Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Swiss Re
Swiss Re
AXA Swiss Re
Scottish Re Swiss Re Prudential MONY Forethought Forethought UnumProvident Swiss Re Scottish Re Scottish Re Genworth Genworth Genworth Genworth RGA
Protective
Banner Life
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Debt Financing
Moderate Deviation from Economic Reserve Normal Deviation from Economic Reserve Economic Reserve
Source: Lehman Brothers
Speakers
Bill Wellnitz TA Re Sean Nossel JP Morgan Chase Scott Robinson Moodys
Reinsurance Solutions
Reinsurance Solutions
Overview
Motivation Objectives Current Status Lessons Learned Risks of Reserve Credit Collateral Programs Risk Mitigants
Reinsurance Solutions
Motivation
2001
From our position as a top tier reinsurer, Transamerica Reinsurance could see that reliance on traditional one year Letters of Credit for reserve credit security was high risk Price Capacity Credit exposure
2003
Guideline AXXX impact on UL with no lapse guarantees exacerbated the problems with relying on traditional one year Letters of Credit
Reinsurance Solutions
Objectives
Reduce reliance on one year LOCs to an immaterial level Develop a basket of alternative reserve credit security programs Constraints
Do not add leverage to AEGONs balance sheet
(Transamerica Reinsurance is a division of Transamerica Occidental Life, a member of the AEGON Group)
Do not impede the growth prospects for other AEGON divisions Do not cause tax, accounting or regulatory problems
Reinsurance Solutions
Current Status
AEGON has closed 6 transactions
5 different structures $6.4 billion in collateral financing
Characteristics
Fully Funded Recourse On Balance Sheet Off Balance Sheet Non-Recourse On Balance Sheet Off Balance Sheet
Reinsurance Solutions
Lessons Learned
The essence of a capital market structure is always the same
Insurer Reinsurer
Collateral
Capital Markets
Reinsurance Solutions
Corollary the more advisors involved, the greater the execution risk
Simplest: No advisors Complicated: 9 advisors 4 law firms, 3 actuarial firms, underwriting consultant, accounting firm
Reinsurance Solutions
Taxes matter
Reinsurance Solutions
Regulatory rules vary depending on the charter for the reinsurance company
Onshore / Off Shore Life insurance company Captive reinsurance company
Reinsurance Solutions
The rating agencies are not your friends, but can be your allies in creating a successful transaction
Its all about risk Triggers, capitalization levels, scenarios, etc. Everyone has been learning including the rating agencies Recourse vs. non-recourse
Reinsurance Solutions
Reinsurance Solutions
More Risks
Balance sheet capacity Counterparty risks Constraints of solutions - name limits Public policy risk of no FIT
Reinsurance Solutions
Risk Mitigants
Basket of solutions to diversify risk
Recourse and nonrecourse Private and public Fully and partially funded On shore and off shore
Work with people who have gotten deals closed Wherever possible, lock in costs for the full term Fully fund at inception Call/bail out provisions on longer term solutions
OCTOBER 2007
10
Agenda
Page
Drivers of convergence Types and uses of life insurance securitization Various solutions available for securitizing future cashflows Impact of the recent market turmoil The future of life ILS (insurance linked securities)
1 4 7 11 15
D R I V E R S
O F
11
ABS market
Rapid growth in the ABS market Significant concentration Other ABS is 3-5% of the total Life ILS is 0.5% of 2006 issuance
HEL 65%
Auto 9%
Cards 8%
C O N V E R G E N C E
870
884
470
Student 8% Equip 1%
Cards 14%
D R I V E R S
O F
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
YTD 2007
MH 0%
HEL 46%
Agenda
Page
Drivers of convergence Types and uses of life insurance securitization Various solutions available for securitizing future cashflows Impact of the recent market turmoil The future of life ILS (insurance linked securities)
1 4 7 11 15
12
U S E S
O F
L I F E
I N S U R A N C E
Used to:
A N D
T Y P E S
Lower RBC cover Higher level of debt to total capital Higher ROE Lower financial leverage despite higher use of debt
T Y P E S
A N D
U S E S
O F
L I F E
I N S U R A N C E
S E C U R I T I Z A T I O N
13
Agenda
Page
Drivers of convergence Types and uses of life insurance securitization Various solutions available for securitizing future cashflows Impact of the recent market turmoil The future of life ILS (insurance linked securities)
1 4 7 11 15
C A S H F L O W S
S E C U R I T I Z I N G
F U T U R E
Bilateral solutions
Recourse to parent company Funded or Unfunded
F O R
A V A I L A B L E
Funded - bank capitalizes a reinsurance captive Non-funded - Letters of credit provided by a bank Bank provides funding only in the case of a capital shortfall
Optimize the level of capital required by the bank
S O L U T I O N S
V A R I O U S
14
C A S H F L O W S F U T U R E
Equity stake
S E C U R I T I Z I N G
Holdco
Gu ar an te e
Bank
Bilateral solution
bt De n Fi c an e
Equity stake
F O R
Ceding insurer
A V A I L A B L E
Debt finance
Investors
Guarantee Eligible Investments
S O L U T I O N S
Pledge
Full Securitization
Financial Guarantor
V A R I O U S
C A S H F L O W S
F U T U R E
Full Securitization Non-recourse to parent company Less flexibility Does not use operating leverage More complex to issue capacity Bilateral Solution Lower funding cost Requires a guarantee from the parent
S E C U R I T I Z I N G
A V A I L A B L E
More flexibility e.g. funding the Less feasible for some risks hump, future years of new business, investment policy Simplified execution Letter of credit Flexible Parent is a joint applicant
S O L U T I O N S
F O R
Less intensive analysis by rating More expensive as no investment agencies return on invested assets May be difficult to obtain long enough LOC
V A R I O U S
15
Agenda
Page
Drivers of convergence Types and uses of life insurance securitization Various solutions available for securitizing future cashflows Impact of the recent market turmoil The future of life ILS (insurance linked securities)
1 4 7 11 15
T U R M O I L
Mortgage linked securities are the majority of ABS so implication on the ABS market is major Implication on economic growth - effect on other sectors Impact on risk profile of financial guarantors Decrease in liquidity Structured investment vehicles (SIVS) which buy ABS and CDOs have had trouble funding with CP and are liquidating assets Higher spreads on all fixed income assets including ILS
I M P A C T
O F
T H E
R E C E N T
M A R K E T
16
M A R K E T
40 27 16 1212 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
T H E
R E C E N T
38
O F
3/ 22 4/ 5 4/ 19 5/ 3 5/ 17 5/ 31 6/ 14 6/ 28 7/ 12 7/ 26 8/ 9 8/ 23 9/ 6 9/ 20 10 /4
4/ 12 4/ 26 5/ 10 5/ 24
I M P A C T
MBIA
AMBAC
XL
FSA
range versus 25-35bp before the turmoil There is still a significant saving relative to cost of equity
Equity costs 10-12% versus debt at 6.1% gross and 4% net May delay issuance
R E C E N T
M A R K E T
I M P A C T
O F
T H E
8/ 2 8/ 16 8/ 30 9/ 13 9/ 27 10 /1 1
C:\Data\u299435\Documents\Risk magazine article\SOA2007 V2.PPT
7/ 5 7/ 19
6/ 7 6/ 21
17
Agenda
Page
Drivers of convergence Types and uses of life insurance securitization Various solutions available for securitizing future cashflows Impact of the recent market turmoil The future of life ILS (insurance linked securities)
1 4 7 11 15
S E C U R I T I E S )
L I N K E D
T H E
F U T U R E
O F
L I F E
I L S
( I N S U R A N C E
18
Scott Robinson, FSA, CFA V.P. & Sr. Credit Officer U.S. Life Insurance Group
Presentation Outline
Update on XXX/AXXX Funding Solutions Analytic Approach to Embedded Value Securitization To XXX and Beyond: What Lies Ahead
19
20
Parent Company
XXX Issuer
Pledged
Collateral
Captive Reinsurer
Intermediate Trust
Debt2
Investors
Cash
1Reg
114 Trust collateral is invested in high quality assets with ALM tied to the debt issued by Intermediate Trust.
2Debt
is non-recourse to XXX Reserve Issuer and mirrors the terms of the surplus notes issued by Captive Reinsurer. Debt may be wrapped by a financial guarantor.
Transaction
River Lake II (3rd Issuance) River Lake IV (1st Issuance) LIICA Holdings, LLC First British American II Timberlake Ballantyne Re River Lake III (1st Issuance) Orkney II River Lake II (2nd Issuance) River Lake (3rd Issuance) Orkney River Lake II (1st Issuance) First British American River Lake (2nd Issuance) River Lake (1st Issuance)
Issuance Date
June 2007 April 2007 April 2007 August 2006 June 2006 May 2006 January 2006 December 2005 October 2005 June 2005 February 2005 December 2004 November 2004 December 2003 July 2003
Issuance Amount
$250 MM $540 MM $550 MM $450 MM $850 MM $1,750 MM $750 MM $455 MM $300 MM $200 MM $850 MM $300 MM $550 MM $300 MM $300 MM
21
Update on Market
Key Risks For XXX
Standard: Mortality (misestimation, influenza, volatility), lapse, shock lapse at end of level premium period, credit, reinvestment
Other risks highlighted by recent events: funding costs if not fixed, step-up in guarantor fees
Update on Market
Optimal capital structures / solutions change based on market conditions
Banks ability and willingness to provide funds/LOCs
Regulatory, tax issues and ability/cost of hedging exposure help shape solutions offered
Market spreads
22
Reinsurance to 3rd party Debt issued from holding company used to fund redundant reserves Reinsure to captive and long-dated LOC provided by bank Reinsure to captive and redundant reserves funded by bank
23
Parent Company
XXX Issuer
Pledged
Reinsurance Collateral
Collateral
Eligible Collateral
Cash
Captive Reinsurer
Bank
1Reg
114 Trust collateral is invested in high quality assets with ALM tied to the debt issued by Intermediate Trust.
Update on Market
Focus on AXXX business that had been on backburner Funded solutions more attractive
24
25
Significant potential growth area as capital management techniques advance in insurance sector
26
Analysis of Securitizations
Life insurance linked notes will be treated as off balance sheet if the issuer demonstrates both of the following:
Absolutely no recourse to the sponsoring company under any circumstances Genuine risk transfer is achieved by the transaction
Analysis of Securitizations
Analytical treatment: If off balance sheet treatment, then debt is excluded from financial leverage Analysts also consider, depending upon structure:
(1) Elimination of securitized block earnings from interest coverage and profitability measures (2) Reduction of equity supporting securitized block
27
28
Intense competition among states creates securitization friendly captive states The impact of principles based reserving on securitization the end of the party?
29
Reinsurance Solutions
Overview
Motivation Objectives Current Status Lessons Learned Risks of Reserve Credit Collateral Programs Risk Mitigants
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
Motivation
2001
From our position as a top tier reinsurer, Transamerica Reinsurance could see that reliance on traditional one year Letters of Credit for reserve credit security was high risk Price Capacity Credit exposure
2003
Guideline AXXX impact on UL with no lapse guarantees exacerbated the problems with relying on traditional one year Letters of Credit
Objectives
Reduce reliance on one year LOCs to an immaterial level Develop a basket of alternative reserve credit security programs Constraints
Do not add leverage to AEGONs balance sheet
(Transamerica Reinsurance is a division of Transamerica Occidental Life, a member of the AEGON Group)
Do not impede the growth prospects for other AEGON divisions Do not cause tax, accounting or regulatory problems
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
Current Status
AEGON has closed 6 transactions
5 different structures $6.4 billion in collateral financing
Characteristics
Fully Funded Recourse On Balance Sheet Off Balance Sheet Non-Recourse On Balance Sheet Off Balance Sheet
Lessons Learned
The essence of a capital market structure is always the same
Insurer Reinsurer
Collateral
Capital Markets
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
Corollary the more advisors involved, the greater the execution risk
Simplest: No advisors Complicated: 9 advisors 4 law firms, 3 actuarial firms, underwriting consultant, accounting firm
Taxes matter
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
Regulatory rules vary depending on the charter for the reinsurance company
Onshore / Off Shore Life insurance company Captive reinsurance company
The rating agencies are not your friends, but can be your allies in creating a successful transaction
Its all about risk Triggers, capitalization levels, scenarios, etc. Everyone has been learning including the rating agencies Recourse vs. non-recourse
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
More Risks
Balance sheet capacity Counterparty risks Constraints of solutions - name limits Public policy risk of no FIT
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review
Risk Mitigants
Basket of solutions to diversify risk
Recourse and nonrecourse Private and public Fully and partially funded On shore and off shore
Work with people who have gotten deals closed Wherever possible, lock in costs for the full term Fully fund at inception Call/bail out provisions on longer term solutions
SOA 2007 Annual Meeting & Exhibit; Session 16: Life and Annuity Product Development Year in Review