
2%
0%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,916)

(884)

(1,032)

(277)

(410)

(802)

(427)

(1,604)

(166)

(56)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

2. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
47%
6%
4%

39%
53%
6%
2%

46%
41%
6%
7%

52%
39%
7%
2%

42%
39%
10%
9%

40%
51%
5%
4%

42%
53%
3%
2%

37%
52%
6%
5%

92%
3%
5%
0%

59%
29%
2%
11%

50%
43%
2%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,917)

(885)

(1,032)

(277)

(410)

(803)

(427)

(1,605)

(166)

(56)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

3. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

26%
22%
49%
3%

29%
21%
48%
2%

23%
22%
51%
5%

26%
40%
20%
14%

32%
17%
49%
2%

27%
17%
54%
2%

19%
25%
54%
2%

25%
22%
49%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(932)

(472)

(459)

(109)

(201)

(413)

(208)

(868)

(6)

(24)

(35)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

4. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
43%
6%

50%
48%
2%

53%
38%
9%

34%
59%
7%

38%
59%
3%

57%
36%
7%

60%
34%
6%

48%
46%
6%

76%
18%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(824)

(358)

(466)

(95)

(162)

(378)

(190)

(639)

(113)

(28)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

5. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
28%
9%
2%

63%
28%
7%
2%

58%
28%
12%
2%

53%
34%
7%
5%

64%
25%
9%
2%

63%
27%
9%
1%

57%
31%
10%
2%

60%
28%
10%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(885)

(449)

(437)

(87)

(194)

(405)

(200)

(822)

(6)

(24)

(34)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

6. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%
22%

66%
25%

69%
19%

75%
10%

65%
28%

67%
24%

68%
17%

66%
21%

68%
29%

8%

7%

8%

10%

2%

7%

14%

9%

3%

2%

1%

4%

5%

5%

2%

1%

4%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(762)

(345)

(417)

(78)

(156)

(349)

(177)

(586)

(106)

(27)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

7. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Donald Trump


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
25%
16%
23%

33%
27%
16%
24%

39%
23%
16%
22%

17%
8%
30%
45%

34%
27%
12%
27%

40%
27%
14%
19%

39%
27%
16%
17%

36%
25%
17%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(467)

(459)

(107)

(201)

(414)

(205)

(863)

(6)

(24)

(35)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

8. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Ted Cruz


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

20%
30%
29%
21%

24%
25%
29%
22%

16%
35%
29%
20%

21%
35%
33%
11%

24%
30%
31%
16%

21%
29%
27%
23%

15%
29%
29%
27%

20%
30%
30%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(468)

(460)

(107)

(201)

(413)

(207)

(865)

(6)

(23)

(34)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

9. Republican Nominee Satisfaction John Kasich


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

12%
44%
30%
14%

12%
44%
28%
16%

12%
44%
31%
13%

24%
55%
19%
2%

7%
49%
30%
13%

12%
38%
33%
18%

12%
44%
29%
15%

12%
45%
28%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(468)

(460)

(107)

(201)

(413)

(207)

(864)

(6)

(23)

(35)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

10. Recent View of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
25%
42%

30%
24%
46%

35%
25%
40%

15%
47%
38%

28%
21%
51%

35%
21%
44%

41%
24%
36%

32%
24%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(459)

(450)

(107)

(192)

(405)

(206)

(846)

(6)

(23)

(35)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

11. Recent View of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
36%
47%

17%
35%
49%

18%
37%
45%

19%
32%
48%

19%
38%
43%

16%
34%
50%

16%
41%
43%

16%
37%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(913)

(463)

(450)

(107)

(195)

(405)

(206)

(849)

(6)

(24)

(34)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

12. Recent View of Republican Candidates John Kasich


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
19%
61%

19%
21%
60%

21%
16%
63%

21%
7%
71%

19%
18%
64%

19%
22%
59%

22%
19%
59%

21%
19%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(462)

(447)

(107)

(195)

(404)

(203)

(845)

(6)

(24)

(35)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

13. Candidate Choice Against Trump


Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Kasich or Cruz

Gender
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from
becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%

55%

44%

48%

46%

56%

46%

51%

22%
28%

16%
29%

29%
27%

25%
27%

27%
27%

19%
25%

19%
35%

21%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(441)

(237)

(204)

(72)

(97)

(182)

(90)

(411)

(5)

(6)

(19)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

14. Candidate Choice Against Cruz or Kasich


Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Trump

Gender
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John
Kasich from becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%

67%

68%

75%

71%

59%

67%

7%
25%

8%
25%

7%
25%

7%
18%

3%
25%

15%
27%

8%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(222)

(230)

100%

(453)

(97)

(225)

(110)

(419)

(20)

(0)

(18)

(15)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

15. Republican Delegate Support


If Pennsylvanias delegates get a choice at the Republican convention, what should Pennsylvanias delegates do?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Support whoever wins the popular
vote in Pennsylvania
Support whomever they feel should
be the nominee, even if thats not the
Pennsylvania vote winner
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%

66%

69%

32%

64%

74%

77%

68%

32%

34%

31%

68%

36%

26%

23%

32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(920)

(469)

(451)

(107)

(195)

(410)

(208)

(862)

(6)

(18)

(35)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

16. Republican Approach to Candidate Choice


Which best describes your approach this year...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%

66%

61%

85%

74%

58%

53%

64%

36%

34%

39%

15%

26%

42%

47%

36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(469)

(459)

(107)

(201)

(412)

(208)

(863)

(6)

(24)

(35)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

17. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Hillary Clinton


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Democratic nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

34%
38%
18%
10%

32%
36%
16%
16%

35%
40%
19%
6%

20%
42%
29%
9%

22%
42%
25%
11%

40%
36%
14%
10%

39%
37%
13%
11%

33%
36%
19%
12%

35%
61%
3%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(820)

(353)

(468)

(95)

(160)

(376)

(190)

(637)

(113)

(28)

(42)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

18. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Bernie Sanders


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Democratic nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
40%
21%
3%

39%
40%
19%
2%

33%
40%
23%
4%

67%
27%
5%
2%

57%
32%
8%
3%

23%
50%
24%
2%

27%
34%
34%
5%

39%
37%
21%
4%

19%
53%
28%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(344)

(460)

(92)

(160)

(364)

(189)

(634)

(106)

(28)

(37)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

19. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
26%
44%

29%
27%
44%

30%
25%
45%

18%
53%
29%

15%
37%
47%

37%
21%
41%

32%
11%
58%

29%
24%
47%

40%
17%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(817)

(356)

(461)

(89)

(159)

(379)

(189)

(634)

(113)

(28)

(42)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

20. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

35%
20%
45%

33%
21%
46%

36%
20%
45%

47%
11%
42%

49%
6%
45%

28%
27%
44%

29%
23%
48%

33%
21%
45%

27%
15%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(808)

(341)

(467)

(93)

(160)

(368)

(187)

(636)

(106)

(28)

(39)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

21. Candidate Choice Against Sanders


Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Clinton

Gender
A chance to elect Hillary Clinton
Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

94%
6%

91%
9%

96%
4%

87%
13%

93%
7%

97%
3%

96%
4%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(178)

(245)

100%

(423)

(62)

(215)

(113)

(307)

(87)

(32)

(3)

(26)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

22. Candidate Choice Against Clinton


Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Sanders

Gender
A chance to elect Bernie Sanders
Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

81%
19%

73%
27%

88%
12%

96%
4%

91%
9%

76%
24%

62%
38%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(351)

(173)

(178)

(56)

(95)

(135)

(65)

(291)

(20)

(25)

(16)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

23. Likely Democratic Nominee Hillary Clinton


Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the nominee are...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

79%
18%
2%

82%
14%
4%

77%
22%
1%

54%
45%
2%

81%
18%
1%

83%
14%
3%

84%
14%
2%

82%
16%
2%

85%
15%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(829)

(358)

(470)

(95)

(161)

(383)

(190)

(645)

(113)

(28)

(43)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

24. Likely Democratic Nominee Bernie Sanders


Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the nominee are...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

10%
44%
46%

7%
38%
56%

12%
49%
38%

26%
49%
24%

19%
43%
38%

4%
46%
50%

4%
40%
56%

6%
42%
52%

12%
61%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(807)

(348)

(459)

(92)

(162)

(367)

(187)

(639)

(102)

(27)

(39)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

25. Progressive Approach to the Economy


To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Do whatever it takes, whether that is
the most progressive policy choice or
not
Do whatever is most progressive
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

64%
36%

63%
37%

68%
32%

56%
44%

62%
38%

69%
31%

64%
36%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(358)

(472)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(645)

(113)

(28)

(44)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

26. Democrats Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

58%
42%

68%
32%

50%
50%

52%
48%

69%
31%

68%
32%

59%
41%

86%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(358)

(472)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(646)

(113)

(28)

(44)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

27. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in November


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
33%

64%
36%

70%
30%

52%
48%

46%
54%

74%
26%

79%
21%

67%
33%

82%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(350)

(442)

(95)

(157)

(363)

(178)

(610)

(110)

(28)

(44)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

28. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
56%

42%
58%

45%
55%

22%
78%

21%
79%

54%
46%

55%
45%

40%
60%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(349)

(439)

(93)

(159)

(359)

(178)

(614)

(102)

(28)

(44)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

29. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
31%

62%
38%

74%
26%

47%
53%

45%
55%

76%
24%

87%
13%

69%
31%

85%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(784)

(339)

(445)

(95)

(157)

(358)

(174)

(610)

(102)

(28)

(44)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

30. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

32%
68%

33%
67%

11%
89%

13%
87%

42%
58%

45%
55%

29%
71%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(353)

(446)

(95)

(161)

(366)

(177)

(624)

(105)

(27)

(44)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

31. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%
36%

67%
33%

61%
39%

43%
57%

48%
52%

71%
29%

73%
27%

62%
38%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(809)

(350)

(459)

(95)

(158)

(378)

(178)

(628)

(109)

(28)

(44)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

32. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

36%
64%

42%
58%

25%
75%

20%
80%

47%
53%

48%
52%

36%
64%

64%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(350)

(441)

(93)

(161)

(358)

(179)

(615)

(104)

(28)

(44)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

33. Influence of Sanders on Clinton Campaign


If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Positive, by making her adopt even
more progressive views
Negative, by making too many
criticisms of her
Neither positive nor negative, its just
politics
I dont think she will become the
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%

58%

37%

56%

38%

53%

36%

44%

55%

11%

10%

12%

12%

9%

10%

15%

12%

4%

38%

28%

45%

24%

47%

34%

44%

40%

41%

4%

4%

5%

8%

6%

3%

5%

4%

1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(358)

(473)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(646)

(113)

(28)

(44)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania

34. Democratic Approach to Candidate Choice


Which best describes your approach this year...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%

63%

63%

58%

66%

71%

46%

68%

46%

37%

37%

37%

42%

34%

29%

54%

32%

54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(815)

(355)

(460)

(95)

(162)

(373)

(185)

(637)

(106)

(28)

(44)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

934 Likely Republican Primary Voters


April 20-22, 2016

4.6%

1. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

26%
22%
49%
3%

46%
8%
45%
1%

29%
20%
48%
3%

11%
33%
53%
4%

42%
4%
53%
2%

15%
34%
47%
5%

37%
17%
41%
5%

20%
25%
53%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(932)

(237)

(344)

(289)

(384)

(548)

(320)

(551)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

26%
22%
49%
3%

29%
21%
48%
2%

23%
22%
51%
5%

26%
40%
20%
14%

32%
17%
49%
2%

27%
17%
54%
2%

19%
25%
54%
2%

30%
19%
48%
3%

19%
30%
48%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(932)

(472)

(459)

(109)

(201)

(413)

(208)

(654)

(169)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

2. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
28%
9%
2%

69%
23%
8%
0%

56%
32%
10%
3%

56%
31%
10%
2%

67%
27%
6%
0%

57%
29%
12%
3%

61%
28%
9%
2%

62%
27%
9%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(885)

(231)

(329)

(270)

(373)

(513)

(301)

(529)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
28%
9%
2%

63%
28%
7%
2%

58%
28%
12%
2%

53%
34%
7%
5%

64%
25%
9%
2%

63%
27%
9%
1%

57%
31%
10%
2%

58%
30%
10%
1%

61%
26%
8%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(885)

(449)

(437)

(87)

(194)

(405)

(200)

(621)

(161)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Donald Trump


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
25%
16%
23%

35%
25%
18%
22%

38%
24%
16%
21%

32%
27%
14%
27%

41%
27%
13%
19%

32%
24%
18%
26%

34%
23%
17%
26%

37%
25%
15%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(235)

(344)

(289)

(379)

(548)

(318)

(551)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
25%
16%
23%

33%
27%
16%
24%

39%
23%
16%
22%

17%
8%
30%
45%

34%
27%
12%
27%

40%
27%
14%
19%

39%
27%
16%
17%

36%
23%
17%
23%

32%
31%
10%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(467)

(459)

(107)

(201)

(414)

(205)

(650)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Ted Cruz


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

20%
30%
29%
21%

37%
33%
21%
8%

26%
32%
27%
15%

3%
27%
34%
35%

38%
33%
20%
9%

7%
28%
35%
29%

29%
39%
20%
12%

16%
23%
34%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(236)

(343)

(290)

(381)

(547)

(319)

(552)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

20%
30%
29%
21%

24%
25%
29%
22%

16%
35%
29%
20%

21%
35%
33%
11%

24%
30%
31%
16%

21%
29%
27%
23%

15%
29%
29%
27%

24%
34%
28%
14%

14%
20%
30%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(468)

(460)

(107)

(201)

(413)

(207)

(652)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Nominee Satisfaction John Kasich


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

12%
44%
30%
14%

8%
36%
33%
23%

13%
46%
28%
12%

17%
47%
27%
9%

7%
38%
33%
22%

15%
48%
28%
9%

8%
49%
27%
16%

15%
41%
30%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(236)

(343)

(290)

(381)

(547)

(319)

(552)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

12%
44%
30%
14%

12%
44%
28%
16%

12%
44%
31%
13%

24%
55%
19%
2%

7%
49%
30%
13%

12%
38%
33%
18%

12%
44%
29%
15%

13%
45%
28%
14%

16%
44%
24%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(928)

(468)

(460)

(107)

(201)

(413)

(207)

(651)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

6. Recent View of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
25%
42%

32%
24%
45%

33%
25%
42%

31%
26%
42%

36%
23%
41%

31%
25%
44%

27%
30%
43%

36%
23%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(229)

(336)

(284)

(367)

(542)

(309)

(545)

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
25%
42%

30%
24%
46%

35%
25%
40%

15%
47%
38%

28%
21%
51%

35%
21%
44%

41%
24%
36%

31%
24%
45%

31%
30%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(459)

(450)

(107)

(192)

(405)

(206)

(637)

(164)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

7. Recent View of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

17%
36%
47%

24%
26%
50%

23%
34%
44%

7%
48%
44%

27%
25%
47%

10%
43%
46%

24%
29%
47%

14%
40%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(913)

(233)

(336)

(284)

(371)

(542)

(309)

(548)

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

17%
36%
47%

17%
35%
49%

18%
37%
45%

19%
32%
48%

19%
38%
43%

16%
34%
50%

16%
41%
43%

19%
30%
51%

11%
54%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(913)

(463)

(450)

(107)

(195)

(405)

(206)

(639)

(165)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

8. Recent View of Republican Candidates John Kasich


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
19%
61%

17%
32%
51%

20%
17%
63%

24%
10%
66%

12%
29%
59%

26%
12%
63%

20%
19%
60%

21%
18%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(233)

(336)

(281)

(371)

(539)

(306)

(548)

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
19%
61%

19%
21%
60%

21%
16%
63%

21%
7%
71%

19%
18%
64%

19%
22%
59%

22%
19%
59%

20%
20%
59%

23%
17%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(909)

(462)

(447)

(107)

(195)

(404)

(203)

(639)

(161)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

9. Candidate Choice Against Trump


Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Kasich or Cruz

Ideology
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from
becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%

57%

51%

45%

60%

44%

51%

50%

22%
28%

19%
24%

15%
34%

30%
25%

10%
30%

29%
27%

23%
26%

22%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(441)

(128)

(167)

(126)

(175)

(265)

(171)

(247)

Gender
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from
becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

50%

55%

44%

48%

46%

56%

46%

50%

49%

22%
28%

16%
29%

29%
27%

25%
27%

27%
27%

19%
25%

19%
35%

21%
29%

23%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(441)

(237)

(204)

(72)

(97)

(182)

(90)

(323)

(80)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

10. Candidate Choice Against Cruz or Kasich


Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Trump

Ideology
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John
Kasich from becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%

72%

71%

56%

75%

62%

63%

70%

7%
25%

1%
26%

6%
23%

13%
31%

4%
21%

10%
28%

2%
35%

9%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(453)

(106)

(162)

(152)

(197)

(255)

(132)

(290)

Gender
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John
Kasich from becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%

67%

68%

75%

71%

59%

71%

49%

7%
25%

8%
25%

7%
25%

7%
18%

3%
25%

15%
27%

6%
23%

14%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(222)

(230)

100%

(453)

(97)

(225)

(110)

(307)

(80)

(20)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Delegate Support


If Pennsylvanias delegates get a choice at the Republican convention, what should Pennsylvanias delegates do?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Support whoever wins the popular
vote in Pennsylvania
Support whomever they feel should
be the nominee, even if thats not the
Pennsylvania vote winner
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%

62%

70%

69%

69%

67%

69%

67%

32%

38%

30%

31%

31%

33%

31%

33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(920)

(237)

(342)

(282)

(381)

(539)

(318)

(545)

Gender
Support whoever wins the popular
vote in Pennsylvania
Support whomever they feel should
be the nominee, even if thats not the
Pennsylvania vote winner

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%

66%

69%

32%

64%

74%

77%

67%

75%

32%

34%

31%

68%

36%

26%

23%

33%

25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(920)

(469)

(451)

(107)

(195)

(410)

(208)

(650)

(167)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Approach to Candidate Choice


Which best describes your approach this year...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

64%

68%

61%

66%

67%

61%

63%

64%

36%

32%

39%

34%

33%

39%

37%

36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(237)

(341)

(290)

(379)

(548)

(319)

(551)

Gender
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

64%

66%

61%

85%

74%

58%

53%

64%

62%

36%

34%

39%

15%

26%

42%

47%

36%

38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(927)

(469)

(459)

(107)

(201)

(412)

(208)

(651)

(169)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

831 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


April 20-22, 2016

6.7%

1. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

51%
43%
6%

37%
62%
2%

55%
41%
4%

54%
36%
9%

48%
46%
6%

63%
33%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(824)

(161)

(263)

(275)

(639)

(185)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

51%
43%
6%

50%
48%
2%

53%
38%
9%

34%
59%
7%

38%
59%
3%

57%
36%
7%

60%
34%
6%

56%
39%
5%

38%
52%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(824)

(358)

(466)

(95)

(162)

(378)

(190)

(693)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

2. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

68%
22%

84%
14%

72%
20%

63%
24%

66%
21%

73%
24%

8%

1%

7%

9%

9%

3%

2%

1%

1%

4%

4%

0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(762)

(157)

(242)

(248)

(586)

(175)

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

68%
22%

66%
25%

69%
19%

75%
10%

65%
28%

67%
24%

68%
17%

68%
23%

60%
18%

8%

7%

8%

10%

2%

7%

14%

8%

6%

2%

1%

4%

5%

5%

2%

1%

1%

16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(762)

(345)

(417)

(78)

(156)

(349)

(177)

(648)

(80)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Hillary Clinton


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Democratic nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

34%
38%
18%
10%

33%
46%
16%
5%

44%
29%
21%
6%

31%
39%
15%
15%

33%
36%
19%
12%

35%
47%
12%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(820)

(167)

(258)

(275)

(637)

(183)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

34%
38%
18%
10%

32%
36%
16%
16%

35%
40%
19%
6%

20%
42%
29%
9%

22%
42%
25%
11%

40%
36%
14%
10%

39%
37%
13%
11%

39%
40%
15%
7%

9%
37%
22%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(820)

(353)

(468)

(95)

(160)

(376)

(190)

(689)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Bernie Sanders


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Democratic nominee?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
40%
21%
3%

61%
26%
10%
3%

40%
42%
15%
4%

22%
46%
28%
4%

39%
37%
21%
4%

24%
53%
22%
1%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(165)

(249)

(265)

(634)

(170)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

36%
40%
21%
3%

39%
40%
19%
2%

33%
40%
23%
4%

67%
27%
5%
2%

57%
32%
8%
3%

23%
50%
24%
2%

27%
34%
34%
5%

34%
41%
21%
3%

36%
40%
21%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(344)

(460)

(92)

(160)

(364)

(189)

(672)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

5. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

30%
26%
44%

28%
30%
42%

33%
21%
45%

29%
23%
48%

29%
24%
47%

32%
30%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(817)

(162)

(256)

(273)

(634)

(183)

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

30%
26%
44%

29%
27%
44%

30%
25%
45%

18%
53%
29%

15%
37%
47%

37%
21%
41%

32%
11%
58%

33%
22%
45%

18%
35%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(817)

(356)

(461)

(89)

(159)

(379)

(189)

(685)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

6. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

35%
20%
45%

36%
20%
44%

34%
25%
41%

33%
19%
48%

33%
21%
45%

39%
16%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(808)

(163)

(257)

(262)

(636)

(172)

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

35%
20%
45%

33%
21%
46%

36%
20%
45%

47%
11%
42%

49%
6%
45%

28%
27%
44%

29%
23%
48%

32%
21%
48%

44%
13%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(808)

(341)

(467)

(93)

(160)

(368)

(187)

(678)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

7. Candidate Choice Against Sanders


Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Clinton

Ideology
A chance to elect Hillary Clinton
Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

94%
6%

100%
0%

100%
0%

89%
11%

96%
4%

88%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(423)

(59)

(144)

(150)

(307)

(116)

Gender
A chance to elect Hillary Clinton
Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

94%
6%

91%
9%

96%
4%

87%
13%

93%
7%

97%
3%

94%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(178)

(245)

100%

(423)

(62)

(215)

(113)

(387)

(32)

(34)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

8. Candidate Choice Against Clinton


Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Sanders

Ideology
A chance to elect Bernie Sanders
Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

81%
19%

100%
0%

85%
15%

81%
19%

78%
22%

93%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(351)

(99)

(108)

(99)

(291)

(60)

Gender
A chance to elect Bernie Sanders
Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

81%
19%

73%
27%

88%
12%

96%
4%

91%
9%

76%
24%

62%
38%

88%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(351)

(173)

(178)

(56)

(95)

(135)

(65)

(273)

(47)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

9. Likely Democratic Nominee Hillary Clinton


Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the nominee are...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

79%
18%
2%

85%
13%
1%

87%
12%
1%

76%
19%
5%

82%
16%
2%

70%
27%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(829)

(167)

(261)

(275)

(645)

(183)

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

79%
18%
2%

82%
14%
4%

77%
22%
1%

54%
45%
2%

81%
18%
1%

83%
14%
3%

84%
14%
2%

82%
17%
2%

61%
32%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(829)

(358)

(470)

(95)

(161)

(383)

(190)

(697)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

10. Likely Democratic Nominee Bernie Sanders


Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the nominee are...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

10%
44%
46%

6%
45%
49%

11%
42%
48%

7%
47%
46%

6%
42%
52%

25%
52%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(807)

(167)

(252)

(269)

(639)

(168)

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

10%
44%
46%

7%
38%
56%

12%
49%
38%

26%
49%
24%

19%
43%
38%

4%
46%
50%

4%
40%
56%

10%
46%
44%

7%
45%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(807)

(348)

(459)

(92)

(162)

(367)

(187)

(676)

(90)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

11. Progressive Approach to the Economy


To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Do whatever it takes, whether that is
the most progressive policy choice or
not
Do whatever is most progressive
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

63%
37%

48%
52%

66%
34%

63%
37%

64%
36%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(167)

(262)

(275)

(645)

(185)

Gender
Do whatever it takes, whether that is
the most progressive policy choice or
not
Do whatever is most progressive
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
37%

64%
36%

63%
37%

68%
32%

56%
44%

62%
38%

69%
31%

64%
36%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(358)

(472)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(699)

(90)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democrats Selection of Nominees


Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

63%
37%

54%
46%

65%
35%

66%
34%

59%
41%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(167)

(263)

(275)

(646)

(185)

Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
37%

58%
42%

68%
32%

50%
50%

52%
48%

69%
31%

68%
32%

67%
33%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(358)

(472)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(699)

(90)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in November


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

67%
33%

57%
43%

71%
29%

69%
31%

67%
33%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(161)

(259)

(254)

(610)

(182)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
33%

64%
36%

70%
30%

52%
48%

46%
54%

74%
26%

79%
21%

70%
30%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(350)

(442)

(95)

(157)

(363)

(178)

(671)

(87)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

44%
56%

31%
69%

44%
56%

52%
48%

40%
60%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(162)

(261)

(255)

(614)

(174)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

44%
56%

42%
58%

45%
55%

22%
78%

21%
79%

54%
46%

55%
45%

48%
52%

27%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(788)

(349)

(439)

(93)

(159)

(359)

(178)

(667)

(87)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

69%
31%

60%
40%

75%
25%

75%
25%

69%
31%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(784)

(163)

(252)

(254)

(610)

(173)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

69%
31%

62%
38%

74%
26%

47%
53%

45%
55%

76%
24%

87%
13%

72%
28%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(784)

(339)

(445)

(95)

(157)

(358)

(174)

(660)

(89)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

33%
67%

20%
80%

32%
68%

42%
58%

29%
71%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(167)

(260)

(262)

(624)

(176)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

33%
67%

32%
68%

33%
67%

11%
89%

13%
87%

42%
58%

45%
55%

36%
64%

17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(353)

(446)

(95)

(161)

(366)

(177)

(669)

(89)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

17. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

64%
36%

55%
45%

66%
34%

67%
33%

62%
38%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(809)

(164)

(261)

(266)

(628)

(181)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

64%
36%

67%
33%

61%
39%

43%
57%

48%
52%

71%
29%

73%
27%

66%
34%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(809)

(350)

(459)

(95)

(158)

(378)

(178)

(678)

(89)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

18. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy


Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

39%
61%

23%
77%

41%
59%

46%
54%

36%
64%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(165)

(262)

(255)

(615)

(176)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%
61%

36%
64%

42%
58%

25%
75%

20%
80%

47%
53%

48%
52%

45%
55%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(350)

(441)

(93)

(161)

(358)

(179)

(671)

(86)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

19. Influence of Sanders on Clinton Campaign


If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Positive, by making her adopt even
more progressive views
Negative, by making too many
criticisms of her
Neither positive nor negative, its just
politics
I dont think she will become the
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

47%

62%

55%

39%

44%

56%

11%

10%

16%

6%

12%

8%

38%

26%

26%

49%

40%

31%

4%

2%

3%

6%

4%

5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(167)

(263)

(275)

(646)

(185)

Gender
Positive, by making her adopt even
more progressive views
Negative, by making too many
criticisms of her
Neither positive nor negative, its just
politics
I dont think she will become the
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

47%

58%

37%

56%

38%

53%

36%

49%

42%

11%

10%

12%

12%

9%

10%

15%

11%

11%

38%

28%

45%

24%

47%

34%

44%

36%

45%

4%

4%

5%

8%

6%

3%

5%

4%

2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(358)

(473)

(95)

(162)

(384)

(190)

(700)

(90)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Pennsylvania Likely Democratic Voters

20. Democratic Approach to Candidate Choice


Which best describes your approach this year...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

63%

70%

71%

58%

68%

46%

37%

30%

29%

42%

32%

54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(815)

(167)

(261)

(275)

(637)

(178)

Gender
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%

63%

63%

58%

66%

71%

46%

64%

61%

37%

37%

37%

42%

34%

29%

54%

36%

39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(815)

(355)

(460)

(95)

(162)

(373)

(185)

(684)

(90)

20