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Army Air Corps were sure that their bombers would easily topple other countries and cause their populations to
Rather than theorizing about future cyberwars or extrapolating from today's concerns, the history of cyberconflict
that have actually been fought, shows that cyber incidents have so far tended to have effects that are either
domains, cyberattacks can take down many targets but keeping them down over time in the face of determined
defenses has so far been out of the range of all but the most dangerous adversaries such as Russia and China. Of
course, if the United States is in a conflict with those nations, cyber will be the least important of the existential
threats policymakers should be worrying about. Plutonium trumps bytes in a shooting war . This is
not all good news. Policymakers have recognized the problems since at least 1998 with little significant progress.
What Will
Cause the Next U.S. Credit Downgrade. Jan. 3, 2013. https://www.google.com/search?sourceid=chromepsyapi2&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8&q=%22rick%20newman%20is%22.)
part of a deal to extend the debt ceiling. The problem is that most government spending actually benefits
somebodyseniors, home buyers, the poor, defense contractorsand Congress has proven itself particularly
reluctant to reduce anybody's benefits.
more tax hikes, as part of a big budget deal in the first few months of 2013 that would convincingly improve
the government's long-term finances. "The debt trajectory resulting from this process is likely
to determine whether the Aaa rating is returned to a stable outlook or downgraded,"
Moody's said in a statement following the January 1 fiscal-cliff deal. If Congress continually delays spending cuts
the habit in recent yearsa downgrade could come by summer.
effect on assets other than Treasurys, he said. John Browne, senior economic
consultant at Euro Pacific Capital, said the damage from further downgrades
would affect the U.S. status in the economic world for a long time . The U.S.
dollar is the worlds dominant currency, he said, because debt troubles in the
eurozone have tarnished the appeal of the euro, which had been ascending as a
replacement for the dollar in the past decade. This privileged position has
conferred on Washington the vital element of time to organize viable revisions to its
entitlements, whose uncontrolled growth is at the root of the U.S. debt problem, he
said. But political leaders appear to be squandering the luxury of time they got
from the ongoing European debt crisis, he said. The spectacle of American
politicians failing to agree on budgets, spending limits or any type of fiscal discipline
can affect the credit rating of the U.S. Over the longer term, a major fall in the credit
rating is likely to increase U.S. interest rates, he said. But perhaps the greatest
impact is to the U.S. reputation. The blatant dereliction of duty on display in
Washington will diminish national prestige, Mr. Browne said.
Should the United States experience a severe economic contraction during the second term of President Bush ,
the American people will likely support politicians who advocate further restrictions and controls on our market
economy guaranteeing its strangulation and the steady pauperization of the country. In Congress today, Sen.
Edward Kennedy supports nearly all the economic dogmas listed above. It is easy to see, therefore, that the
coming economic contraction, due in part to a policy of massive credit expansion, will have serious political
an economic
contraction will encourage the formation of anti-capitalist majorities and a turning
away from the free market system. The danger here is not merely economic. The political left
openly favors the collapse of Americas strategic position abroad. The withdrawal of
the U nited S tates from the Middle East, the Far East and Europe would
catastrophically impact an international system that presently allows 6 billion
people to live on the earths surface in relative peace . Should anti-capitalist dogmas
overwhelm the global market and trading system that evolved under American leadership, the planets
economy would contract and untold millions would die of starvation. Nationalistic
totalitarianism, fueled by a politics of blame, would once again bring war to Asia
and Europe. But this time the war would be waged with mass destruction
weapons and the United States would be blamed because it is the center of global capitalism. Furthermore, if
the anti-capitalist party gains power in Washington, we can expect to see policies of
appeasement and unilateral disarmament enacted. American appeasement and
disarmament, in this context, would be an admission of guilt before the court of world opinion. Russia and
China, above all, would exploit this admission to justify aggressive wars, invasions
and mass destruction attacks. A future financial crash, therefore, must be prevented
at all costs. But we cannot do this. As one observer recently lamented, We drank the poison and now we
consequences for the Republican Party (to the benefit of the Democrats). Furthermore,
must die.
Dispo Bad
Dispositionality is a voting issue
A. Education the NEG only goes for what has the least coverage and
analysis, preventing in-depth discussion
B. StratSkew dispo undermines AFF ability to generate offense and
skews time allocation undermining AFF ability to hedge against the block
C. Advocacy dispo prevents the NEG from learning consistent advocacy
and encourages argument irresponsibility
D. No Offense pre-tournament research capture all NEG offense and
theres no incentive to straight turn
a post on the company's blog. Once the mosquitoes have been collected, the
next challenge is to analyse them for microbes and viruses that could pose a threat
to humans. Until recently, the idea of culling through mosquitoes to try to
find diseases that are both known and unknown would have been wildly
impractical, according to James Pipas, a professor of molecular biology at the
University of Pittsburgh who also is working on Project Premonition. But now, the
latest developments in molecular biology and genetic sequencing are allowing
researchers to cull through samples to look for multiple viruses, including ones that
have not been discovered yet. Researchers can then create cloud-based databases
of the information they find, and come up with algorithms for evaluating which of
these viruses could present a threat to humans or animals that humans rely on.
Pipas expects that it will be very difficult to figure out which of the viruses they
identify in mosquitoes are a threat, but he also said such a system holds incredible
promise for preventing outbreaks.
humanity: (i) large-scale thermonuclear war followed by a nuclear winter, (ii) a planet killing asteroid impact and (iii)
infectious disease. To this trio might be added climate change making the planet uninhabitable. Of the
three existential threats the first is deduced from the inferred cataclysmic effects of nuclear war. For the second
there is geological evidence for the association of asteroid impacts with massive extinction (Alvarez, 1987). As to an
pathogenic microbes, which number somewhere near 1500 species (Cleaveland et al., 2001; Taylor et al., 2001),
especially if some of these species acquired the capacity for pathogenicity as a consequence of natural evolution or
bioengineering.
C. Reasons to prefer