Qun tr d n u t

DANH SCH NHM

inh th Thu Trang

09197771

ng Th Thng

09191681

Nguyn Th l Nh Sng

09196661

Bi Th Khm

09184061

Trang 1/22

Qun tr d n u t

MC LC
PHN M U ..................................................................................................................... 3

I.
A.

L do chn ti .............................................................................................................. 3

B.

Mc ch nghin cu ........................................................................................................ 3

C.

Phng php nghin cu .................................................................................................. 3

D.

Phm vi nghin cu : ........................................................................................................ 3

E.

C s d liu ..................................................................................................................... 3

II.

PHN NI DUNG.................................................................................................................. 4
A.

M T TNG QUAN ..................................................................................................... 4

1.

Gii thiu s lc v Qun n ..................................................................................... 4

2.

Sn phm ....................................................................................................................... 4

3.

Th trng phn tch ...................................................................................................... 4

4.

c im khch hng .................................................................................................... 5

5.

i th cnh tranh ......................................................................................................... 5

6.

Nh cung cp ................................................................................................................. 5

7.

Cc yu t v m........................................................................................................... 5

8.

Phn tch SWOT............................................................................................................ 5

HOCH NH CHC NNG V NH GI TI CHNH ....................................... 7

B.
1.

Tip th .......................................................................................................................... 7

2.

Hoch nh nhn s ....................................................................................................... 7

3.

Hoch nh ti chnh ................................................................................................... 10

4.

Kt qu kinh doanh ca cng ty ................................................................................... 17

5.

K hoch tr n vn vay............................................................................................. 18

6.

S tin phi tr ngn hng bnh qun/thng ................................................................ 18

nh Gi Ti chnh ......................................................................................................... 19

C.
1.

nh gi ti chnh ....................................................................................................... 19

2.

Hin gi thu hi thun(NPV) ...................................................................................... 19

3.

Sut thu hi ni b(IRR) ............................................................................................. 19

4.

Ch s li nhun(PI) .................................................................................................... 19

5.

Thi gian hon vn(PP) .............................................................................................. 19

D.

III.

Nhng ri ro c th gp .................................................................................................. 20
1.

Nhng ri ro c th gp............................................................................................... 20

2.

Mt s bin php khc phc ri ro .............................................................................. 20

KT LUN V KIN NGH ............................................................................................ 22

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Qun tr d n u t

I.
A.

PHN M U

L DO CHN TI

Cuc sng tp np ngy nay, nhu cu n ung vn l thit thc ca con ngi. HCM l mt thnh
ph nng ng, hin i v l ni tp trung nhiu ngi dn t nhiu min khc nhau. Vi nhu
cu n ung c trng khc nhau ca mi min, p ng khu v ca mi min, l l do
nhm thnh lp mt d n Qun n Bnh 3 Min.

B.

MC CH NGHIN CU

Thng qua vic nghin cu ca th trng, khch hng, i th,:

Nm c tnh hnh kinh doanh
a ra chnh sch kFinh doanh ph hp mang li hiu qu kinh doanh cho qun
nh gi kh nng ti chnh ri ro
Cung cp dch v n ung v mt s dch v th gin khc cho khch hng.

C.

PHNG PHP NGHIN CU

Thu thp thng tin:

Trn mng, bo ch, xin s in thoi trc tip cc ca hng trang tr ni tht t, cc siu
th, cc qun caf, tr sa a phng,...
Tham kho sch bo, tp ch v xin kin t cc chuyn gia, cc ngi hot ng cng lnh
vc.

D.

PHM VI NGHIN CU :

Phm vi khng gian:

ti ny ch nghin cu vic khi nghip l d n thnh lp Qun n Bnh 3 Min ta lc
ti ng Thng Nht,Q.G Vp
S liu dng tnh ton l d liu th cp, qua kho st thc t v c on .
Phm vi thi gian: D n c phm vi nghin cu t thng 5 nm 2012 n nay

E.

C S D LIU

D liu ca d n c thu thp t vic iu tra trn cc ca hng g, trang tr ni tht trn
ng Ng Gia T, qun 10; t siu th Big C, ng T Hin Thnh, phng 14, qun 10; siu
th in my Ch Ln, ng An Dng Vng, qun 5; cng ty dch v thng mi Phong V,
ng Cch Mng Thng 8, qun 3; trang web: www.vatgia.com v nhiu trang web khc.

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Qun tr d n u t

II.
A.

PHN NI DUNG

M T TNG QUAN

1.
Gii thiu s lc v Qun n
Tn Qun n: Bnh 3 Min
a im:
Ngnh ngh kinh doanh: cung cp dch v n ung
V tr trong ngnh: Qun n
Mc tiu ca qun:
t c li nhun ngay t u hot ng
To tm l th gin cho khch hng
Ti a ha s hi lng v khu v v nhu cu n ung ca khch hng
t uy tn vi cc i tng c lin quan: Nh cung cp, khch hng
2.

Sn phm
a) Cc loi sn phm kinh doanh
b) nh v dch v
Khi quyt nh kinh doanh ai cng mun bit mnh v tr mnh v tr no so vi i th, ca
hng ca chng ti cng th, da vo kh nng cnh tranh v kh nng pht huy th mnh ca
doanh nghip tin hnh nh v dch v v la chn cho mnh v tr nh s sau:
c) Sn phm tng lai
Ngoi nhng sn phm nh trn. Hng thng qun chng ti s c nhng sn phm mi
khch hng c th c nhiu la chn hn v t c nhng s tha mn mong mun.
Th trng phn tch
a) Th trng tng quan
p ng khch hng G Vp l ch yu, thng qua nhng cuc tip xc vi nhng ngi
dn G Vp chng ti bit a s nhng ngi dn y iu c nhu cu n ung
Do nhu cu cn c qun n ngon v thong mt l rt cn thit
Khi xy ra khng hong kinh t th nhu cu n ung ca ngi dn gim i nhng trong thi
gian gn y khch hng n qun tng ln.
i th cnh tranh a s vn cha p ng nhu cu ca khch hng.
Tt c nhng iu trn cho thy nhu cu c qun n phc v cho khch hng.
Phn khc th trng
Theo hnh thc cc qun n chng ti phn khc th trng theo cch nh sau:
Da vo cc tiu ch hnh thc cc qun n ta c th m ra qun n thch hp vi nhu cu ca
khch hng hin nay.
b) Th trng trng tm
Cng nhn vin, hc sinh, sinh vin l khch hng ch yu ca chng ti v y l tng lp c
nhu cu ln.
3.

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Qun tr d n u t
4.
c im khch hng
Do khch hng chnh ca chng ti ch yu l cng nhn vin, hc sinh, sinh vin nn h c cch
sng ca h n gin, d gn gi. Khi n qun, iu m h quan tm nht l hnh thc phuc v
v khng gian thoi mi hay khngNgoi ra, theo tm hiu qua cc cuc ni chuyn ca khch
hng chng ti c bit khi n qun n h cn cn nhc nhng iu sau:
Cc mn n qun c a dng khng
Mc gi c ph hp khng
C phc v nhanh chu o khng
Ngi phc v c nhit tnh vui v khng
5.
i th cnh tranh
Mc d m ra qun n c nhiu iu kin khch quan cng nh ch quan thun li. Nhng
thnh cng khng phi l chuyn d v khng ch c qun n ca mnh m cn c cc i th
cnh tranh, h cng mun t nhng g h mun. do chng ti phi lm tt hn i th th
mi thu ht c khch hng.
Hin nay G Vp ( ng Thng Nht) c rt nhiu qun n, l nhng i th gn m
chng ti phi i mt, h c mi quan h lu di vi khch hng trong vng kh lu. D rng,
h c nhng thun li nhng theo tm hiu th h cn yu trong cch phc v. Ngy t u
thnh lp qun chng ti chun b tt mi th lm hi lng khch hng mc cao nht, c
bit l chun b khu m i th ang yu.
6.
Nh cung cp
Theo quan im ca ti th nh cung cp ng vai tr quan trng to nn thnh cng qun, vic
to quan h tt vi nhng nh cung cp cht lng s c c nhng thun li to ln cho qun
ca chng ti, nhng tm c nh cung cp tt v cht lng, gi hp l l iu khng d.
Qua qu trnh tm kim v chn lc hin ti nh cung cp chnh ca chng ti l: ch yu l
cc ch.
7.
Cc yu t v m
Trong nn kinh t th trng hin nay, vic m ra cc loi hnh kinh doanh khng cn kh
khn v lun c nh nc khuyn khch cho nn cc loi hnh kinh doanh qun n th vic
ng k s d dng
Th trng kinh doanh qun n trong tng lai s pht trin cao v l th trng hp dn cho
cc nh u t.
8.
Phn tch SWOT
Bng 4: Ma trn SWOT
Ma trn SWOT

- C khch hng tim nng - Cnh tranh vi cc qun

(ngi dn 3 min)(O1)
c (T1)
- Tm c ngun cung cp
nguyn vt liu tt(O2)
- Mt dn c cao, s dn
ng(O3)
- S lng qun c cht lng
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Qun tr d n u t

S
- Cc mn n a dng,cht
lng,m bo v sinh(S1)
- Khng gian phc v thong
mt, ngn np(S2)
- u th v giao tip(S3)
- a im thun li (S4)
- Ga hp l (S5)
- Ngi qun l nhn lc, c
quyt tm (S6)
- Nhn vin nhit tnh vui v,
hot bt (S7)
- Bn gh mi l thit k c
(S8)
W
- Qun mi thnh lp cha c
khch quen thuc (W1)
- Cha c nhiu kinh nghim
(W2)
- a im thu mn (W3)

phc v tt cn thp(O4)
SO
- Thu ht khch hng tim nng
(S1, S2, S3, S4, S5, S7, S8, O1)
- Ngun
nhin
liu
n
nh(S6,O2)
- S lng khch hng n vi
qun ng(S1, S2, S3, S4, S5, S7,
S8, O3, O4)

ST
- Theo di v kim sot
tnh
hnh
dch
cm(S6,S3,T2)
- Ginh thng li trong
cnh tranh(S2, S3, S4, S7,
T1)

WO
WT
- Huy ng ngun vn (O1, O2, - Hc hi kinh nghim
O3, O5, W2)
(T1,W1)

Din gii ma trn SWOT

SO:
Chng ti pht huy nhng im mnh nm bt cc c hi nh sn phm cht lng, gi hp
l, khng gian bun bn v giao thng thun li cng vi kh nng tip th, v i ng nhn vin
nhit tnh vui v s thu ht khch hng tim nng thnh khch hng. Kh nng giao tip v ngi
qun l c nng lc s c c hi tm thm cc nh cung cp tt.
ST:
Nh vo kh nng giao tip v nng lc qun l ca ch ca hng s kt hp vi phng chn
nui th y a phng hn ch, kim sot n dch cm
Da vo nhng li th so vi i th v kh nng tip th, k s chuyn ngnh c trnh cao,
nhn vin vui v nhit tnh to sc mnh trong cnh tranh.
WO:
Cc doanh nghip mi m thng thiu vn v ca hng ca chng cng khng ngoi l v do
chng ti s tranh th ng h ca cc nh nc v cc c hi lc quan ca ca hng v khch
hng, nh cung cplm tng tnh kh thi ca d n c th huy ng thm ngun vn t ngn
hng, tm i tc kinh doanh.
WT:
Trong thi bui kinh t th trng hin nay, mi trng kinh doanh luon si ng, vic cnh
tranh cc doanh nghip khc l c hi cho ngi kinh doanh trng thnh trong lm n v cng
c thm kinh nghim.

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Qun tr d n u t

B.

HOCH NH CHC NNG V NH GI TI CHNH

1.

Tip th
a) Chin lc gi
Qun chng ti s cung cp nhiu loi sn phm a dng v chng loi vi nhiu mc gi khc
nhau dnh cho mi i tng khch hng t ngi c thu nhp thp n ngi c thu nhp cao,
t cng nhn, sinh vin n cc doanh nhn, cng nhn vin
Bng 5: Ga bn cc loi sn phm ti thi im qun bt u hot ng
b) Chin lc marketing
Pht t ri qung co ti cc trng H, trung hc, cc cng ty v cc ngi trung nin khu
vc xung quanh . (1000 t ri trong thng u, sau c th cn nhc pht thm). Mi t ri
gim 10% cho 1 mn n, nhng khing6 cng gp vi nhau
Qung co thng qua cc hnh thc ch yu trong bng rn cc tuyn chnh
Trong tun u khai trng khch hng s gim gi 50% trong ngy u v 30% trong cc
ngy tip theo cho tt c sn phm.
c) Chin lc phn phi
y l loi hnh qun n nn ch yu l bn trc tip ngi tiu dng khng thng qua knh phn
phi trung gian no theo s phn phi sau:
m
Khch hng ti ch
Qun m thc ba
min
Khch hng mang
v
2.

Hoch nh nhn s
a) S t chc

CH
QUN

THU
NGN

K TON

QUN L

PHUC V
CA 1

PHUC V
CA 2

LAO
CNG

BO V

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Qun tr d n u t
b) Ngha v
Ch qun : ngha v: L ngi qun l v iu hnh mi hot ng qun. Chu trch nhim
trc php lut
Qun l: L ngi thay mt ch qun iu hng hot ng ca nhn vin
K ton: Theo di v ghi li tt c mi hot ng ca qun v tng hp chi ph v xc nh
doanh thu, li nhun ca qun bo co thu
u bp: l ngi nu tt c cc loi thc n ca qun
Thu ngn l ngi trc tip tnh chi ph, thu tin
Phc v: gii thiu menu v phc v khch hng
Lao cng: L ngi ra chn da v dn v sinh
Bo v: l ngi gi xe v bo v ti sn quan
c) Nhu cu nhn vin, lng, o to v khen thng
(1) Nhu cu nhn vin
Qun l: 1 ngi, trnh cao ng ngnh qun tr Kinh Doanh
K ton: 1 ngi, trnh trung cp tr ln chuyn ngnh k ton
Thu ngn: 2 ngi, trnh trrung hc ph thng tr ln bit s dng my tnh
u bp: 4 ngi, c bng ngh chuyn ngnh
Phc v: 10 ngi, c kinh nghim phc v, thng qua s kim tra ca ch qun
Lao cng: 2 ngi
Bo v: 1 ngi, nam tui t 18-35, c sc khe tt
(2) Lng nhn vin
Bng 6: Lng hng thng
Tin lng
Ch tiu
S lng
Thnh tin (1000)
(Triu ng)
Qun L
1
4
4
K Ton
1
2
2
Thu Ngn
1
1.5
1.5
u bp
4
3
12
Phc V
6
1.2
7.2
Lao Cng
2
1.4
2.8
Bo V
1
1.2
1.2
Tng cng
17
14.3
30.7
(3) o to v khen thng
o to: ch qun chu trch nhim o to cho nhn vin ca mnh quen vi cng vic, c
bit l nhn vin phc v v qun l hng dn phc v v ng x, ngoi ra chnh bn thn
ngi ch cng cn phi hc hi v kin thc chuyn ngnh phc v tt hn.
Khen thng: Ngoi tr nhng thng thm lng vo dp l tt, tng lch, o, nn, ca hng
cn trch li nhun thng nu vt ch tiu doanh thu. Bin php ny nhm kch thch s phn
khi nhit tnh ca nhn vin trong cng vic h lm tt cng vic.
d) Trang thit b, m hnh xy dng, a im
(1) Trang thit b u t ban u

Trang 8/22

Qun tr d n u t

BNG TNH CHI PH U T BAN U

QUN N 3 MIN
VT: Nghn ng
HNG MC U T

SL

VT

GI

THNH TIN

Bn g ch nht

20

ci

650

13.000

Gh g

80

ci

250

20.000

Ly

80

ci

5.5

440

Cc loi chai l khc ng

mt s th khc(gia vi)

1.000

1.000

Bnh nc

20

ci

40

800

Hp giy

20

ci

15

400

Hp ng mung a

20

ci

35

700

Mung

120

ci

1.080

120

cp

11

1.320

10

Mui

20

ci

55

1.100

11

Mui thng

20

Ci

55

1.100

12

Dao ln

Ci

35

175

13

Dao nh

10

Ci

15

150

14

Ko

Ci

20

100

15

Tht

Ci

35

175

16

Xoong nh

10

Ci

250

2.500

17

Xoong ln

10

Ci

550

5.500

18

Cho

10

Ci

250

2.500

19

St rc

20

ci

35

700

20

Chi

Ci

25

75

21

xc rc

Ci

25

75

22

ng phc nhn vin

Ci

100

600

23

ng phc bo v

300

300

24

ng phc u bp

100

400

25

Tivi

Ci

5.990

11.980

26

Cp truyn Quc T

600

600

Stt

GHI CH

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Qun tr d n u t
27

Qut treo tng asian

10

Ci

495

4.950

28

T chn

Ci

1.150

2.300

29

K gia v

Ci

1.100

2.200

30

Ni hp 3 tng

Ci

1.700

5.100

31

L vi sng Sanyo EM

Ci

2.600

5.200

32

Khay

Ci

70

420

33

Thau inox

Ci

200

800

34

10

Ci

35

350

35

in, n,nc

20.000

20.000

36

My vi tnh

ci

5.500

5.550

37

My tinh casio

ci

135

135

38

Chi ph t cc 2 thng thu

mt bng

Thng

30.000

60.000

39

Quy thu tin

Ci

700

700

40

Trang tr ni tht, sa cha

qun, trang tr cy cnh

Ln 200.000

200.000

41

Chi ph qung co, t ri

Ln

1.000

1.000

42

Chi ph bng hiu hp n

10.000

10.000

43

in thoi bn

Ci

250

250

44

T lnh HITACHI

Ci

20.000

40.000

TNG CNG

425.725

e) M hnh xy dng;
Hnh 1: M hnh xy dng
Qun n gm: 1 tng
Pha ngoi: xe
Pha trong: gm 20 bn, 2 ci tivi, 10 ci qut, 1 quy thu tin, ch yu phc v khch hng c
nhu cu xem truyn hnh
f) a im xy dng
3.

Hoch nh ti chnh
CC KHON U T V NGUN VN BAN U
Tng cng chi ph u t ban u
425.725
Vay NH
300.000
Vn t c
250.000
D phng
124.275
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Qun tr d n u t
STT
1
2
3
4
5

S c phn gp vn

Thnh tin
50.000
50.000
50.000
50.000
50.000
250.000

Tng cng

HOT NG KINH DOANH

BNG THNG S CHI TIT HOT NG KINH DOANH
D N U T: QUN N BNH 3 MIN
S lng bn
20 Bn
Tng s phn/bn/gi
2 Phn/bn/gi
Gi hot ng
16 Gi/ngy (t 8h n 23h)
Tng s ly bn/ngy:
Cng sut hot ng ca nm u tin l: 50%
S lng bn bnh qun
Gi bn bnh qun/ngy
S lng nhn vin qun:
Lng bnh qun
Tng lng qu lng/ thng
Lng bnh qun/ngy
Lng tnh trn 1 phn
Chi ph in cho qun
Chi ph in ly/nc
Tin n cho nhn vin
Chi ph n cho nhn vin
Chi ph nc sch cho qun
Chi ph nc sch/phn n
Gi thu mt bng
Tin thu mt bng hng nm
Chi ph cho ngi trc tip qun l
Chi ph cho thu ngn, k ton
Chi ph thu bo v xe, dn xe xho
khch vo

640 Phn/ngy
320 Phn/ngy

12
1.833.333
22.000.000
733.333

Ngi
/ngi/thng
/thng
/ngy

2.292 /phn/ngy
2.500.000 /thng
260 /phn/ngy
8.750 /ngi/bui
146 /phn/ngi
1.000.000 /thng
104
30.000.000 /thng
360.000.000 /nm
4.000.000 /thng
3.500.000 /thng
1.200.000 /thng

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Qun tr d n u t
Chi ph qun l cho 1 nm
Li vay trung hn
Li vay hng nm

104.400.000 /nm
1,17% Thng
14% Nm

Nhn vin bn:

Lao cng
u bp
Tng:

6
2
4
12

Ngi
Ngi
Ngi
Ngi

Nhn vin qun l

Nhn vin thu ngn
Nhn vn k ton
Nhn vin bo v
xe

1
2
1

Lng
Lng
Lng
Tng lng/thng
Lng bnh qun
Ngi Lng
Ngi Lng
Ngi Lng

Ngi Lng

7.200.000
2.800.000
12.000.000
22.000.000
1.833.333
4.000.000
3.000.000
2.000.000

/thng
/thng
/thng
/thng
/thng/ngi
/thng
/thng
/thng

1.200.000 /thng

TNG CHI PH HOT NG CA QUN N 01 NGY

- Lng nhn vin:
2.29 /phn/ngy =
733.333
- in
260 /phn/ngy =
83.200
- Nc
104 /phn/ngy =
33.333
- Nguyn liu
10.000 /phn
=
10.000
- Tin n nhn vin
146 /phn/ngy =
46.720
- Chi ph mt bng
1.000 /ngy
=
1.000
- Chi ph qun l
340.000 /ngy
=
340.000
- Chi ph li vay
116.667 /ngy
=
116.667
ngn hng
- Thu
800.000 /ngy
=
800.000
TNG CNG CHI PH/NGY
2.164.253
DOANH THU NGY T
50%
9.600.000
LI NHUN T/NGY
=
7.435.747
LI NHUN T/THNG
=
223.072.410
LI NHUN T/NM
=
2.676.868.920
T sut LN/doanh thu/ngy:77,5%
a)

/ngy
/ngy
/ngy
/phn
/ngy
/ngy
/ngy
/ngy
/phn
/ngy
/ngy
/ngy
/thng
/thng

Thng s u vo v nhy ca d n
THNG S U VO CA D N

I.

NHM THNG S VN U T

2
3
4
-

Tng vn u t
Ngun vn u t
Vn t c
Vn vay VIB
Kh nng tng gim vn u t
Nhu cu vn lu ng
Vn t c

Gi tr (VND)
425.725.000
425.725.000
250.000.000
300.000.000
0%
5%
100%

T trng
100%
100%
58,7%
70.50%
Doanh Thu
Nhu
Trang 12/22

Qun tr d n u t

5
5.1
5.2
II.
1
2
3
4
5
6

III
1
2
3
4
5

Vn vay TCTD
Vn vay VIB
K hoch gii ngn
Nm th nht
Vn t c
Vn vay TCTD khc
Vn vay VIB
Nm th hai
Vn t c
Vn vay TCTD khc
Vn vay VIB
Nhm thng s v ch thu, chi ph s dng
vn
Thu TNDN
Li vay vn
Li vay trung di hn huy ng khc
Li vay trung di hn ca ngn hng
T sut LN/VCSH
Li sut chit khu
Thi gian tr n trung di hn
Ngun vay huy ng khc:
Vay ngn hng:
Hnh thc tr n trung di hn
Tr n gc bnh qun, li gim dn theo s d
Tr n gc + li bnh qun
Tr n gc theo t l %
Ngun tr n vn vay hng nm
- LNST

cuVL
Nhu
0%
cuVL
0%
Nhu cu
VL
550,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
-

ng
ng
ng
ng
ng
ng
ng
ng

25%

/nm

0.00%
14%
25%
21.60%

/nm
/nm
/nm
/nm

0
3
1
1
2
3

/nm
/nm

25%

Nhm thng s KTKT, khai thc d n

Cng sut thit k
Mc huy ng Cng sut thit k
Nm u tin sau u t
Nm th 2 tng CSTK so vi nm u tin
Cc nm sau, tng CSTK so vi nm trc
Kh nng tiu th SP
Gi bn sn phm
Chi ph

230.4

ly
nc/nm

50%

CSTK
Nm u
10%
tin
5%
Nm trc
100%
30
/phn

Trang 13/22

Qun tr d n u t
5.1
5.2
-

Bin ph
Nguyn vt liu
Thay i CP NV L
in
Nc
Lng
Chi ph khc (n tra, chiu cho nhn vin):
nh ph
CP qun l
CP bn hng
CP thu mt bng
CP khc (quan h, qu biu, tip khch):

10
0%
260
104
2.292
146

/phn

104.400.000
360.000.000
10.000.000

/nm
/nm
/nm
/nm

/phn
/phn
/phn
/phn

THNG S NHY CA D N

Ch tiu
NPV
IRR
ROE
T s kh
nng tr n
T sut
LN/DT
T sut
LN/VCSH
T sut
LN/VT
Thi gian
tr n thc
t VIB
S nm b
sung ngun
tr n

Bng 1: S thay i gi bn nh hng n hiu qu ca d n

Gi bn
0%
5%
15%
20%
14.711.398.987 12.620.708.965 9.587.571.956 8.471.041.745
116%
102%
73%
57%
141%
123%
86%
68%

25%
7.543.368.882
41%
48%

8.65

7.56

5.37

4.27

3.18

74%

75%

74%

73%

72%

200%

176%

127%

103%

79%

161%

142%

103%

83%

64%

Bng 2: S thay i chi ph NVL nh hng n hiu qu ca d n

Ch tiu
NPV
IRR
ROE
T s kh
nng tr n

0%
2,553,975,587
116%
1.41

10%
2,345,115,565
109%
1.32

Chi ph NVL
15%
2,240,685,554
106%
1.28

8.65

8.11

7.83

20%
2,136,255,543
102%
1.23

25%
2,031,825,532
99%
1.19

7.56

7.28

Trang 14/22

Qun tr d n u t
T sut
LN/DT
T sut
LN/VCSH
T sut
LN/VT
Thi gian
tr n thc
t VIB
S nm b
sung ngun
tr n

0.3

0.28

0.27

0.26

0.25

200%

188%

182%

176%

170%

161%

151%

147%

142%

137%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Bng 3: Kh nng tiu th sn phm nh hng n hiu qu ca d n

Ch tiu
NPV
IRR
ROE
T s kh
nng
tr n
T sut
LN/DT
T sut
LN/VCSH
T sut
LN/VT
Thi gian
tr n thc
t VIB
S nm b
sung ngun
tr n

100%
2,553,975,587
116%
1.41
8.65

Kh nng tiu th sn phm

90%
85%
75%
1,718,535,499 1,300,815,455 465,375,368
88%
73%
41%
1.05
0.86
0.48
6.46
5.37
3.18

70%
47,655,324
24%
0.27
2.08

0.3

0.25

0.22

0.16

0.12

200%

152%

127%

79%

55%

161%

122%

103%

64%

44%

100%

100%

200%

200%

300%

Bng 4: Kh nng huy ng CSTK nm u tin nh hng n hiu qu ca d n

Ch tiu
NPV
IRR
ROE
T s kh
nng tr n
T sut
LN/DT
T sut
LN/VCSH

35%
2,553,975,587
116%
1.14

Kh nng huy ng CSTK nm u tin

30%
25%
20%
1,597,388,559 1,119,095,044 640,801,530
80%
63%
45%
0.95
0.73
0.52

15%
146,943,368
27%
0.3

8.65

5.99

4.65

3.32

1.94

30%

27%

25%

22%

18%

200%

147%

120%

94%

67%

Trang 15/22

Qun tr d n u t
T sut
LN/VT
Thi gian
tr n thc
t VIB
S nm b
sung ngun
tr n

161%

118%

97%

76%

54%

Bng 5: S thay i gi bn v chi ph nguyn liu nh hng n ch tiu NPV

S thay i
gi nguyn
vt liu

2,553,975,587
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%

S thay i gi bn
-15%
-20%
1,196,385,444 778,665,401
1,091,955,434 674,235,390
987,525,423
569,805,379
883,095,412
465,375,368
778,665,401
360,945,357

-25%
360,945,357
256,515,346
152,085,335
47,655,324
-56,774,687

-28%
110,313,331
5,883,320
-98,546,691
-202,976,702
-307,406,713

Bng 6: S thay i gi bn v chi ph nguyn liu nh hng n thi gian tr n

S thay i
gi nguyn
vt liu

1
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%

-5%
1
1
1
1
1

S thay i gi bn
-10%
1
1
1
2
2

-15%
2
2
2
2
2

-20%
2
2
2
2
2

Bng 7: S thay i gi bn v kh nng tiu th sn phm nh hng n ch tiu NPV

S thay i gi bn
2,553,975,587 -5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
95%
1,739,421,501 1,342,587,460 945,753,418
548,919,377
Kh nng 90%
1,342,587,460 966,639,420
590,691,381
214,743,341
tiu th sn
85%
945,753,418
590,691,381
235,629,344
-119,432,694
phm
80%
548,919,377
214,743,341
-119,432,694 -462,263,585
75%
152,085,335
-161,204,698 -484,940,247 -826,821,196
Bng 8: S thay i gi bn v kh nng tiu th sn phm nh hng n thi gian tr
S thay i gi bn
1
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
95%
1
1
2
2
Kh nng 90%
1
2
2
2
tiu th sn
85%
2
2
2
3
phm
80%
2
2
3
4
75%
3
3
4
6

Trang 16/22

Qun tr d n u t
4.

Kt qu kinh doanh ca cng ty

BNG KT QU KINH DOANH CA CNG TY

MC

KHON

NM

0
I

II
1
2
III

IV
V
-

TNG
DOANH
CS hng
THU
Nm
Sn lng
tiu th
Gi
bn/DVSP
TNG
CHI PH
Bin ph
Nguyn vt
liu
in
Nc
Lng
Chi
ph
khc
nh ph
CP qun l
Qu khen
thng
CP
thu
t
CP khc
Li
vay
TDH
Li nhun
trc thu
Thu
TNDN
Li
nhun
sau thu
im ho vn
Doanh thu
ho vn
Cng sut
ho vn
Cng sut
ho
vn
bnh qun

1
3,110,400,00
0
40%

2
3,888,000,00
0
50%

3
4,276,800,00
0
55%

4
4,665,600,00
0

259,200

324,000

356,400

388,800

30

30

30

30

2,028,240,00
0
1,270,800,00
0

2,341,940,00
0
1,588,500,00
0

777,600,000

972,000,000

48,000,000
24,000,000
345,600,000

60,000,000
30,000,000
432,000,000

2,496,790,00
0
1,747,350,00
0
1,069,200,00
0
66,000,000
33,000,000
475,200,000

2,651,640,00
0
1,906,200,00
0
1,166,400,00
0
720,000,000
36,000,000
518,400,000

75,600,000

94,500,000

103,950,000

113,400,000

757,440,000
104.400.000

753,440,000
104.400.000

749,440,000
104.400.000

745,440,000
104.400.000

23,040,000

23,040,000

23,040,000

23,040,0

240.000.000

240.000.000

240.000.000

240.000.000

10.000.000

10.000.000

10.000.000

10.000.000

12,000,000

8,000,000

4,000,000

1,082,160,00
0
303,004,800

1,546,060,00
0
432,896,800
1,113,163,20
0

1,780,010,00
0
498,402,800
1,281,607,20
0

1,280,681,33
1

1,273,918,12
1

1,267,154,91
2

1,260,39

41.17%

32.77%

29.63%

779,155,200

2,013,96
563,90
1,450,05

31.10%

Trang 17/22

Qun tr d n u t

VI
VII
-

5.

a
3
4
5
6.

Lu
k
dng tin
Thi gian
hon vn

-774,315,000

779,155,200

-774,315,000

4,840,200

nm

1,113,163,20
0
1,118,003,40
0

1,281,607,20
0
2,399,610,60
0

1,450,050,00
0
3,849,660,00
0

K hoch tr n vn vay
STT

1
2

Doanh thu
1,268,507,55
ho
vn
4
bnh qun
CH TIU SINH LI
T
sut
30%
LN/DT
T
sut
200%
LN/VCSH
TSLN/VD
161%
T
THI GIAN HON VN
Dng tin
hon vn

Ch tiu

Li sut

D n u k
Vay VIB
Tr n gc trong k
Vay VIB
Tr n gc bnh qun
Vay VIB
D n cui k
Vay VIB
Tr li vay trong k
Vay VIB
Tng n phi tr
Tr n gc trong k
Tr li vay trong k

0.2%

1
200,000,000
200,000,000
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
133,333,333
133,333,333
300,000
300,000
66,966,667
66,666,667
300,000

Nm
2
133,333,333
133,333,333
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
200,000
200,000
66,866,667
66,666,667
200,000

3
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
66,666,667
0
0
100,000
100,000
66,766,667
66,666,667
100,000

S tin phi tr ngn hng bnh qun/thng

GC V LI TR BNH QUN/THNG

Gc tr/thng:
Li tr/thng:
S tin tr/thng:

Nm th 1
5,555,556
25,000
5,580,556

Nm th 2
5,555,556
16,667
5,572,222

Nm th 3
5,555,556
8,333
5,563,889
Trang 18/22

Qun tr d n u t

C.

NH GI TI CHNH

1.

nh gi ti chnh

Bng 16: Dng ngn lu qua cc nm

Ch tiu
Nm 0
Nm 1
Nm 2
Nm 3
Vn u t(vt:1000), (P)
292.710
Li sut chit khu(r)
10%
Ngn lu rng(vt:1000),(cf) -292.710 71.102 79.844 88.586
P: vn u t ban u r: li sut chit khu
CF: dng thu nhp rng qua cc nm
Do li sut tin gi l 9,6%/nm nn ti ly li sut chit khu l 10%/nm

Nm 4

Nm 5

97.327

106.069

2.
Hin gi thu hi thun(NPV)
Th hin tng s tin li sau khi hon vn
C 1 C 2
C n
71.102 79.844
106.069
NPV -P+
+
++
-292.70+
+
++
55.628
2
n
2
(1+r)
(1+0.1)5
1+r (1+r)
1+0.1 (1+0.1)
Vy ta c NPV >0, d n kh thi.
3.
Sut thu hi ni b(IRR)
Biu hin sut sinh li thc t ca d n
NPV1
14.5%
PV1 +|NPV2 |
Ta thy, sut sinh li thc t ca d n IRR >10%, d n kh thi.
IRR r1 +(r2 -r1 )

4.
Ch s li nhun(PI)
Th hin t l hon vn cng vi li rng ca d n trn khon u t ban u
PV NPV+P
PI
1.19
P
P
T l ny t 1,19 tc t l hon vn cng vi li rng ca d n l 19% trn khon u t ban
u. So vi cc ngnh ngh c s vn u bng d n ny th c ch s PI nh th ny tng i
tt.
5.
Thi gian hon vn(PP)
L thi gian ngn lu to ra ca d n b p chi ph u t ban u
|
|
PP n+
C n+1
n: s nm ngn lu tch ly ca d n <0. n+1: s nm ngn lu tch ly ca d n >0.
|-291.710+71.102+79.844+88.586|
PP 3+
3.6 (nm)
88.586
Trang 19/22

Qun tr d n u t
PP = 3,6 nm, so vi cc d n c s u t bng vi d n ny nh ca hng tp ho th thi
gian hon vn ca d n l c th u t c.
Bng 17: Cc ch tiu nh gi tnh hnh ti chnh
Ch tiu
Nm 1 Nm 2 Nm 3 Nm 4 Nm 5
Vn vay /vn u t
0,51
0,51
0,51
0,51
0,51
Vn t c /vn u t
0,49
0,49
0,49
0,49
0,49
Li nhun rng /doanh thu
0,02
0,03
0,03
0,03
0,03
Li nhun rng /vn u t
0,24
0,27
0,30
0,33
0,36
Li nhun rng/vn t c
0,50
0,56
0,62
0,68
0,74
Vng quay vn lu ng
27,38 28,09 28,81 29,52 30,24
(Doanh thu/VL)
Nhn vo bng trn ta thy:
Vn vay/vn u t > l tt v cho thy doanh nghip c kh chim dng vn.
Vn t c/vn u t < l c v iu cho bit doanh nghip s dng tt
ng vn ca mnh v ang thiu vn.
Li nhun rng/doanh thu t 0,02 nm I(nm 2005) cho thy doanh nghip t li nhun
ngay t nm u hot ng v c xu hng tng trong cc nm tip theo.
Li nhun rng/vn u t t 0,24 ng vo nm u l kh cao v mt ng b ra u t c
kh nng sinh li 24% v c khuynh hng tng trong cc nm tip theo.
Li nhun rng/vn t c = 0,5 vo nm I nh th l tt, cho thy doanh nghip s dng
ngun vn t c c hiu qu, li 50% trn ng vn b ra v cng c khuynh hng tng qua cc
nm.
Vng quay vn lu ng = 27 nm 2005 l kh nhanh v cng nhanh cc nm sau.
u cho thy d n t ri ro.

D.
1.

NHNG RI RO C TH GP
Nhng ri ro c th gp
D bo nhu cu sai lch do tnh Rlc quan dn n nh gi sai tnh hnh
B thiu st trong phn tch nh gi
Chu nh hng gin tip t nhng thay i ca iu kin t nhin(mt ma ,nn dch,..)
Hnh thc bn gi u c kh nng gp phi n kh i.
Hng b h hi trong vn chuyn, lu kho
Nh nc s khng cn chnh sch u i cho ngnh chn nui khi gia nhp WTO

2.
Mt s bin php khc phc ri ro
Bm st cc ngun thng tin c lin quan
Theo di tnh hnh hnh chn nui trong vng

Trang 20/22

Qun tr d n u t
Kt hp vi cc phng chn nui th y a phng kim sot v theo di din bin tnh hnh
dch cm gia cm
To ra cc phng n tr n d dng cho khch hng
Kim sot hn ch tn tht nu c xy ra
Ti tr ri ro
Hn ch ri ro

Trang 21/22

Qun tr d n u t

III. KT LUN V KIN NGH

Qua qu trnh tm hiu, phn tch v nh gi th d n thnh lp Bnh 3 Minc kh thi. Vi
nhng chnh sch m ca hng thc hin v hot ng vi phng chm Mun cho n gia sc
gia cm ca b con kho mnh, t nng sut cao s gp phn h tr tch cc cho cc nh chn
nui trong vng trong vic pht trin ngnh ngh, tm kim li nhun ng thi chnh iu v
xu th pht trin ca ngnh chn nui cng to iu kin cho ca hng pht trin lu di .

Trang 22/22