KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA

Oleh: Eko Widianto VP EP Technology Center PT PERTAMINA (Persero)

Disampaikan pada: Pertemuan Nasional Forum Komunikasi Pendidikan Tinggi Teknik Elektro Indonesia 2007 Yogyakarta, 5 6 Desember 2007

CURRICULUM VITAE
Name Place of Birth Marital Status Address : Ir. Eko Widianto, MT : Semarang, 3 September 1955 : Married : Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21 Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan 12530 Email : eko.widianto@pertamina.com

Academic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM 1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITB Work History 1982 1985 1986 1993 1993 1994 1994 1997 1998 2000 2000 2002 2002 2006 2006 2006 2006 now : : Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta : Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju : Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta : Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta : Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina Greka Energy : Chief Geophysic Pertamina Upstream Chairman of HAGI : GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd. : Head of New Venture Division Pertamina : VP EP Technology Center Pertamina
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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

AGENDA
PENDAHULUAN PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL KESIMPULAN

History of Oil & Gas Exploration in Indonesia

Dutch Colonial Law 8/1971 Era The history of Indonesias petroleum industry goes back to the Dutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning of systematic oil exploration in 1865. The first well was drilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in 1885. Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950, most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South and Central Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertamina was established as a merger of several upstream and downstream Dutch oil companies. The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in the same year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertaminas roles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well as contractors regulator. A 2001 law specified the deregulation of the countrys oil and gas industry
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA
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REFORM PHILOSOPHY
PREVIOUS
PERTAMINA (GOVERNMENT)

NEW
REGULATOR
DOWNSTREAM

REGULATOR PLAYER
1971 - 2001 (LAW NO. 8/1971)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

GOVERNMENT POLICYS BOUNDARY

PLAYER
PERTAMINA & OTHERS

SUPERVISOR
UPSTREAM

2001-RECENT (LAW NO. 22/2001)

Heri Purnomo, 2006

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INDONESIA TOP 10 OIL and GAS PRODUCERS

Ref PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct November 2005 Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint Company

CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA PERTAMINA* CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD TOTAL CNOOC(SES) BV PETROCHINA INTL IND.LTD MEDCO E&P INDONESIA UNOCAL VICO BPINDONESIA

452.63 136.12 92.80 69 65.93 53.8 52.95 45.24 25.70

TOTAL PERTAMINA* EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD VICO UNOCAL INDONESIA PREMIER OIL MEDCO E&P INDONESIA KODECO PETROCHINA INTL IND LTD

2,679.00 1,107.00 986.00 839.00 613.00 191.00 151.00 115.64 113.70

Oil, MBOPD

23.12

Gas, MMSCFD

82.68

GEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITY

2.228 1.909 855 852 785 546 437 172.1 161.1 142.5
Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005

MW USA PHILLIPINE MEXICO INDONESIA ITALY JAPAN NEW ZEALAND ICELAND EL SALVADOR COSTA RICA

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MW

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Produksi dan Konsumsi Minyak bumi

REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER

9000

8000

7000

6000

SBM/hari

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

90

92

94

96

98

00

02

04

08

10

06

12

14

18

19

19

19

19

19

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

22

Minyak Bumi

Batubara

Gas

Tenaga Air

Panas Bumi
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EBT Lainnya

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

20

20

24

16

20

INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots)

2000 Thousands of barrels of oil per day 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1955
Energyfiles Ltd

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980 Year

1985

1990

1995

2000

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to 2050

2000 Thousands of barrels of oil per day 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1930
Energyfiles Ltd

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990 Year

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI

(SKENARIO PESIMIS)
1800

1500

1200

Ribu Barrel/hari

900

600

300

0 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Produksi Skenario Pesimis

Kebutuhan Domestik
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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

Produksi dan Konsumsi Gas bumi

12

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIAN PROVEN OIL AND GAS RESERVES 1980 -2006 CADANGAN MINYAK DAN GAS TERBUKTI INDONESIA
14,000 3,500

12,000

3,000

10,000

2,500

8,000 MMBO

2,000 TCF

6,000

1,500

4,000

1,000

2,000 OIL (mmbo) GAS (TCF) 0

500

02

04

00

01

99

03

05

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

20

20

20

20

YEAR

Annual report OPEC 2006

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

20

20

20

06

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIA NATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA (1980-2006 in MMSCF) (1980-2006) dalam MMSCFD
100,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

Gross Production mmscf Marketed Production Flaring Reinjection Shrinkage

30,000

20,000

10,000

0 1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

Annual report OPEC 2006

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI (REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI)

14000

12000

10000

M M S CFD

8000

6000

4000

2000

0 1990 1993 1996 Kontrak Ekspor Impor LNG 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Kontrak Domestik Produksi

Tambahan Domestik Kemampuan Produksi

Produksi CBM

Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat ini

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA
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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

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INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINS

SOUTH CHINA SEA

PA CIF IC
400 KM

SULAWESI SEA

eastern

OC EA N

TOTAL OF 60 BASINS
DRILLED 38

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

D IN N IA
BANDA SEA

western
OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVES
PRODUCING 15 NON PRODUCING 23 DISCOVERY 8 NON DISCOVERY 15

O AN CE
UNDRILLED 22

(BBO) RESOURCES RESERVES

OIL

(TCF)

GAS

84.47 8.88

384.27 133.37
Status : Jan 01, 1999

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INDONESIA OIL RESERVE

ACEH 148.6 NATUNA

0.2
North Sumatra 111.0 Central Sumatra South Sumatra 2,398.1

East Kalimantan 39.5

582.3
10.2

IRIAN JAYA 92.1

682.7
500.4
DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG.

West Java

162.9 East Java

OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB)

PROVEN : 4,728 MMSTB POTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTB TOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTB

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVE

ACEH 3,896 NATUNA

52,080
North Sumatera 728 Central Sumatera 3,22

East Kalimantan

31,814
3,654

IRIAN JAYA 14,782

DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG.

South Sumatera

14,260
5,190

4,395 East Java

West Java

NATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO) PERTAMINA

1P : 91,170.2 BSCF 2P : 134,015.5 BSCF 3P : 178,128.8 BSCF

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WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP) OIL & GAS POTENTIAL

Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG

9672 535 109 1476

33

349 233 46

6253

8515

42

60

24

22

330 2141
72

64

108

65

958 2330
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

: oil bubble-graph

1681 2466
2466 9314 65

: gas bubble-graph : oil in MMbbls : gas in Bcu.ft : number of closure

Total Luas WK : 142.510 km2

Newton (2004)
Awang H. Satyana - BPMIGAS

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIAN ENERGY POTENTIAL 2007

FOSSIL ENERGY RESOURCES RESERVES PRODUCTION RESERVE/ PRODUCTION (YEAR)

Oil Gas Coal CBM

86.9 billion barrel 384.7 TSCF 90.5 billion ton 453 TSCF

9.1 billion barrel*) 187 TSCF 18.7 billion ton -

365 million barrel 2.77 TSCF 170 million ton -

25 68 110 -

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Kesimpulan
Secara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akan terpenuhi. Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahun sedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun. Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadi reserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserve minyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF. Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesia untuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mix energy Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadi untuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan. Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumi dari lapangan penghasil ke pasar. Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalami kelambatan

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Terima kasih
29

TARGET OF ENERGY MIX

(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)

CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE)

Hydro Power, 3.11% Geothermal, 1.32% Natural Gas, 28.57% Gas, 30%

Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE)

Oil, 20%
Biofuel, 5%

National (Primary) Energy Mix

RE,17% Oil 51.66% Coal, 15.34% Coal , 33%

Geothermal, 5% Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro Solar Energy, Wind Power, 5% Coal Liquefaction 2%

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)