Stat 23400 Homework 2 (Fall, 2011)

Due on Wednesday, October 12, 2011 at the beginning of your sections lecture. Please write your name, your student number, and the lecture section that you attend. The exercise numbers and pages below refer to the course textbook: Statistics for the Sciences (2005), Buntinas and Funk, Duxbury Press. 1. Exercise 3.4 (page 104) If a fair die is rolled three times, nd the probabilities of the following events: a) All of the rolls show an even number of dots. b) The last two rolls show exactly one even number of dots. c) The third roll shows an even number of dots. d) Every roll show a single dot. e) Every roll show the same number of dots. 2. Exercise 3.6 (page 104) Sketch a Venn diagram and label the probabilities of the regions E F , E F c , F E c , and (E F )c , if P (E) = 0.40, P (F ) = 0.55 and P (E F ) = 0.15. 3. Exercise 3.8 (page 104) Suppose P (E) = 0.55, P (F ) = 0.40 and P r(F |E) = 0.20. Find a) P (E F ) b) P (E c F c ) c) P (E c F c ) d) P (E|F ) 4. Exercise 3.10 (page 104) Suppose that a survey of married couples in a certain city shows that 20% of the husbands watched the 2003 Superbowl football game and 8% of the wives. Also, if the husband watched, then the probability that the wife watched increased to 25%. Find the probabilities of the following events: a) The couple both watched b) At least one watched c) Neither watched d) The husband watched given that the wife watched 5. Exercise 3.12 (page 104) A company makes optical lenses under contract to the U.S. military. The lenses are ground to precise specications and are shipped in lots of 100. Military inspectors check 2 dierent lenses out of each lot of 100. Let E1 be the event that the rst lens inspected fails inspection and E2 be the event that the second fails. If either one of the two fails, then the entire shipment of 100 lenses is returned. Suppose that 3 lenses in the shipment are bad. Find the probability that the shipment is rejected. 6. Exercise 3.16 (page 105) Show that if events E and F are independent, then the events E and F c is also independent. 7. Exercise 3.21 (page 107) The birthday problem How many people would have to attend a meeting so that there is at least a 50% chance that two people share a birthday? (For simplicity, just assume there are 365 days in a year, and each day is equally likely to be a birthday.) 1

8. Exercise 3.34 (page 114) Suppose E and F are disjoint events with P (E) = 0.2 and P (F ) = 0.5. a) Find the probability that both E and F occur. b) Find the probability that either E or F occur. c) Find the probability that F occurs and E does not occur. d) Find the probability that neither occurs. 9. A box contains 2 red and 3 white balls and a second box contains 2 red and 4 white balls. A ball is chosen randomly from each box. Find probabilities of the following events. a) The both are the same color b) Both balls are white given they are of the same color. c) The ball from the rst box is red given two balls are of dierent color. 10. Exercise 3.54 (page 117) To reduce theft among employees, a company subjects all employees to lie-detector tests and then res all employees who fail the test. In the past, the test has been proven to be correctly identify guilty employees 90% of the time; however, 4% of the innocent employees also fail the test. Suppose that 5% of the employees are actually guilty. a) What percentage of the employees fail the test? b) What percentage of those red were innocent?