Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Geography: Kentucky
Data Collected: 09/11/2012 - 09/13/2012
Release Date: 09/14/2012
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Yes
No
53%
54%
51%
50%
51%
57%
54%
50%
56%
52%
53%
91%
24%
48%
81%
50%
39%
38%
41%
39%
41%
35%
44%
40%
39%
34%
41%
6%
67%
36%
12%
42%
Other
3%
3%
3%
4%
1%
5%
1%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
7%
7%
3%
Undecided
Male
Age
5%
4%
6%
7%
7%
3%
1%
7%
2%
10%
3%
1%
6%
8%
0%
5%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
48%
52%
28%
28%
27%
18%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
46%
17%
6%
91%
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
All
Ideology
Abortion
Own a Gun?
Education
Income
Yes
No
Yes
No
53%
86%
42%
9%
74%
25%
67%
40%
60%
40%
59%
53%
49%
44%
57%
57%
39%
9%
45%
87%
20%
65%
27%
52%
33%
53%
27%
41%
45%
45%
36%
38%
Other
3%
2%
5%
1%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
3%
4%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
Undecided
Evangelical
5%
2%
9%
3%
3%
7%
4%
5%
5%
5%
10%
3%
4%
7%
4%
3%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
53%
56%
52%
49%
56%
39%
36%
42%
44%
30%
Other
3%
2%
2%
5%
3%
Undecided
5%
5%
5%
2%
11%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Are you voting more FOR Mitt Romney? Or more AGAINST Barack Obama?
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Yes
No
42%
47%
37%
37%
33%
48%
51%
35%
49%
38%
43%
44%
34%
44%
44%
42%
57%
52%
62%
62%
67%
50%
48%
65%
49%
61%
56%
55%
66%
55%
54%
57%
Not Sure
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
50%
50%
26%
26%
29%
19%
52%
48%
24%
76%
63%
21%
16%
10%
87%
Male
Age
Are you voting more FOR Mitt Romney? Or more AGAINST Barack Obama?
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
42%
46%
36%
**
43%
37%
40%
48%
43%
39%
44%
40%
42%
46%
43%
34%
57%
53%
64%
**
56%
63%
59%
52%
56%
61%
54%
60%
57%
52%
56%
66%
Not Sure
1%
1%
1%
**
1%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
63%
30%
4%
76%
19%
59%
35%
66%
29%
24%
37%
38%
32%
39%
29%
Are you voting more FOR Mitt Romney? Or more AGAINST Barack Obama?
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
42%
44%
39%
40%
45%
57%
56%
61%
58%
53%
Not Sure
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
25%
27%
31%
17%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Are you voting more FOR Barack Obama? Or more AGAINST Mitt Romney?
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Yes
No
82%
76%
87%
76%
85%
79%
90%
81%
84%
71%
85%
82%
85%
67%
**
82%
17%
22%
13%
22%
15%
20%
10%
18%
15%
25%
15%
18%
14%
29%
**
17%
Not Sure
1%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
4%
**
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
47%
53%
27%
29%
24%
20%
56%
44%
21%
79%
5%
79%
16%
2%
97%
Male
Age
Are you voting more FOR Barack Obama? Or more AGAINST Mitt Romney?
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
82%
72%
77%
89%
77%
84%
79%
83%
75%
89%
87%
82%
81%
93%
74%
74%
17%
21%
23%
10%
23%
15%
21%
15%
23%
11%
13%
16%
19%
7%
24%
26%
Not Sure
1%
8%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
9%
43%
45%
28%
65%
31%
61%
49%
51%
15%
39%
47%
42%
32%
26%
Are you voting more FOR Barack Obama? Or more AGAINST Mitt Romney?
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
82%
81%
83%
81%
84%
17%
15%
17%
18%
16%
Not Sure
1%
3%
0%
1%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
22%
29%
37%
12%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Is the United States headed in the right direction? Or the wrong direction?
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Gender
Male
Age
Female 18-34
30%
29%
60%
63%
56%
Not Sure
11%
8%
13%
Total
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
48%
52%
31%
<50 / 50+
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
27%
28%
37%
29%
32%
54%
58%
69%
56%
56%
15%
15%
3%
7%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
28%
28%
27%
18%
30%
Party Affiliation
33%
7%
64%
61%
59%
87%
5%
19%
8%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
No
24%
12%
32%
36%
64%
88%
57%
14%
12%
0%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
46%
17%
6%
91%
50%
Is the United States headed in the right direction? Or the wrong direction?
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
30%
9%
35%
62%
16%
50%
21%
38%
25%
39%
21%
28%
36%
35%
25%
29%
60%
86%
54%
20%
77%
38%
73%
47%
67%
46%
71%
59%
54%
53%
65%
63%
Not Sure
11%
5%
11%
18%
8%
12%
6%
15%
8%
15%
8%
12%
10%
12%
11%
7%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
Is the United States headed in the right direction? Or the wrong direction?
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
30%
24%
31%
36%
23%
60%
Not Sure
11%
66%
53%
57%
68%
9%
16%
8%
9%
Total
Composition of Adults
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Yes
No
Approve
38%
36%
40%
40%
36%
35%
41%
38%
38%
32%
40%
5%
66%
34%
11%
41%
Disapprove
59%
61%
57%
56%
58%
62%
58%
57%
60%
61%
58%
92%
31%
61%
89%
56%
Not Sure
4%
4%
3%
4%
5%
3%
1%
5%
2%
6%
3%
2%
3%
6%
0%
4%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
48%
52%
28%
28%
27%
18%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
46%
17%
6%
91%
Male
Age
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
Approve
38%
8%
45%
83%
18%
65%
25%
51%
31%
51%
25%
41%
43%
44%
34%
35%
Disapprove
59%
89%
51%
15%
79%
32%
73%
45%
66%
44%
72%
56%
53%
51%
64%
60%
Not Sure
4%
3%
4%
2%
3%
3%
2%
5%
3%
5%
3%
3%
4%
5%
1%
4%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4%
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Approve
38%
36%
41%
43%
26%
Disapprove
59%
61%
55%
54%
70%
Not Sure
4%
3%
4%
3%
5%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Romney (R)
49%
52%
46%
45%
46%
53%
51%
46%
53%
Obama (D)
36%
35%
37%
35%
36%
35%
40%
36%
37%
29%
39%
5%
Not Sure
15%
14%
16%
20%
18%
12%
9%
19%
11%
27%
11%
10%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
48%
52%
28%
28%
27%
18%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
Male
Age
50%
85%
No
41%
79%
47%
63%
32%
16%
38%
14%
28%
5%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
46%
17%
6%
91%
23%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
Romney (R)
49%
81%
41%
9%
70%
23%
62%
39%
56%
36%
53%
48%
48%
41%
51%
57%
Obama (D)
36%
8%
41%
82%
16%
63%
25%
47%
29%
49%
24%
38%
42%
41%
33%
34%
Not Sure
15%
12%
18%
9%
14%
14%
13%
14%
15%
15%
23%
15%
11%
18%
15%
9%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Romney (R)
49%
48%
50%
45%
56%
Obama (D)
36%
32%
40%
42%
23%
Not Sure
15%
20%
10%
13%
21%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Romney (R)
41%
41%
41%
35%
34%
48%
49%
35%
48%
Obama (D)
44%
42%
45%
44%
47%
40%
43%
46%
41%
43%
44%
11%
Not Sure
15%
17%
14%
21%
19%
12%
8%
20%
10%
21%
14%
19%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
48%
52%
28%
28%
27%
18%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
Male
Age
43%
70%
No
35%
83%
38%
70%
42%
12%
46%
10%
24%
5%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
46%
17%
6%
91%
20%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Education
Income
Romney (R)
41%
75%
27%
7%
60%
18%
53%
31%
45%
31%
52%
40%
36%
35%
43%
43%
Obama (D)
44%
11%
55%
88%
25%
70%
30%
57%
39%
54%
32%
45%
49%
48%
40%
44%
Not Sure
15%
15%
19%
6%
15%
12%
17%
12%
16%
15%
16%
15%
15%
16%
17%
12%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Romney (R)
41%
42%
38%
39%
48%
Obama (D)
44%
41%
49%
48%
32%
Not Sure
15%
17%
13%
14%
20%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
606 Adults
All
Gender
Female 18-34
<50 / 50+
Party Affiliation
35-49
50-64
65+
18-49
50+
Romney (R)
50%
51%
48%
45%
51%
52%
51%
48%
52%
Obama (D)
36%
36%
37%
35%
35%
36%
41%
35%
38%
28%
39%
6%
Not Sure
14%
13%
15%
19%
14%
12%
8%
17%
10%
22%
11%
6%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
48%
52%
28%
28%
27%
18%
55%
45%
24%
76%
37%
Male
Age
50%
88%
No
41%
85%
47%
63%
30%
12%
39%
14%
28%
3%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
46%
17%
6%
91%
23%
606 Adults
All
Ideology
Abortion
Evangelical
Own a Gun?
Yes
Yes
No
No
Education
Income
Romney (R)
50%
81%
42%
10%
69%
28%
61%
40%
56%
38%
56%
47%
48%
41%
53%
58%
Obama (D)
36%
7%
44%
78%
18%
61%
26%
46%
30%
48%
25%
37%
42%
44%
31%
33%
Not Sure
14%
11%
14%
12%
13%
11%
13%
14%
13%
13%
18%
16%
9%
15%
15%
9%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
38%
38%
20%
55%
39%
46%
46%
58%
38%
22%
37%
41%
37%
36%
27%
606 Adults
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1%
All
Region
Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Romney (R)
50%
51%
49%
49%
52%
Obama (D)
36%
33%
39%
41%
28%
Not Sure
14%
17%
12%
10%
20%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Adults
100%
23%
27%
33%
16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.
Sponsor:
The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit
Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the
date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were
weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results
would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete
accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home
telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the
manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire
design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.