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From pore-pressure prediction to reservoir characterization:


A combined geomechanics-seismic inversion workflow
using trend-kriging techniques in a deepwater basin
RAN BACHRACH, SHEILA NOETH, NIRANJAN BANIK, MITA SENGUPTA, GEORGE BUNGE, BEN FLACK, RANDY UTECH, COLIN SAYERS, PATRICK HOOYMAN,
and LENNERT DEN BOER, Schlumberger, Houston, USA
LEI LEU, BILL TROYER, and JERRY MOORE, Nexen Petroleum USA, Dallas

o optimize drilling decisions and well planning in overpressured areas, it is essential to carry out pore-pressure predictions before drilling. Knowledge of pore pressure implies
knowledge of the effective stress, which is a key input for
several geomechanics applications, such as fault slip and
fault seal analysis and reservoir compaction studies. It is also
a required input for 3D and 4D seismic reservoir characterization. Because the seismic response of shales and sand
depends on their compaction history, the effective stress
will govern the sedimentary seismic response. This is in contrast to normally pressured regimes, where the depth below
mudline (or overburden stress) is typically used to characterize the compaction effect.
This paper presents a consistent workflow to show how
high-resolution seismic velocities (Banik et al., 2003) were
used to predict pore pressure and effective stress in a deepwater environment where overpressured sediments are known
to exist. Effective stress allows mapping nonstationary sedimentary compaction in space and is used as an additional
attribute in the Bayesian lithofacies classification (Bachrach et
al., 2004; Mukerji et al., 2001). The other attributes in the
process are elastic parameters such as acoustic and shear
impedances obtained from the multi-attribute seismic inversion (Roberts et al., 2005). To allow for consistency between
well and seismic data and stratigraphic layers, geostatistical
mapping (trend-kriging) techniques were applied using several key horizons. The final trend-kriged model is constrained
by the structural framework and the geology of the basin.
The case for a joint geomechanics-seismic inversion workflow. Figure 1 shows the well-log data from two adjacent wells
in the area. The P-wave impedance (IP), S-wave impedance
(IS), and density data are plotted as a function of depth below
mudline and color-coded by volume of clay. Sands are blue
points. All data have been fluid-substituted to 100% brine.

Note that while, in general, IP, IS, and density are increasing
with depth, there is a zone of several hundred feet where IP,
IS, and density decrease with increasing depth. This behavior can be observed in well A and well B at different depths,
although the wells are close to each otherin well A at
10 00012 000 ft and in well B at 10 00014 000 ft.
Figure 2 shows the same wells and data as Figure 1 but
in the effective-stress attribute domain. The vertical effective stress is calculated using the overburden stress and
pore pressure derived from high-resolution seismic velocity and a rock model as discussed in the following sections.
It is evident from Figures 1 and 2 that the compaction
trends for shale and sand show a more consistent increase
in the vertical effective-stress domain than in the depth
domain. Thus, the vertical effective stress is a more appropriate attribute to describe lithofacies than depth. The ability to predict effective stress in three dimensions overcomes
the shortcoming of using just depth as the attribute governing sediment compaction.
Note that here the term effective stress is used with respect
to the vertical effective stress. In general, stress is a tensor,
and its principal stresses (e.g., vertical and horizontal
stresses) are not equal and, thus, principal effective stress
components are not necessarily equal. When considering
vertical and horizontal stresses, the proper way to characterize the subsurface is using orthorhombic symmetry, where
velocity changes with azimuth along the different planes
(Sarkar et al., 2003; Prioul et al., 2004). In this case study,
because the well logs are mostly vertical and no severe
anisotropy in the seismic gathers was observed, the following simplifying assumptions were made: (1) the vertical seismic velocity observed in the well logs can capture
the vertical effective stress, and (2) the seismic moveout
velocity is isotropic to the first order and, therefore, the vertical effective stress is sufficient to capture the general com-

Figure 1. Data from two adjacent wells in the study area as a function of depth below mudline. The color bar represents volume of clay. In both
wells IP, IS, and density are left to right, respectively.
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Figure 2. Well-log data from wells shown in Figure 1 plotted in the effective-stress (eff) domain. The color bar represents volume of clay. In both
plots, IP, IS, and density are left to right, respectively.

paction behavior of the sediments. The available data do


not indicate major second-order effects associated with different stress paths (e.g., loading and unloading) that may
affect the pore-pressure prediction. The pore-pressure prediction described here assumes an isotropic medium.
Methodology. The four components that comprise the joint
workflow are a high-resolution velocity analysis, a porepressure and effective-stress prediction, a multi-attribute
seismic inversion, and a Bayesian lithofacies classification
using IP, IS, and effective stress.
High-resolution velocity analysis (step 1). The interval velocities in the present study were obtained using a method that
maximizes the stacking power of spatially continuous events
in prestack gathers (Mao et al., 2000). The initial interval velocity model was built using a velocity model builder that inverts
stacking velocity functions for interval velocity profiles using
a singular value decomposition method. Because the inversion of interval velocity is nonunique, the initial velocity model
is regularized using a semblance-based interactive velocity
analysis system. This fit-for-purpose velocity analysis method
was successfully used previously for pore-pressure and effective-stress prediction (e.g., Banik et al., 2003).
The velocity model, thus obtained, went through geostatistical mapping (trend-kriging) using the upscaled welllog velocities within several key stratigraphic layers. Kriging
techniques can be used for interpolating a single variable in
two or three dimensions. Trend-kriging uses the extra information provided by another variable to guide the interpolation. In this study, the seismic velocity is used as the spatially
varying mean when using kriging to spatially interpolate the
well-log velocity data into stratigraphic 3D layers, which
honor the geologic structure (see Goovaerts, 1997, for more
details). In the vicinity of the well, the well-log velocity data
will carry more weight, while away from the wells, the velocity field will go to its mean, which is the seismic velocity. The
input needed for this analysis is a 3D variogram model, consisting of a single spherical structure with a given vertical correlation length and an isotropic lateral correlation length
(parallel to bedding), horizons, well data, and seismic velocities. The kriging is done within a stratigraphic framework,
to ensure consistency between the interpreted horizons and
geology. Figure 3 shows the structural framework associated
with the geostatistical mapping. Figures 4a and b show the
velocity model before (Figure 4a) and after trend-kriging

Figure 3. Structural framework of the study area with wells (the


orange surface represents the top of salt).

(Figure 4b). Note that near the wells (within the correlation
length) the resolution approaches the well-log resolution and
the data are influenced more by the well-log data.
Pore-pressure and effective-stress prediction (step 2). Most
methods for pore-pressure prediction are based on Terzaghis
effective stress principle (1943), which implies that elasticwave velocities are a function of the effective stress tensor,
which is defined as the difference between the total stress
tensor and the pore pressure p. In the study presented here,
it is assumed that the elastic-wave velocity is a function only
of the vertical effective stress eff. Then Terzaghis relationship can be written as
eff = S p

(1)

The vertical component S of the total stress is assumed to


be the weight of the rock matrix and the fluids in the pore
space overlying the interval of interest. S is calculated by integrating the bulk density from the surface to the specific depth:
(2)
where (z) is the density at depth z below the surface and
g is the acceleration due to gravity.
Effective-stress methods used to predict pore pressures
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Figure 4. (a) High-resolution seismic velocity (in ft/s). (b) Final high-resolution velocity after trend-kriging with well data (in ft/s).

Figure 5. Upscaled velocity from sonic logs versus effective vertical


stress. The dots represent effective stress (the difference between overburden and pore pressure) for relevant mud weights. Based on drilling
reports, these mud weights provide an estimate of formation pore pressure. The different colors and signs indicate different wells. The blue
line represents the normal velocity derived by inversion (vertical and
horizontal scales not included for reasons of confidentiality).

Figure 6. Pore-pressure estimate using upscaled sonic velocities at a


calibration well location. (a) Upscaled sonic (magenta) and normal
velocity (blue), which is estimated by inverting to the pressure data, as
explained in the text. (b) Pore-pressure gradient, estimated as equivalent mud weights with calibration data: mud weights (blue dots) and
LOT data (red dots). The black curve represents the overburden gradient (vertical scale not included for reasons of confidentiality).

include the methods of Bowers (1995) and Eaton (1975).


Eatons method estimates the effective stress from the deviation of velocity in normally pressured sediments (normal
velocity). For this study, Eatons approach was used following the inversion methodology of Sayers et al.
(GEOPHYSICS, 2002). The velocity-to-pore-pressure transform
was derived from data from wells in the area of interest or
offset wells. The formation pore pressure is assumed to be
represented by the mud weights used for drilling these
wells, because during drilling operations mud weights are
increased to prevent fluid and gas influxes from the formation into the wellbore; therefore these relevant mud
weights can provide a reasonably close estimate of formation pressure. By inverting to the available pore-pressure
data in these nearby wells in order to calibrate the velocityto-pore-pressure transform, the normal velocity can be accurately defined, allowing identification of possible shallow
overpressures. This method contrasts with current methods
that fit a trend line to velocity data as a function of depth
below mudline. This trend is often referred to as a normal

trend which captures the expected velocity variation with


depth when the pore pressure is hydrostatic.
The calibration of the transform is based on evaluating
the misfit between the predicted pore pressure and the measured pore pressure and is quantified by the root mean
square (rms) of the residuals (Sayers et al., 2002). An estimate of the inherent uncertainty is given by minimizing and
mapping the rms with respect to the parameters that define
the pore-pressure transform.
Pore-pressure data used for calibration were obtained
from an analysis of mud weights and formation pressure
test data. The overburden stress S is calculated from Equation
2. To estimate overburden stress at the depth of interest, an
analytical form for (z) was used. This was used to compute density over the depth range for which density data
were not available.
Figure 5 shows the upscaled sonic log velocities for the
offset wells versus the effective stress. The effective stress
is calculated as the difference between overburden and pore
pressure. The pore pressure is given by the mud weights

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Figure 7. (a) Final pore-pressure volume (in units of psi). (b) Final effective stress volume in units of psi for the same cross-section.

Figure 8. Reservoir characterization workflow. The multi-attribute


seismic inversion includes effective stress and background model from
seismic velocity. SCVA stands for surface-consistent velocity analysis.
VMB stands for velocity model building (see Banik et al., 2003, for
more details).

used for drilling these wells, assuming that the occurrence


of gas and fluid influxes during drilling and the associated
mud weights allow a close estimate of the formation pore
pressure. The curve in Figure 5 is based on an Eaton-type
normal velocity plotted versus effective stress and shows a
good fit to the well data. The deviations from the curve represent possible variations in porosity and clay content.
The normal velocity derived by inversion and shown in
Figures 5 and 6 was then used in an Eaton approach to calculate effective stress and to determine pore pressure. Figure
6 shows an example for a calibrated well. Mud weights are
considered to be the upper bound for pore pressure while
leak-off test (LOT) data are considered to be close to the vertical effective stress. In the calibrated model, both pore-pressure and overburden stress predictions are consistent with
these calibration data.
The calibrated velocity-to-effective-stress transform was
then applied to the trend-kriged velocities. To apply the
pore-pressure transform, it is necessary to determine density at all locations so that a 3D volume of total vertical stress
can be calculated. To do this, a density cube was built by
geostatistically mapping the available well-log data in the
area, constrained by depth horizons and a 3D trend. The geostatistical mapping (trend-kriging) of the upscaled density
log data is guided by a 3D density-trend volume, which was

built by applying a locally calibrated Gardner relationship


(Gardner et al., 1965) to the seismic velocity cube. This density-trend cube was resampled into 3D curvilinear stratigraphic grids representing stratigraphic layers for use as a
3D trend (local mean). The upscaled density log data were
then kriged in each layer assuming a geostatistical model
consisting of a single spherical structure with a given vertical correlation length and an isotropic lateral correlation
length (parallel to bedding). Integration of the density cube
using Equation 2 thus allows the total vertical stress to be
determined anywhere in the model.
Note that the velocity model went through geostatistical
mapping (trend-kriging) using the upscaled well-log velocities within several key stratigraphic layers, similar to the
method applied in creating the density model. The use of horizons helped to maintain consistency of the well data and the
geologic structure. The velocity-to-pore-pressure transform,
which is established from nearby well data, is then applied
to this trend-kriged velocity volume. The final volumes of pore
pressure and effective stress are shown in Figures 7a and b.
Multi-attribute seismic inversion (step 3). The multi-attribute
seismic inversion process has been presented previously
(McWhorter et al., 2005). The workflow is schematically
shown in Figure 8. The processes enclosed in the light blue
rectangles describe the needed modification in the workflow
for incorporation of the effective stress. The background
models for IP and IS were derived from the trend-kriged
velocity and density volumes. This step is important, because
all attributes used in the model must have a common background model and follow a consistent set of assumptions.
Figure 9 shows absolute IP and IS along an inline, derived
from multi-attribute seismic inversion after low-frequency
compensation (see Roberts et al., 2005, for more details).
Lithofacies classification using effective stress, IP, and IS (step
4). The key to using effective stress as an attribute for reservoir characterization is to understand the underlying behavior of the elastic parameters (IP and IS) with respect to
lithology and effective stress. Figure 10a shows a schematic
relationship between IP versus effective stress for shale and
brine-filled sand representing sediment compaction in clastic basins. In general, IP will increase with effective stress
for shales (black line) and brine sands (green line). It is clear
that the presence of hydrocarbons in the pore space will
reduce IP, as both VP and density will be lower than in the
brine-filled case. This is schematically represented by the
dotted line in Figure 10a. To statistically quantify the depenMAY 2007

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Figure 9. Absolute IP (top) and IS (bottom) along an inline from multiattribute seismic inversion. Color bar is in AMO units.

Figure 10. (a) Schematic plot of IP compaction trend with respect to


effective stress showing the seismic signature of sedimentary
compaction in clastic basins. Shale trend and brine-sand trends are
solid lines. The dotted line represents the fluid effect. (b) Scatterplot
showing the expected behavior of lithofacies units as a function of IP, IS,
and effective stress. Data points are generated using the scatter around
the effective stress trends as observed in well-log data.

dencies between elastic parameters, effective stress and


lithology units IP and IS are calculated from well-log data
and plotted with respect to the effective stress attribute. The
data are color-coded by lithology. The scatter of shale and
brine sands around the compaction trend is used to derive
a probability density function (pdf). Figure 10b shows the
scatter of IP, IS, and effective stress for four lithology units:
brine sand, shale, gas sand, and oil sand. It is clear from
Figure 10b that discriminating between oil and gas in this
system is very difficult due to the scatter of the data.
Therefore, the oil sands and gas sands are included in a single hydrocarbon class.
The scatterplot in Figure 10b allows the discrimination
of three lithofacies classes that were used for inversion in
the basin: shale, brine sand, and hydrocarbon sand. In Figure
11, the derived 4D pdf P(IP, IS, eff, Lithoclass) is plotted at
different effective stress intervals. Note that the ability to
discriminate shale, brine sand, and hydrocarbon sand
changes as a function of the effective stress according to the
compaction model. Furthermore, the effective stress is spatially varying, as seen clearly in Figure 7. Thus, to correctly
classify a lithology type, knowledge of IP and IS is necessary, and the spatially varying effective stress is needed as
shown in Figure 11. This allows defining the position with
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Figure 11. Maps of the probability distribution function (pdf) at different effective stress intervals. All units are in AMO.

Figure 12. Hydrocarbon sand probability along an inline derived from


IP, IS, and effective stress attributes. The magenta line is a measured
saturation log at a control well location.

respect to the compaction curve (Figure 10a).


The class probability values were obtained for each set
of IP, IS, and effective stress for each seismic data sample
and effective stress value by deriving the posterior pdf
P (LithoclassIP, IS, eff) (as shown in Bachrach et al., 2004).
From Figure 11 it is clear that the ability to correctly identify the pay zone is related also to the vertical effective stress,
and not only to the seismic attributes.
Figure 12 shows the computed hydrocarbon sand probability values along an inline using the method described
above. A control well shows good agreement between a saturation log and high hydrocarbon probability. Figure 13
shows another inline, which allows comparison of the hydrocarbon probability and effective stress at the same location.
In Figure 14, hydrocarbon sand probability values are
posted on a horizon with and without effective stress as an
attribute. As is evident from Figure 11, without effective
stress the results are not as clear as when effective stress is
used, because the probability functions are smeared.
Furthermore, if effective stress is not taken into account, only
the shallower events are identified as potential hydrocarbon sands. This can be seen in the left of Figure 14, where
potential hydrocarbons are visible only in the structurally

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Figure 13. Effective stress and hydrocarbon sand probability values


along another inline (see Figure 12).

Figure 14. Hydrocarbon sand probabilities posted on a horizon without


using effective stress (left) and with effective stress (right).

shallower part of the horizon. If effective stress is included


as an attribute (right of Figure 14), however, the hydrocarbon probabilities in the deeper, more compacted areas, can
be mapped as well. The good match between the well and
seismic (shown in Figure 12) is possible because the effective stress riding on IP and IS efficiently captures the spatial variation in the rock model (both vertically and laterally)
for lithofacies class discrimination.
Conclusion. The effective stress used in this case study (along
with IP and IS as attributes in the lithofacies classification
based on Bayesian statistics) was derived from high-resolution seismic velocity analysis. IP and IS were established from
multi-attribute seismic inversion. Pore-pressure and effective
stress prediction based on trend-kriging incorporates the
multitude of available data. The application of trend-kriging, a statistical mapping process, allows a spatially varying
mean, the incorporation of offset well data, as well as honoring the geologic structure. The results were used successfully in low-frequency background model building for
multi-attribute seismic inversion and for a high-quality lithofacies prediction using effective stress as an attribute.
The use of effective stress efficiently discriminates various lithofacies classes in an overpressured basin with a
high degree of spatial variability in sediment compaction
and associated disequilibria. By identifying the stress, velocity and density dependencies, a set of probability distribution functions was derived, such that, given a set of IP, IS,
and effective stress values, a lithofacies class probability
value can be predicted. The method has been successfully
applied to a deepwater basin known to have varying pore
pressure. Because lithology classification and hydrocarbon
prediction takes into account both the fluid effects (through
Gassmanns equation) and the separation in IP and IS asso-

ciated with the sand and the shale compaction curves, effective stress, and not the depth below mudline, is the appropriate attribute to use for seismic-inversion-based reservoir
characterization.
In this study the vertical effective stress is used, and it
is assumed that compaction disequilibrium is the governing pore-pressure mechanism. These assumptions are valid
for the zone of interest, and within the scope of this study
they provide estimates for a larger area during the exploration phase. However, these assumptions may be violated
in structurally complex areas, such as proximity to salt. In
these cases one may need to solve for the full stress tensor
and re-examine the derivation of effective stress. However,
the incorporation of effective stress should help in the lithofacies classification.
The keys to success are to have a fit-for-purpose velocity field, calibrated pore-pressure model, multi-attribute
seismic inversion, and a consistent background model for
all seismic attributes. An effective-stress-based method efficiently captures the spatially varying rock properties in
overpressured basins, providing a high-quality solution for
reservoir characterization.
Suggested reading. Combining rock physics analysis, full waveform prestack inversion and high-resolution seismic interpretation to map lithology units in deep water: A Gulf of Mexico case
study by Bachrach et al. (TLE, 2004). Regional and high-resolution 3D pore-pressure prediction in deep-water offshore West
Africa by Banik et al. (SEG 2003 Expanded Abstracts). Pore-pressure estimation from velocity data: Accounting for pore pressure
mechanisms besides undercompaction by Bowers (SPE Drilling
& Completion, 1995). Deepwater geohazard prediction using
prestack inversion of large offset P-wave data and rock model
by Dutta (TLE, 2002). The equation for geopressure prediction
from well logs by Eaton (SPE paper 5544, 1975). Formation
velocity and densityThe diagnostic basis for stratigraphic traps
by Gardner et al. (GEOPHYSICS, 1974). Geostatistics for Natural
Resources Evaluation by Goovaerts (Oxford, 1997). Estimation of
formation pressures from log-derived shale properties by
Hottman et al. (Journal of Petroleum Technology, 1965). An automated interval velocity inversion by Mao et al. (SEG 2000
Expanded Abstracts). Statistical rock physics: Combining rock
physics, information theory, and geostatistics to reduce uncertainty
in reservoir characterization by Mukerji et al. (TLE, 2001).
Quantifying reservoir properties of the East Texas Woodbine
through rock physics and multi-attribute seismic inversion by
McWhorter et al. (SEG 2005 Expanded Abstracts). Seismic data
indicate depth, magnitude of abnormal pressure by Pennebaker
(World Oil, 1970). Nonlinear rock physics model for estimation
of 3D subsurface stress in anisotropic formations: Theory and laboratory verification by Prioul et al. (GEOPHYSICS, 2004). Hybrid
inversion techniques used to derive key elastic parameters: Acase
study from the Nile Delta by Roberts et al. (TLE, 2005).
Anisotropic inversion of seismic data for stressed media: Theory
and a physical modeling study on Berea Sandstone by Sarkar
et al. (GEOPHYSICS, 2003). Predrill pore-pressure prediction using
seismic data by Sayers et al. (GEOPHYSICS, 2002). Seismic porepressure prediction using reflection tomography and 4-C seismic
data by Sayers et al. (TLE, 2002). Theoretical Soil Mechanics by
Terzaghi (Wiley, 1943). TLE
Acknowledgments: The authors thank Nexen Petroleum USA, Inc., and
Anadarko Petroleum for permission to publish the work.
Corresponding author: rbachrach@slb.com

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