()

facebook

1)
2)
3) ()
4)
5)
6)
7)


9)
10)
11)
12)
13)
14)
15)
16)
17)
18)
19)
20)
8)

% %
%
(Royality 8%
)

economic rate of return

% %
.%


()

.

%

.
.








(Sensitivity Analysis)

 % %
.%
Price Elasticity





()

()

()








-

()

 ( )
300

Capital

l
e
v 250
le

Current

Total

e
ic
r
p
t
n 200
a
t
s
n
o
c
8
8 150
9
1
t
a
t
a
y
K100
n
io
ll
i
M

50

8
8
9
1

4
9
9
1

5
9
9
1

6
9
9
1

7
9
9
1

8
9
9
1

9
9
9
1

0
0
0
2

1
0
0
2

Source: National Commission on Environmental Affairs (2006), Environmental Performance Assessment National Report

3,000
2,500

ta 2,000
yk
no 1,500
il
i 1,000
m
500
-

3
9
2
9
9
1

4
9
3
9
9
1

5
9
4
9
9
1

6
9
5
9
9
1

7
9
6
9
9
1

8
9
7
9
9
1

9
9
8
9
9
1

0
0
0
2
9
9
9
1

1
0
0
2
0
0
0
2

2
0
0
2
1
0
0
2

3
0
0
2
2
0
0
2

4
0
0
2
3
0
0
2

5
0
0
2
4
0
0
2

50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

tn
e
m
ts
ev
ni
la
to
tf
o
sa
tn
ec
re
p

Irrigation Management
Dam Cons truc tion
% of Irrigation Management to total inv es tment
Source: National Commission on Environmental Affairs (2006), Environmental Performance Assessment National Report

 ()

 (
)

















() ()
()

()

()


(the worst case
scenario) ()%

()


(
)
.







()





()



(
Sediment Transport Pattern )


()


()%


Hydrology River Ecology











()


,





(Semi temperate)




(
)

( )

( )






(PES t Payment for Ecosystem Services
)


Table 1: Net Change Area of Land Use Land Cover in Eastern Kachin State

Land Use
Good Forest
Degraded Forest
Bamboo

1991

2005

Net Change (Acre)

2,174,969

1,404,691

-770,279

588,106

1,109,610

521,504

38,705

43,704

4,998

Agriculture

8,082

70,248

62,166

79,823

264,385

184,562

Water Body

6,042

5,922

-120

Snow Cover

26,830

23,998

-2832

2,922,556

2,922,556

Scrub and Grass

Total

Source: Remote Sensing and GIS Section, Forest Department

Source: Wildlife Conservation Society B Hukaung Tiger Reserve



















()

(IPCC)

". Increased run-off due to climate change could potentially pose a severe
threat to the safety of existing dams with design deficiencies. Design criteria for
dams may require re-evaluation to incorporate the effects of climate change."

Source: INC Report, NCEA 2008 ^ 2011

Source: INC Report ^ NCEA 2008 - 2011



( IPCC
)
(Glacier erosion)





-