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BUSINESS CYCLE

Presented by:

 Prasenjeet Thorat
-33
 Shantaram Sonawane
-39
Business Cycle

 Business cycles are recurring


increases and decreases in the level
of economic activity over periods of
time.

 Business cycle are upward and
downward movements in output
prices, interest rates, employment,
profit, real income etc.

 Two main phases of business cycles are


recessions (declines) and
expansions (increases) with turning
A b u sin e ss cycle is a p e rio d o f m a cro e co n o m i
exp a n sio n fo llo w e d b y a p e rio d o f co n tra ctio n
E. Napp
Features of Business
Cycle
ØFluctuation in Aggregate Economic
Activity
ØExpansion and Contraction
Features of Expansion

1)Rising Consumption,production and


Real GDP
2)Increase in Employment
3)Rise in Price
4)Rise in Profit,demand for Credit and
stock prices
Features of Contraction

1)Fall in Consumption, production and


Real GDP
2)Increase in Unemployment
3)Fall in Prices
4)Fall in Profit,demand for Credit and
stock prices
Ø Comovement of Variables
ØRecurrent but not Periodic
The Phases of the Business
Cycle

Expansion Recession Expansion

Peak
om
Bo
Do r n
Total Output

wn t u
tu Up
rn
Secular
growth
trend
Trough

0
Jan.- Apr.- July- Oct.- Jan.- Apr.- July- Oct.- Jan.- Apr.-
Mar June Sept. Dec. Mar June Sept. Dec. Mar June

©
Phases of Business Cycle

 Depression: is a period of low economic


activity

 Recovery: a recession is a business cycle
contraction, a general slowdown in
economic activity.

 Prosperity: Increase in output,
employment, investment,demand,profit,
bank loan,prices,standard of living are the
main features of prosperity.

 Recession: The recession is a period of


Control of Business
Cycle
 The two most important and widely
used economic policies to achieve
economic stability are:

 1) Monetary policy 2) Fiscal policy



 Monetary Policy: Through Bank rate,
open market
operation,SLR,CRR,Selective Credit
Control,etc to change the volume
of money supply.

 FiscalPolicy: Through taxation and


public expenditure helps to
overcome wide business
fluctuation.

 THANK YOU

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