Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
A
GRAND PROJECT
ON
Submitted to
GIDC Rajju Shroff Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Submitted on:
Submitted by:
PRITESH A. MAPARA
DHANRAJ B. GEDIYA
1
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
PREFACE
A project report on stock market is being prepared in attempts to interpret in-depth study of
volatility in Indian stock market. This report helps us to understand various terminologies in
stock market. This report gave me opportunity to have complete idea about volatility in stock
market. This gave me idea about technical and fundamental analysis in stock market and how
trading is being done in stock market. This project report helps in following aspects,
This project will guide to investors for an investment in stock market. This project Deployed a
lot time for collections of information from various sources. This project will be very helpful to
know volatility from January 2006 to December 2006 and reasons for such high volatility and
would be able to take decisions for investment in volatile stock market.
DECLARATION
2
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
I hereby declare that the dissertation Factor Affecting Stock Market Volatility submitted for
the MBA Degree at Gujarat Technological Universitys GIDC Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of
Management Studies, is my original work and the dissertation has not formed the basis for the
award of any degree, associate ship, fellowship or any other similar titles.
Place: Vapi
Signature of Students
Date:
CERTIFICATE
3
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
This is to certify that the dissertation entitled Factor Affecting Stock Market Volatility is the
research work carried out by Mr. Pritesh A. Mapara and Mr. Dhanraj B. Gediya student of MBA,
at GIDC Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies during the year 2009 -2011, in
partial fulfillment of the requirements for the of the Degree of MBA and that the dissertation has
not formed the basis for the award previously of any degree, diploma, associate ship, fellowship
or any other similar title.
Date:
Place:
It is certified that the work mentioned above is carried out under my guidance.
Date:
Place:
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
4
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Practical knowledge is required in every field. Only theoretical knowledge is not important the
practical knowledge is essential. In this type of project work important to management student.
In the training period there is vital opportunity to study the practical approach.
In the first place, we thank Professor Dinesh Kapadia for having given us their valuable guidance
for the project. Without their help it would have been impossible for us to complete the project.
Place: Vapi
Date:
EXCUTIVE SUMMARY
Stock market is an avenue for growth of earnings. This project includes how broking is being
done in stock market. It involves stock market analysis such as fluctuations in Sensex reasons for
5
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
fluctuations in stock market, fluctuations in stock market and reasons for the same. Stock market
has been the best avenue for investment in securities since last 10 years. Mostly future and
option trading was the worst trading in stock market in these sessions. I have covered various
sessions for analysis from April 2006 to March 2011. In these sessions, stock market was most
volatile so that I have covered various analyses with most affected factors to the global market. I
have made analysis of Sensex which made of 30 Shares. In this project, I have included most
gainer period and most loser period with reasons for the same. I also included comparison
between Bond yields and foreign investments by foreign investors.
Chapter 1
Introduction to project
Stock exchanges to some extent play an important role as indicators, reflecting the
performance of the country's economic state of health. Stock market is a place where securities
are bought and sold. It is exposed to a high degree of volatility; prices fluctuate within minutes
6
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
and are determined by the demand and supply of stocks at a given time. Stockbrokers are the
ones who buy and sell securities on behalf of individuals and institutions for some commission.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is the authorized body, which regulates the
operations of stock exchanges, banks and other financial institutions.
The past performances in the capital markets especially the securities scam by Harshad
Mehta has led to tightening of the operations by SEBI. In addition the international trading and
investment exposure has made it imperative to better operational efficiency. With the view to
improve, discipline and bring greater transparency in this sector, constant efforts are being made
and to a certain extent improvements have been made. As the condition of capital markets are
constantly improving, it has started drawing attention of lot more people than before. On the
career related aspects, professionals have opportunities to choose from for a wide range of jobs
available in a number of organizations in this sector and one can expect to have good times
ahead of him.
transacted towards the close of the eighteenth century. Thus, at present, there are totally twentyone recognized stock exchanges in India excluding the Over The Counter Exchange of India
Limited (OTCEI) and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSEIL).
exchange - OTCEI - was created in 1992 by country's premier financial institutions - Unit Trust
of India, Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India, Industrial Development Bank of
India, SBI Capital Markets, Industrial Finance Corporation of India, General Insurance
Corporation and its subsidiaries and Can Bank Financial Services. Trading at OTCEI is done
over the centers spread across the country. Securities traded on the OTCEI are classified into:
Listed Securities - The shares and debentures of the companies listed on the OTC can be
bought or sold at any OTC counter all over the country and they should not be listed
anywhere else
Permitted Securities - Certain shares and debentures listed on other exchanges and units
of mutual funds are allowed to be traded
Initiated debentures - Any equity holding at least one-lakh debentures of particular scrip
can offer them for trading on the OTC.
OTC has a unique feature of trading compared to other traditional exchanges. That is, certificates
of listed securities and initiated debentures are not traded at OTC. The original certificate will be
safely with the custodian. But, a counter receipt is generated out at the counter, which substitutes
the share certificate and is used for all transactions. In the case of permitted securities, the system
is similar to a traditional stock exchange. The difference is that the delivery and payment
procedure will be completed within 14 days. Compared to the traditional Exchanges, OTC
Exchange network has the following advantages:
OTCEI has widely dispersed trading mechanism across the country, whichprovides
greater liquidity and lesser risk of intermediary charges.
Greater transparency and accuracy of prices is obtained due to the screenbased scrip less
trading.
Since the exact price of the transaction is shown on the computer screen, the investor
gets to know the exact price at which s/he is trading.
In the case of an OTC issue (new issue), the allotment procedure is completed in a month
and trading commences after a month of the issue closure, whereas it takes a longer
period for the same with respect to other exchanges.
Thus, with the superior trading mechanism coupled with information transparency investors are
gradually becoming aware of the manifold advantages of the OTCEI.
9
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Capital market.
Wholesale debt market operations are similar to money market operations-institutions and
corporate bodies enter into high value transactions in financial instruments such as government
securities, treasury bills, public sector unit bonds, commercial paper, certificate of deposit, etc.
There are two kinds of players in NSE:
Participants.
Recognized members of NSE are called trading members who trade on behalf of themselves and
their clients. Participants include trading members and large players like banks who take direct
settlement responsibility. Trading at NSE takes place through a fully automated screen-based
trading mechanism, which adopts the principle of an order-driven market. Trading members can
stay at their offices and execute the trading, since they are linked through a communication
network. The prices at which the buyer and seller are willing to transact will appear on the
screen. When the prices match the transaction will be completed and a confirmation slip will be
printed at the office of the trading member. NSE has several advantages over the traditional
trading exchanges. They are as follows:
NSE brings an integrated stock market trading network across the nation. Investors can
trade at the same price from anywhere in the country since inter-market operations are
streamlined coupled with the countrywide access to the securities.
10
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Unless stock markets provide professionals service to small investors, and foreign investors will
not be interested in capital market operations. And capital market being one of the major sources
of long-term finance for industrial projects, India cannot afford to damage the capital market
path. In this regard NSE gains vital importance in the Indian capital market system
.
11
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
12
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Year
Buy (` In Crore)
Sell(` In Crore)
Net(` In Crore)
2006-07
1,243,150.29
1,252,592.08
-9,441.75
2007-08
2,451,354.20
2,447,910.17
3,444.04
2008-09
1,742,959.82
1,748,542.87
-5,583.11
2009-10
1,317,669.53
2,184,954.48
45,915.44
2010-11
1259249.6
1,970,448.27
22922.96
Chapter 2
Literature Review
Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market: Literature Review
Aman Srivastava
Jaipuria Institute of Management
June 11, 2009
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1417785
Abstract:
The movement and volatility in stock markets often reflect the direction of any economy. The
available literature suggests that since the inception of stock markets researchers are making
attempts
to
establish
relationship
between
change
in
macroeconomic
factors
and stock market returns. From the literature review, the study has seen that asset-pricing
theories do not specify the fundamental macroeconomic factors that affect securities prices.
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of change in macroeconomic factors
on stock market. In this paper the study has done a literature review and finally has concluded
the relevance of macroeconomic factors for stock markets. The findings of the study conclude
13
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
that the stock markets are very well affected by certain macroeconomic factors which may be
local or international. The findings of the literature review suggests that the major
macroeconomic factors relatively more affecting the stock market in long run are industrial
production; inflation, foreign exchange rate, money supply and interest rate.
Chapter 3
Objective of study:3.1 To study volatility in Indian stock market while taking SENSEX of Bombay stock
exchange as a source of secondary data which broadly represent Indian stock market.
3.2 To study the factors which are making Indian stock market volatile.
3.3 To furnish institutional material relevant for understanding the environment in which
stock market fluctuation are occurring.
14
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 4
Research Methodology:Sources of data:
Data used in this study is of secondary in nature. Sensex is taken as a source of information
which widely describes Indian stock market. Here monthly prices of BSE Sensex, Inflation, IIP
numbers are taken for the study purpose.
Hypothesis:
This is the exploratory research which tries to shows the factors which are making stock market
volatile.
1. Any fluctuation in foreign market has more effect on Indian stock market than that of
domestic market.
2. In the given volatile economic conditions, the market is efficient to any news and
information.
`
15
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 5
Scope:
5.1 This study can be used by investors, traders and other professionals as a supplement to their
own research.
5.2 This study can be used to individual who are at initial stage of investment in stock market.
5.3 To different Organization who provides tips for Buying and Selling shares.
5.4 To review market forecast provided by the organization about fluctuation in the market.
16
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 6
Data Analysis and Interpretation
For the month of April 2006
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Apr-06
11342.96
11579.1
4-Apr-06
11599.8
5-Apr-06
11671.14
11755.2
7-Apr-06
11342.96 11564.36
11653.39
11746.9
11560.9
11323.74 11539.68
21-Apr-06
12053.9
12102
11860.35
12030.3
11953
11968.8
11621.61 11646.78
11635.4
11938.53
Analysis
In starting of financial year market was opened at 11,342 points and closed at 11,851 points at
the end of the month. This month market was crossed 12,000 mark and made all time high
12,102 on 21st & all time low 11,008 on 13th.
Reasons
FIIs positive response in 3rd week than average buying and selling.
18
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
2-May-06
3-May-06
4-May-06
5-May-06
8-May-06
9-May-06
10-May-06
11-May-06
12-May-06
15-May-06
16-May-06
17-May-06
18-May-06
19-May-06
22-May-06
11071.63
11142.9
9826.91
23-May-06
10590.67
10859.2
10185.48 10822.78
24-May-06
25-May-06
10520.9
12359.7
11822.2
10481.77
26-May-06
29-May-06
30-May-06
31-May-06
Analysis
In this may market opened 300 points up than the last trading day of the April. But after that
market was decline by every day and go down 10,000 points on 22nd May. This month market
made all time high 12,670 on 10th May and all time low 9,827 on 22nd May. On 31st May market
closed at 10,398 points which was 1500 points less than the previous month closing.
Reasons
20
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Jun-06
10472.46
10597.23
10017.82
10071.42
2-Jun-06
10104.57
10477.35
10011.45
10451.33
5-Jun-06
10537.08
10552.38
10186.33
10213.48
6-Jun-06
10087.96
10192.73
9884.89
9957.32
7-Jun-06
9919.28
10051.81
9609.21
9756.76
8-Jun-06
9664.9
9664.9
9200.8
9295.81
9-Jun-06
9270.78
9849.2
9262.2
9810.46
12-Jun-06
9858.47
9859.38
9428.03
9476.15
13-Jun-06
9360.06
9360.06
8993.58
9062.65
14-Jun-06
9156.97
9387.06
8799.01
8929.44
15-Jun-06
9133.36
9582.97
9092.16
9545.06
16-Jun-06
9703.06
10118.28
9703.06
9884.51
19-Jun-06
9903.11
10049.94
9755.21
9997.84
20-Jun-06
9958.33
9958.33
9745.17
9822.52
21-Jun-06
9797.87
10054.05
9757.54
10040.14
22-Jun-06
10093.38
10362.74
10093.38
10275.88
23-Jun-06
10201.31
10453.61
10025.19
10401.3
26-Jun-06
10427.85
10451.47
9991.12
10042.06
27-Jun-06
10058.29
10224.26
9902.33
10151.01
21
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
28-Jun-06
10067.55
10204.66
9909.76
10129.7
29-Jun-06
10193.94
10326.05
10109.56
10162.16
30-Jun-06
10316.12
10626.84
10316.12
10609.25
Analysis
In this month market was opened at 10,472 points. This month investors were losing hope for the
good return in first fortnight when market touched 8,799. This month market movement was
1800 to 2000 points. This month market made all time high at 10,626 points on last trading day
of the month and gave closed above 10,000 points.
Reasons
FIIss selling presser in first fortnight and buying presser in second fortnight
22
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Jul-06
10646.5
6
10729.9
2
10589.4
6
10695.26
4-Jul-06
10755.4
5
10800.1
1
10644.7
2
10662.22
5-Jul-06
10641.3
3
10940.4
5
10611.3
5
10919.64
6-Jul-06
10836.4
9
10839.5
3
10703
10767.97
7-Jul-06
10813.7
5
10887.6
7
10440.0
2
10509.53
10-Jul-06
10484.2
5
10704.7
8
10461.7
3
10684.3
11-Jul-06
10699.6
2
10699.6
2
10566.7
1
10614.35
12-Jul-06
10604.6
4
10939.6
8
10549.8
5
10930.09
13-Jul-06
10922.6
1
10922.6
1
10797.4
9
10858.5
14-Jul-06
10782.9
8
10782.9
8
10563.7
6
10678.22
17-Jul-06
10647.2
6
10647.2
6
10262.5
7
10293.22
18-Jul-06
10336.6
2
10406.4
3
10149.8
5
10226.78
19-Jul-06
10320.5
9
10406.2
1
9972.73
10007.34
20-Jul-06
10247.8
7
10409.5
8
10225.1
8
10352.94
21-Jul-06
10336.3
8
10336.3
8
10035.2
4
10085.91
24-Jul-06
9881.03
10252.7
9875.35
10215.37
23
5
25-Jul-06
10351.7
5
10443.0
5
10323.7
7
10415.61
26-Jul-06
10465.3
4
10648.7
7
10362.6
1
10617.27
27-Jul-06
10671.7
7
10762.6
7
10589.6
8
10741.59
28-Jul-06
10787.6
5
10787.6
5
10603.8
3
10680.23
31-Jul-06
10759.1
9
10853.9
1
10710.2
9
10743.88
Analysis
Market was stable whole of the month. Market movement was 1000 points of this month. Market
tried to crossed 11,000 but closed at 10,939 points on 12th which was all time high of this month.
Market gave positive close at the end of the month than the opened on very first day.
Reasons
24
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
1-Aug-06
10737.5
2-Aug-06
3-Aug-06
10955.27
4-Aug-06
7-Aug-06
8-Aug-06
9-Aug-06
10-Aug-06
11175
High
Low
Close
11081.9
10875.87 10923.16
11-Aug-06
14-Aug-06
11221.86
16-Aug-06
17-Aug-06
18-Aug-06
21-Aug-06
11488.03
11330.3
11531.6
11221.86 11312.99
11375.9
11511.68
25
22-Aug-06
23-Aug-06
24-Aug-06
25-Aug-06
11589.35 11635.25
28-Aug-06
29-Aug-06
30-Aug-06
31-Aug-06
11542.1
11572.2
Analysis
Sensex opened at 10,737 and make the low of 10,646 on that day itself. With making
high of 11,794 on the last trading day of the month.Sensex closed at 11,700. Sensex was in
positive 1000 than last months closing.
Reasons
26
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Sep-06
4-Sep-06
5-Sep-06
6-Sep-06
7-Sep-06
11893.33
8-Sep-06
11-Sep-06
11959.56
12-Sep-06
13-Sep-06
14-Sep-06
11936.8
15-Sep-06
11977.69
12041.7
18-Sep-06
19-Sep-06
12103.44
11921.3
11971.6
12152.6
11904.6
11815.43 11853.85
11505.6
11550.69
11847.61 12009.59
12071.3
11915.21 11970.47
27
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
20-Sep-06
21-Sep-06
12167.91
22-Sep-06
12244.41 12303.42
25-Sep-06
26-Sep-06
27-Sep-06
28-Sep-06
29-Sep-06
12285.9
12167.91 12274.27
12170.2
12236.78
Analysis
Sensex opened at 11699.57 and make the low of 11,445 on 12th September. With making
the high of 12,485 on the last trading day Sensex closed at 12,454.
Reasons
28
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
12343.8
12366.39
3-Oct-06
12473.79 12489.28
4-Oct-06
5-Oct-06
6-Oct-06
9-Oct-06
10-Oct-06
11-Oct-06
12-Oct-06
13-Oct-06
16-Oct-06
17-Oct-06
18-Oct-06
19-Oct-06
12881.8
12925.6
12654.98 12723.59
29
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
20-Oct-06
23-Oct-06
12757.31
26-Oct-06
27-Oct-06
30-Oct-06
12925.43
31-Oct-06
12766.3
13039.3
12709.4
12612.36 12623.28
12844.85 13024.26
12961.9
Analysis
Market opened at 12,473 points p 3rd Oct. and closed at 12,961 on 31st Oct. Market made its all
time low at 12,178 points at 4th Oct. and all time low at 13,075 points on last trading day of the
month which was good sign for the investors. Market movement was 600 to 800 points of this
month. This month market crossed 13,000 points which was made history of Sensex life. It took
135 days for Sensex to move from 12,000 to 13,000 and 123 days to move from 12,500 to
13,000.
Reasons
"The 8 per cent GDP growth rate and the remarkable corporate performance had
contributed to the rally in the stock markets,"
The BSE Midcap Index ended at 5,422.63 up 26.36 points or 0.5 per cent.
Heavy buying led by FIIs and mutual funds thus market was touched 13,000 level
30
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
12937.3
13033.04
1-Nov-06
12992.62 13050.73
2-Nov-06
3-Nov-06
6-Nov-06
7-Nov-06
8-Nov-06
9-Nov-06
10-Nov-06
13-Nov-06
13399
14-Nov-06
13425.5
15-Nov-06
16-Nov-06
13500.7
17-Nov-06
20-Nov-06
21-Nov-06
31
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
22-Nov-06
23-Nov-06
24-Nov-06
27-Nov-06
28-Nov-06
29-Nov-06
13649.2
30-Nov-06
13630.9
Analysis
In this month market opened at 12,992 points on 1st Nov. and that day market made its all time
low of this month. Market movement in this month was 1000 to 1200 points. This month market
made its all time high at 13,799 points on 27th Nov. and gave closed at 13,696 points on the last
trading day of this month.
Reasons
32
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Dec-06
13729.6
7
13857.8
1
13725.7
8
13844.78
4-Dec-06
13846.7
1
13912.5
4
13828.9
13874.33
5-Dec-06
14028.4
7
14028.4
7
13905.6
5
13937.65
6-Dec-06
13951.0
9
14035.3
13847.6
7
13949
7-Dec-06
13962.9
4
14002.7
2
13915.7
4
13972.03
8-Dec-06
14007.6
7
14009.5
6
13756.8
6
13799.49
11-Dec-06
13783
13801.9
8
13261.7
3
13399.43
12-Dec-06
13413.6
1
13492.2
1
12801.6
5
12995.02
13-Dec-06
13039.0
2
13223
12830.3
8
13181.34
33
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
14-Dec-06
13256.8
1
13524.7
7
13239.7
9
13487.16
15-Dec-06
13545.6
13669.6
5
13545.6
13614.52
18-Dec-06
13695.6
13744.1
7
13416.4
13731.09
19-Dec-06
13737.3
6
13748.6
2
13237.3
9
13382.01
20-Dec-06
13452.6
9
13568.0
9
13232.5
6
13340.21
21-Dec-06
13313.9
1
13441.3
6
13182.3
5
13384.86
22-Dec-06
13398.1
3
13493.8
8
13362.1
1
13471.74
26-Dec-06
13501.4
4
13726.6
2
13490.7
7
13708.34
27-Dec-06
13734.0
1
13911.5
9
13734.0
1
13859.69
28-Dec-06
13893.2
9
13960.3
9
13819.7
7
13846.34
29-Dec-06
13873.0
3
13929.1
13770.0
6
13786.91
Analysis
In Dec, Market opened at 13,729 on 1st Dec. and closed at 13,786 on 29th Dec. Above this judge
that this month market stable at the opening situation. In this month market movement was 1200
34
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
to 1300 points. The Sensex on December 5, 2006 crossed the 14,000-mark to touch 14,028
points which was created new milestone. Overall this month was good for investor.
Reasons
Tata and CSN for acquiring Corus resulted in 2.77 per cent decline in the share price of
Tata Steel. ( Bidding)
Both FIIs and MFs were net sellers to the tune of `333 crore and `1,305 crore,
respectively.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Jan-07
13827.7
7
13980.5
4
13797.4
4
13942.24
35
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
3-Jan-07
13969.4
5
14035.6
7
13897.4
2
14014.92
4-Jan-07
14029.0
4
14060.3
5
13850.3
8
13871.71
5-Jan-07
13768.7
9
13971.8
2
13763.3
9
13860.52
8-Jan-07
13855.8
9
13855.8
9
13599.8
7
13652.15
9-Jan-07
13650.9
6
13748.4
2
13493.3
8
13566.33
10-Jan-07
13569.5
7
13569.5
7
13336.5
2
13362.16
11-Jan-07
13331.3
8
13667.8
13303.2
2
13630.71
12-Jan-07
13729.0
7
14070.8
8
13729.0
7
14056.53
15-Jan-07
14110.4
4
14202.1
2
14103.1
2
14129.64
16-Jan-07
14146
14211.1
5
14070.6
5
14114.73
17-Jan-07
14116.2
5
14185.1
2
14089.6
3
14131.34
18-Jan-07
14165.7
7
14325.9
2
14140.3
5
14217.75
19-Jan-07
14271.2
4
14300.1
1
14067.5
2
14182.71
22-Jan-07
14217.8
14259.0
7
14111.7
5
14209.24
23-Jan-07
14212.1
2
14212.1
2
14025.7
4
14041.24
24-Jan-07
14069.6
1
14156.4
6
14043.5
4
14110.46
25-Jan-07
14151.6
14307.1
14115.4
14282.72
36
29-Jan-07
14306.9
7
14316.5
4
14185.9
2
14211.96
31-Jan-07
14219.3
8
14269.3
1
14045.6
1
14090.92
Analysis
In this month open as previous trend at 13,827 points on 2nd Jan. achieving new milestone.
Market made all time high at 14,325 points 18th on Jan. and made all time low at 13,303 points
on 11th June. Market gave closed at 14090 points on last trading days of the months.
Reasons
37
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Feb-07
2-Feb-07
5-Feb-07
6-Feb-07
14541.24
7-Feb-07
8-Feb-07
9-Feb-07
14538.9
12-Feb-07
14190.7
13-Feb-07
14168.33 14363.74
13957.7
14090.98
14-Feb-07
14009.9
15-Feb-07
19-Feb-07
20-Feb-07
21-Feb-07
22-Feb-07
14564.8
14515.9
14452.78 14478.19
14402.9
38
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
23-Feb-07
26-Feb-07
13684.95
27-Feb-07
28-Feb-07
13723.4
13383.88 13649.52
Analysis
In February 2007, Market open at high 35 points than last day of the last month. In this
month market was very hurt because in this month market movement 1100 to 1200 points. On 1st
Feb market open at 14124.36 and close on 28th Feb at 12938.09. In this month market run their
previous trend till budget was not declared. After, Budget market was decline in last week of the
February.
Reasons
39
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Mar-07
13013.7
4
13193.1
3
12861.3
5
13159.55
2-Mar-07
13139.1
13254.0
3
12836.7
5
12886.13
5-Mar-07
12716.8
5
12716.8
5
12344.4
4
12415.04
6-Mar-07
12573.0
1
12760.2
2
12427.1
3
12697.09
7-Mar-07
12792.9
12902.1
8
12390.4
6
12579.75
8-Mar-07
12649.7
7
13099.8
3
12596.8
6
13049.35
9-Mar-07
13107.3
7
13145.7
2
12788.1
6
12884.99
12-Mar-07
12916.6
7
13056.8
6
12844.9
9
12902.63
13-Mar-07
12924.5
13026.8
5
12817.6
2
12982.98
14-Mar-07
12694.3
6
12694.3
6
12504.1
12529.62
15-Mar-07
12655.9
4
12789.8
1
12510.7
5
12543.85
16-Mar-07
12570.5
2
12638.7
8
12316.1
12430.4
40
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
19-Mar-07
12484.6
4
12655
12426.6
6
12644.99
20-Mar-07
12746.9
4
12798.8
12674.7
7
12705.94
21-Mar-07
12735.9
1
12964.9
4
12664.3
3
12945.88
22-Mar-07
13071.8
1
13326.2
4
13071.8
1
13308.03
23-Mar-07
13343.5
7
13386.9
5
13196.9
13285.93
26-Mar-07
13345.7
3
13345.7
3
13090.8
13124.32
28-Mar-07
13034.2
7
13035.5
6
12861.1
8
12884.34
29-Mar-07
12862.5
3
13004.4
12832.6
9
12979.66
30-Mar-07
13018.2
1
13111.8
7
12984.1
3
13072.1
Analysis
In March 2007, Market open at 13013.74 on 1st March and close at 13072.1 on 30stMarch which
indicated that there was big movement on first day and last day of the month. In this month
market was open at low than previous week of last month. In this month market was 13386.95 all
time high on 23rd march of this month and 12316.1 all time low on 16th march. Market movement
900to1000 points in March. In first week of March market was fall because of some changes in
Budget 2007-08.
Reason
41
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
US markets remained quiet this fortnight with DOW maintaining overall stagnancy over
the period having several ups and downs during the period which affected the Indian
economy very much.
RIL in effort to become global player in the petrochemicals would be signing MoU with
Dow chemical, the second largest chemical company in the world.
Getting strong turbulence from the US markets, the market is supposed to remain volatile
in this last fortnight before the end value buying in fundamentally strong counters, if
market corrects itself to the attractive levels.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Apr-07
3-Apr-07
4-Apr-07
5-Apr-07
12791.6
12899.31
9-Apr-07
12904.85
13194
12904.85 13177.74
10-Apr-07
13236.2
13236.2
13075.48 13189.54
12711.5
12856.08
42
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-Apr-07
13221.76
13294.9
12-Apr-07
13-Apr-07
16-Apr-07
13479.49
17-Apr-07
18-Apr-07
13602.9
13602.9
13672.19
19-Apr-07
13619.7
20-Apr-07
23-Apr-07
24-Apr-07
25-Apr-07
14141.7
26-Apr-07
27-Apr-07
30-Apr-07
13823.4
13708.4
13762.92
13161.21 13183.24
13479.49 13695.58
Analysis
In April, First fortnight market taking strong position in first half but bear took firm grip again in
the latter week. In 2st April market was opened at 250 points down than previous month closing
and market moves 1500 to 1800 points. This month market so volatile but finally markets close
on 13872.37 which was 700 points high than the previous month closing. Sensex lost around 400
points in last two day of second week.
Reasons
Market downtrend was led by the banking and IT stocks mainly. There is fear of
decrease in credit demand if the lending rates rise further which dipped the banking
43
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
In this month Rupee was touched its seven year high level of 43.01 against Dollar which
is a big concern for the IT sector as well the export oriented companies their export as
well the earnings may witness fall.
Market bled heavily in the aftermath of the RBI decision to hike the CRR and Rapo rate
as result Sensex reached at a six months low level going down by 616 points.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-May-07
4-May-07
7-May-07
8-May-07
13886
13956.4
13741.24 13765.46
9-May-07
10-May-07
11-May-07
14-May-07
44
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
15-May-07
16-May-07
17-May-07
18-May-07
21-May-07
14414.83
22-May-07
23-May-07
24-May-07
14344.7
25-May-07
28-May-07
14467.85 14527.47
29-May-07
30-May-07
31-May-07
14451.3
14384.61
14418.6
14368.4
14397.89
Analysis
On 1st May market was opened around 100 points high than previous month closing. In this
month market moved almost up rally. All time high of this month was 14576 on 30 th may and all
time low was 13562 on 11th may. So this month market movement was around 2000 points. This
month closing same as previous month 700 points high than April. At first fortnight market
gained 312 points led by Ril which hit its all time high.
Reasons
Strong results especially by the IT companies like results especially by the IT companies
like Wipro and Satyam which performed above par.
Globally, the Dow in the US, after crossing the 13,000 level, moved forward slowly and
steadily, barring a few weak movements.
45
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
The fortnight also witnessed increased political heat on account of the UP elections. The
BSP appears to be headed towards majority and is likely to form the government on its
own. The Congress has emerged a poor fourth and the ouster of Mulayam Singh
government may affect the market sentiments.
Favorable monetary policy declared by RBI this affect on Banking stock and finally
market closed above 14000.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Jun-07
14610.28
14682.1
4-Jun-07
5-Jun-07
14514.2
6-Jun-07
7-Jun-07
8-Jun-07
11-Jun-07
12-Jun-07
13-Jun-07
14539.89 14570.75
46
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
14-Jun-07
15-Jun-07
18-Jun-07
19-Jun-07
20-Jun-07
21-Jun-07
22-Jun-07
25-Jun-07
26-Jun-07
27-Jun-07
28-Jun-07
29-Jun-07
14295.5
Analysis
On 1st day market gained 170 points supported from the Banking stock. In this month market
movement was 500 to 600 points. In this month market was continuously up rally. This month
market created 14683 points all time high on 4th June and 13946 points all time low on 12th June
of this month. Then rest of trading days market closing above 14000 points.
Reasons
Banking stocks SBI and PNB leading the rally. These stocks boomed on the speculation
that RBI would roll back the recent interest rate hike.
GDP growth rate touched an 18-year peak of 9.4 per cent during 2006-07.
Double digit growth in manufacturing and service sectors. L&T came out with very good
quarterly numbers showing high growth of infrastructure and construction industry.
Offloading of stocks by FIIs was also a reason behind the fall. It was due to the interest
rate hike by the European Central Bank to six year high of 4 per cent.
47
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Interestingly, Midcap and Small-cap witnessed growth of 0.26 per cent and 1.33 per cent
respectively despite the fall in the Sensex in general.
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Jul-07
14685.1
6
14745.9
7
14638.8
8
14664.26
3-Jul-07
14720
14828.3
9
14720
14806.51
4-Jul-07
14868.1
4
14906.9
3
14790.7
5
14880.24
5-Jul-07
14932.5
3
14963.2
6
14731.2
2
14861.89
6-Jul-07
14843.4
3
15007.2
2
14826.5
6
14964.12
9-Jul-07
15018.7
1
15085.2
2
15005.4
7
15045.73
10-Jul-07
15100.1
15114.9
14966.4
15009.88
48
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-Jul-07
14948.1
5
15015.3
5
14829.5
5
14910.62
12-Jul-07
14963.5
3
15112.2
2
14963.5
3
15092.04
13-Jul-07
15216.8
3
15330.7
3
15216.8
3
15272.72
16-Jul-07
15295.0
3
15341.3
8
15239.4
1
15311.22
17-Jul-07
15357.6
15440.2
15272.4
6
15289.82
18-Jul-07
15296.0
6
15325.7
8
15160.2
7
15301.17
19-Jul-07
15357.3
8
15593.3
1
15357.3
8
15550.13
20-Jul-07
15625.6
3
15683.0
3
15524.6
8
15565.55
23-Jul-07
15560.5
7
15773.3
7
15477.9
1
15732.2
24-Jul-07
15802.1
9
15868.8
5
15742.3
2
15794.92
25-Jul-07
15711.8
7
15771.2
6
15572.9
8
15699.33
26-Jul-07
15768.2
8
15812.2
7
15654.4
15776.31
27-Jul-07
15487.7
6
15495.5
1
15159.6
8
15234.57
30-Jul-07
15278.0
3
15451.8
1
15135.2
5
15260.91
31-Jul-07
15358.6
9
15568.8
5
15224.8
2
15550.99
49
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
In this month market situation was boomed. In this month market was crossed 15000 points on
6th July and very next day market was opened at above 15000 points. And after that market was
up trend rest of the days. Looking at First fortnight's market movement, the Sensex had gone up
close to 500 points. All time high was 15868 points on 24th July and all time low 14720 points on
very early 2nd July of this month. The last day of the month market was closed at 15550 points
and this indicated that market was boomed period from last three months.
Reasons
The market is likely to remain upbeat, with inflation losing steam and weathermen
putting out a positive monsoon forecast for July.
The market has got a major boost from the strong global indices as well as the huge
inflow of foreign money.
Vishal retail and DLF were listed on the bourses and Vishal hit `800 during the trading
hours.
Dow crossed 14000 gaining more than 300 points. Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng
too went up by 270 and 680 points respectively.
Last fortnight saw huge inflow of FII money aggregating to `9724 crore. If we look at the
year-to-date figure this stands at close to `38000 crore, an indication of the increased
confidence of foreign investors in Indian economy. And they were invested in DLF and
ICICI Bank IPO.
51
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
On
very
first
trading
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Aug-07
15344.0
2
15344.0
2
14910.5
2
14935.7
7
2-Aug-07
15022.8
7
15134.5
3
14896.4
7
14985.7
3-Aug-07
15061.1
3
15235.5
1
15061.1
3
15138.4
6-Aug-07
14892.6
14928.8
14705.5
8
14903.0
3
7-Aug-07
15038.0
3
15142.0
4
14901.8
3
14932.7
7
8-Aug-07
15088.0
7
15340.2
4
15088.0
7
15307.9
8
9-Aug-07
15452.4
4
15542.4
15062.1
15100.1
5
10-Aug-07
14674.9
2
14901.3
1
14570.8
9
14868.2
5
13-Aug-07
14965.6
5
15044.7
4
14869.1
5
15017.2
1
14-Aug-07
15066.7
1
15069.6
4
14964.6
6
15000.9
1
16-Aug-07
14584.9
2
14584.9
2
14345.0
3
14358.2
1
17-Aug-07
14309.3
7
14318.5
6
13779.8
8
14141.5
2
20-Aug-07
14512.2
8
14680.0
9
14406.9
1
14427.5
5
21-Aug-07
14512.1
9
14534.5
1
13941.9
3
13989.1
1
22-Aug-07
14055.4
14281.4
8
13870.7
14248.6
6
23-Aug-07
14458.3
3
14554.9
3
14128.7
2
14163.9
8
24-Aug-07
14237.2
14455.4
14163.6
14424.8
day
market opens at
200
points
down.
This
month
market
was
very
volatile
with
1600 to 1800
market
movement.
first
In
fortnight
was
crashed 200 to
300 points. BSE
Sensex fell 650
points
on
August
16,
marking
its
second-biggest
plunge
in
history. On the
whole, the last
fortnight saw a
decline of 1000
52
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
points. This months market all time high was 15542 points on 9 th and all time low 13705 points
on 6th. Market created its high and low in first 10 days. Finally end of the month market gave
close 15318 points close 31st Aug. which 200 points low than the last months closing.
Reasons
Japanese yen become strongest and dollar and euro also become strongest. This might
affected in sell out by FIIs in emerging nation including India.
RBI sought to contain the liquidity by increasing the CRR by 50 basis points. Thus Bank
cut its deposit rate.
FIIs pumped more money into the market this time. They remained net buyers to the tune
of ` 1,500 crore.
SBI announced merger with one of the associates State Bank of Saurastra.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Sep-07
4-Sep-07
15465.4
5-Sep-07
15535.35 15580.86
15446.15
15407
53
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
6-Sep-07
7-Sep-07
10-Sep-07
11-Sep-07
15668.4
15698.98
12-Sep-07
15608.5
13-Sep-07
14-Sep-07
17-Sep-07
18-Sep-07
15547.07 15691.88
15468.8
19-Sep-07
15940.79
15940.79 16322.75
20-Sep-07
21-Sep-07
24-Sep-07
25-Sep-07
26-Sep-07
27-Sep-07
17059.61
28-Sep-07
16335.3
17188.4
15506.1
15542.77
15603.8
15669.12
17018.56 17150.56
17291.1
Analysis
In this month market was gave good return to the investors. Sensex again reached near to its
highest point on September 7. This month market movement was above 2000 points. In this
month market crossed 16000 points on 19th Sep. and 17000 on 27th Sep. Points. After 18th Sep.
market continuously up rally by each day. Sep. 2007, market created its all time high 17361
points on last trading day of the month 28th Sep. and all time low 15323 points on very first
trading day of the month.
54
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Reasons
Sensex gained 100 points as the power counters like NTPC and BHEL moved up before
the Power Grid IPO\
Auto moved up just a per cent while bankex and capital goods have grown by two per
cent each. IT slipped again by three per cent as the Rupee has become stronger.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Oct-07
17356.9
9
17425.3
4
17144.5
8
17328.62
3-Oct-07
17467.4
1
17953.0
7
17288.4
1
17847.04
4-Oct-07
17799.6
3
17890.4
9
17494.7
17777.14
55
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
5-Oct-07
17831.6
8
17979.1
8
17708.8
17773.36
8-Oct-07
17901.9
4
17982.5
9
17322.1
4
17491.39
9-Oct-07
17402.2
4
18327.4
2
17287.1
9
18280.24
10-Oct-07
18473.4
3
18703.6
7
18436.9
9
18658.25
11-Oct-07
18696.6
2
18832.6
5
18536.9
7
18814.07
12-Oct-07
18794.6
3
18844.6
2
18336
18419.04
15-Oct-07
18525.6
1
19095.7
5
18525.6
1
19058.67
16-Oct-07
19102.9
3
19174.4
5
18777.7
5
19051.86
17-Oct-07
18037.9
18841.2
9
17307.9
18715.82
18-Oct-07
18827.4
6
19198.6
6
17771.1
6
17998.39
19-Oct-07
18031.7
7
18031.7
7
17226.1
8
17559.98
22-Oct-07
17259.6
5
17704.8
3
17171.4
5
17613.99
23-Oct-07
17910.3
18542.4
1
17910.3
18492.84
24-Oct-07
18727.9
18832.4
9
18317.1
7
18512.91
25-Oct-07
18519.2
3
18900.1
18459.5
1
18770.89
26-Oct-07
18823.6
6
19276.4
5
18629.5
3
19243.17
29-Oct-07
19621.3
20024.8
19621.3
19977.67
56
30-Oct-07
20103.4
4
20238.1
6
19694.8
5
19783.51
31-Oct-07
19827.4
19984.1
3
19735.2
1
19837.99
Analysis
In October, Sensex was all time high in history. Sensex crossed 18,000, 19000, and 20000 on 9th,
15th and 29th October respectively. In this month market movement was 3000 points. Market
created its all time low at 17,171 ON 22nd Oct. and all time high 20,238 on 30th Oct. This month
market closed at 19837 points on 31st Oct. which was indicated gained of 2000 points than the
last month.
Reasons
Diwali festival
57
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Nov-07
2-Nov-07
5-Nov-07
6-Nov-07
7-Nov-07
19552.53
19678.5
19249.47 19289.83
8-Nov-07
19110.4
19209.91
18917.4
19058.93
9-Nov-07
19282.7
19329.57 18737.22
18907.6
12-Nov-07
13-Nov-07
18681.1
14-Nov-07
15-Nov-07
19947.72 19967.08
16-Nov-07
19-Nov-07
20-Nov-07
19280.8
21-Nov-07
19197.57 19218.88
18602.62
22-Nov-07
23-Nov-07
19723.2
18515.3
19784.89
58
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
26-Nov-07
27-Nov-07
28-Nov-07
19316.76 19316.76
29-Nov-07
30-Nov-07
18884.2
18938.87
Analysis
In this month on first day market was opened at 300 points up than the last month of the day. On
that day market created all time high 20,204 points. Market movement was 2000 points. First
fortnight market fell 1500 points than is was recovered day to day and closed at 19,363 on 30th
Nov. Over all this month market was stable.
Reasons
On first fortnight major foreign market indices was fell around 4 per cent
59
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Dec-07
19547.0
9
19619.4
4
19446.6
8
19603.41
4-Dec-07
19707.5
9
19707.8
6
19482.3
4
19529.5
5-Dec-07
19628.8
5
19790.9
2
19560.6
8
19738.07
6-Dec-07
20018.1
7
20064.3
1
19716.5
7
19795.87
7-Dec-07
20063.5
20094.5
6
19706.4
3
19966
10-Dec-07
20074.9
2
20095.6
9
19834.0
1
19930.68
11-Dec-07
20049.3
5
20333.0
6
20019.3
4
20290.89
12-Dec-07
20197.4
4
20419.1
1
20045.4
2
20375.87
13-Dec-07
20498.1
1
20498.1
1
20065.6
3
20104.39
14-Dec-07
20108.0
9
20171.5
7
19936.4
9
20030.83
17-Dec-07
20032.6
20032.6
19177.1
19261.35
60
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
18-Dec-07
19339.1
4
19375.0
7
19009.3
5
19079.64
19-Dec-07
19255.3
9
19397.7
6
18886.4
19091.96
20-Dec-07
19210.2
2
19291.1
4
19097.7
19162.57
24-Dec-07
19308.2
19879
19308.2
19854.12
26-Dec-07
19940.9
6
20211.4
7
19896.6
1
20192.52
27-Dec-07
20301.0
5
20323.7
6
20159.7
3
20216.72
28-Dec-07
20158.1
2
20259.4
5
20022.8
8
20206.95
31-Dec-07
20323.2
8
20484.2
8
20239.6
3
20286.99
Analysis
In this month market was bouncing again. In first fortnight market was in an unbeaten mood.
Sensex crossed 20,000 points after one month. In this month market made all time low at 18,886
points on 19th Dec. and peak points at 20,498 on 13th Dec. On last day of the market closed at
20,286 points.
Reason
61
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Jan-08
20393.1
20529.4
8
20077.4
20465.3
3-Jan-08
20383.0
3
20519.7
20293.8
7
20345.2
4-Jan-08
20367.9
4
20762.8
20367.9
4
20686.8
9
7-Jan-08
20637.2
1
20861.8
3
20438.1
9
20812.6
5
8-Jan-08
20970.0
7
21077.5
3
20696.6
20873.3
3
9-Jan-08
20903
21113.1
20701.4
20869.7
62
10-Jan-08
20930.2
8
21206.7
7
20530.0
7
20582.0
8
11-Jan-08
20702.9
4
20894.7
9
20505.8
1
20827.4
5
14-Jan-08
20918.2
3
20959.2
2
20661.9
20728.0
5
15-Jan-08
20836.4
7
20872.9
3
20203.6
3
20251.0
9
16-Jan-08
20079.8
9
20079.8
9
19513.2
5
19868.1
1
17-Jan-08
19972.7
5
20026.1
2
19643.7
6
19700.8
2
18-Jan-08
19579.6
1
19715.7
8
18930.4
2
19013.7
21-Jan-08
18919.5
7
18919.5
7
16951.5
17605.3
5
22-Jan-08
16884.0
9
17068.5
7
15332.4
2
16729.9
4
23-Jan-08
17520.0
2
17997.1
1
16951.0
3
17594.0
7
24-Jan-08
17920.9
8
18185.1
17070.0
5
17221.7
4
25-Jan-08
17504
18406.2
5
17504
18361.6
6
28-Jan-08
18011.8
9
18213.2
1
17443.2
9
18152.7
8
29-Jan-08
18346.4
9
18491.0
6
17927.9
2
18091.9
4
30-Jan-08
18120.2
2
18129.1
8
17683.5
1
17758.6
4
31-Jan-08
17810.1
3
18008.7
1
17417.6
3
17648.7
1
63
Analysis
In the month of January Sensex open at 20,393 and make high of 20,959 on 14th Jan and low of
15,332. In third week the market was quite unusual volatile. The sharp and rapid rise in small
and mid cap shares. The difference between opening and closing was -5627. The main reason
behind this fall was subprime in the USA and The impact of these market development were so
severe that on January 15 and 16 Sensex lost almost 860 points on negative global cues. The
effect of subprime was more palpably evident on global market and across Asia. The
whole of January 2008 was dedicated to concerns of
world markets.
Reasons
The main reason behind the fall was subprime in the USA
64
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Feb-08
17820.6
7
18312.4
17534.9
6
18242.58
4-Feb-08
18496.0
3
18895.3
4
18447.2
5
18660.32
5-Feb-08
18592.5
8
18729.8
3
18509.5
4
18663.16
6-Feb-08
18247.0
3
18274.1
5
17936.0
1
18139.49
7-Feb-08
18198.6
8
18198.6
8
17492.2
8
17526.93
8-Feb-08
17610.0
7
17688.7
3
17203.0
6
17464.89
11-Feb-08
17427.3
4
17427.3
4
16457.7
4
16630.91
12-Feb-08
16812.6
3
16966.7
2
16565.4
8
16608.01
13-Feb-08
16816.9
4
17141.0
6
16725.6
8
16949.14
14-Feb-08
17265.1
9
17836.6
4
17265.1
9
17766.63
15-Feb-08
17541.1
7
18142.9
2
17445.0
5
18115.25
19-Feb-08
18215.2
6
18314.1
18018.4
8
18075.66
20-Feb-08
17991.2
9
17991.2
9
17505.5
6
17617.6
21-Feb-08
17825.2
2
17887.2
1
17482.3
1
17734.68
65
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
22-Feb-08
17503.0
4
17526.8
17347.2
6
17349.07
25-Feb-08
17523.8
1
17674.0
6
17137.9
9
17650.57
26-Feb-08
17799.5
6
17860.1
17678.7
4
17806.19
27-Feb-08
17983.4
2
18137.2
8
17770.6
5
17825.99
28-Feb-08
17810.5
2
17921.5
1
17690.1
6
17824.48
29-Feb-08
17779.5
4
17779.5
4
17258.2
17578.72
Analysis
Sensex opened at 17,820 on 1st February and make high of 18,895 on 4 th February.With
making a low of 16,457 on 11 February Sensex close at 17,578 at the end of month.
Reasons
The blow of Industrial growth data that its only 7.6 per cent compare to last year 13.6 per
cent its 43 per cent beaten.
Poor listing of Reliance power on 11 February drag Sensex to its lowest point. Its listed
on BSE at `548 and fall `131 in just 3 hour. And next make the low of `345.
All world market crashing down. The worst hit was Hong Kongs Hang Seng which
dropped 2110 point, to reach 22,921
66
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Mar-08
17227.5
6
17227.5
6
16634.6
3
16677.8
8
4-Mar-08
16742.2
16754.0
6
16164.5
7
16339.8
9
5-Mar-08
16328.9
1
16595.6
4
16253.0
2
16542.0
8
7-Mar-08
16211.9
6
16211.9
6
15689.9
2
15975.5
2
10-Mar-08
15684.2
4
15998.3
3
15362.1
7
15923.7
2
11-Mar-08
15778.2
7
16168.1
3
15739.0
4
16123.1
5
12-Mar-08
16541.1
4
16683.3
7
16064.0
9
16127.9
8
67
13-Mar-08
15873.2
8
15873.2
8
15228.9
9
15357.3
5
14-Mar-08
15467.3
9
15798.4
2
15331.3
5
15760.5
2
17-Mar-08
15326.9
3
15326.9
3
14739.7
2
14809.4
9
18-Mar-08
14725.6
8
15164.7
3
14677.2
4
14833.4
6
19-Mar-08
15325.7
9
15465.8
1
14930.0
8
14994.8
3
24-Mar-08
15093.7
7
15351.3
1
15056.0
9
15289.4
25-Mar-08
15612.6
1
16262.3
8
15612.6
1
16217.4
9
26-Mar-08
16270.1
2
16309.8
8
16009.8
7
16086.8
3
27-Mar-08
15950.2
9
16111.4
4
15869.0
9
16015.5
6
28-Mar-08
16100.2
6
16452.0
8
15884.4
5
16371.2
9
31-Mar-08
16226.6
6
16226.6
6
15563.1
5
15644.4
4
Analysis
In the month of March Sensex open at 17,227 and that point only was the high for the month of
March. Sensex was moving on expected lines. The low was 14,677 which was made on 18 th
March. On the 25th march Sensex shown the rally of 928 in upward direction. And close in the
negative sentiment after recovering 967 points from low at 15,644.
Reasons
68
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Poor Index of industrial production (IIP) numbers bruised the market on 12th march
The FIIs inflow till march 25th was `889 crore and alone FIIs have done purchasing of
`1345 crores that was resulted in rally of 928 points on 25th March.
Global markets were in positive direction including US at the end of the month.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Apr-08
2-Apr-08
16023.3
3-Apr-08
4-Apr-08
16236.7
15719.47
15750.4
69
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
7-Apr-08
8-Apr-08
15770.16
15770.4
9-Apr-08
15512.7
10-Apr-08
15754.87 15953.54
11-Apr-08
15-Apr-08
16-Apr-08
16288.76
17-Apr-08
21-Apr-08
22-Apr-08
23-Apr-08
24-Apr-08
16796.26 16844.02
25-Apr-08
28-Apr-08
29-Apr-08
17050.87 17424.94
30-Apr-08
16413.8
15479.42 15587.62
15655.2
15695.1
16198.56 16244.19
16668.6
17011.6
16481.2
16721.08
17378.46
Analysis
In month April Sensex start with opening of 15,771 with gap up opening of 127 point .
Sensex make high of 17,480 on 30th April and make low of 15,297 on the first itself and close at
17,287. The Indian markets now seem to be responding more on the basis of the pros and corns
of Indian economy rather than being lead by global cues.
Reasons
70
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
On 18th April Citi group had announced the loss of $5.1 billion although market open in
plus 258 points.
On 23rd April Good result given by Indian Inc in the third quarter. RIL the biggest
corporate player had registered profit of `3912 crore, It was 24 per cent more than last
years Q4 result.
Internationally it seems that markets all over had discounted the fear of US economic
slowdown and financial crisis. All the global indices showing appreciation from the past
levels.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-May-08
17560.15
17621.24
17445.93
17600.12
5-May-08
17687
17735.7
17457.27
17490.9
6-May-08
17441.41
17502.15
17237.68
17373.01
7-May-08
17404.15
17413.81
17229.98
17339.31
71
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
8-May-08
17212.61
17212.61
17038.03
17080.65
9-May-08
17020.79
17125.95
16678.94
16737.07
12-May-08
16641.45
16897.36
16546.55
16860.9
13-May-08
17008.03
17085.63
16697.47
16752.86
14-May-08
16691.3
17014.94
16626.35
16978.35
15-May-08
17084.89
17366.19
17079.94
17353.54
16-May-08
17476.41
17497.36
17315.52
17434.94
20-May-08
17366.05
17367.13
17136.26
17230.18
21-May-08
17065.61
17293.34
17041.63
17243.16
22-May-08
17104.59
17104.59
16863.38
16907.11
23-May-08
16958.8
17054.34
16626.11
16649.64
26-May-08
16468.32
16498.24
16300.88
16348.5
27-May-08
16454.75
16506.35
16237.92
16275.59
28-May-08
16358.62
16563.3
16217.78
16525.37
29-May-08
16666.03
16666.03
16196.02
16316.26
30-May-08
16454.03
16540.49
16314.99
16415.57
Analysis
Month of May started with 17,560. Its gap up opening of 273 points. On 5 th may Sensex
make high of 17,735 and low of 16,196 on the 29th May. The closing of this month was settled on
16,415.Market close negatively in the month of May. The difference was 1145 point between
opening and closing
Reasons
On 19th May crude oil touch the level of $127 per barrel. The historic high value.
72
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Inflation increased more than 8 per cent. After September 2004 its highest level.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Jun-08
3-Jun-08
15851.72
15985.4
15709.51 15962.56
4-Jun-08
15992.9
15992.9
15442.34 15514.79
5-Jun-08
15479.65
15814.8
15314.02 15769.72
6-Jun-08
15914.41
15970.7
15526.5
15572.18
73
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
9-Jun-08
10-Jun-08
11-Jun-08
12-Jun-08
13-Jun-08
15327.1
16-Jun-08
17-Jun-08
18-Jun-08
19-Jun-08
20-Jun-08
23-Jun-08
24-Jun-08
14290.16
25-Jun-08
26-Jun-08
27-Jun-08
30-Jun-08
15337.1
14432.9
15066.1
15250.2
15135.81 15189.62
15696.9
13991.31 14106.58
13461.6
Analysis
In the month of june Sensex opened at 16,591 make high of 16,632 on the same day. With
making low of 13,405 on last day Sensex close at 13,461.
Reasons
Major factor domestic and international are crude oil, inflation and intrest rate.
The news of
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Jul-08
2-Jul-08
3-Jul-08
13458.3
4-Jul-08
7-Jul-08
8-Jul-08
9-Jul-08
10-Jul-08
13458.3
12934.92 13094.11
13454
75
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-Jul-08
14-Jul-08
13333.03 13557.21
15-Jul-08
16-Jul-08
17-Jul-08
18-Jul-08
21-Jul-08
22-Jul-08
23-Jul-08
14568.22
24-Jul-08
25-Jul-08
28-Jul-08
29-Jul-08
30-Jul-08
31-Jul-08
14979.9
13270.4
13330.51
12575.8
13635.4
14104.2
14568.22 14942.28
Analysis
The month of July start with opening at 13480 with nominal plus moment and make the
peak of 14,979 on 16 July. 12,514 was the low and closing was 14,355
Reasons
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Aug-08
14064.2
6
14682.3
3
14032.8
7
14656.69
4-Aug-08
14594.6
4
14725.9
4
14503.5
1
14577.87
5-Aug-08
14562.6
8
14986.6
3
14529.2
1
14961.07
6-Aug-08
15263.6
5
15422.8
2
15035.6
15073.54
77
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
7-Aug-08
15031.8
6
15280.0
6
14992.9
7
15117.25
8-Aug-08
15036.5
7
15228.8
2
14888.1
2
15167.82
11-Aug-08
15430.3
1
15520.7
1
15367.9
7
15503.92
12-Aug-08
15577.2
15579.7
8
15124.9
1
15212.13
13-Aug-08
15030.2
1
15272.5
6
15013.0
6
15093.12
14-Aug-08
15017.6
8
15033.2
8
14686.6
6
14724.18
18-Aug-08
14681.1
4
14824.9
2
14600.6
5
14645.66
19-Aug-08
14517.7
6
14604.1
1
14368.7
2
14543.73
20-Aug-08
14610.5
7
14746.2
14584.0
3
14678.23
21-Aug-08
14646.9
8
14646.9
8
14201.1
8
14243.73
22-Aug-08
14153.3
9
14428.5
2
14136.8
6
14401.49
25-Aug-08
14643.3
7
14672.6
9
14416.2
14450.35
26-Aug-08
14338.2
7
14495.2
7
14286.3
8
14482.22
27-Aug-08
14563.1
14563.1
14261.6
9
14296.79
28-Aug-08
14289.9
7
14347.1
9
14002.4
3
14048.34
29-Aug-08
14279.0
2
14586.1
6
14279.0
2
14564.53
78
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
In th month of august Sensex opened at 14,064 and make high of 15,579 on 12th August.
With making low of 14,002 on 28th August and close at 14,564 on last day. Till th 12 th august
market was gaining, but as the IIP numbers declared market crashed 291 points. Till the 11
August there was not a single day for crash.
Reasons
The vote of confidence in the Lok Sabha turned out in bull rally.
Negative closing from world market (South Korea ,UK , US ,Germany, Japan,
Singapore)
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
14281.1
14498.51
1-Sep-08
14412.99 14547.41
2-Sep-08
4-Sep-08
5-Sep-08
8-Sep-08
9-Sep-08
10-Sep-08
11-Sep-08
12-Sep-08
14433.2
15-Sep-08
16-Sep-08
13518.8
17-Sep-08
13262.9
18-Sep-08
13315.6
19-Sep-08
22-Sep-08
23-Sep-08
24-Sep-08
25-Sep-08
26-Sep-08
13486.2
29-Sep-08
30-Sep-08
12178.18
14433.2
13486.2
12995.2
14899.1
13933.87 14000.81
13054.42 13102.18
12153.55 12860.43
Analysis
80
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
September opening was 14,412 and make high of 15,107 on 8th September. Low of this
month was 12,153 on last day of the month and closed at 12,860. Sensex had lost 282 points till
10 September. In this month market was so much volatile. Due to nod of NSG on Nuclear deal
and decline in crude price make the Sensex to touch 15,107. Bankruptcy of heavy weights and
154 year old bank of US make the Sensex crashed very rapidly and Sensex toch the bottom of
12,153
Reasons
81
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
12697.3
13055.67
1-Oct-08
13006.72 13203.86
3-Oct-08
6-Oct-08
7-Oct-08
8-Oct-08
10-Oct-08
13-Oct-08
14-Oct-08
15-Oct-08
16-Oct-08
10221.53
10787.2
10017.8
10581.49
17-Oct-08
10763.34 10786.93
9911.32
9975.35
20-Oct-08
21-Oct-08
10428.11
22-Oct-08
10169.9
23-Oct-08
9683.26
10260.55
9682.4
9771.7
24-Oct-08
9497.48
9570.71
8566.82
8701.07
27-Oct-08
8588.86
8739.48
7697.39
8509.56
28-Oct-08
9056.97
9056.97
8909.34
9008.08
29-Oct-08
9297.76
9297.76
8894.34
9044.51
31-Oct-08
9361.66
9870.42
9361.66
9788.06
10750.2
11801.7
11483.4
10250.23 10683.39
Analysis
82
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Sensex opened at 13,006 make high of 13,203 on opening day and make low of 7,697 on
27th October. And close at 9788. This month all markets decline sharply. RBI had cut the CRR
and REPO rate but that not affect the market. The biggest factor is only that the financial crisis in
US and European country. Global crisis lead the all index make crashed.
Reasons
Market recovered because of cut in CRR and repos and PMs assurance to the
corporate world.
83
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Nov-08
4-Nov-08
5-Nov-08
6-Nov-08
9755.03
10109.45
9635.22
9734.22
7-Nov-08
9631.59
10065.37
9631.59
9964.29
10-Nov-08
10154.56 10570.58
10095.9
10536.16
11-Nov-08
10386.45 10397.36
9800.67
9839.69
12-Nov-08
9683.75
9928.6
9376.73
9536.33
14-Nov-08
9784.85
9826.25
9267.49
9385.42
17-Nov-08
9396.93
9424.25
8956.68
9291.01
18-Nov-08
9084.12
9169.05
8871.71
8937.2
19-Nov-08
8970.67
9236.27
8726.8
8773.78
20-Nov-08
8400.88
8540.46
8316.39
8451.01
21-Nov-08
8481.02
8988.03
8442.31
8915.21
24-Nov-08
8840.53
9042.02
8701.93
8903.12
25-Nov-08
9170.28
9182.8
8649.4
8695.53
26-Nov-08
8806.02
9061.72
8658.53
9026.72
28-Nov-08
8889.18
9157.62
8889.18
9092.72
Analysis
84
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
In the month of November Sensex opened at 10,209 its gap up high opening Sensex open
at plus 421 point. Sensex make the high of 10,945 on 5th November. And than onceagain sleep
to 8316 on 20th November.And closed at 9092.
Reasons
Sensex gained 1157 point till 5th November, because Commerce and Industry
Minister Kamal Nath announced after trading hours on 3 November that the
government will further ease foreign investment rules, including those relating to
defence production.
After the announcement of election of Barak Obama in US, Sensex fall down
very sharply because of heavy selling of FIIs.
85
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Dec-08
9162.94
9326.68
8803.34
8839.87
2-Dec-08
8535.83
8785.04
8467.43
8739.24
3-Dec-08
8851.22
8854.81
8601.41
8747.43
4-Dec-08
8779.02
9245.06
8726.71
9229.75
5-Dec-08
9172.58
9340.69
8914.38
8965.2
8-Dec-08
9276.89
9432.11
9095.7
9162.62
10-Dec-08
9349.53
9678.7
9280.16
9654.9
11-Dec-08
9679.32
9746.01
9441.97
9645.46
12-Dec-08
9370.87
9745.51
9281.89
9690.07
15-Dec-08
9821.85
9948.33
9749.29
9832.39
16-Dec-08
9794.48
10009.21 9790.31
9976.98
17-Dec-08
10073.1
10073.1
9715.29
18-Dec-08
9710.2
9682.91
19-Dec-08
22-Dec-08
9928.35
23-Dec-08
9813.2
9838.38
9643.56
9686.75
24-Dec-08
9626.07
9653.42
9502.53
9568.72
26-Dec-08
9655.07
9706.38
9294.98
9328.92
29-Dec-08
9318.86
9550.4
9162.66
9533.52
30-Dec-08
9625.13
9785.04
9494.7
9716.16
31-Dec-08
9806.64
9825.9
9587.92
9647.31
Analysis
86
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Sensex opened at 9,162 and make high of 10,188 and make the low of 8,467. The
closing was settled at 9647. Sensex fall in first week because of their decline in export. Sensex
cross 10,000 because of stimulus package announced by government on December 16th.
Reasons
87
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Jan-09
9973.06
10070.28
9863.86
9958.22
5-Jan-09
10275.6
6-Jan-09
7-Jan-09
10424.96 10469.72
9510.15
9586.88
9-Jan-09
9434.85
9630.4
9250.82
9406.47
12-Jan-09
9306.74
9327.3
9024.45
9110.05
13-Jan-09
9042.36
9261
8992.92
9071.36
14-Jan-09
9223.16
9412.97
9071.36
9370.49
15-Jan-09
9000.62
9123.78
8946.62
9046.74
16-Jan-09
9125.65
9342.47
9125.65
9323.59
19-Jan-09
9365.04
9409.51
9273.47
9329.57
20-Jan-09
9159.76
9159.76
9033.55
9100.55
21-Jan-09
8900.78
9051.31
8734.93
8779.17
22-Jan-09
8905.97
8927.69
8699.32
8813.84
23-Jan-09
8804.15
8858.84
8631.6
8674.35
27-Jan-09
8803.07
9021.97
8791.58
9004.08
28-Jan-09
9077.65
9270.75
9053.8
9257.47
29-Jan-09
9340.59
9379.68
9164.96
9236.28
30-Jan-09
9111.12
9438.31
9088.15
9424.24
Analysis
In January 2009, market opened on 300 points at 2nd Jan. than the last year last trading
day. In this month market was volatile 1600 to 2000 points. In first fortnight opened robust at
88
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
9973 points on January 1st and went up to 10469 points on January 7, highest points in last 15
days. But on that day market lost 749 points and then went on declining to tough their lowest
level of 8992 points on January 13. In second fortnight there were good sentiments after 1500
points crashed in first fortnight. In last week market was bullish and gave close at 9424 points.
Reasons
RBI announced its credit policy on Jan. 27th & full stop on decline
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Feb-09
9363.58
9363.58
9048.97
9066.7
89
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
3-Feb-09
9128.99
9302.25
9040.56
9149.3
4-Feb-09
9226.2
9338.21
9164.16
9201.85
5-Feb-09
9241.56
9247.09
9017.08
9090.88
6-Feb-09
9161.49
9321.38
9160.83
9300.86
9-Feb-09
9359
9601.56
9329.3
9583.89
10-Feb-09
9589.95
9724.87
9510.63
9647.47
11-Feb-09
9462.14
9648.39
9459.59
9618.54
12-Feb-09
9559.03
9578.99
9445.54
9465.83
13-Feb-09
9540.6
9695.59
9540.6
9634.74
16-Feb-09
9637.04
9637.04
9279.1
9305.45
17-Feb-09
9213.4
9213.4
8994.34
9035
18-Feb-09
8939.38
9112.99
8929.62
9015.18
19-Feb-09
9034.9
9111.27
8977.8
9042.63
20-Feb-09
8943.78
8943.78
8762.58
8843.21
24-Feb-09
8707.35
8856.52
8619.22
8822.06
25-Feb-09
8913.44
8995.04
8880.15
8902.56
26-Feb-09
8905.56
8998.31
8788.94
8954.86
27-Feb-09
8944.11
8944.11
8728.66
8891.61
Analysis
Market opened bearish on first day than the last trading day of last month. In this month
market movement was near about 600 to 700 points. Sensex touched a last fortnight peak on
February 10 at 9724 points gaining 313 points last 15 days. In second fortnight the market was
on a continuous downslide on global cues and failed to show any revival indicators. And the
market closed at 8891 points on 27th Feb.
90
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Reasons
Central Statistical Organization release advance estimates of the Indian GDP for 2008-09
which showed the countys growth intact at 7.1 per cent.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Mar-09
8762.88
8762.88
8563.52
8607.08
3-Mar-09
8583.06
8635.2
8393.05
8427.29
4-Mar-09
8473.25
8501.46
8373.24
8446.49
91
5-Mar-09
8535.03
8535.03
8167.75
8197.92
6-Mar-09
8103.75
8347.1
8047.17
8325.82
9-Mar-09
8259.22
8259.22
8110.1
8160.4
12-Mar-09
8274.78
8439.26
8274.78
8343.75
13-Mar-09
8480.74
8793.21
8480.74
8756.61
16-Mar-09
8793.89
8955.73
8697.46
8943.54
17-Mar-09
8942.01
9024.12
8801.79
8863.82
18-Mar-09
8956.3
9120.4
8951.32
8976.68
19-Mar-09
9023.04
9086.77
8900.39
9001.75
20-Mar-09
8951.34
8999.98
8867.13
8966.68
23-Mar-09
9040.3
9454.69
9040.3
9424.02
24-Mar-09
9549.52
9699
9402.64
9471.04
25-Mar-09
9442.3
9704.69
9430.45
9667.9
26-Mar-09
9739.93
10061.36
9739.93
10003.1
27-Mar-09
10036.8
10127.09
9913.4
10048.49
30-Mar-09
9902.35
9902.35
9521.76
9568.14
31-Mar-09
9633.21
9826.22
9547.21
9708.5
Analysis
In this march market was on recovery mood. In this month market crossed 10000 points.
In first fortnight market was bearish situation. Market made its all time high at 10127 points on
27th march and all time low at 8047 on 6th march. Last fortnight market was continuously bullish
trend. On 31st march market closed at 9708 points which was 1000 high than the last month
closing.
Reasons
92
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2696 Cr. and they were not a single purchased during first
fortnight
Major foreign indices was declined in first fortnight (Dow 8.8%, Hang seng 8.79% etc)
Major foreign indices was gained in second fortnight (Dow 4.9%, UK FTSE 4.04%)
FII come back toward the market with an aggregate purchased of `876 Cr.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Apr-09
9745.77
9921.96
9546.29
9901.99
2-Apr-09
6-Apr-09
93
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
8-Apr-09
10283.58 10778.11
10173
9-Apr-09
13-Apr-09
15-Apr-09
16-Apr-09
17-Apr-09
20-Apr-09
11065.1
21-Apr-09
22-Apr-09
10968.6
23-Apr-09
24-Apr-09
27-Apr-09
11237.42
28-Apr-09
29-Apr-09
11209.66 10863.28
10742.34
10947.4
10979.5
11492.1
11176.55 11371.85
Analysis
April 2009
In April market was continuous movement on 1st April related last month. Over all this month
market was recovery mood. In this month market movement was above 2000 points. In first
fortnight market crossed 10000 points and created its all time high for last two months. This
month was profitable to the investors. In second fortnight market opened at 11358 points all time
high from last 5 months. And market was continuously bullish after that. This month market all
94
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
time low made on very first day of the month at 9546 points and all time high at 11492 points on
27th April. On last market gave closed at 11403 points on last trading day which was more than
1500 points of March 2009 closing.
Reasons
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
4-May-09
5-May-09
6-May-09
7-May-09
8-May-09
95
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-May-09
11997.37
12026.6
12-May-09
13-May-09
14-May-09
15-May-09
11948.7
18-May-09
19-May-09
20-May-09
21-May-09
22-May-09
13663.54 13936.93
13611.3
25-May-09
13999.44
13819.78 13913.22
26-May-09
27-May-09
28-May-09
29-May-09
14384.76
12218.98
14027.6
14726.6
11621.3
11948.7
11682.99
12173.42
13887.15
14384.76 14625.25
Analysis
May 2009 was very good recovery. In this month market was crossed new level 14,000
points all time high of last eight months. In this month market movement was above 3000 points.
Market creates its all time low at 11,621 points on 11th May and all time high on last trading day
29th May at 14,726 points. Market gave closed on that day at 14,625 points which was more than
3000 points than the last month.
Reasons
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Jun-09
14790.8
9
14906.8
1
14658.0
1
14840.63
2-Jun-09
14942.2
1
14994.2
2
14608.2
3
14874.91
3-Jun-09
14902.6
2
15045.8
8
14734.9
14870.9
4-Jun-09
14755.0
8
15026.0
3
14601.9
1
15008.68
5-Jun-09
15040.2
15257.3
14994.0
15103.55
97
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
8-Jun-09
15153.2
1
15184.8
7
14604.2
3
14665.92
9-Jun-09
14618.9
8
15159.2
7
14526.6
9
15127
10-Jun-09
15168.1
8
15580.8
1
15168.1
8
15466.81
11-Jun-09
15517.3
6
15568.7
4
15242.1
9
15411.47
12-Jun-09
15446.8
2
15600.3
15174.2
8
15237.94
15-Jun-09
15195.8
3
15261.0
3
14808.0
9
14875.52
16-Jun-09
14788.2
7
15022.1
9
14621.9
7
14957.91
17-Jun-09
14978.5
14995.6
6
14447.9
3
14522.84
18-Jun-09
14503.0
5
14630.7
3
14188.2
5
14265.53
19-Jun-09
14321.9
8
14559.0
8
14179.7
7
14521.89
22-Jun-09
14591.2
8
14668.4
14269.7
7
14326.22
23-Jun-09
14147.8
7
14394.1
9
14016.9
5
14324.01
24-Jun-09
14388.2
1
14479.8
2
14207.0
2
14422.73
25-Jun-09
14476.1
5
14578.4
6
14261.1
4
14345.62
26-Jun-09
14373.5
7
14781.9
4
14373.5
7
14764.64
29-Jun-09
14764.6
4
14955.5
5
14685.4
5
14785.74
98
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
30-Jun-09
14785.7
4
14907.4
8
14420.4
1
14493.84
Analysis
In this month market movement was between 14,016 points all time low on 23 rd June and
15,580 points all time high on 10th June. In first fortnight most of the stocks hit the upper circuit
in consecutive trades. Market opens at 14,790 on 1st June and closed at 14,493 on 30th June.
Finally this month Sensex fell down 300 points all over month.
Reasons
99
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Jul-09
2-Jul-09
3-Jul-09
6-Jul-09
7-Jul-09
8-Jul-09
9-Jul-09
13796.1
10-Jul-09
13-Jul-09
14-Jul-09
15-Jul-09
16-Jul-09
14351.97
14493.1
14169.58 14250.25
17-Jul-09
14325.58
14800.7
14250.25 14744.92
20-Jul-09
21-Jul-09
22-Jul-09
23-Jul-09
24-Jul-09
27-Jul-09
28-Jul-09
15428.5
14043.4
13853.7
100
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
29-Jul-09
30-Jul-09
Analysis
In this month was hip-hop movement. This movement was near 2300 to 2500 points. In
this month there was no change than the last month. This month market opened at 14,493 and
closed on 31st July at 15,732 points which was all time high of this month. One time market was
fell down 1500 points and created all time low at 13,219 on 10th July.
Reasons
Announcement of Budget
101
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Aug-09
15694.7
8
15963.3
6
15608.4
15924.23
4-Aug-09
15940.1
16002.4
6
15699.1
3
15830.98
5-Aug-09
15882.3
9
15973.1
15695.1
1
15903.83
6-Aug-09
15881.4
7
15969.8
1
15443.2
2
15514.03
7-Aug-09
15440.9
5
15501.9
4
15104
15160.24
10-Aug-09
15287.1
4
15417.3
4
14902.0
2
15009.77
11-Aug-09
15000.3
8
15218.6
5
14864.2
3
15074.59
12-Aug-09
14953.4
4
15043.6
2
14701.0
5
15020.16
13-Aug-09
15207.9
6
15545.1
3
15207.9
6
15518.49
14-Aug-09
15530.3
8
15535.4
7
15367.6
1
15411.63
17-Aug-09
15284.2
3
15411.6
3
14740.6
3
14784.92
18-Aug-09
14745.8
15134.5
1
14740.2
6
15035.26
19-Aug-09
15079.0
15096.9
14684.4
14809.64
102
20-Aug-09
14930.0
5
15145
14928.1
8
15012.32
21-Aug-09
14951.4
9
15275.1
7
14835.0
8
15240.83
24-Aug-09
15362.9
3
15676.3
5
15362.9
3
15628.75
25-Aug-09
15573.9
1
15735.3
2
15423.3
9
15688.47
26-Aug-09
15763.0
9
15831.4
9
15695.9
4
15769.85
27-Aug-09
15711.8
15853.7
1
15685.4
9
15781.07
28-Aug-09
15770.1
9
15957.6
7
15663.3
5
15922.34
31-Aug-09
15812.1
5
15821.3
5
15589.8
15666.64
Analysis
In this month crossed its one years all time high at 16,002 points on 4 th Aug. Starting of
the month market opens at 15,694 points and closed at 15,666 points on 31st Aug. There was no
major changed between last month closing and this month closing.
Reasons
103
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Sep-09
2-Sep-09
15482.05
3-Sep-09
4-Sep-09
7-Sep-09
15793.27
8-Sep-09
9-Sep-09
10-Sep-09
15628.1
16035.5
15392.68 15467.46
15793.27 16016.32
104
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-Sep-09
16264.3
14-Sep-09
15-Sep-09
16-Sep-09
17-Sep-09
18-Sep-09
22-Sep-09
23-Sep-09
16905.5
16905.58 16683.78
24-Sep-09
16634.08
16834.1
25-Sep-09
29-Sep-09
16829.11 16907.84
30-Sep-09
16741.3
16719.5
16494.92 16781.43
16802.8
16693
16852.91
Analysis
In this month market crossed 17,000 points on the last day of the month. First fortnight
market s gained considerable momentum and strongly breached the psychological 16,000 points.
Market movement of this month was near 2000 points. All time low of this month at 15,394
points was on 2nd Sep. & all time high at 17,142 on last day of the month and gave closed at
17,126 points.
Reasons
FII investments in India during the first 15 days aggregated net purchase of `1,475 crore
and `3,228 Cr. In second fortnight which actually gave momentum of the markets.
105
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Oct-09
17186.2
5-Oct-09
17062.01 17062.01
6-Oct-09
7-Oct-09
8-Oct-09
9-Oct-09
12-Oct-09
14-Oct-09
17117.9
17117.9
17231.11
15-Oct-09
17195.2
17274.59
16835.8
16866.41
106
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
16-Oct-09
17196.8
20-Oct-09
17414.8
21-Oct-09
22-Oct-09
23-Oct-09
16795.66 17006.77
16765.2
16810.81
26-Oct-09
16740.5
27-Oct-09
16699.09 16699.09
16353.4
28-Oct-09
29-Oct-09
30-Oct-09
16135.87 16360.88
16311.5
15805.2
15896.28
Analysis
In this month, First fortnight market was hip hop movement. Market was opened at above
17,000 points of this month and then market was sometimes decline and sometimes up closing.
In second fortnight market was boom for two to four days. Than market was bearish and created
its all tome low at 15,805 on 30th Oct. & gave closed at 15,896 points which was 1200 points low
than the last month closing. Market hit its all time high at 17,457 points on 20 th Oct. during
Diwali time.
Reasons
During the first fortnight FIIs had put in `4631 Cr. of funds into the equity market till
October 16.
107
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
3-Nov-09
4-Nov-09
5-Nov-09
6-Nov-09
9-Nov-09
10-Nov-09
11-Nov-09
16444.44
12-Nov-09
13-Nov-09
16693.15 16909.74
16666.7
16-Nov-09
16893.11
16893.11 17032.51
17-Nov-09
16887.8
17083.2
16405.19
16063.9
16849.6
16848.83
108
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
18-Nov-09
19-Nov-09
20-Nov-09
23-Nov-09
24-Nov-09
25-Nov-09
26-Nov-09
27-Nov-09
16718.8
30-Nov-09
16718.8
16210.44 16632.01
Analysis
In this month market opened as previous trend but on that day market was crashed by
more than 491 points and made its all time low of this month. In first fortnight the BSE Sensex
opened very weak at 15,926 points and reached its bottom at 15,564 points on turnover front, the
market remained gained 39.42 per cent, 26.23 per November 5 in an intra-day session. In this
month market made its all time high at 17,290 on 25th Nov. This month market movement was
2000 points. On 30th Nov. market was closed at 16,926 points which was 1000 positive than the
last month closing.
Reasons
International markets also fared positively with US Dow gaining a whopping 6.11 per
cent.
The robust GDP numbers helped infuse a fresh supply of blood into the otherwise
depressed markets.
109
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Dec-09
16947.4
6
17218.4
6
16947.4
6
17198.27
2-Dec-09
17226.4
9
17329.6
8
17142.3
6
17169.91
3-Dec-09
17199.6
4
17361.2
7
17128.2
1
17185.68
4-Dec-09
17182.2
3
17291.8
3
17032.8
1
17101.54
7-Dec-09
17106.7
4
17176.6
2
16943.0
1
16983.14
8-Dec-09
16984.5
4
17237.7
9
16964.1
1
17227.68
9-Dec-09
17204.3
2
17227.9
6
17057.3
7
17125.22
10-Dec-09
17107
17231.0
5
17032.3
17189.31
110
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
11-Dec-09
17199.7
4
17351.7
1
17056.1
2
17119.03
14-Dec-09
17118.1
4
17275.1
9
17048.1
7
17097.55
15-Dec-09
17150.5
9
17200.4
7
16835.7
8
16877.16
16-Dec-09
16866.9
5
16996.1
2
16777.9
4
16912.77
17-Dec-09
16912.2
5
16979.5
2
16826
16894.25
18-Dec-09
16855.9
1
16899.1
9
16693.0
6
16719.83
21-Dec-09
16724.8
4
16750.9
9
16577.7
8
16601.2
22-Dec-09
16633.8
1
16738.1
2
16633.8
1
16692
23-Dec-09
16723.9
6
17252.0
9
16723.9
6
17231.11
24-Dec-09
17265.4
7
17413.6
9
17198.0
9
17360.61
29-Dec-09
17388.6
7
17486.0
5
17372.6
3
17401.56
30-Dec-09
17402.2
4
17440.0
5
17322.8
17343.82
31-Dec-09
17365.3
7
17530.9
4
17365.3
7
17464.81
Analysis
In this month market opened same as previous trend. In first fortnight market movement
was 200 to 300 points. Last fortnight market movement was 500 to 700 points. Over all market
111
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
movement was 800 to 900 points. Market made its all time low at 16,577 on 21st Dec. and all
time high at 17,530 on last trading day of the month & gave the close at 17,464 points whish was
high closing of the month.
Reason
On the institutional investment front, FIIs continued to place their trust on Indian bourses
with a net buy of `2,287 crore till December 11. The best part was that barring December
7 and December 9 when the selling was to the tune of `3 crore and `297 crore
respectively, they remained as net gainer.
Date
4-Jan-10
Open
High
Low
Close
5-Jan-10
6-Jan-10
7-Jan-10
8-Jan-10
11-Jan-10
12-Jan-10
17534.1
13-Jan-10
14-Jan-10
15-Jan-10
17554.3
18-Jan-10
17538.72
17641.08
19-Jan-10
20-Jan-10
21-Jan-10
22-Jan-10
25-Jan-10
16847.7
27-Jan-10
16708.6
16708.6
28-Jan-10
29-Jan-10
5-Jan-10
17612
17712.6
17392.55 17422.51
17505.5
17509.8
16230.85 16289.82
Analysis
On the first day of the new year Sensex opened at 17,473. Make the high of 17,790 on 6
January. With making low of 16,289 on 27th Sensex closed at 16,357. 17,790 was the 52 weeks
high.
113
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Reasons
Global economy on the path of recovery and robust future growth expectations of Indian
economy.
The last fortnight fall was due to US President Barack Obamas tough stand against the
big banks.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
1-Feb-10
16339.3
2
16422.4
16160.8
16356.03
114
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2-Feb-10
16368.4
4
16525.9
8
16129.1
1
16163.44
3-Feb-10
16210.2
5
16552.9
9
16210.2
5
16496.05
4-Feb-10
16500.2
9
16508.2
2
16188.8
16224.95
5-Feb-10
16222.5
6
16222.5
6
15725.4
3
15790.93
8-Feb-10
15931.3
4
16061.4
1
15651.9
9
15935.61
9-Feb-10
15940.7
3
16094.1
3
15862.9
16042.18
10-Feb-10
16042.1
8
16141.1
3
15892.0
1
15922.17
11-Feb-10
15928.2
8
16202.8
7
15928.2
8
16152.59
15-Feb-10
16186.9
16227.0
4
16011.8
2
16038.35
16-Feb-10
16042.1
8
16310.3
9
16021.2
9
16226.68
17-Feb-10
16228.9
1
16480.8
9
16228.9
1
16428.91
18-Feb-10
16421.2
16452.5
1
16287.1
7
16327.84
19-Feb-10
16256.5
3
16301.9
4
16074.5
8
16191.63
22-Feb-10
16191.3
2
16423.2
3
16191.3
2
16237.05
23-Feb-10
16213.1
4
16324.9
3
16178.9
1
16286.32
24-Feb-10
16218.6
8
16328.4
4
16187.4
4
16255.97
25-Feb-10
16264.1
16329.3
16167.1
16254.2
115
26-Feb-10
16255.3
3
16669.2
5
16249.6
7
16429.55
Analysis
Sensex opened at 16,339 and make high of 16,669 on last day of the trading for month of
February and make the low of 15,651 and closed at 16,429. Market was in very volatile phase.
Reason
Union Budget make the recovery from the lowest piont of the Sensex.
116
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
2-Mar-10
3-Mar-10
4-Mar-10
5-Mar-10
8-Mar-10
9-Mar-10
10-Mar-10
11-Mar-10
12-Mar-10
15-Mar-10
16-Mar-10
17-Mar-10
18-Mar-10
19-Mar-10
22-Mar-10
23-Mar-10
25-Mar-10
26-Mar-10
29-Mar-10
16971.7
17102.6
117
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
30-Mar-10
31-Mar-10
17602.39
17699.5
17488.55 17527.77
Analysis
Sensex opened at 16,339 and make high of 16,669 on last day of the trading for month of
February and make the low of 15,651 and closed at 16,429. Market was in very volatile phase.
Reasons
Union Budget make the recovery from the lowest piont of the Sensex.
118
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
119
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
On 1st April starting new financial year market opened at 17,555. And make the high of
18,047 on 7th April. And make the low of 17,276 on 19th April. Finally Sensex closed on 17,558.
Reasons
Goldman Sachs controversy makes all the financial market floundering at the end of the
month.
120
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
03-May-2010
04-May-2010
05-May-2010
06-May-2010
07-May-2010
10-May-2010
11-May-2010
12-May-2010
13-May-2010
14-May-2010
17-May-2010
18-May-2010
19-May-2010
20-May-2010
21-May-2010
24-May-2010
25-May-2010
26-May-2010
27-May-2010
28-May-2010
31-May-2010
121
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
In the month may market opened at 17,536. Make the high of 17,646 on that day itself.
With making the low of 15,960 on 25th May Sensex closed at 16,944.
Reasons
The market volatile in centre of the month but after the announcement of package by
European Union (EU) recovery was made in the end sessions.
122
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
123
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Analysis
Sensex opened at 16,942 and make the high of 17,919 on 21st July. The low was made of
16,318 on opening day and the closing was settled on 17,700.
Reasons
In starting of the month due to the European crisis Sensex was weak.
There was fear of higher inflation in market and inflation was 13.73 per cent.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
17937.2
13-Jul-2010
17985.9
17856.4 17928.42
22-Jul-2010 17978.37
17925.4 17957.37
18013.1 17902.84
17992
Analysis
125
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Sensex opened with 17,523 and make the high of 18,237. With touching the bottom of
17,505 in first fortnight, Sensex closed at 17,868 .
Reasons
126
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
02-Aug-2010
17,911.31
18,104.24
17,911.31
18,081.21
03-Aug-2010
18,149.90
18,167.45
18,072.38
18,114.83
04-Aug-2010
18,115.56
18,249.46
18,093.03
18,217.44
05-Aug-2010
18,234.85
18,295.43
18,156.45
18,172.83
06-Aug-2010
18,165.49
18,244.56
18,118.19
18,143.99
09-Aug-2010
18,141.11
18,309.25
18,139.90
18,287.50
10-Aug-2010
18,272.28
18,293.40
18,170.77
18,219.99
11-Aug-2010
18,177.35
18,263.88
18,042.89
18,070.19
12-Aug-2010
17,972.65
18,113.62
17,914.78
18,073.90
13-Aug-2010
18,080.29
18,260.39
18,050.42
18,167.03
16-Aug-2010
18,169.80
18,203.92
17,997.46
18,050.78
17-Aug-2010
18,049.19
18,140.15
18,026.00
18,048.85
18-Aug-2010
18,067.67
18,286.00
18,067.67
18,257.12
19-Aug-2010
18,276.50
18,475.27
18,276.50
18,454.94
20-Aug-2010
18,444.24
18,464.14
18,360.90
18,401.82
23-Aug-2010
18,400.33
18,454.38
18,371.02
18,409.35
24-Aug-2010
18,407.01
18,451.73
18,260.71
18,311.59
25-Aug-2010
18,308.51
18,312.43
18,156.00
18,179.64
26-Aug-2010
18,194.78
18,261.06
18,159.13
18,226.35
27-Aug-2010
18,205.90
18,248.36
17,944.16
17,998.41
30-Aug-2010
18,063.48
18,216.50
17,960.23
18,032.11
31-Aug-2010
18,015.66
18,015.66
17,819.99
17,971.12
Analysis
127
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Sensex opened at 17,981 and make the peak of 18,475 on 18th August. With making low
of 17,819 Sensex closed at 17,971 on last trading day of the August month. This month was very
range bound month. Market was in consolidation phase.
Reasons
FIIs were net Buyer where as Indian MFs were net seller for all the month.
128
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
Analysis
Sensex opened at 18,027 and the openingbitself was the low for this month and make the
peak of 20,267 on 27th September. Sensex closed at 20,445.
129
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Reasons
With positive news from global indices Sensex recovered Sensex gained 1567 point in
first fortnight.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
01-Oct-2010
20094.1
20475.47
20094.1
20445.04
130
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
04-Oct-2010
20501.21
20706.74
20437.36
20475.73
05-Oct-2010
20461.98
20560.54
20383.16
20407.71
06-Oct-2010
20448.69
20669.95
20447.05
20543.08
07-Oct-2010
20544.3
20581.29
20272.77
20315.32
08-Oct-2010
20297.58
20409.19
20145.74
20250.26
11-Oct-2010
20291.59
20461.27
20274.95
20339.89
12-Oct-2010
20357.79
20368.4
20107.25
20203.34
13-Oct-2010
20223.45
20703.97
20211.66
20687.88
14-Oct-2010
20700.42
20854.55
20442.82
20497.64
15-Oct-2010
20518.5
20578.45
20090.18
20125.05
18-Oct-2010
20160.55
20229.39
19870.51
20168.89
19-Oct-2010
20298.55
20332.02
19923.96
19983.13
20-Oct-2010
19924.02
20043.82
19822.66
19872.15
21-Oct-2010
19951.34
20293.1
19886.12
20260.58
22-Oct-2010
20334.14
20351.74
20088.67
20165.86
25-Oct-2010
20199.73
20452.3
20199.73
20303.12
26-Oct-2010
20325.44
20344.68
20189.3
20221.39
27-Oct-2010
20220.58
20220.58
19923.71
20005.37
28-Oct-2010
20116.49
20185.46
19869.32
19941.04
29-Oct-2010
19986.32
20080.33
19768.96
20032.34
Analysis
Sensex opened at 20,501 and make the peak of 20,854 on 13 th October. Sensex make the
low of 19,872, and closed at 20,032. This was the time for correction in Indian market.
Reasons
131
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
In the first fortnight there was opening ceremony of common wealth games.
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
01-Nov-2010
20,272.49
20,609.65
20,267.10
20,355.63
02-Nov-2010
20,407.18
20,418.35
20,281.73
20,345.69
132
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
03-Nov-2010
20,472.86
20,538.80
20,426.18
20,465.74
04-Nov-2010
20,605.63
20,917.03
20,605.63
20,893.57
05-Nov-2010
21,045.66
21,108.64
20,961.98
21,004.96
08-Nov-2010
21,041.97
21,075.71
20,822.37
20,852.38
09-Nov-2010
20,851.91
20,984.08
20,762.81
20,932.48
10-Nov-2010
20,917.54
20,970.91
20,849.92
20,875.71
11-Nov-2010
20,930.45
20,937.38
20,544.22
20,589.09
12-Nov-2010
20,529.74
20,593.91
20,108.40
20,156.89
15-Nov-2010
20,167.62
20,335.51
20,046.60
20,309.69
16-Nov-2010
20,371.73
20,380.10
19,832.22
19,865.14
18-Nov-2010
19,997.83
20,056.44
19,615.51
19,930.64
19-Nov-2010
19,982.75
19,982.75
19,504.87
19,585.44
22-Nov-2010
19,713.84
19,989.02
19,641.42
19,957.59
23-Nov-2010
19,841.42
19,841.42
19,342.69
19,691.84
24-Nov-2010
19,735.28
19,835.57
19,375.92
19,459.85
25-Nov-2010
19,560.25
19,628.27
19,257.37
19,318.16
26-Nov-2010
19,391.96
19,417.61
18,954.82
19,136.61
29-Nov-2010
19,230.34
19,450.09
19,167.19
19,405.10
30-Nov-2010
19,373.23
19,610.46
19,218.02
19,521.25
Analysis
Sensex opened at 20,272 and make the high of 21,108 in this month, with making low of
19,136 on 26th November, it closed at 19,521. This was the month of Diwali so in the muhurat
trading session Sensex touched its high of the month.
Reasons
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
01-Dec-2010
19,529.99
19,887.26
19,525.15
19,850.00
02-Dec-2010
20,038.66
20,084.25
19,917.77
19,992.70
03-Dec-2010
20,007.89
20,067.81
19,877.12
19,966.93
06-Dec-2010
20,038.25
20,217.86
19,944.71
19,981.31
134
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
07-Dec-2010
19,982.90
20,008.36
19,824.44
19,934.64
08-Dec-2010
19,874.30
19,875.51
19,611.35
19,696.48
09-Dec-2010
19,746.15
19,771.09
19,160.87
19,242.36
10-Dec-2010
19,201.89
19,537.40
19,074.57
19,508.89
13-Dec-2010
19,600.28
19,710.57
19,321.41
19,691.78
14-Dec-2010
19,746.75
19,836.82
19,621.41
19,799.19
15-Dec-2010
19,791.22
19,817.61
19,571.43
19,647.77
16-Dec-2010
19,698.58
19,897.22
19,554.35
19,864.85
20-Dec-2010
19,770.02
20,006.16
19,711.12
19,888.88
21-Dec-2010
19,925.76
20,090.84
19,925.76
20,060.32
22-Dec-2010
20,118.82
20,151.25
19,931.31
20,015.80
23-Dec-2010
20,038.83
20,076.08
19,939.30
19,982.88
24-Dec-2010
19,911.46
20,086.42
19,880.36
20,073.66
27-Dec-2010
20,062.60
20,190.13
20,010.33
20,028.93
28-Dec-2010
20,056.47
20,090.41
19,981.76
20,025.42
29-Dec-2010
20,060.88
20,274.20
20,054.64
20,256.03
30-Dec-2010
20,274.12
20,410.91
20,274.12
20,389.07
31-Dec-2010
20,412.76
20,552.03
20,412.76
20,509.09
Analysis
Sensex opened at 19,529 and make the high of 20,552 at the last trading day of the
month.Sensex make the low of 19,074 on 10 December. And closed at 20,509.
Reason
In first fortnight due to problems in china the market remain remain rang bound.
Inflation number make the market down somewhere but not make the big crashed.
135
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Open
High
Low
Close
03-Jan-2011
20,621.61
20,664.80
20,531.00
20,561.05
04-Jan-2011
20,617.38
20,651.21
20,449.01
20,498.72
05-Jan-2011
20,509.95
20,509.95
20,243.95
20,301.10
06-Jan-2011
20,395.50
20,425.85
20,107.17
20,184.74
07-Jan-2011
20,163.85
20,210.62
19,629.22
19,691.81
10-Jan-2011
19,714.42
19,720.43
19,158.43
19,224.12
136
11-Jan-2011
19,279.77
19,431.56
19,003.60
19,196.34
12-Jan-2011
19,353.34
19,574.63
19,048.56
19,534.10
13-Jan-2011
19,492.30
19,522.38
19,136.27
19,182.82
14-Jan-2011
19,198.04
19,447.82
18,811.96
18,860.44
17-Jan-2011
18,911.43
19,018.94
18,779.38
18,882.25
18-Jan-2011
18,983.20
19,120.62
18,933.47
19,092.05
19-Jan-2011
19,153.31
19,167.06
18,898.56
18,978.32
20-Jan-2011
18,892.43
19,100.26
18,794.73
19,046.54
21-Jan-2011
19,007.08
19,065.34
18,932.40
19,007.53
24-Jan-2011
19,095.69
19,194.46
18,998.38
19,151.28
25-Jan-2011
19,227.42
19,340.99
18,949.44
18,969.45
27-Jan-2011
19,086.69
19,086.69
18,656.05
18,684.43
28-Jan-2011
18,708.62
18,723.12
18,235.45
18,395.97
31-Jan-2011
18,226.21
18,395.09
18,038.48
18,327.76
Analysis
In this month market opened at above 20,000 points and created its all time high on first
trading days at 20,664. Market movement of this month was 2400 to 2500 points. Market made
its all tile low at last trading days of the month at 18,038 points.
Reasons
137
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
01-Feb-2011
18,425.18
18,452.06
17,982.17
18,022.22
02-Feb-2011
18,216.91
18,306.00
18,042.61
18,090.62
03-Feb-2011
18,113.73
18,466.21
18,064.61
18,449.31
04-Feb-2011
18,450.07
18,542.20
17,926.98
18,008.15
07-Feb-2011
18,135.02
18,180.94
17,977.01
18,037.19
08-Feb-2011
18,141.51
18,141.51
17,742.18
17,775.70
138
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
09-Feb-2011
17,723.99
17,864.32
17,508.35
17,592.77
10-Feb-2011
17,603.29
17,636.88
17,362.59
17,463.04
11-Feb-2011
17,519.13
17,752.56
17,295.62
17,728.61
14-Feb-2011
17,940.16
18,227.62
17,857.12
18,202.20
15-Feb-2011
18,260.08
18,361.66
18,050.48
18,273.80
16-Feb-2011
18,273.06
18,358.84
18,216.12
18,300.90
17-Feb-2011
18,345.12
18,532.61
18,233.79
18,506.82
18-Feb-2011
18,564.08
18,690.97
18,159.82
18,211.52
21-Feb-2011
18,238.54
18,457.49
18,082.66
18,438.31
22-Feb-2011
18,390.72
18,457.90
18,187.33
18,296.16
23-Feb-2011
18,233.77
18,377.48
18,150.01
18,178.33
24-Feb-2011
18,135.12
18,135.12
17,559.70
17,632.41
25-Feb-2011
17,775.08
17,812.44
17,469.97
17,700.91
28-Feb-2011
17,811.08
18,296.53
17,718.88
17,823.40
Analysis
In first fortnight market made its all time low at 17,295 on 11 th February of this month
and in second fortnight made its all time high at 18,690 on 18th February of this month. Market
movement of this month was 1200 to 1300 points. After that market crashed and gave closing on
28th February at 18,823 points whish was 700 points down than the last month.
Reasons
Budget declared
Tsunami in Japan
139
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
140
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
Analysis
After
great
sunami in
Japan and
T-
Budget
market
was
recovery in
this month.
In
month
tis
market
made
all
its
time
high
19,575 on
31st March
and
at
all
time low at
19,792
points
on
st
21 March.
This month market gave good return to the investor because when market was closed 31 st
march at 19,792 points it was 1300 points up than the last month closing.
Reasons
141
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 7
Findings
After undertaking the indepth study of stock market and various financial markets, it was found
that the several events which had most affection in fluctuation of Sensex particular month.
2006-07
Factors which affect heavily in the yea 2006-07 are as follows
143
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2007-08
Factors which affect heavily in the yea 2007-08 are as follows:
SBI announced merger with one of the associates State Bank of Saurastra.
144
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2008-09
Factors which affect heavily in the yea 2008-09 are as follows:
Union Budget.
146
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2009-10
FIIs investment.
Loksabha Election.\
GDP growths.
Good monsoon.
147
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
2010-11
Goldman Sachs controversy makes all the financial market floundering at the end of the
month.
Tsunami in Japan.
148
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
149
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 8
Limitations of the study
8.1 The study can be done for larger period only, lower tenure dont give good results
8.2 Perfect data for the study cant captured from this sorter period
8.3 The time Period which is given for study is very sorter.
150
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 9
Conclusion
India has been witness to a four-year up and down cycle in the stock markets. Since 1992, the
Indian markets have peaked every fourth year and then dropped 35-45% during the next three
years. What is surprising though is that the Dalal Street has bucked the trend this time around.
Some of the major conclusions derived in the study are as under.
Declaration of any financial result and other information of the company has direct effect
on its stock price.
News related to any political and economical affair has also the direct effect on stock
market.
Global economy
The fluctuation in the market is the result of multi dimension impact of multiple factors more
affects are line with each other sometime directly or some time indirectly. The present study
an attempt has made to cover the major obvious factors that could be some more factors may
be note directly not related but indirectly related can also have some bearing the phenomena
of fluctuation. It is a complete phenomenon where the permutation and combination or the
factors are constantly changes.
The analysis provides history in major which was serve as guide post studying and
forecasting the trends
In short, the following hypothesis have been tested and proved positive.
Any fluctuation in foreign market has more effect on Indian stock market than that of
domestic market.
In the given volatile economic conditions, the market is efficient to any news and
information.
151
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 10
Recommendations
After this study, I would like to give following recommendations, which can help to the
Investors, Brokers and SEBI and the policy makers in general.
INVESTORS
I would suggest that Long term Investors should not invest into panic market, which led
investors to erode their wealth.
It must be remembered that Long-term investors should go for frontline stocks, which
helps to keep their income regular and steady.
I would also suggest that Investors should take into consideration various things before
investing into scripts such as:
Liquidity position
Dividend policy
SEBI
SEBI should come out with new regulation in context of circuit breakers.
SEBI should issue regularly draft containing penalty details on defaulters to keep market
less speculative
152
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
Chapter 11
Bibliography
11.1 Magazines
11.1.1 Capita market March 27-April 2006 page no. 13.
11.1.2 Capita market May 22-June 4 2006 page no.76-78.
11.1.3 Capita market July 3-July 16 2006 page no. 20.
11.1.4 Capita market Sept 25-Oct 8 2006 page 16.
11.2Web Sites
11.2.1 http://www.sandesh.com/sandesh_article.aspx?newsid=173903
11.2.2 http://www.dsij.in/OnlineEditions/DSIJEnglish/archives/2008/Vol%2023,Issue
%206,16-Mar-08/all%20pages%20issue/All%20pages%20Issue00027.html?
zoomlevel=100
11.2.3 http://www.topnews.in/reliance-power-trading-below-its-listing-price-bse-nse
220006
11.2.4 http://www.dsij.in/OnlineEditions/DSIJEnglish/archives/2008/Vol%2023,Issue
%2018,31-Aug-08/All%20Pages%20Issue/All%20pages%20Issue00034.html?
zoomlevel=100
11.2.5 http://www.gov.cn/english/2010-12/14/content_1765641.htm
11.2.6 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1417785
11.2.7 http://www.bseindia.com/histdata/categorywise_turnover.asp
11.2.8http://www.bankingonly.com/index.php?page=rapo_rate.php
11.2.9http://www.mospi.gov.in/mospi_iip.htm
153
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies
154
Gidc Rajju Shrof Rofel Institute Of Management Studies