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Is There A Case For Large Cap Stocks?

For nearly two centuries, the 10 year moving average returns of U.S. large cap stocks
has historically bottomed out at 2.3% to 2.5%

Annualized returns of
U.S. stocks have only 25%
been this low twice
over the last 100 years. 23%
Can a bottom be close?
20%

18%

15%

13%

10%

8%

5%

3%

0%
1836
1840
1844
1848
1852
1856
1860
1864
1868
1872
1876
1880
1884
1888
1892
1896
1900
1904
1908
1912
1916
1920
1924
1928
1932
1936
1940
1944
1948
1952
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
As of September 29, 2008
Source: Stifel, Nicolaus, & Company, Inc.
10-yr. Moving Avg. U.S. Large Capitalization Common Stock
nominal total returns (total return is price + dividends) from 1827
to present

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