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6683

Edexcel GCE

Statistics S1

(New Syllabus)

Advanced/Advanced Subsidiary

Wednesday 16 January 2002 − Afternoon

Time: 1 hour 30 minutes

Materials required for examination Items included with question papers

Answer Book (AB16) Nil

Graph Paper (ASG2)

Mathematical Formulae (Lilac)

Candidates may use any calculator EXCEPT those with the facility for symbolic

algebra, differentiation and/or integration. Thus candidates may NOT use calculators

such as the Texas Instruments TI 89, TI 92, Casio CFX 9970G, Hewlett Packard HP

48G.

Instructions to Candidates

In the boxes on the answer book, write the name of the examining body (Edexcel), your

centre number, candidate number, the unit title (Statistics S1), the paper reference (6683),

your surname, other name and signature.

Values from the statistical tables should be quoted in full. When a calculator is used, the

answer should be given to an appropriate degree of accuracy.

A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.

Full marks may be obtained for answers to ALL questions.

This paper has seven questions. Pages 6, 7 and 8 are blank.

Advice to Candidates

You must ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly labelled.

You must show sufficient working to make your methods clear to the Examiner. Answers

without working may gain no credit.

N6988 This publication may only be reproduced in accordance with Edexcel copyright policy.

Edexcel Foundation is a registered charity. ©2002 Edexcel

1. (a) Explain briefly what you understand by

(1)

(ii) an event.

(1)

(b) State one advantage and one disadvantage of a statistical model.

(2)

each day for 100 days. The results are summarised in the table below.

1 16

2−4 32

5−6 28

7 12

8 9

9−11 2

12 1

(5)

(b) Calculate an estimate of the number of days that had between 6 and 9 hours of

sunshine.

(2)

3. A discrete random variable X has the probability function shown in the table

below.

x 0 1 2

1 2

P(X = x) a −a

3 3

5

(a) Given that E(X) = , find a.

6

(3)

(b) Find the exact value of Var (X).

(3)

N6993 2

(c) Find the exact value of P(X ≤ 15).

(1)

4. A contractor bids for two building projects. He estimates that the probability of

winning the first project is 0.5, the probability of winning the second is 0.3 and

the probability of winning both projects is 0.2.

(a) Find the probability that he does not win either project.

(3)

(b) Find the probability that he wins exactly one project.

(2)

(c) Given that he does not win the first project, find the probability that he wins

the second.

(2)

(d) By calculation, determine whether or not winning the first contract and

winning the second contract are independent events.

(3)

with mean µ days and standard deviation σ days. Only 2.5% of all pregnancies

are shorter than 235 days and 15% are longer than 286 days.

(2)

(b) Obtain a second equation in µ and σ .

(3)

(c) Find the value of µ and the value of σ .

(4)

(d) Find the values between which the middle 68.3% of pregnancies lie.

(2)

N6894 4

6. Hospital records show the number of babies born in a year. The number of babies

delivered by 15 male doctors is summarised by the stem and leaf diagram below.

0 (0)

1 9 (1)

2 1 6 7 7 (4)

3 2 2 3 4 8 (5)

4 5 (1)

5 1 (1)

6 0 (1)

7 (0)

8 6 7 (2)

(3)

(b) Given that there are no outliers, draw a box plot on graph paper to represent

these data. Start your scale at the origin.

(4)

(c) Calculate the mean and standard deviation of these data.

(5)

The records also contain the number of babies delivered by 10 female doctors.

34 30 20 15 6

32 26 19 11 4

(d) Using the same scale as in part (b) and on the same graph paper draw a box

plot for the data for the 10 female doctors.

(3)

(e) Compare and contrast the box plots for the data for male and female doctors.

(2)

7. A number of people were asked to guess the calorific content of 10 foods. The

mean s of the guesses for each food and the true calorific content t are given in

the table below.

Food t s

Packet of biscuits 170 420

1 potato 90 160

1 apple 80 110

Crisp breads 10 70

Chocolate bar 260 360

1 slice white bread 75 135

1 slice brown bread 60 115

Portion of beef curry 270 350

Portion of rice pudding 165 390

Half a pint of milk 160 200

[You may assume that Σ t = 1340, Σ s = 2310, Σ ts = 396 775, Σ t2 = 246 050,

Σ s2 = 694 650.]

(independent) and which is the response (dependent) variable.

(3)

(b) Calculate, to 3 significant figures, the product moment correlation coefficient

for the above data.

(7)

(c) State, with a reason, whether or not the value of the product moment

correlation coefficient changes if all the guesses are 50 calories higher than the

values in the table.

(2)

The mean of the guesses for the portion of rice pudding and for the packet of

biscuits are outside the linear relation of the other eight foods.

(d) Find the equation of the regression line of s on t excluding the values for rice

pudding and biscuits.

(3)

[You may now assume that Sts = 72 587, Stt = 63 671.875, t = 125.625, s

= 187.5.]

(2)

(f) State, with a reason, what the effect would be on the regression line of

including the values for a portion of rice pudding and a packet of biscuits.

(2)

END

N6894 6

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