Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
University
TERM PAPER
Of
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
TOPIC: -
NATIONAL INCOME GROWTH AND RISE IN
STANDARD OF LIVING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES WITH
DATA
LPU Reg.No-
10901147
Sec.-
S1906
MBA-IT
Index
1. Declaration Page no: 3
2. Acknowledgement Page
no: 4
3. Introduction Page
no: 5
5. Objectives of the Study Page
no: 10
6. National Income Of India Page
no: 10
7. National Income calculation in India Page
no: 14
8. Standard of living in India Page
no: 17
9. National Income of China Page
no: 19
10. National Income calculation in China
Page no: 20
11. Standard of living in China Page no:
23
12. National Income of Iran
Page no: 24
13. Conclusion Page no:
25
14. Recommendations Page
no: 26
15. Bibliography Page
no: 28
DECLARATION
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
INTRODUCTION-
1) NATIONAL INCOME:
It is defined as the aggregate factor income (earning of labour and land)
which arises from the current production of goods and services by the
nation’s economy.
IMPORTANCE OF NATIONAL INCOME:
National Income is considered an important indicator of economic
development of a country. There is no doubt that if national income
increases over a long period of time, the economic conditions of the people
improve. It is, therefore, suggested that while estimating the economic
growth in a country, the level of income and the rate of increase in national
income should both be taken into consideration.
1) The Income Method: This method approaches national income from the
distribution side. According to this method, national income is obtained by
summing up of the incomes of all individuals in the country.
I = Investment
X = Value of Exports
G = Government Expenditure
2. Imports (M)
4. Savings (S)
Y=C+S+T+M
C+I+X+G=C+S+T+M
Since the consumption expenditure item (C) appears on both sides of the equation,
it can be cancelled out.
I+X+G=S+T+M
Aggregate demand is the amount domestic and foreign residents wish to spend on
the national product of a country and aggregate supply is the amount of national
output domestic firms wishes to produce. When national income equals aggregate
demand, there is equilibrium in the economy. That is, planned expenditure by
economic agents (individuals, firms and government) is equal to national income.
If aggregate demand were less than national income then firms would be left with
unsold goods on their hands and so would cut back production. National income
would be falling over time and so would not be in equilibrium and the economy
will tend to decrease and output, employment, imports and prices will decrease. In
the opposite situation of aggregate demand in excess of output, firms would
respond by increasing production provided that they had underutilized productive
capacity. Excess aggregate demand at full employment would lead to rising prices
and the economy will tend to grow and output, employment, import and prices will
rise.
STANDARD OF LIVING:
Standard of living is the level of consumption that an individual, group, or nation
has achieved. The evaluation of a standard of living is relative, depending upon the
judgment of the observer as to what constitutes a high or a low scale. A relative
index to the standard of living of a certain economic group can be gathered from a
comparison of the cost of living and the wage scale or personal income. Factors
such as discretionary income are important, but standard of living includes not only
the material articles of consumption but also the number of dependents in a family,
the environment, the educational opportunities, and the amount spent for health,
recreation, and social services. Unemployment, low wages, crowded living
conditions, and physical calamities, such as drought, flood, or war, may bring a
drop in the standard of living, and, conversely, an increase in social benefits and
higher wages may bring about a rise. While standard of living may vary greatly
among various groups within a country, it also varies from nation to nation, and
international comparisons are sometimes made by analyzing gross national
products, per capita incomes, or any number of other indicators from life
expectancy to clean water. Overall, industrialized nations tend to have a higher
standard of living than developing countries. In the United States, as in most
Western nations, the standard of living has shown a steady trend upward.
ii) To trace the trend or speed of the economic growth in relation to previous
year as well as to other countries.
iv) To make projection about the future development trend of the economy.
The following data gives sect oral composition of national income (in percent)
figures up to 1990-91 are based on 1993-94 series. From 2000-01 onwards, figures
are based on the new series with 1999-2000 as the base year.
1950-51 59 13 28 100
1980-81 42 22 36 100
2002-03 24 24 52 100
93 - 94 769265 685912
94 - 95 901111 803090
95 – 96 1053736 936548
96 – 97 1224208 1089563
97 - 98 1376943 1224946
98 - 99 1583110 1415044
From the analysis, it is seen that the national income of India is growing slowly
because of the following reasons-
v) Poverty
GDP OF INDIA:
The Indian economy is the 12th largest in USD exchange rate terms. India is the
second fastest growing economy in the world. India’s GDP has touched US$1.25
trillion. The crossing of Indian GDP over a trillion dollar mark in 2007 puts India
in the elite group of 12 countries with trillion dollar economy. The tremendous
growth rate has coincided with better macroeconomic stability. India has made
remarkable progress in information technology, high end services and knowledge
process services.
However, cause for concern would be this rapid growth has not been an inclusive
in nature, in the sense it has not been accompanied by a just and equitable
distribution of wealth among all sections of the population. This economic growth
has been location specific and sector specific. For e.g. it has not percolated to
sectors were labour is intensive (agriculture) and in states where poverty is acute
(Bihar, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh).
Though India has the second highest growth rate in the world, its rank in terms of
human development index (which is broadly used has a measure of life
expectancy, adult literacy and standard of living) has gone down to 128 among 177
countries in 2007 compared to 126 in 2006.
1960-1980 : 3.5%
1980-1990 : 5.4%
1990-2000 : 4.4%
2000-2009 : 6.4%
Agriculture 32%
Industry 27%
The contributions of various sectors in the Indian GDP for 2005-2006 are as
follows:
Agriculture 20%
Industry 26%
The contributions of various sectors in the Indian GDP for 2007-2008 are as
follows:
Agriculture 17%
Industry 29%
It is great news that today the service sector is contributing more than half of the
Indian GDP. It takes India one step closer to the developed economies of the
world. Earlier it was agriculture which mainly contributed to the Indian GDP.
India has one of the lowest external debts to national income ratios globally,
according to the last round of the economic survey. China's external debt to
national income ratio is lower than India.
In fact, India's external debt to GNP ratio stands at 22 percent, while China stands
at about 15 percent. Argentina has the highest external debt to GNP ratio of 104
percent. Others like Indonesia and Turkey have heavy external debt to GNP ratios.
The single most common indicator used to quantify standard of living is the per
capita purchasing power parity (PPP) adjusted gross domestic product (GDP). In
2007, the per capita PPP-adjusted GDP for India was US$2,659. These figures can
be compared to $5, 96 for neighbouring China.
With one of the fastest growing economies in the world, clocked at an average
growth rate of 8% between 2004-2005, India is fast on its way to becoming a large
and globally important consumer economy. The Indian middle class, estimated to
be 300 million people by Indian standard (but much lower by European or North
American standard), is fast becoming used to Western culture.[citation needed] If
current trends continue, Indian per capita purchasing power parity will grow to be
approximately one third that of the developed world by the middle of the 21st
century.[citation needed] In 2006, 22 percent of Indians lived under the poverty
line. India aims to eradicate poverty by 2020.
The standard of living in India shows large disparity. For example, rural areas of
India exist with very basic (or even non-existent) medical facilities, while cities
boast of world class medical establishments.
According to a survey by the State Statistics Bureau, less than five percent of
China's wealthiest hold nearly a half of the country's savings deposits worth more
than 6 trillion Yuan.
China's national income has risen along with its swift economic growth. The
number of Chinese who enjoy a fairly well-off and even wealthy lifestyle has
increased and the number of Chinese who remain in poverty has dwindled.
However, in recent years a new phenomenon has risen - the income gap between
rural and urban Chinese has grown wider and wider.
In truth, the gap between China's rich and poor first began to appear ten years ago.
At the time, rough estimates said that the top 10% held 40% of the banks' savings.
By the mid-1990s, 20% owned 80% of the savings in banks. The government is
extremely concerned over the reasons for the disparity between rich and poor and
has adopted numerous policies to address the problem. For example, the current
call to develop China's western region is the biggest move aimed at shrinking the
affluence gap. This year, there have been ten major projects started in the West
whose investments range from 1 billion to 20 billion Yuan to get instant results in
terms of local production, employment and income.
According to a survey by the State Statistics Bureau, less than five percent of
China's wealthiest hold nearly a half of the country's savings deposits worth more
than 6 trillion Yuan.
China's national income has risen along with its swift economic growth. The
number of Chinese who enjoy a fairly well-off and even wealthy lifestyle has
increased and the number of Chinese who remain in poverty has dwindled.
However, in recent years a new phenomenon has risen - the income gap between
rural and urban Chinese has grown wider and wider.
According to the State Statistics Bureau, Urban Social Economic Survey of nearly
40,000 families nationwide, the average income per person in 1999 was 5,854
Yuan, up 7.9% from the year before. After adjusting for inflation, the actual
growth was 9.3%, which is higher than the increase in China's growth national
product. But as the national income has increased, the income disparity between
rich and poor has also grown; the contrast between rich and poor grows starker
daily. Of the 1.25 billion people polled in this survey, the top 20% in terms of
highest income held 42.4% of the total wealth.
In truth, the gap between China's rich and poor first began to appear ten years ago.
At the time, rough estimates said that the top 10% held 40% of the banks' savings.
By the mid-1990s, 20% owned 80% of the savings in banks.
The Chinese government is relying on its policies to close the income disparity.
For example, it is considering taxing the upper, middle and lower classes
differently. The upper class would be taxed more while the lower class would.
1953 Hyperinflation conquered; civil war and land reform ended: GDP up
15.6% in real terms.
1969-70 High growth rates followed the restoration of order after the
"cultural revolution".
1976 Widespread
earthquakes, including the
worst ever at Tangshan, hit
industrial centres, while
agricultural output was hit
by drought; policy paralysis
resulted from the anti-Deng
campaign, followed by
Mao's death and the arrest
of the Gang of Four. GDP
fell.
1992 Deng Xiaoping's Southern Tour at the beginning of the year massively
boosted foreign direct investment inflows into coastal areas and started a
wave of government investment in Shanghai. Record trade and GDP growth
and inflation followed.
1993 Zhu Rongji appointed to rein in the overheating economy, this time
more selectively than in 1989-91. Growth rates subsided gradually in
subsequent years, producing a so-called "soft landing". During the 1990s,
living standards continued to rise, as evidenced by the proliferation of
consumer durables, especially among the urban population. Continuing FDI
inflows helped boost foreign exchange reserves to record heights in the late
1990s.
In 2008 the global economic crisis began to reduce China's growth rate. In
the face of forecasts that this might drop below the rate at which school
leavers can be absorbed by the growing economy (7%-8%) the government
decided to pump RMB 4 trillion into the economy in the form of an
economic stimulus package consisting largely of investment in fixed
infrastructure and human capital.
In 2009 China's GDP growth rate, though lower than the double-digit
average of recent years, has held up well, rising from 6.1% year-on-year in
the first quarter to 7.7% in the first three quarters of the year. This means
that year-on-year GDP growth was around 9% in the second quarter. A
similar rate of growth (9%) is expected in the final quarter, ensuring a rate
of over 8% for 2009 as a whole.
15,695.8 9.5
Secondary Industry
Tertiary Industry 14,291.8 8.9
8) STANDARD OF LIVING IN CHINA:
Before 1949 the Chinese economy was characterized by widespread
poverty, extreme income inequalities, and endemic insecurity of livelihood.
By means of centralized economic planning, the People's Republic was able
to redistribute national income so as to provide the entire population with at
least the minimal necessities of life (except during the "three bad years" of
1959, 1960, and 1961) and to consistently allocate a relatively high
proportion of national income to productive investment. Equally important
to the quality of life were the results of mass public-health and sanitation
campaigns, which rid the country of most of the conditions that had bred
epidemics and lingering disease in the past. The most concrete evidence of
improved living standards was that average national life expectancy more
than doubled, rising from around thirty-two years in 1949 to sixty-nine
years in 1985.
In 1987 the standard of living in China was much lower than in the
industrialized countries, but nearly all Chinese people had adequate food,
clothing, and housing. In addition, there was a positive trend toward rapid
improvements in living conditions in the 1980s as a result of the economic
reforms, though improvements in the standard of living beyond the basic
level came slowly. After thirty years of austerity and marginal sufficiency,
Chinese consumers suddenly were able to buy more than enough to eat from
a growing variety of food items. Stylish clothing, modern furniture, and a
wide array of electrical appliances also became part of the normal
expectations of ordinary Chinese families.
Signs that China’s economic recovery is gaining speed have led to a flurry
of optimistic revisions to GDP growth forecasts in the past week. First the
World Bank upped its estimate for Chinese economic growth to 7.2% as
against its March forecast of only 6.5% growth for this year. A few days
later, the OECD weighed in with a prediction of 7.7%, versus a 6.3% figure
three months ago. Credit Suisse is calling for 8% growth this year and 9% in
2010. [And for our many readers, who come blogs on China for Indian
content, Credit Suisse is calling for 6.2% and 7.4% growth of the Indian
economy in 2009 and 2010.So the living standard of China is improving in
a faster rate.
9) NATIONAL INCOME OF IRAN:
The National Income. Iran is a large country (over 600,000 square miles), sparsely
populated (about 18 to 20 millions), predominantly agricultural, and sadly lacking
in statistics. Any estimate of its national income is bound to be hardly more than a
reasonable guess. The latest such guess appears in the U.N. Statistical Year Book
for 1952, which puts the figure at about $1,800,000,000 annually during recent
years. Experts will affirm that the figure is more likely to be an under- than an
overestimate.
1- There are the cash revenues which accrue directly to the government.
2- The wages and salaries earned by Iranians in the industry.
3- The goods and services purchased by the in-dustry in Iran.
Oil Industry's Role. To the vast majority of the people of Iran the oil
industry simply does not exist. They get nothing from it directly or
indirectly. At least 85 per cent of the people live on a primitive agriculture,
20 per cent still lead a nomadic tribal existence. It has yet to be proven that
the oil industry has raised the abysmally low standard of living of these
Iranian masses by any substantial amount.
GDP OF IRAN:
2007 289933
2005 192020
2000 102930
Year (% p.a.)
2007 5.8
2005 4.5
2000 2.8
10) CONCLUSION:
From the above discussion, we may easily conclude that
national income plays an integral role in the development of an economy. It is the
important measure of standard of living of the people of a count
India’s Economy has grown by more than 9% for three years running, and
has seen a decade of 7% positive growth.
The growth rate of the manufacturing sector rose steadily from 8.98% in
2005, to 12% in 2006.
11) RECOMMENDATIONS:
The report has been prepared on the basis of secondary data. The report and my
findings are subjected to the following limitations:
There may be more areas which are unexposed in this study, but may
cover the national income of the country.
13) BIBLIOGRAPHY:
1. www.indiastat.com
2. www.flipkart.com/national-income-india.../0195650506-
3. http://dqw3fn8dnd.487/trh
4. www.worldbank.org /Data
5. www.economywatch.com
6. www.china-embassy.org
7. http://business.mapsofindia.com
8. http://www.Economictimes.com
9. http://www.Businesstimes.com